Long AUD/NZD by AB=CD, long AUD/CHF by bat
hello all, i found to harmonic pattern about AUD.
AB=CD pattern in AUD/NZD
c is 50% retracement of AB (1.10614) also the PRZ do have strong support, you can see there is RSI divergence there
AUD/CHF bat pattern. Here B is near 50% retracement of XA (0.74601) also D is near 88.6% of XA and 1.618 times of BC (0.72414). Also a RSI divergence
trade with patient and confidence
Aud-chf
AUDCHF weekly update:Total profit 3572 pips in 27 daysNew trading suggestion:
There is possibility of temporary retracement to suggested resistance line (0.746), if so, traders can set orders based on Daily-Trading-Opportunities and expect to reach short-term targets.
Total Profit: 3572 pip
Closed trade(s): 1070 pip Profit
Open trade(s): 2502 pip Profit
Trade Setup:
We opened 11 SELL trade(s) @ 0.7658 (day close price) based on 'Peak' at 2018.01.23 signaled by our "Daily Trading Opportunity".
Closed Profit:
TP1 @ 0.7610 touched at 2018.01.24 with 48 pip Profit.
TP2 @ 0.7545 touched at 2018.01.25 with 113 pip Profit.
TP3 @ 0.7460 touched at 2018.02.01 with 198 pip Profit.
TP4 @ 0.7330 touched at 2018.02.05 with 328 pip Profit.
TP5 @ 0.7275 touched at 2018.02.08 with 383 pip Profit.
48 + 113 + 198 + 328 + 383 = 1070 pip
Open Profit:
Profit for one trade is 0.7658(open price) - 0.7241(current price) = 417 pip
6 trade(s) still open, therefore total profit for open trade(s) is 417 x 6 = 2502 pip
AUD/CHF 1H Chart: Aussie narrows trading rangeFollowing a test of an eight-month low of 0.7268 on February 8, the Aussie entered a three-week period of consolidation against the Swiss Franc. As a result, a symmetrical triangle was formed.
As apparent on the chart, the last two waves touched neatly both boundaries of this pattern; thus, it is likely that the pair still uses the opportunity to re-test its upper line and the 23.60% Fibo retracement at 0.7370 in the following two sessions. This scenario is possible, because the nearest support formed by the 200– and 100-hour SMAs and the weekly PP circa 0.7340 should force the pair slightly higher.
Technical indicators are generally bearish, suggesting that the Aussie could continue trading within the bounds of the wedge. A possible downside target for the following trading sessions is the weekly S1 or the aforementioned eight-week low at 0.7290 and 0.7268, respectively.
AUD/CHF short trade ideaUpside for now remains capped at 0.74 handle and we see breakout there to see further gains.
On the flipside, the pair is trading below all major moving EMAs.
Break below 0.73 handle will see resumption of weakness.
We then see scope then for test of 0.7220 (88.6% Fib).
Support levels - 0.73 (psychological level), 0.7285 (78.6% Fib retrace of 0.7146 to 0.78 rally), 0.7220 (88.6% Fib)
Resistance levels - 0.7384 (5-DMA), 0.74 (psychological level), 0.7480 (1H 200-SMA)
Good to go short around 0.7370, SL: 0.7425, TP: 0.73/ 0.7285/ 0.7220
AUD/CHF 1H Chart: Aussie consolidates after surgeThe Australian Dollar has been trading in a channel up against the Swiss Franc since mid-November. After testing its upper boundary on January 11, the pair entered a period of consolidation prior to depreciating significantly during the previous week. The Aussie, however, did fall short of its bottom line when a rebound from the 0.7540 mark occurred last week.
Its positioning has not since changed significantly, as the combined resistance of the 55-hour SMA and the monthly and weekly PPs are restricting any advance above 0.76. This latest period of consolidation might indicate a soon breakout north. However, given the strength of the nearest resistance, upward momentum is likely to be limited today circa 0.76.
A possible target for this week could be the 0.77 level where the weekly R1 and the upper boundary of a medium-term channel are located.
AUD/CHF 1H Chart: Pair likely to test senior 0.7750The Australian Dollar has appreciated substantially against the Swiss Franc since late November. This upward movement has been constrained in a channel up.
During the past week, the Aussie has failed to reach its upper boundary, thus pointing to a possible breakout south. A subsequent surge, however, might occur only within the following two weeks, given that the upper boundary of a senior channel circa near 0.7750 has not yet been reached.
Technical indicators suggest that the Aussie is likely to realise this upward potential during the following trading sessions. Some weakness might be apparent today; however, the combined support of the 55– and 100-hour SMAs located near the 0.7680 mark is expected to stop any further down-fall.
The nearest notable resistance is the monthly R1 and the weekly R2 at 0.7725.
Power increasingThe cross is increasing the power used to rise to higher prices
A very high long term market pressure (+11.0) confirm the direction of the trend
This analysis is based on market pressure value, you can find the daily market pressure for every fx crosses on my twitter profile twitter.com
AUD/CHF long setupAUD/CHF has opened trade with a bullish gap up in the Asian session as markets open after holidays.
The pair is hovering around major trendline resistance at 0.7635, breakout to see further upside.
Technical studies support upside in the pair, price action has broken above daily cloud.
RSI shows strength above 50 levels and is gaining traction. Momentum studies bullish.
ADX and MACD also support upside in the pair.
Support levels - 0.7604 (100-DMA), 0.7596 (5-DMA), 0.7570 (50-DMA)
Resistance levels - 0.7651 (61.8% Fib retracement of 0.78 to 0.7417 fall), 0.77, 0.7715 (78.6% Fib)
Stay long on close above 0.7635, SL: 0.76, TP: 0.77/ 0.7715
AUD/CHF 1H Chart: Aussie likely to test long-term channelAUD/CHF has been guided by a descending channel since early September. This pattern has had several confirmations on the southern side, while the second upper confirmation was provided last week when the Aussie reversed from the 0.76 mark.
The rate, however, did not go far, as it continued to trade along the upper boundary of this long-term pattern. It is unlikely that its southern boundary is tested one more time due to the significant steepness downwards.
Technical indicators suggest that the rate could enter a period of consolidation during the following week, supported by the monthly PP and the 200-hour SMA. It is likely that this movement results in an upside breakout and a subsequent surge.
On the other hand, the pair might also edge lower in line with two prevailing junior channels. In this case, the downside target is the 0.7480/0.7500 area.
AUD/CHF 200-DMA breakout, stay long Technical Studies: Bias Bullish
- 200-DMA breakout
- Tests 50-DMA resistance at 0.7574
- RSI and Stochs biased higher, RSI above 50 gaining traction
- Bullish 5 and 20 DMA crossover
- Bollinger bands widening
Fundamental Studies:
- Aussie continues to be supported higher, extends gains across the board on strong Aussie jobs data.
- The ABS reported earlier today that the Australian economy added 61.6K jobs in November, beating consensus at 18K.
- Full-time employment stood at 41.9k (prior 24.7k), while part-time employment 19.7k (prior -20.3k), while the participation rate ticked higher to 65.5 percent from 65.1 percent.
- On Wednesday, Australia consumer confidence surprised to the upside.
- The Westpac Melbourne Institute Index of Consumer Sentiment up 3.6% to 103.3 in December from 99.7 in November.
- CHF extends weakness after SNB has kept its interest rates unchanged in its quarterly interest rate setting decision.
Support levels - 0.7562 (38.2% Fib retrace of 0.77966 to 0.7417 fall), 0.7527 (200-DMA), 0.7506 (23.6% Fib)
Resistance levels - 0.7574 (50-DMA), 0.7606 (50% Fib), 0.7650 (trendline)
Good to go long on breakout at 50-DMA, SL: 0.7530, TP: 0.76/ 0.7650
Ending channel in AUDCHFLo que parecía una ending diagonal, se ha transformado en ending channel finalmente. Tenemos una gran divergencia en MACD, todo apunta a que se irá al alza el precio. Espero mi entrada en largos en algún momento del nuevo impulso alcista.
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What looked like an ending diagonal, has become in ending channel. There's a big divergence in MACD, everything points to the price going up. I'll wait my entrance in some moment of the new impulse.
Perfect ending diagonal in AUDCHF, and it will go up in 3,2,1...Se nos acaba de presentar una hermosa Ending Diagonal en AUDCHF. Ya ha roto su tendencia, así que esperaré una banderita para buscar un Take Profit con Risk reward de 1 a 2.
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We can see a perfect Ending Diagonal in AUDCHF. It has already broken the trend line, so I'll wait a flag to enter in long, searching a Take Profit with Risk reward of 1 to 2.
AUDCHF Channel ChangeLooks to be evidence of a channel change unfolding on AUDCHF. This level happens to be a 50% Fib retracement on Daily chart at support level. Multiple divergence confirms price action, and a W pattern seems to be setting up a long opportunity to test the top of the "new channel" with stops below.