Rising into overlap resistance, could it reverse from here?EUR/AUD is rising towards a resistance level which is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could potentially reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.62787
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 1.63283
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level which lines up with the 88% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 1.62230
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Aud
EURAUD to find buyers at market?EURAUD - 24h expiry
Although the bears are in control, the stalling negative momentum indicates a turnaround is possible.
Price action looks to be forming a bottom.
Intraday signals are mixed.
Preferred trade is to buy on dips.
Bespoke support is located at 1.6250.
We look to Buy at 1.6250 (stop at 1.6210)
Our profit targets will be 1.6350 and 1.6400
Resistance: 1.6330 / 1.6375 / 1.6420
Support: 1.6250 / 1.6210 / 1.6165
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
AUD/USDHello Agn,
I wanted to give you an update on my previous analysis of this pair. Yesterday, we entered into a downtrend as it moved in our favor. Now, it's at the bottom of the triangle and facing a dynamic resistance level. The price has moved about two-thirds of the pattern, and it's about time to start moving in.
Make sure to stay focused and only enter with confirmation. Always put a stop-loss in place because no one in this market can act as a god and forecast with 100% liability. It took me years to understand this, and I always try to teach it to my students.
Remember, rock hard and thank me later.
AUDNZD:RBNZ is outhawking RBAHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring AUDNZD for a selling opportunity around 1.09800 zone, AUDNZD is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 1.09800 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
EUR/AUD Possible wave upward(5/15/2024)EUR/AUD seems to be making a new upward wave.
EUR/AUD made a good move as Wave 1 and then we can see a big ABC correction.
We believe that the price will move upward after touching the multi-resistance level at the 1.626 zone.
Our technical view has been shown in the chart.
If you like it then Support us by Like, Following, and Sharing.
Thanks For Reading
Team Fortuna
-RC
(Disclaimer: Published ideas and other Contents on this page are for educational purposes and do not include a financial recommendation. Trading is Risky, so before any action do your research.
AUDCAD: The long-term channel remains bullish, although we're distant from the lower band. However, the mid-term bullish trend has been broken, and a short-term bearish channel is evident.
We're currently near a pivot and a reversal point, making this a potential first entry point around 0.9038. Another significant zone to watch is around the cluster of daily resistances, reversal point, and the bearish channel, approximately at 0.9055.
Potential bearish drop?AUD/CHF is currently at a resistance level which is an overlap resistance and could potentially drop to our take profit.
Entry: 0.59992
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level
Stop loss: 0.60204
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level which aligns with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension.
Take profit: 0.59617
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level which lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci projection.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
AUDUSD: Technical Impact of Core Inflation DataThe release of core inflation rate data in the United States can impact the AUD/USD exchange rate, especially on a weekly timeframe, due to its influence on market sentiment and monetary policy expectations.
Firstly, let's break down the core inflation rate. Core inflation measures the change in the price of goods and services, excluding volatile items like food and energy. It's a crucial indicator for central banks, like the Federal Reserve in the U.S., as it provides insight into the underlying inflationary pressures in the economy.
When the core inflation rate in the U.S. rises, it typically signals increasing demand for goods and services, which can lead to expectations of tighter monetary policy. Central banks may respond to rising inflation by raising interest rates to cool down the economy and prevent overheating. Higher interest rates make the U.S. dollar more attractive to investors, leading to an increase in its value relative to other currencies like the Australian dollar (AUD).
Conversely, if the core inflation rate in the U.S. falls below expectations or remains subdued, it may indicate weak consumer demand or excess capacity in the economy. In such cases, the Federal Reserve might consider maintaining or even lowering interest rates to stimulate economic activity. Lower interest rates can decrease the attractiveness of the U.S. dollar to investors, causing it to weaken against other currencies like the AUD.
Now, let's apply this to the AUD/USD exchange rate on a weekly timeframe. When the U.S. core inflation rate exceeds expectations, it could lead to a strengthening of the USD against the AUD. Traders and investors may anticipate tighter monetary policy from the Federal Reserve, leading them to buy USD in anticipation of higher interest rates. This increased demand for USD relative to AUD can cause the AUD/USD exchange rate to depreciate over the weekly observation period.
On the other hand, if the U.S. core inflation rate disappoints or falls short of expectations, it could weaken the USD against the AUD on a weekly basis. Traders and investors may interpret this as a sign that the Federal Reserve might maintain or even cut interest rates to support economic growth. Consequently, there could be increased demand for AUD relative to USD, leading to an appreciation of the AUD/USD exchange rate over the weekly timeframe.
In addition to the fundamental factors discussed, the impact of the release of U.S. core inflation rate data on the AUD/USD exchange rate can align with technical analysis considerations. Technical analysis involves studying historical price movements and patterns to forecast future price movements.
When considering technical factors, if the current price of the AUD/USD pair is approaching a significant resistance level on the weekly timeframe, traders may anticipate a potential reversal or pullback. This resistance level could be identified through various technical tools such as trendlines, chart patterns, or Fibonacci retracement levels.
Given this technical setup, there are two possible scenarios to consider:
Immediate Pullback: If the AUD/USD exchange rate is nearing a resistance level at the time of the release of U.S. core inflation data, traders may expect a direct pullback in price during the same week. This pullback could occur as traders take profits or adjust their positions in response to the resistance level, coupled with the fundamental influence of the inflation data.
Bullish Momentum Followed by Pullback: Alternatively, if the AUD/USD exchange rate has bullish momentum and continues to rise after the release of U.S. core inflation data, it may temporarily break above the current resistance level. Traders might anticipate the pair reaching the next resistance level before experiencing a pullback. This scenario could occur if market participants interpret the inflation data as less hawkish than expected or if other factors, such as risk sentiment or economic indicators, support bullish AUD/USD movement.
AUDUSD Medium-term Sell OpportunityThe AUDUSD pair followed our previous signal with great precision (March 19, see chart below), hitting the 0.63750 Target:
Following that, the price rebounded and has so far been rejected yet again on the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level. That is the strongest medium-term Resistance and a symmetrical sell level where the similar sequence of June - July 2023 Double Topped and got rejected even below the 1.236 Fibonacci extension.
As a result, we take a similar bearish stance and take this opportunity to sell again and target 0.63450 (1.235 Fib ext).
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Could price reverse from here?AUD/JPY is reacting off the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could potentially drop to our take profit.
Entry: 102.90
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level which aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 103.63
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Take profit: 101.84
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level which lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Heading into pullback resistance?AUD/JPY is rising towards the pivot, which acts as a pullback resistance and could reverse to the 1st support.
Pivot: 103.64
1st Support: 102.36
1st Resistance: 104.52
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Potential bearish drop?The Aussie (AUD/USD) is reacting off the pivot which has been identified as a pullback resistance and could potentially fall to the 1st support.
Pivot: 0.6622
1st Support: 0.6586
1st Resistance: 0.6643
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Sell GBPAUD UK Interest Ratethe GBP/AUD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential shorting opportunity due to the presence of a bearish pennant pattern.
Potential Short Trade :
Entry: Consider entering a short position (selling) below the broken support trendline of the pennant after confirmation. Ideally, this would be around 1.9000 or lower if the price continues to decline.
Target Levels:
1.8871: This target is achieved by measuring the height of the flagpole (initial downtrend before the pennant) and projecting it downwards from the breakout point.
1.8807: This is a further extension of the downside target, based on roughly twice the height of the flagpole.
Stop-Loss: Once the entry point is confirmed, place a stop-loss order above the broken support line of the pennant, ideally with some buffer around 1.9042. This helps limit potential losses if the price unexpectedly reverses and breaks back upwards.
Thank you
AUDCAD - Already Over-Bought 📉Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈 AUDCAD has been overall bullish, trading within the rising wedge in red.
At present, AUDCAD is approaching the upper bound of the wedge pattern acting as an over-bought zone.
Moreover, it is retesting a strong resistance zone in blue.
🏹 Thus, the highlighted red circle is a strong area to look for sell setups as it is the intersection of the blue resistance and upper red trendline.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #AUDCAD is hovering around the circle zone, I will be looking for bearish reversal setups (like a double top pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
AUDUSD Potential DownsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring AUDUSD for a selling opportunity around 0.65800 zone, AUDUSD is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 0.65800 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
GBPAUD forming a bottom?GBPAUD - Intraday - We look to Buy at 1.8925 (stop at 1.8875)
Price action looks to be forming a bottom.
Bullish divergence is expected to support prices.
Although the bears are in control, the stalling negative momentum indicates a turnaround is possible.
Preferred trade is to buy on dips.
Bespoke support is located at 1.8925.
Our profit targets will be 1.9045 and 1.9075
Resistance: 1.8985 / 1.9050 / 1.9110
Support: 1.8925 / 1.8895 / 1.8835
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
AUDUSD to find buyers at previous resistance?AUDUSD - 24h expiry
The medium term bias remains bullish.
The sequence for trading is higher highs and lows.
Setbacks should be limited to yesterday's low.
Bespoke support is located at 0.6575.
Preferred trade is to buy on dips.
We look to Buy at 0.6575 (stop at 0.6549)
Our profit targets will be 0.6640 and 0.6650
Resistance: 0.6635 / 0.6665 / 0.6700
Support: 0.6575 / 0.6545 / 0.6515
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
Buy AUD/USD Bullish PennantThe AUD/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential buying opportunity due to a recent breakout from a well-defined bullish pennant pattern. This breakout suggests a continuation of the prior uptrend and a higher likelihood of further gains in the coming hours.
Key Points:
Buy Entry: Consider entering a long position (buying) above the broken resistance level of the pennant, ideally around 0.6630 after confirmation of the breakout. This offers an entry point close to the perceived shift in momentum.
Target Levels: Initial bullish targets lie at the following points, based on the pennant and recent price movement:
0.6694: This target is obtained by measuring the height of the flagpole (initial uptrend before the pennant) and adding that distance to the breakout price.
0.6734: This is a further extension of the upside target, based on roughly twice the height of the flagpole.
Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order below the broken resistance line of the pennant, ideally around 0.6600. This helps limit potential losses if the price unexpectedly reverses and breaks back downwards.
Thank you.
Potential bearish drop?AUD/JPY is rising toward a resistance level, which acts as a pullback resistance aligning with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement. A rejection at this level could indicate a double top pattern, potentially leading to a price drop toward our take profit target.
Entry: 101.961
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level which lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 102.878
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level which lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 99.954
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
AUDUSD Forecast: Balancing Economic Realities with Market ExpectIn anticipation of the forthcoming FOMC meeting, the AUDUSD currency pair is demonstrating a notable increase in value, defying the backdrop of data indicating a prevailing contraction in private business activity across Australia during March. Despite these domestic economic challenges, market attention remains focused on the Reserve Bank of Australia’s (RBA) upcoming meeting scheduled for the following week, widely expected to maintain interest rates at their current level of 4.35%.
Against this backdrop, analysts and traders are closely monitoring the unfolding dynamics surrounding the FOMC meeting today. There is a prevailing sentiment within the trading community anticipating a potential bullish impulse in the market. Specifically, there are expectations that the price of the AUDUSD pair may experience a rebound from the significant Fibonacci retracement levels of 50% to 61.8%. Furthermore, there's speculation that this upward movement could bring the price back around the FVG area, signifying a possible uptrend in the market. This anticipated price action suggests the potential for a definitive pullback in the price, presenting traders with opportunities for strategic positioning and profit-taking.