AUDUSD Outlook 6th March 2023The AUDUSD traded with significantly choppy price action toward the end of last week. The price generally fluctuated along the 0.6750 price level before trading slightly higher, toward the resistance level of 0.6780, due to the weakness of the DXY.
Although the AUDUSD has been trapped within the price range of 0.67 and 0.6780 in the short term, the current DXY weakness could see the AUDUSD trade slightly higher. However, look toward how the price action develops for a potential setup, with the RBA interest rate decision due tomorrow.
Based on previous backtesting, the AUDUSD tends to trade lower following the RBA interest rate decision.
Therefore, if by the news release tomorrow, the AUDUSD continues to trade below the 0.6780 resistance level, this could be a good setup for a retest of the 0.67 price level again.
Aud-usd
A bullish setup on AUDUSDHey Traders,
here is my simple Buy setup on AUDUSD.
The pair just successfully completed the inverted Head and Shoulder on the Daily TF, and now that signal a bullish run.
On 4H the price retested the demand zone second time which could be argue to be a level that buyer might start throwing some buy orders in, but that is not enough.
The market just made a flat bottom (liquidity mark up) and probably going to further the bearish run to retest the Daily OB as indicated below.
Or
You can look for a long position if the price break above the Multiple level of market structure then use the current resistance are as support after breaking that level.
Buyers can look to buy the next retest and target the 0.7200 area.
AUDUSD Potential UpsidesHey Traders, as the stock market shows a strong bullish momentum i would like to consider some potential upsides on AUDUSD as a proxy to the positive correlation between the two.
Technically we notice a breakout of the downtrend in 2h time frame so i will consider a potential retrace.
keep an eye on DXY to confirm the position.
for any question don't hesitate on the comment section.
Trade safe, Joe.
AUDUSD, H1 | Bearish reversal from key resistanceWe're seeing price approaching a strong overlap resistance at 0.6781 which also lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement. Price could potentially reverse from here pushing it all the way down to the recent swing low at 0.6698.
However, if prices were to break this resistance level, the next big resistance for us to keep an eye on is 0.6810 which is the 50% Fibonacci retracement level along with the pullback resistance.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary, and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interest arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed on the website.
AUDUSD Outlook 3rd March 2023The AUDUSD is currently trading along the 0.6740 price level with no clear directional bias. While the AUDUSD traded lower overnight, the price rebounded from the 0.67 price level and support area.
As the price sits between the support and resistance level, and with the RBA interest rate decision due on Tuesday next week, it is likely that the AUDUSD could continue to consolidate within this range.
Audusd Buy Short termHi All,
For this week Trading we are looking at going long on AUDUSD using the D1 and H4 Timeframe, we can see double bottom on D1, and HL formation to retest the previous HH.
DXY we anticipate a bearish movement this week. Link below
Entry, Sl and TP marked.
Follow, Like and comment.
AUDUSD | LOOKING LIKE A GOOD SELLHey Traders!
The market is showing a strong bearish trend on the higher time frames, with price action surpassing the weekly MA 20. The daily charts are also indicating a downward trend, with price trending below all moving averages and headed towards breaking below MA 100. This indicates a strong possibility of a further drop, particularly given the positive initial jobless claims data for the US. We might experience some rejection of the support but the overall setup is looking favourable for further downward momentum
AUDUSD Potential Forecast | 2nd March 2023Fundamental Backdrop
1. AUD CPI decreased from previous 8.4% to 7.4%, this shows that inflation is decreasing which could lead the Reserve Bank of Australia to reduce interest rates, weakening the AUD.
2. AUD's GDP q/q decreased from 0.7% to 0.5% which shows that the economic activity and economy health are decreasing.
Technical Confluences
1. The overall bias for AUDUSD on the H4 chart is bearish .
2. Price is on a bearish trend , forming lower lows and lower highs.
3. Price could potentially retrace to the H4 resistance level at 0.678.
4. Anticipating price to retest the weekly support level at 0.662.
5. Price has already broken multiple structures to the downside.
6. Price is resting below the ichimoku cloud , signifying bearish intent.
Idea
Price has already retested the H1 resistance at 0.67800. Looking for shorts towards the 0.66400 support area.
NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE DISCLAIMER
The trading related ideas posted by OlympusLabs are for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. Trading in financial markets involves a high degree of risk, and individuals should carefully consider their investment objectives, financial situation, and risk tolerance before making any trading decisions based on our ideas.
We are not a licensed financial advisor or professional, and the information we are providing is based on our personal experience and research. We make no guarantees or promises regarding the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information provided, and users should do their own research and analysis before making any trades.
Users should be aware that trading involves significant risk, and there is no guarantee of profit. Any trading strategy may result in losses, and individuals should be prepared to accept those risks.
OlympusLabs and its affiliates are not responsible for any losses or damages that may result from the use of our trading related ideas or the information provided on our platform. Users should seek the advice of a licensed financial advisor or professional if they have any doubts or concerns about their investment strategies.
AUDUSD:Weak USD performance and potential upsidesHey traders, market is pricing a lot of hawkishness from fed due to the recent data.. but the market choose to rebalance and dollar remains indecisive prior to CPI data.. so from now on since the rate hikes are priced in i think we may get good opportunities selling the dollar against commodities... also a weak dollar could give us good opportunities to be bullish on stocks, cryptos along with AUD and NZD.
Remember that this is not a financial advice and we are speaking just theories.
technically we noticed a decent breakout in AUDUSD so if it retraces from 0.675 zone that should be a good push for bulls.
Trade safe, Joe.
AUDUSDHi
AUDUSD has been examined in different dimensions:
1- Strong supply and demand levels that I identify with my own indicator and system.
2- The structure of recently formed waves
3- Current market momentum
4- The structure of classical and price patterns
In this idea, I identified the direction of the market in different ways and in the second step, I analyzed the potential of continuation or reversal. Usually, paying attention to the trend and strength of the trend can greatly increase the accuracy of the analysis.
In general, I tried to describe the continuation of the movement in the simplest possible way in the diagram.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This is a personal opinion and you are responsible for any trading decisions.
AUDUSD Potential Forecast | 1st March 2023Fundamental Backdrop
1. USD more hawkish than AUD, with a potentially higher terminal rate.
2. US economy continues to be very resilient, taking the USD by strength.
Technical Confluences
1. The overall bias for AUDUSD on the H4 chart is bearish.
2. Price is on a bearish trend, forming lower lows and lower highs.
3. Price could potentially retrace to the H4 resistance level at 0.678.
4. Anticipating price to retest the weekly support level at 0.662.
5. Price has already broken multiple structures to the downside.
6. Price is resting below the ichimoku cloud, signifying bearish intent.
Idea
I will be looking for price to continue its bearish trend and for price to tap into the weekly support level at 0.662 before price could potentially head bullish.
NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE DISCLAIMER
The trading related ideas posted by OlympusLabs are for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. Trading in financial markets involves a high degree of risk, and individuals should carefully consider their investment objectives, financial situation, and risk tolerance before making any trading decisions based on our ideas.
We are not a licensed financial advisor or professional, and the information we are providing is based on our personal experience and research. We make no guarantees or promises regarding the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information provided, and users should do their own research and analysis before making any trades.
Users should be aware that trading involves significant risk, and there is no guarantee of profit. Any trading strategy may result in losses, and individuals should be prepared to accept those risks.
OlympusLabs and its affiliates are not responsible for any losses or damages that may result from the use of our trading related ideas or the information provided on our platform. Users should seek the advice of a licensed financial advisor or professional if they have any doubts or concerns about their investment strategies.
AUDUSD Outlook 1st March 2023Overnight, the AUDUSD fluctuated between the 0.67 and 0.6760 price range as the DXY retraced lower but recovered in strength toward the end of the trading session.
Early this morning, the AUD CPI was released at 7.4% (Forecast: 8.1% Previous: 8.4%) which was significantly lower than expected. This signals that the ongoing interest rate hikes from the RBA are taking effect in lowering inflation in Australia.
However, a cost of the significant rate increases is the slowdown in the economy as the Australian GDP slid to 0.5% (Forecast: 0.8% Previous: 0.7%).
The AUDUSD traded lower to test the 0.67 support level but rebound strongly to the upside, testing the bearish trendline.
If the price breaks above the trendline, the AUDUSD could see further moves higher toward the near-term resistance area of 0.6780 before continuing with the downtrend, retesting the 0.67 round number support level and breaking below that. Beyond 0.67, the next key support level is 0.6630.
AUD/USD: The price continues to fall as predicted. SHORTAs described in our last idea, AUD/USD, after the breakout of the dynamic trendline and the SELL signal appearing in our chart, is falling with a new direction of 0.65500 as the target. More downside in the Aussie asset looks favored as investors are channeling their funds into the US Dollar Index (DXY).
AUDUSD Potential Drop to Previous overlap supportLooking at the H4 chart, my overall bias for AUDUSD is bearish as the current price is below the Ichimoku Cloud. Looking for a pullback sell entry at 0.68324 where the recent overlap resistance is. We are looking to take profit at 0.66505 where the overlap support and 50% Fibonacci line are, Stop loss will be placed at 0.69233 where the recent overlap swing high is.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
AUDUSD - Good ol' Head & Shoulder in the making AUDUSD has been hit pretty strong by the news that popped up an hour ago, USD getting more and more strengh as it showed more inflation than expected.
Here we have a nice Head & Shoulder in the making, and price is grinding the neck line as I'm writing,
I'm already in position, as I've entered a little bit before the news, my trade is at break even now so, it's a free ride
If price happens to break the neck line, well then, we gonna see some blood on the chart!
In addition of the H&S we have what could be an ABCD push in process as well. And finally, as you can see on the chart, we first broke the ascending trendline, then price made a flag right around the trendline, which it used to retest the trendline, then, price broke the flag, and retested it so, I'm no expert but, that's a lot of evidences going in favor of a short, I wouldn't be surprised if the neck line was broke, to see price fall to the target area at 0.675
Cheers guys and safe trading!!!
AUDUSD low risk for shortHi guys!"
AUDUSD has been examined in different dimensions:
1- Strong supply and demand levels that I identify with my own indicator and system.
2- The structure of recently formed waves
3- Current market momentum
4- The structure of classical and price patterns
In this idea, I identified the direction of the market in different ways and in the second step, I analyzed the potential of continuation or reversal. Usually, paying attention to the trend and strength of the trend can greatly increase the accuracy of the analysis.
In general, I tried to describe the continuation of the movement in the simplest possible way in the diagram.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This is a personal opinion and you are responsible for any trading decisions.
j.Hejazi | AUDUSD Wedge PatternThe Australian dollar is moving in a descending wedge pattern. Currently, the price is heading towards a corrective phase to test the upper edge of the wedge, which is also a convergence of an ascending annual trendline and a 100-period moving average on the 4-hour timeframe, at a level of 0.69400. I anticipate a price reversal from this level to continue its trajectory inside the pattern, with the next potential target being 0.6800.
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
Let me know your thoughts in the comments, and show your support by liking the idea.
Please follow if you're interested in more ideas like this.
Your support is greatly appreciated!
AUDUSD bias is still for lower levels.AUDUSD - Intraday - We look to Sell at 0.6885 (stop at 0.6925)
Buying pressure from 0.6794 resulted in prices rejecting the dip.
We are trading at oversold extremes.
A higher correction is expected.
The bias is still for lower levels and we look for any gains to be limited.
We therefore, prefer to fade into the rally with a tight stop in anticipation of a move back lower.
Our profit targets will be 0.6785 and 0.6765
Resistance: 0.6925 / 0.7160 / 0.7400
Support: 0.6780 / 0.6665 / 0.6550
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
AUDUSD Potential for Bearish Drop | 23rd February 2023Looking at the H4 chart, my overall bias for AUDUSD is bearish due to the current price being below the Ichimoku cloud , indicating a bearish market.
Looking for a sell stop entry at 0.68118, to ride the bearish momentum. Stop loss will be at 0.68963, where the 38.2% Fibonacci line and overlap resistance is. Take profit will be at 0.66862, where the overlap support is.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary, and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interest arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed on the website.
AUDUSD Potential for Bearish Drop to Overlap Support Looking at the H4 chart, my overall AUDUSD is bearish, as the current price is above the Ichimoku Cloud. Looking for a pullback sell entry at 0.69231 where the overlap resistance is, take profit at 0.66746 where the overlap support is, and stop loss at 0.70428 which is the recent swing high.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.