Aud-usd
AUDUSD: Bullish Move From Key Level🇦🇺🇺🇸
AUDUSD is taking off from a wide horizontal zone of confluence
based on a demand cluster and 618 retracement of the last bullish impulse.
The price formed a double bottom pattern on that as a confirmation.
Goals: 0.68 / 0.683
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AUDUSD to see a temporary move higher?AUDUSD - 24h expiry
We are trading at oversold extremes.
A Doji style candle has been posted from the base.
A higher correction is expected.
Short term bias has turned negative.
We therefore, prefer to fade into the rally with a tight stop in anticipation of a move back lower.
We look to Sell at 0.6790 (stop at 0.6830)
Our profit targets will be 0.6690 and 0.6620
Resistance: 0.6810 / 0.6890 / 0.7010
Support: 0.6620 / 0.6460 / 0.6380
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
✨ NEW: AUDUSD ✨ SCALPING(an aggressive scalping opportunity)
TP @ 0.6838 (at the previous Daily Open price)
BSO2 @ 0.6829, moderate ⏳
BSO1 @ 0.6822, aggressive ⏳
-SL @ 0.6805, aggressive 🚫
-SL @ 0.6788, moderate 🚫
Being that we have AUD News @ 18:30 PT / 21:30 ET, here's a potential setup for +9 to +25 pips of profit from scalping price action.
⚠️ Attached to this post is the BIG PICTURE Curve Analysis for this pair. It too reflects a UT.
AUDUSD Declining hard after a Double Top.AUDUSD is on the 4th red (1d) candle in a row, following the Double Top rejection near Resistance 1 (0.69000).
Trading Plan:
1. Sell on the current market price.
2. Sell if a (1d) candle closes under the Rising Support.
Targets:
1. 0.66750 (contact with Rising Support).
2. 0.66000 (Support 1).
Tips:
1. The RSI (1d), is on the MA trend line. If broken, it will be a sell continuation signal.
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Notes:
Past trading plan:
AUDUSD continues to hold back the bulls.AUDUSD - 24h expiry
0.6900 has been pivotal.
0.6895 has been pivotal.
0.6900 continues to hold back the bulls.
Preferred trade is to sell into rallies.
We look for a temporary move higher.
We look to Sell at 0.6889 (stop at 0.6921)
Our profit targets will be 0.6809 and 0.6785
Resistance: 0.6837 / 0.6850 / 0.6890
Support: 0.6807 / 0.6787 / 0.6770
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
AUDUSD Potential BreakoutHey Traders, In the upcoming week, we will be closely monitoring AUDUSD for a potential buying opportunity around the 0.68500 zone. From a technical standpoint, AUDUSD has been trading in a downtrend, but there are indications that it is currently attempting to break out of this trend.
On the fundamental side, recent developments, such as the soft CPI data released yesterday, suggest that the Federal Reserve may have successfully managed to combat inflation. This outcome implies that there could be fewer restrictions in monetary policy, which may subsequently lead to a weaker dollar.
Trade safe, Joe.
A lower correction expected from AUDUSD.AUDUSD - 24h expiry
Previous resistance level of 0.6705 broken.
Short term bias has turned positive.
We are trading at overbought extremes.
A lower correction is expected.
We therefore, prefer to fade into the dip with a tight stop in anticipation of a move back higher.
We look to Buy at 0.6625 (stop at 0.6590)
Our profit targets will be 0.6715 and 0.6730
Resistance: 0.6810 / 0.6890 / 0.7010
Support: 0.6620 / 0.6460 / 0.6380
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
AUDUSD to turnaround from current support?AUDUSD - 24h expiry
We are trading at oversold extremes.
Posted a Bullish Hammer Bottom on the 1 hour chart.
This is positive for short term sentiment and we look to set longs at good risk/reward levels for a further correction higher.
Although the anticipated move higher is corrective, it does offer ample risk/reward today.
Further upside is expected although we prefer to buy into dips close to the 0.6650 level.
We look to Buy at 0.6650 (stop at 0.6620)
Our profit targets will be 0.6725 and 0.6750
Resistance: 0.6725 / 0.6810 / 0.6890
Support: 0.6620 / 0.6460 / 0.6380
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
AUDUSD: This bounce is a good short opportunity.AUDUSD rebounded late last week and reached again the 1D MA50 on neutral 1D technicals (RSI = 46.104, MACD = -0.001, ADX = 23.912). This is the first rebound after the June 16th High, which was on an overbought 1D RSI and formed a Lower High inside the wide Channel Down pattern. The neutral technicals indicate that this is potentially the ideal short entry on an extended sell sequence that targets at least the bottom of the Channel Down.
We are going short on the next green 1D candle and our target will be much lower, the 2.0 Fibonacci level (TP = 0.63350). Buy again near the RSI oversold line.
Prior idea:
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AUDUSD Potential DownsidesHey Traders, in tomorrow's trading session we are monitoring AUDUSD for a selling opportunity around 0.66800 zone, AUDUSD is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 0.66800 resistance area.
I would also keep an eye on RBA rate decision this week, if it's dovish enough that should be a decent confirmation.
Trade safe, Joe.
🔥 NEW: AUDUSD 🔥 POSITION TRADE 🔥SLO2 @ 0.7933 ⏳
SLO1 @ 0.7715 ⏳
TP3 @ 0.76 (closing ALL Buy Orders)
TP2 @ 0.7185 (shaving 25%)
TP1 @ 0.6925 (shaving 25%)
BLO1 @ 0.6645 📈
BLO2 @ 0.6550 ⏳
UNDERSTANDING POSITION TRADING
A position trade is a trading strategy where a trader holds a position for an extended period, usually months or years. Position traders are typically looking to profit from long-term market trends rather than short-term price movements.
Position traders typically have a longer investment horizon than other traders, such as day traders or swing traders. They are less concerned with short-term price movements and more focused on the long-term trend. This strategy means they are willing to tolerate more risk in their trading, as they are confident that their positions will eventually be profitable.
AUDUSD to stall at previous support?AUDUSD - 24h expiry
A Doji style candle has been posted from the base.
Buying pressure from 0.6667 resulted in prices rejecting the dip.
Price action looks to be forming a bottom.
Short term bias has turned negative.
We therefore, prefer to fade into the rally with a tight stop in anticipation of a move back lower.
We look to Sell at 0.6750 (stop at 0.6782)
Our profit targets will be 0.6671 and 0.6651
Resistance: 0.6810 / 0.6890 / 0.7010
Support: 0.6620 / 0.6460 / 0.6380
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
AUDUSD, H4 | Reversal off multi-swing high resistancePrice seems to be approaching a major resistance at 0.6811 which has seen multiple reversals in the past. A reversal from here could see prices being pushed down to 0.6730 which is a 23.6% Fiboancci retracement and our first support.
What is worth taking note is that NZDUSD is also approaching a major resistance and could see a reversal soon too. Our bearish view on AUDUSD, being positively correlated with NZDUSD, is in line with this drop.
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AUDUSD to turnaround at resistance?AUDUSD - 24h expiry
Although the bulls are in control, the stalling positive momentum indicates a turnaround is possible.
We are trading at overbought extremes.
This is negative for short term sentiment and we look to set shorts at good risk/reward levels for a further correction lower.
The hourly chart technicals suggests further upside before the downtrend returns.
We therefore, prefer to fade into the rally with a tight stop in anticipation of a move back lower.
We look to Sell at 0.6800 (stop at 0.6830)
Our profit targets will be 0.6720 and 0.6700
Resistance: 0.6810 / 0.6890 / 0.7010
Support: 0.6725 / 0.6620 / 0.6460
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
AUDUSD Potential DownsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring AUDUSD for a selling opportunity around 0.67800 zone, AUDUSD is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the major trend at 0.67800 support and resistance zone.
Trade safe, Joe.
AUD USD - FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS2023-2024 Exchange Rate Forecasts From MUFG
Growth Concerns hamper Commodity Currencies
MUFG notes important uncertainty over the outlook for Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) policy.
On balance it expects that the RBA will not hike rates again.
As far as the currency is concerned, it adds; “We continue to see AUD/USD moving higher but assume underperformance relative to core G10 as growth globally and in Australia remains challenging.”
MUFG notes that the government and Reserve Bank of New Zealand have revised their GDP forecasts and no longer expect a recession, but is doubtful whether the upgrade is justified.
It adds; “These conditions imply the government and the RBNZ’s GDP forecasts could be unrealistic. NZD/USD gains as the dollar weakens could be curtailed as aggressive monetary tightening hits growth.”
MUFG expects that weaker risk conditions will hamper the Canadian dollar with forecasts of USD/CAD declines based on US weakness rather than Canadian currency gains.
Further Upside for the AUDUSDThe RBA surprised markets by hiking rates 25bps, taking interest rates in Australia to 4.1%.
This decision saw the AUDUSD rise steadily from the 0.66 price level up toward the 0.67 resistance level.
As the price maintains above the bullish ichimoku cloud and the 200MA signals further upside potential, look for the AUDUSD to break above the 0.67 resistance level to trade up toward the next resistance and round number level of 0.68.
This move higher would need to be supported by further weakness in the DXY (checkout DXY analysis in the link)
AUDUSD Potential Forecast | 6th June 2023 Fundamental Backdrop
RBA hike rates by 0.25bps today, resulting in strong bullish momentum.
RBA hiking rates highlights the stubborn level of inflation that AUD faces.
Technical Confluences
Near term resistance level at 0.67066 where price can potentially react to.
0.67066 will serve as a point of target.
Idea
Will wait for retracement before entering onto longs.
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