AUDUSD to find support at previous resistance?AUDUSD - 24h expiry
There is no sign that this bullish momentum is faltering but the pair has stalled close to a previous swing high of 0.6806.
We are trading at overbought extremes. A lower correction is expected.
Short term bias is bullish.
We therefore, prefer to fade into the dip with a tight stop in anticipation of a move back higher.
We look to Buy at 0.6720 (stop at 0.6690)
Our profit targets will be 0.6795 and 0.6815
Resistance: 0.6925 / 0.7160 / 0.7400
Support: 0.6665 / 0.6550 / 0.6380
Aud-usd
AUDUSD Potential DownsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring AUDUSD for a selling opportunity around 0.67700 zone, AUDUSD is trading in a downtrend in currently seems to be in a correction phase in which it is approaching the major trend at 0.67700 zone. We would also keep an eye on this week CPI to confirm the trade.
Trade safe, Joe.
AUDUSD Potential Long Forecast | 8th May 2023Fundamental Backdrop
1. Last week the AUD increased its Cash Rate from 3.60% to 3.85%.
2. It signals to the market that the economy is performing well and that inflation is likely to rise.
3. This can increase demand for Australian assets, such as bonds and equities, which in turn can lead to an increase in demand for the Australian dollar.
Technical Confluences
1. Near-term resistance at 0.67850
2. Next resistance at 0.68500
Idea
With the demand for AUD in place and the DXY set to further weaken, we could see price head towards the resistance at 0.67850. A break above 0.68100, could see price head towards the next resistance at 0.68500.
NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE DISCLAIMER
The trading related ideas posted by OlympusLabs are for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. Trading in financial markets involves a high degree of risk, and individuals should carefully consider their investment objectives, financial situation, and risk tolerance before making any trading decisions based on our ideas.
We are not a licensed financial advisor or professional, and the information we are providing is based on our personal experience and research. We make no guarantees or promises regarding the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information provided, and users should do their own research and analysis before making any trades.
Users should be aware that trading involves significant risk, and there is no guarantee of profit. Any trading strategy may result in losses, and individuals should be prepared to accept those risks.
OlympusLabs and its affiliates are not responsible for any losses or damages that may result from the use of our trading related ideas or the information provided on our platform. Users should seek the advice of a licensed financial advisor or professional if they have any doubts or concerns about their investment strategies.
AUDUSD Potential DownsidesHey Traders, in tomorrow's trading session we are monitoring AUDUSD for a selling opportunity around 0.67500 zone, AUDUSD is trading in a downtrend and currently seems to be in a correction phase in which it is approaching the major trend at 0.67500 support and resistance zone.
Trade safe, Joe.
AUDUSD to find resistance at previous swing highs?AUDUSD - 24h expiry
We are trading at overbought extremes.
Indecisive price action has resulted in sideways congestion on the intraday chart.
This is negative for short term sentiment and we look to set shorts at good risk/reward levels for a further correction lower.
Previous resistance located at 0.6793.
The hourly chart technicals suggests further upside before the downtrend returns.
We therefore, prefer to fade into the rally with a tight stop in anticipation of a move back lower.
We look to Sell at 0.6786 (stop at 0.6816)
Our profit targets will be 0.6716 and 0.6706
Resistance: 0.6925 / 0.7160 / 0.7400
Support: 0.6665 / 0.6550 / 0.6380
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
AUDUSD Potential DownsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring AUDUSD for a selling opportunity around 0.669 zone, AUDUSD is trading in a downtrend and currently seems to be in a correction phase in which it is approaching the major trend at 0.669 support and resistance zone.
Trade safe, Joe.
AUDUSD Approaching an important supply zone into the coming FOMCHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring AUDUSD for a selling opportunity around 0.67 zone, AUDUSD is trading in a downtrend and currently seems to be in a correction phase in which it is approaching the major trend at 0.67 support and resistance zone. We just had a 25 bps today from the RBA which should push the fed to follow up and make further rate hikes too. Several feds have also mentioned the importance of another rate hike.
Trade safe, Joe.
Corrective Movement for AUDUSDThe AUDUSD pair has reached a support level, with a divergence appearing on momentum indicators. This could lead to a corrective movement, with a retest of the channel it escaped from, the 100 and 200 moving averages for the 4-hour timeframe, and the Fibonacci level of 38.20% around 0.66630. The price is then expected to drop towards 0.6550.
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AUDUSD Bear FlagHey Traders, in tomorrow's trading session we are monitoring AUDUSD for a selling opportunity around 0.665 zone, AUDUSD have formed a bear flag pattern and in the chart above the breakout of the flag is already done, so for now on we will be watching a potential retrace of the breakout from 0.66500 support and resistance zone.
Trade safe, Joe.
AUDUSD Potential DownsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring AUDUSD for a selling opportunity around 0.666 zone, AUDUSD was trading in an uptrend and successfully managed to break it out, currently AUDUSD seems to be in a correction phase in which it is approaching the major trend at 0.666 support and resistance zone. Fundamentally the market is pricing another rate hike early May as fed still see inflation as a concern which should trigger more USD bulls.
Trade safe, Joe.
AUDUSD Potential BreakoutHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring AUDUSD for a selling opportunity around 0.665 zone, AUDUSD was trading in an uptrend and seems to be attempting to break it out after a bunch of fed hawkish comments about the coming monetary policy on early May and another potential rate hike. Technically if we get dips below 0.665 we will monitoring a potential retrace of the trend towards more lows.
Trade safe, Joe.
To catch a falling knife? AUDUSD - 24h expiry -
Previous support level of 0.6619 broken.
We are trading at oversold extremes.
A higher correction is expected.
Previous support located at 0.6564. The hourly chart technicals suggests further downside before the uptrend returns.
Preferred trade is to buy on dips.
Although the anticipated move higher is corrective, it does offer ample risk/reward today.
We look to Buy at 0.6575 (stop at 0.6540)
Our profit targets will be 0.6665 and 0.6680
Resistance: 0.6665 / 0.6780 / 0.6925
Support: 0.6550 / 0.6380 / 0.6170
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
🔥 NEW AUDUSD ✨ COUNTER-TREND TRADE 🔥SLO @ 0.6700 ⏳
SSO @ 0.6575 ⏳
TP1 @ 0.6460 (shaving 25%)
TP2 @ 0.6350 (closing all sell positions)
BLO @ 0.6325 ⏳
ADDITIONAL INFO:
00:00 Shout Out to @kristonperry
00:42 Supply Zone / Sell Limit Order
01:00 Support / Sell Stop Order
01:20 Position Sizing @ ~2-3%
01:50 Shaving 25% @ each TP
02:54 Demand Zone 2, preferred
04:40 Boost, Follow, Comment, Join
AUDUSD: Potential rebound before fallingAUDUSD has been trading below its 100-day and 200-day moving averages, indicating bearish pressure. However, it has recently broken out of bearish flag pattern. But its currently facing a strong support level as seen on the daily chart:
Upon analyzing the 4-hour chart, we can predict a potential rebound from the current support level to retest the previous resistance level. This level coincides with the 100 and 200 moving averages on the 4-hour chart and the 38.20% Fibonacci level. The analysis would be invalidated if the AUD rises above 0.67100.
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AUDUSD: Hourly chart selling pressureOn the long-term, the AUDUSD pair is moving sideways, meaning there is no trend to follow. However, on the short-term (hourly and 4-hour frames), traders can benefit from these sideways movements by identifying local trends and support and resistance levels.
Looking at the hourly frame, we can see that the price is trading below the 100 and 200 daily moving averages as well as the 100 and 200 moving averages for the hourly frame. This may confirm that trading is under selling pressure.
Last week, we expected the price to break the local uptrend, which would increase selling pressure on the price. Currently, the price is approaching a support line at 0.6693, and we are waiting for the price to correct to the broken trend edge and the moving averages (without surpassing them). This would signal a sell opportunity until at least 0.6659. However, it's worth noting that the situation remains unstable due to the sideways movement, and the price could reverse at any moment.
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AUD USD - FUNDAMENTAL DRIVERSThe Pound and Euro could reach fresh multi-month highs against the U.S. Dollar this spring, although a lull in price action over the northern hemisphere's summer months would then be expected.
This is according to the analysis of W. Brad Bechtel, Global Head of FX at Jefferies LLC, which also warns of the potential for a more notable turn lower in the Dollar by year-end.
Bechtel has been watching the Dollar index - a measure of overall USD performance against a basket of major currencies - and finds the rise witnessed over recent days can continue, even if it is somewhat unconvincing.
"I am still of the view that we are likely to see some weakness in the USD in the medium term, but in the very short term DXY might get pulled just a bit higher first," says W. Brad Bechtel, Global Head of FX at Jefferies LLC.
Bechtel is watching U.S. interest rate markets as an explainer of the Dollar's performance as inflation narratives become "a thing again" .
"DXY made a double bottom around 100.80 for now but has not really participated in the rally as U.S. rates grind higher," says Bechtel.
U.S. two-year bond yields have been rising since the week of March 20, a development that would typically be expected to offer the U.S. Dollar support.
But, "in percentage retracement terms the USD is nowhere close to the 50% seen in the 2yr which tells me that there is some structural weakness in the USD out there still" .
"If this move in U.S. yields fizzles and starts to reverse lower again, then the USD will take out 100.80 pretty quick and EUR/USD will rise through 1.1100," predicts Bechtel.
The Dollar is expected to be the prime driver of where the Pound to Dollar exchange rate and other pairs trade over the coming weeks.
"In the end, EUR/USD will trade to 1.1250, GBP/USD 1.2700, AUD/USD through 0.7000, maybe up to 0.7200 eventually," says the Jefferies analyst.
The Dollar index is meanwhile expected to trade through 100.00 floor, but Jefferies' FX strategy team is not looking for "a huge break lower" .
"A move through 100.00 and then some range-bound activity as we push through the Summer," says Bechtel.
This suggests another leg higher in GBP/USD, EUR/USD, AUD/USD et al. is possible during spring, ahead of rangebound trade during the summer months (through to end-August).
"By end of Summer, we'll have a better view on where things stand with the US economy. Will the US economy roll over hard or will the Fed pull the rabbit out of its hat and have a soft landing," says Bechtel.
If the Dollar slides sharply into year-end and into next year "then we could enter a bigger down cycle in the USD, but I am reticent to make that call just yet," says Bechtel.
AUDUSD Potential Downsides after a bunch of hawkish commentsHey Traders, AUDUSD was trading on an uptrend but after a bunch of hawkish fed comments USD seems to gain back it strength. including fed Waller, Williams, and Bowns. Technically we will be watching a potential retrace of the trend from 0.67100 Support and resistance zone.
Trade safe, Joe.
AUDUSD Head & Shoulders but don't sell until the Support breaksThe AUDUSD pair is forming a Head and Shoulders (H&S) pattern on the 1D time-frame, having also completed a Death Cross (1D MA50 crossing below the 1D MA200) three days ago. This is a technically bearish pattern. We will stay bullish however, targeting 0.71500 until Support 1 (0.65665) breaks. In that case we will target 0.64000.
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AUDUSD: This Support is the pivot level we'll tradeAUDUSD is on neutral 1D technicals (RSI = 51.267, MACD = -0.001, ADX = 34.243) as it has been basically trading sideways for the past 30 days. The pattern looks a lot like the November/December 2022 Channel Up, which broke out to the R1. As long as the S1 holds, we will be buyers (TP = 0.71250). If the S1 breaks, we will take the loss and sell, targeting the S2 (TP = 0.62250).
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AUDUSD Potential DownsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring AUDUSD for a selling opportunity around 0.68100 zone, AUDUSD was trading in upwards but seems like there was a quick change of trend after some hawkish comments from Fed Waller about the US monetary policy which have triggered USD strength. Currently AUDUSD is approaching an important Supply zone of 0.68, when Good fundamentals meets with the technicals price action should be on Radar.
Trade safe, Joe.
AUDUSD Weekly Forecast| 17th April 2023Fundamental Backdrop
1. Last week, the Employment Change was better than expected which shows that consumer spending have improved.
2. The Unemployment Rate maintained at 3.5% which shows the economic health is stabilizing.
3. These news events caused the AUD to rise towards 0.68 key resistance level before dropping back down to 0.67 by the end of the week due to the significant bullish FOMC news event which caused the DXY to strengthen.
4. This week we have the NZD CPI q/q which is expected to improved. NZD news events closely affects the AUD. This shows that inflation is rising and could lead the central bank to raise interest rates. We could see the AUD retest the 0.68 resistance level.
Technical Confluences
1. Near-term support at 0.66740
2. Resistance at 0.67850
Idea
The sentiments for AUD this week is relatively bullish. We could see price retest the near-term support at 0.66740, before heading towards the resistance at 0.67850
NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE DISCLAIMER
The trading related ideas posted by OlympusLabs are for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. Trading in financial markets involves a high degree of risk, and individuals should carefully consider their investment objectives, financial situation, and risk tolerance before making any trading decisions based on our ideas.
We are not a licensed financial advisor or professional, and the information we are providing is based on our personal experience and research. We make no guarantees or promises regarding the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information provided, and users should do their own research and analysis before making any trades.
Users should be aware that trading involves significant risk, and there is no guarantee of profit. Any trading strategy may result in losses, and individuals should be prepared to accept those risks.
OlympusLabs and its affiliates are not responsible for any losses or damages that may result from the use of our trading related ideas or the information provided on our platform. Users should seek the advice of a licensed financial advisor or professional if they have any doubts or concerns about their investment strategies.
AUDUSD Potential UpsidesHey Traders, in the coming week we are monitoring AUDUSD for buying opportunity around 0.66300 zone, AUDUSD is trading in an uptrend and now seems to be in a correction phase in which it is approaching the major trend around 0.66300 Support and resistance zone. Once bulls are confirmed i would consider the ascending channel resistance as a target.
Trade safe, Joe.