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Aud-jpy

AUDJPY: Is this the start of the reversal?We saw some JPY strength last week and I think we could be starting to see reversal, however my confirmation of this will be below 93 support. Even though BoJ hasn't intervened yet, there was a lot of buying in the week which we saw against the USD, I still expect BoJ intervention soon. Nice pinbar rejection on the 4HR from my resistance block. Looking for a short here on LTF's, but with tight SL and will keep it following any move down.
Short
by Finchcliffe
Dead cat bounce on AUD/JPY?Once again we saw AUD/JPY rally above 96 before reversing lower, which is a pattern we have seen occur four times since January 2022. A shooting start reversal formed on Friday and the cross fell around -4% Tuesday’s low, breaking a bullish trendline before finding support at the 200-day EMA, February high and 96 handle. We’ve seen two modest up days since, but now we’re looking for evidence of a swing high around 95 – as this houses the weekly S1 pivot, 50% retracement level and cycle highs. The initial target is 94, a break of which brings 93 in focus. But if risk off returns, then a break of 93 seems plausible.
Short
by CityIndex
AUD/JPY: Bullish Trend Pauses for a Pullback-- 30-Minute Chart The AUD/JPY pair is currently trading in a narrow range on the 30-minute chart. The pair is facing resistance at the 94.20 level and support at the 94.00 level. The RSI indicator is currently in overbought territory, suggesting that the pair may be due for a pullback. However, the MACD indicator is still generating bullish signals. -- 4-Hour Chart The AUD/JPY pair is currently trading in a bullish trend on the 4-hour chart. The pair is facing resistance at the 94.50 level and support at the 94.00 level. The RSI indicator is currently in overbought territory, suggesting that the pair may be due for a pullback. However, the MACD indicator is still generating bullish signals. -- Daily Chart The AUD/JPY pair is currently trading in a bullish trend on the daily chart. The pair is facing resistance at the 95.00 level and support at the 94.00 level. The RSI indicator is currently in overbought territory, suggesting that the pair may be due for a pullback. However, the MACD indicator is still generating bullish signals. Elliott Wave Analysis Based on Elliott Wave Theory, as marked on my chart, the AUD/JPY pair may be in the process of completing a five-wave upward Elliott wave pattern. If this is the case, the pair could experience a significant pullback in the near future. AUD/JPY Fundamental and Technical Analysis for 4 October 2023 (30-min, 4-h, and Daily Charts) Fundamental Analysis The Australian dollar (AUD) is a commodity currency, meaning that its value is closely linked to the prices of commodities such as iron ore and coal. The Japanese yen (JPY) is a safe-haven currency, meaning that it tends to appreciate in value during times of market turmoil. The AUD/JPY currency pair is often seen as a proxy for risk appetite. When investors are feeling optimistic about the global economy, they tend to buy the AUD/JPY pair. When investors are feeling cautious, they tend to sell the AUD/JPY pair. Technical Analysis 30-Minute Chart The AUD/JPY pair is currently trading in a narrow range on the 30-minute chart. The pair is facing resistance at the 94.20 level and support at the 94.00 level. The RSI indicator is currently in overbought territory, suggesting that the pair may be due for a pullback. However, the MACD indicator is still generating bullish signals. 4-Hour Chart The AUD/JPY pair is currently trading in a bullish trend on the 4-hour chart. The pair is facing resistance at the 94.50 level and support at the 94.00 level. The RSI indicator is currently in overbought territory, suggesting that the pair may be due for a pullback. However, the MACD indicator is still generating bullish signals. Daily Chart The AUD/JPY pair is currently trading in a bullish trend on the daily chart. The pair is facing resistance at the 95.00 level and support at the 94.00 level. The RSI indicator is currently in overbought territory, suggesting that the pair may be due for a pullback. However, the MACD indicator is still generating bullish signals. Elliott Wave Analysis Based on Elliott Wave Theory, the AUD/JPY pair may be in the process of completing a five-wave upward Elliott wave pattern. If this is the case, the pair could experience a significant pullback in the near future. Conclusion Overall, the AUD/JPY pair is in a bullish trend on all three timeframes. However, the RSI indicator is currently in overbought territory on all three timeframes, suggesting that the pair may be due for a pullback. Traders should watch the key support and resistance levels mentioned above carefully. A break above the 94.50 level on the 4-hour chart would confirm the continuation of the bullish trend. A break below the 94.00 level on the 4-hour chart would suggest a pullback is underway.
Short
by YExplore
AUDJPY to see a lower correction?AUDJPY - 24h expiry There is no clear indication that the upward move is coming to an end. Although we remain bullish overall, a correction is possible with plenty of room to move lower without impacting the trend higher. Risk/Reward would be poor to call a buy from current levels. The RSI is trending higher. A move through 95.75 will confirm the bullish momentum. We look to Buy at 95.00 (stop at 94.68) Our profit targets will be 95.80 and 96.10 Resistance: 95.75 / 96.00 / 96.25 Support: 95.25 / 95.00 / 94.50 Risk Disclaimer The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit. You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy. Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
Long
by OANDA
AUDJPY Strong Lower Highs bullish break-out.The AUDJPY pair has turned the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) into Support since last week's bullish break-out signal above the Lower Highs trend-line. That is a major bullish continuation call following the bottom on the 3-month Higher Lows Zone on March 27. The dashed Higher Lows has been supporting this uptrend and this seems to be the new bullish leg. The previous two such rises during these 3 years have reached at least +17.40%. As a result our buy target is 101.000. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Long
by TradingShot
AUDJPY: Expecting a strong start to the week before BoJI'm expecting continued Aussie strength as the market expects China recovery is in progress. BoJ interest rate and minutes will be big news on Friday, but before then I expect to see a continuation up within the current rising channel, breaking and retest initial support around 95.6 to rise to test the 96.6 support. We're heading into very choppy waters now, and I expect BoJ to start defending their currency so I'm mindful to have very tight SL's up here, moving to BE as soon as possible and ultimately preparing for a reversal, but I think there's a little way to go yet. With Aussie building momentum I feel confident in still being long here, but being uber-careful as you never know what will happen!
Long
by Finchcliffe
2
AUDJPY Sell opportunity within the Channel Down.The AUDJPY pair is on the 3rd day after a Double Top rejection on the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line). That was a Lower High at the top of 2-month Channel Down. This is a sell opportunity, as long as the price is closing 1D candles below the 1D MA50. Our target is a -3.68% decline (as the previous legs) at 91.450. You can more safely settle for the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) which supported the price on July 28 and caused a strong rebound. That is also exactly on the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level. The only indicator in favor of a break-out above the 1D MA50 is the Bullish Cross on the 1D MACD. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Short
by TradingShot
AUDJPY: Bearish on AUD, Bullish on JPYI believe we're going to start seeing a shift in sentiment for the JPY, there were indications last week, we broke a rising trendline, we've retraced and retesting now. Fundamentally the Japanese economy looks stronger, despite the loose monetary policy. We saw in June 2022 that BoJ can chuck curve balls in too, I'm not necessarily expecting that but if it happens I want to be on the right side. I'm bearish on AUD with high inflation and a dovish central bank, there is big news this week, we may see another pause, if that happens then we'll be down to around 90.0 I think before a retracement. I'm looking to get in anywhere from now up to 95.5, and a sell down to just above last week's low (92.0) ahead of the news this week, which could send this one further down, but best to be cautious!
Short
by Finchcliffe
AUD/JPY set to break to new highs?Last week we saw AUD/JPY roll over nicely from a key resistance zone, yet its fast turnaround from the 200-day EMA now has a potential bullish breakout on our radar. A bullish pinbar formed on Friday after prices fell through our bearish target before closing above the 100-day EMA, then breaking above the 50 and 20-day EMAs on Monday. Prices are holding around trend resistance ahead of today's RBA meeting, where economists favour a 25bp hike yet money markets have priced in a pause. A hawkish meeting could send prices above 96, whilst a pause could see an initial pullback. IN which case, we'd like to see evidence of a swing low above or around Friday's high or the 20-day EMA, in anticipation of an eventual break above 96.
Long
by CityIndex
1
AUD/JPY: Swing trade short below historical resistance zoneA 2-bar bearish reversal pattern has formed at a historical resistance zone just below 96. Prior breaks above it in June and September failed last year. On both occasions the market fell near the 91 area before retesting the resistance zone, and in October we saw prices accelerate lower. What could trigger such a move this time around? Whilst nobody is expecting the BOJ to change policy tomorrow, that doesn’t mean we shouldn’t disregard its potential. And that would likely be a very strong reaction for the yen to send AUD/JPY lower. However, a more likely scenario is that the BOJ upgrade their inflation forecasts, and that could prompt some speculation that the BOJ are closer to widening their YCC (yield curve control) band or removing it al together. Of course, a bout of risk off is usually always bearish for AUD/USD. Either way, the bias remains bearish beneath Tuesday’s high, and the initial target is the lows just above 93.27.
Short
by CityIndex
2
AUD/JPY Long WIll make Record HighsAustralian Dollar Japanese Yen traded at 94.2260 this Tuesday June 13th, increasing 0.0160 or 0.02 percent since the previous trading session. Looking back, over the last four weeks, AUDJPY gained 3.35 percent. Over the last 12 months, its price rose by 1.26 percent. Looking ahead, we forecast Australian Dollar Japanese Yen to be priced at 93.7636 by the end of this quarter and at 93.3522 in one year, according to Trading Economics global macro models projections and analysts expectations. AUD/JPY nears weekly high at 94.22, gaining for the sixth consecutive day. The pair shows upward bias, but RSI and three-day RoC indicators suggest a potential retreat. Following support for AUD/JPY lies at a June 12 low of 93.84, followed by the 93.00 mark. AUD/JPY grinds near intraday high, stays firmer around the highest levels since late November 2022. Hawkish RBA concerns versus disappointment from Japan PPI, dovish comments from BoJ’s Wakatabe favor pair buyers. Yields, stock futures struggle to justify cautious optimism in the markets amid lack of major data/evens and holiday in Australia. AUD/JPY stays defensive around 94.00 as the key week comprising multiple central bank announcements and top-tier data begins with the Aussie holidays. Even if the pre-data anxiety and the King’s Birthday in Australia limit the cross-currency pair’s momentum, the bulls keep the reins at the highest levels since late November 2022, marked the previous day, amid divergence of the monetary policy bias surrounding the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) and the Bank of Japan (BoJ). Furthermore, downbeat Japan inflation clues and the BoJ officials’ dovish comments also keep the pair buyers hopeful. Earlier in the day, Japan’s Producer Price Index (PPI) for May dropped for the fifth consecutive month to 5.1% YoY from 5.8% previous readings and 5.5% market forecasts. That said, monthly figures also disappointed Yen traders with -0.7% MoM outcome, versus -0.2% expected and 0.2% prior. On the other hand, BoJ Deputy Governor Masazumi Wakatabe rules out any change in the BoJ monetary policy during this week’s meeting as he said, “Don't expect a change from BOJ at this week's meeting.” It’s worth noting that the Reserve Bank of Australia’s (RBA) surprise rate hike joined the firmer China Caixin Services PMI to underpin the bullish bias about the AUD/JPY pair. Additionally, dovish comments from BoJ Governor Kazuo Ueda add strength to the AUD/JPY pair’s upside momentum. However, the market’s lack of conviction ahead of the top-tier data/events joins the mixed signals from China to challenge the AUD/JPY pair’s upside. That said, concerns about the People’s Bank of China’s (PBoC) rate hike gains momentum of late as the Chinese central bank’s Governor Yi Gang said in a statement on Friday that China's Q2 GDP YoY growth is expected to be high mainly due to base effects. The policymaker added, “There is plenty of room for policy adjustment.” Looking ahead, AUD/JPY pair may witness a lackluster day amid the Aussie holiday. However, Thursday’s Australia jobs report and Friday’s BoJ monetary policy announcements are the keys for the pair traders to watch. Given the dovish bias from the BoJ and expectations of upbeat Aussie data, as well as the recent hawkish surprise from the RBA, the quote may remain firmer. Technical analysis The overbought RSI (14) line joins multiple hurdles marked during late November 2022, around 94.10-15, to challenge the AUD/JPY buyers. The downside move, however, remains doubtful until breaking the 200-DMA support of 91.77.
Long
by DaveBrascoFX
4
AUD/JPYPrice is in a downward trend in 1 H time frame .. any up in price is a chance to enter the trend.. now is an excellent opportunity. Although it's in the middle of a trend, and I usually don't enter in the middle. Still, this one is a low risk .. with risk management, you can join it now .. and follow it down to wherever it goes .. remember to stop-trail .. and remember this marker is all about probability. There's no one, I mean NO ONE, who can predict the market and say with 100% confidence about a situation .. you need to learn this fact. Ps . Leave your comment and thoughts. May all your pockets fill with green money.
Short
by Cryptosours
AUDJPY: Sell continuation with two support levels in focus.AUDJPY is on a 3 week selling streak with the 1D time frame just turning neutral (RSI = 45.648, MACD = 0.510, ADX = 43.673) after more than a month in the bullish zone. The price is approaching the 1D MA50, where you can buy on a 2-3 days basis but we mostly focus on getting a sell on that bounce and target the HL trendline (TP 93.100) near the S1. Further selling can be done only after the price closes a 1D candle under the 1D MA200 and target the S2 (TP = 90.300). Until that happens, the HL will be a buy entry for us, targeting R1 (TP = 96.850). Prior idea: ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
Short
by InvestingScope