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Aud-usd

Heading into 38.2% Fibonacci resistance?AUD/USD is rising towards a resistance level which is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit. Entry: 0.6649 Why we like it: There is an overlap resistance level which lines up wit the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss: 0.6711 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level. Take profit: 0.6559 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level which lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Short
by VantageMarkets
Falling towards 50% Fibonacci support?AUD/USD is falling towards a support level which is a pullback support that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit. Entry: 0.6644 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level which aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss: 0.6594 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level which lines up with the 88% Fibonacci retracement. Take profit: 0.6711 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Long
by VantageMarkets
2
AUD/USDHello Agn, I wanted to give you an update on my previous analysis of this pair. Yesterday, we entered into a downtrend as it moved in our favor. Now, it's at the bottom of the triangle and facing a dynamic resistance level. The price has moved about two-thirds of the pattern, and it's about time to start moving in. Make sure to stay focused and only enter with confirmation. Always put a stop-loss in place because no one in this market can act as a god and forecast with 100% liability. It took me years to understand this, and I always try to teach it to my students. Remember, rock hard and thank me later.
Short
by Cryptosours
AUDUSD: Technical Impact of Core Inflation DataThe release of core inflation rate data in the United States can impact the AUD/USD exchange rate, especially on a weekly timeframe, due to its influence on market sentiment and monetary policy expectations. Firstly, let's break down the core inflation rate. Core inflation measures the change in the price of goods and services, excluding volatile items like food and energy. It's a crucial indicator for central banks, like the Federal Reserve in the U.S., as it provides insight into the underlying inflationary pressures in the economy. When the core inflation rate in the U.S. rises, it typically signals increasing demand for goods and services, which can lead to expectations of tighter monetary policy. Central banks may respond to rising inflation by raising interest rates to cool down the economy and prevent overheating. Higher interest rates make the U.S. dollar more attractive to investors, leading to an increase in its value relative to other currencies like the Australian dollar (AUD). Conversely, if the core inflation rate in the U.S. falls below expectations or remains subdued, it may indicate weak consumer demand or excess capacity in the economy. In such cases, the Federal Reserve might consider maintaining or even lowering interest rates to stimulate economic activity. Lower interest rates can decrease the attractiveness of the U.S. dollar to investors, causing it to weaken against other currencies like the AUD. Now, let's apply this to the AUD/USD exchange rate on a weekly timeframe. When the U.S. core inflation rate exceeds expectations, it could lead to a strengthening of the USD against the AUD. Traders and investors may anticipate tighter monetary policy from the Federal Reserve, leading them to buy USD in anticipation of higher interest rates. This increased demand for USD relative to AUD can cause the AUD/USD exchange rate to depreciate over the weekly observation period. On the other hand, if the U.S. core inflation rate disappoints or falls short of expectations, it could weaken the USD against the AUD on a weekly basis. Traders and investors may interpret this as a sign that the Federal Reserve might maintain or even cut interest rates to support economic growth. Consequently, there could be increased demand for AUD relative to USD, leading to an appreciation of the AUD/USD exchange rate over the weekly timeframe. In addition to the fundamental factors discussed, the impact of the release of U.S. core inflation rate data on the AUD/USD exchange rate can align with technical analysis considerations. Technical analysis involves studying historical price movements and patterns to forecast future price movements. When considering technical factors, if the current price of the AUD/USD pair is approaching a significant resistance level on the weekly timeframe, traders may anticipate a potential reversal or pullback. This resistance level could be identified through various technical tools such as trendlines, chart patterns, or Fibonacci retracement levels. Given this technical setup, there are two possible scenarios to consider: Immediate Pullback: If the AUD/USD exchange rate is nearing a resistance level at the time of the release of U.S. core inflation data, traders may expect a direct pullback in price during the same week. This pullback could occur as traders take profits or adjust their positions in response to the resistance level, coupled with the fundamental influence of the inflation data. Bullish Momentum Followed by Pullback: Alternatively, if the AUD/USD exchange rate has bullish momentum and continues to rise after the release of U.S. core inflation data, it may temporarily break above the current resistance level. Traders might anticipate the pair reaching the next resistance level before experiencing a pullback. This scenario could occur if market participants interpret the inflation data as less hawkish than expected or if other factors, such as risk sentiment or economic indicators, support bullish AUD/USD movement.
Short
by DNP-FX
2
AUDUSD Medium-term Sell OpportunityThe AUDUSD pair followed our previous signal with great precision (March 19, see chart below), hitting the 0.63750 Target: Following that, the price rebounded and has so far been rejected yet again on the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level. That is the strongest medium-term Resistance and a symmetrical sell level where the similar sequence of June - July 2023 Double Topped and got rejected even below the 1.236 Fibonacci extension. As a result, we take a similar bearish stance and take this opportunity to sell again and target 0.63450 (1.235 Fib ext). ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Short
by TradingShot
Potential bearish drop?The Aussie (AUD/USD) is reacting off the pivot which has been identified as a pullback resistance and could potentially fall to the 1st support. Pivot: 0.6622 1st Support: 0.6586 1st Resistance: 0.6643 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Short
by ICmarkets
1
AUDUSD to find buyers at previous resistance?AUDUSD - 24h expiry The medium term bias remains bullish. The sequence for trading is higher highs and lows. Setbacks should be limited to yesterday's low. Bespoke support is located at 0.6575. Preferred trade is to buy on dips. We look to Buy at 0.6575 (stop at 0.6549) Our profit targets will be 0.6640 and 0.6650 Resistance: 0.6635 / 0.6665 / 0.6700 Support: 0.6575 / 0.6545 / 0.6515 Risk Disclaimer The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit. You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy. Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
Long
by OANDA
Buy AUD/USD Bullish PennantThe AUD/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential buying opportunity due to a recent breakout from a well-defined bullish pennant pattern. This breakout suggests a continuation of the prior uptrend and a higher likelihood of further gains in the coming hours. Key Points: Buy Entry: Consider entering a long position (buying) above the broken resistance level of the pennant, ideally around 0.6630 after confirmation of the breakout. This offers an entry point close to the perceived shift in momentum. Target Levels: Initial bullish targets lie at the following points, based on the pennant and recent price movement: 0.6694: This target is obtained by measuring the height of the flagpole (initial uptrend before the pennant) and adding that distance to the breakout price. 0.6734: This is a further extension of the upside target, based on roughly twice the height of the flagpole. Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order below the broken resistance line of the pennant, ideally around 0.6600. This helps limit potential losses if the price unexpectedly reverses and breaks back downwards. Thank you.
Long
by KABHI_FOREX_TRADING
3
Could AUD/USD reverse from here?Price is rising towards a resistance level which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit. Entry: 0.65493 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level which aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss: 0.65866 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level Take profit: 0.64829 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level which aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Short
by VantageMarkets
Fed rules out rate hike. Will the RBA now do the same? Fed rules out rate hike. Will the RBA now do the same? The US Federal Reserve maintained its policy rate within the 5.25%-5.50% range as anticipated. Notably, Fed Chair Powell, in the press conference, expressed that while the central bank remains vigilant about inflation risks, a hike is "unlikely" for the next move. Will the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) echo a similar stance when it announces its interest rate decision next week? Although there were hopeful indications that inflation in Australia was trending in the right direction, these were dashed recently by a stronger-than-expected reading for the March quarter. With hopes for a rate cut dashed, speculation now centers around the possibility of another increase before 2024 concludes. Bloomberg reports a shift in expectations from rate cuts to a potential rise by year-end. Market sentiment has transitioned from a 70% likelihood of an interest rate cut in August to a 50% probability of a 0.25% rate hike, which is a huge shift in sentiment. If indeed an interest rate hike materializes, it would place Australia in stark contrast to other central banks. Presently, the RBA's cash rate stands at 4.35%. None of the major four banks anticipate the RBA's next move to be an increase, with all still projecting a rate cut by Christmas. However, these forecasts remain subject to change in the lead-up to the RBA's decision.
by BlackBull_Markets
Could AUD/USD bounce from here?Price is falling towards a support level which is a pullback support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could potentially bounce from this level to our take profit. Entry: 0.64558 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level which aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss: 0.64005 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level Take profit: 0.65525 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Long
by VantageMarkets
Leveraging Safe-Haven Criteria for USD in AUDUSD Traders, As we prepare for tomorrow's trading session, our focus turns to AUDUSD, where we're closely monitoring a potential selling opportunity around the 0.64500 zone. AUDUSD recently broke out of its uptrend and is currently undergoing a correction phase, with the retrace area at 0.64500 serving as a critical support and resistance level. Adding depth to our analysis, it's essential to consider the fundamental landscape. Heightened geopolitical tensions and uncertainties in the global markets have prompted investors to seek refuge in safe-haven assets, particularly the US dollar. Given its safe-haven status, coupled with escalating tensions worldwide, we're inclined to favor USD. Consequently, we're looking to sell AUD, leveraging its inverse relationship with USD, to capitalize on the potential downturn in the Australian dollar. With AUDUSD approaching the 0.64500 zone and the USD's safe-haven appeal amidst geopolitical uncertainties, the convergence of these factors presents an opportune moment for a potential selling opportunity in the pair. Trade wisely, Joe
Short
by JoeChampion
3
Australia's Inflation Data Revealed Soon Australia's Inflation Data Revealed Soon Next week, Australia will unveil its latest inflation figures. Import the BlackBull Markets Economic Calendar to iCloud, Google, or Outlook to get alerts direct to your inbox, enabling you to plan your positions in advance and seize trading opportunities. Projections suggest a notable dip in Australia's headline inflation to 3.4%, down from the previous 4.1%, a steep decline that could fail to materialize. other advanced economies are poised to outperform Australia in price reduction efforts, with a median inflation rate expected to reach 2% by 2025. “Somewhat worryingly, progress toward inflation targets has somewhat stalled since the beginning of the year”, said Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas, the IMF’s chief economist. Traders currently anticipate a 60% likelihood of a rate cut by the RBA in December. However, if the actual inflation figure falls short of the forecasted 3.4%, this expectation may diminish, potentially bolstering the AUD. Yesterday's marginal uptick in the unemployment rate to 3.8% last month suggests that February's unexpected drop to 3.7% was not an anomaly. This development may only make it more difficult for the Reserve Bank to consider initiating rate cuts in the near future.
by BlackBull_Markets
AUDUSD to continue in the upward move?AUDUSD - 24h expiry Price action looks to be forming a bottom. The sequence for trading is higher highs and lows. The 50% Fibonacci retracement is located at 0.6600 from 0.6560 to 0.6645. Setbacks should be limited to yesterday's low. Dip buying offers good risk/reward. We look to Buy at 0.6600 (stop at 0.6575) Our profit targets will be 0.6665 and 0.6680 Resistance: 0.6650 / 0.6675 / 0.6700 Support: 0.6600 / 0.6575 / 0.6550 Risk Disclaimer The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit. You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy. Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
Long
by OANDA