A lower correction expected from AUDUSD.AUDUSD - 24h expiry
Previous resistance level of 0.6705 broken.
Short term bias has turned positive.
We are trading at overbought extremes.
A lower correction is expected.
We therefore, prefer to fade into the dip with a tight stop in anticipation of a move back higher.
We look to Buy at 0.6625 (stop at 0.6590)
Our profit targets will be 0.6715 and 0.6730
Resistance: 0.6810 / 0.6890 / 0.7010
Support: 0.6620 / 0.6460 / 0.6380
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
Aud-usd
AUDUSD to turnaround from current support?AUDUSD - 24h expiry
We are trading at oversold extremes.
Posted a Bullish Hammer Bottom on the 1 hour chart.
This is positive for short term sentiment and we look to set longs at good risk/reward levels for a further correction higher.
Although the anticipated move higher is corrective, it does offer ample risk/reward today.
Further upside is expected although we prefer to buy into dips close to the 0.6650 level.
We look to Buy at 0.6650 (stop at 0.6620)
Our profit targets will be 0.6725 and 0.6750
Resistance: 0.6725 / 0.6810 / 0.6890
Support: 0.6620 / 0.6460 / 0.6380
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
AUDUSD: This bounce is a good short opportunity.AUDUSD rebounded late last week and reached again the 1D MA50 on neutral 1D technicals (RSI = 46.104, MACD = -0.001, ADX = 23.912). This is the first rebound after the June 16th High, which was on an overbought 1D RSI and formed a Lower High inside the wide Channel Down pattern. The neutral technicals indicate that this is potentially the ideal short entry on an extended sell sequence that targets at least the bottom of the Channel Down.
We are going short on the next green 1D candle and our target will be much lower, the 2.0 Fibonacci level (TP = 0.63350). Buy again near the RSI oversold line.
Prior idea:
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AUDUSD Potential DownsidesHey Traders, in tomorrow's trading session we are monitoring AUDUSD for a selling opportunity around 0.66800 zone, AUDUSD is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 0.66800 resistance area.
I would also keep an eye on RBA rate decision this week, if it's dovish enough that should be a decent confirmation.
Trade safe, Joe.
🔥 NEW: AUDUSD 🔥 POSITION TRADE 🔥SLO2 @ 0.7933 ⏳
SLO1 @ 0.7715 ⏳
TP3 @ 0.76 (closing ALL Buy Orders)
TP2 @ 0.7185 (shaving 25%)
TP1 @ 0.6925 (shaving 25%)
BLO1 @ 0.6645 📈
BLO2 @ 0.6550 ⏳
UNDERSTANDING POSITION TRADING
A position trade is a trading strategy where a trader holds a position for an extended period, usually months or years. Position traders are typically looking to profit from long-term market trends rather than short-term price movements.
Position traders typically have a longer investment horizon than other traders, such as day traders or swing traders. They are less concerned with short-term price movements and more focused on the long-term trend. This strategy means they are willing to tolerate more risk in their trading, as they are confident that their positions will eventually be profitable.
AUDUSD to stall at previous support?AUDUSD - 24h expiry
A Doji style candle has been posted from the base.
Buying pressure from 0.6667 resulted in prices rejecting the dip.
Price action looks to be forming a bottom.
Short term bias has turned negative.
We therefore, prefer to fade into the rally with a tight stop in anticipation of a move back lower.
We look to Sell at 0.6750 (stop at 0.6782)
Our profit targets will be 0.6671 and 0.6651
Resistance: 0.6810 / 0.6890 / 0.7010
Support: 0.6620 / 0.6460 / 0.6380
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
AUDUSD, H4 | Reversal off multi-swing high resistancePrice seems to be approaching a major resistance at 0.6811 which has seen multiple reversals in the past. A reversal from here could see prices being pushed down to 0.6730 which is a 23.6% Fiboancci retracement and our first support.
What is worth taking note is that NZDUSD is also approaching a major resistance and could see a reversal soon too. Our bearish view on AUDUSD, being positively correlated with NZDUSD, is in line with this drop.
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AUDUSD to turnaround at resistance?AUDUSD - 24h expiry
Although the bulls are in control, the stalling positive momentum indicates a turnaround is possible.
We are trading at overbought extremes.
This is negative for short term sentiment and we look to set shorts at good risk/reward levels for a further correction lower.
The hourly chart technicals suggests further upside before the downtrend returns.
We therefore, prefer to fade into the rally with a tight stop in anticipation of a move back lower.
We look to Sell at 0.6800 (stop at 0.6830)
Our profit targets will be 0.6720 and 0.6700
Resistance: 0.6810 / 0.6890 / 0.7010
Support: 0.6725 / 0.6620 / 0.6460
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
AUDUSD Potential DownsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring AUDUSD for a selling opportunity around 0.67800 zone, AUDUSD is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the major trend at 0.67800 support and resistance zone.
Trade safe, Joe.
AUD USD - FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS2023-2024 Exchange Rate Forecasts From MUFG
Growth Concerns hamper Commodity Currencies
MUFG notes important uncertainty over the outlook for Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) policy.
On balance it expects that the RBA will not hike rates again.
As far as the currency is concerned, it adds; “We continue to see AUD/USD moving higher but assume underperformance relative to core G10 as growth globally and in Australia remains challenging.”
MUFG notes that the government and Reserve Bank of New Zealand have revised their GDP forecasts and no longer expect a recession, but is doubtful whether the upgrade is justified.
It adds; “These conditions imply the government and the RBNZ’s GDP forecasts could be unrealistic. NZD/USD gains as the dollar weakens could be curtailed as aggressive monetary tightening hits growth.”
MUFG expects that weaker risk conditions will hamper the Canadian dollar with forecasts of USD/CAD declines based on US weakness rather than Canadian currency gains.
Further Upside for the AUDUSDThe RBA surprised markets by hiking rates 25bps, taking interest rates in Australia to 4.1%.
This decision saw the AUDUSD rise steadily from the 0.66 price level up toward the 0.67 resistance level.
As the price maintains above the bullish ichimoku cloud and the 200MA signals further upside potential, look for the AUDUSD to break above the 0.67 resistance level to trade up toward the next resistance and round number level of 0.68.
This move higher would need to be supported by further weakness in the DXY (checkout DXY analysis in the link)
AUDUSD Potential Forecast | 6th June 2023 Fundamental Backdrop
RBA hike rates by 0.25bps today, resulting in strong bullish momentum.
RBA hiking rates highlights the stubborn level of inflation that AUD faces.
Technical Confluences
Near term resistance level at 0.67066 where price can potentially react to.
0.67066 will serve as a point of target.
Idea
Will wait for retracement before entering onto longs.
NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE DISCLAIMER
The trading related ideas posted by OlympusLabs are for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. Trading in financial markets involves a high degree of risk, and individuals should carefully consider their investment objectives, financial situation, and risk tolerance before making any trading decisions based on our ideas.
We are not a licensed financial advisor or professional, and the information we are providing is based on our personal experience and research. We make no guarantees or promises regarding the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information provided, and users should do their own research and analysis before making any trades.
Users should be aware that trading involves significant risk, and there is no guarantee of profit. Any trading strategy may result in losses, and individuals should be prepared to accept those risks.
OlympusLabs and its affiliates are not responsible for any losses or damages that may result from the use of our trading related ideas or the information provided on our platform. Users should seek the advice of a licensed financial advisor or professional if they have any doubts or concerns about their investment strategies.
AUDUSD Potential DownsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring AUDUSD for a selling opportunity around 0.66500 zone, AUDUSD was trading in an uptrend and successfully managed to break it out, currently we are waiting for a potential retrace of the trend towards more lows.
Trade safe, Joe.
AUDUSD Weekly Forecast CashRate | 4th June 2023Fundamental Backdrop
RBA Gov Lowe mentioned "Very Much in Data-Dependent Mode on Interest Rates", "Monetary Policy in Restrictive Territory"
This means that the RBA is closely monitoring economic data and could potentially continue increasing interest rates
CPI y/y also increased from 6.3% to 6.8%, this shows inflation is still on a strong rise which can lead to an increase in interest rates.
Cash Rate on Tuesday expected to maintain at 3.85%
Technical Confluences
Near-term resistance level at 0.66196
Next resistance at 0.67860
Near-term support level at 0.65220
Idea
If the RBA chooses to maintain its cash rate at 3.85% on Tuesday, we could see the AUD drop towards the near-term support at 0.65220.
However, if the unexpected occurs and the RBA chooses to increase its interest rates, we could see the price rise above the near-term resistance level at 0.66196, before heading towards the next resistance at 0.67860.
NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE DISCLAIMER
The trading related ideas posted by OlympusLabs are for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. Trading in financial markets involves a high degree of risk, and individuals should carefully consider their investment objectives, financial situation, and risk tolerance before making any trading decisions based on our ideas.
We are not a licensed financial advisor or professional, and the information we are providing is based on our personal experience and research. We make no guarantees or promises regarding the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information provided, and users should do their own research and analysis before making any trades.
Users should be aware that trading involves significant risk, and there is no guarantee of profit. Any trading strategy may result in losses, and individuals should be prepared to accept those risks.
OlympusLabs and its affiliates are not responsible for any losses or damages that may result from the use of our trading related ideas or the information provided on our platform. Users should seek the advice of a licensed financial advisor or professional if they have any doubts or concerns about their investment strategies.
Potential turning point for Audusd
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AUDUSD Potential DownsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring AUDUSD for a selling opportunity around 0.67000 zone, AUDUSD is trading in a downtrend and currently sees to be in a correction phase in which it is approaching the major trend at 0.67000 support and resistance zone.
Trade safe, Joe.
AUDUSD New bullish leg started inside the Channel DownAUDUSD made today the first strong green (1d) candle in a long time as it touched and rebounded at the bottom of the Channel Down.
This is the new bullish leg that should aim to fill the new Lower High.
Trading Plan:
1. Buy on the current market price.
Targets:
1. 0.67000 (3.70% rise from the bottom as the previous bullish leg).
Tips:
1. The RSI (1d) crossed above its MA line, same with March 13th. That was a day after the bottom of the Channel Down at the time and the start of the new bullish leg.
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Notes:
Past trading plan:
AUDUSD Bear FlagHey Traders. in today's trading session we are monitoring AUDUSD for a selling opportunity around 0.65 zone, in above chart we have a breakout of AUDUSD bear flag pattern, currently we are waiting for a correction to see a potential retrace of the flag towards more lows.
Trade safe, Joe.