AUDUSD Breakout and Potential RetraceHey Traders, in the coming week we are monitoring AUDUSD for a selling opportunity around 0.66200 zone, AUDUSD was trading in a uptrend and successfully managed to break it out. Currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the retrace area at 0.66200 support and resistance zone.
We would also consider the current bearish bias on stocks as AUDUSD is having a positive correlation with Indices
Trade safe, Joe
Aud
AUD/USD The Aussie rose for a seventh day, which is statistically quite rate. That stat alone suggests the bullish sequence is in need of a break, and the technical might just agree.
A wide bearish pinbar formed around the 100 and 200-day EMAs whilst RSI(2) was overbought. From here, bears could seek to fade into retracements within Thursday's pinbar and initially target 0.6500 - a break beneath which brings the lows around 0.6450 into focus.
Buy AUDJPY Megaphone PatternThe AUD/JPY pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential buying opportunity due to the presence of a well-defined megaphone pattern. This pattern, characterized by expanding channel lines, can suggest both bullish and bearish continuations depending on the context. However, in this case, certain factors point towards a potential upside move.
Buy Entry: Consider entering a long position around the current price of 98.28, positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum.
Target Levels: Initial bullish targets lie at the previous resistance levels within the megaphone, now acting as potential support zones: 98.73 and 98.94. Further upside targets could be determined using other technical analysis methods like Fibonacci retracements or extensions.
Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order below the broken resistance line of the megaphone, ideally around 97.95. This helps limit potential losses if the price reverses and breaks back downwards.
Thank you
AUDUSD: Sustainable bearish trend.AUDUSD is trading inside a Channel Down pattern for the majority of 2024 so far and the neutral 1D technical outlook (RSI = 48.127, MACD = -0.003, ADX = 26.175) suggests that this is a potential sell entry. The price is below the 1D MA50 and exactly on the 1D MA200, where a rejection, validates the preservation of the bearish trend. If the price stays under it, we will remain bearish, targeting near the 1.236 Fibonacci extension (TP = 0.64000).
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AUDNZD Sells still Active but struggling (Considering closing)As per my last analysis on AUDNZD - (www.tradingview.com)
I am still actively holding this trade
NOW, given the fact that audnzd just struggled to breach this most recent low (purple zone) and decided to pull back upward - made me consider closing but patience
If however, it struggles again to breach this low I'd close in profit
Why? it is simple really, price pushed up off of the (purple zone) and rejected the top side, if it rejected the top side it stands to reason that it went for liquidity from sellers higher - IF this was the case, shouldn't it have no problems going lower?
If price struggles to breach this low (purple zone) this time around I'd be closing this trade
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AUDNZD Sells ActiveGood Morning guys, have this buy open on AUDNZD - it isn't the best trade and I don't really like trading this pair but there was a set up and I decided to give it a try
Let me explain
These are my confirmations\questions >
Question 1 - Was AUDJNZD in momentum (bullish or bearish)?
Yes, AUDNZD is in bearish Momentum currently
Question 2 - Who is interested (at this time)?
Sellers are interested at this time
Question 3 - Where are their stop losses?
Stop losses would have been right Above the highlighted levels (orange circles) & below the orange horizontal line (break out sellers)
Question 4 - Have those stop losses been taken out?
Yes I believe Stop losses have been taken out already on AUDJPY (Red X)
Question 5 - Does the set up make sense for me to pursue?
Yes I believe it makes sense for me to pursue this trade given the information I have
As I am typing this the trade remains open at a 1:0.7 Risk Reward Ratio and I am noticing price is stumbling about this area currently (wondering if I should close it)
That being said however you will realize over to the left (green circles, green lines) that there would be some buyers below this area and based on the momentum it makes sense to me for price to driven to below this area so I think I should hold it, let's see
I have many more confirmations I look for, this is just to simplify it so that I can quickly explain to you the reader
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*Why don't I show my lot size?*
*How much money I make is no where near as important as HOW I took the trade*
AUDCHF: Pullback From Key Level
🇦🇺🇨🇭AUDCHF broke a support line of a rising channel and a neckline of a double top pattern
on a 4 hour time frame, after a test of a key horizontal resistance.
We can expect a pullback from the underlined area at least to 0.5754
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USD CPI Boosts: Monitoring AUDUSD for Selling OpportunityHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring AUDUSD For a selling opportunity around 0.65400 zone, AUDUSD is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 0.65400 support and resistance area. The recent release of higher-than-expected CPI data in the United States has strengthened the US dollar, putting downward pressure on AUDUSD. The stronger-than-anticipated inflation figures have fueled speculation of a more hawkish stance by the Federal Reserve, leading to expectations of USD strength. In light of this, we are monitoring AUDUSD for a potential selling opportunity around the 0.65400 zone, as the USD's strength may outweigh any potential upside in the Australian dollar. Trade safe, Joe.
This cycle pattern on AUD/JPY hints at risk onAUD/JPY is holding above its 100-day EMA, and so far it looks like the spike lower last Thursday will be left unchallenged.
This is more of an interesting observation than anything else, but... since July AUD/JPY has printed a prominent spike / higher low every 40 - 47 days. If that pattern is to hold, is suggests the next trough could land at the end of May / beginning of April.
Given it is a proxy for risk, does this support a Wall Street rally which currently sits just off if its record highs? Growth outlook remains positive, inflation is falling and the BOJ are unlikely to shift away from an ultra-dovish policy.
As long as any currency gains against the yen are not too aggressive, perhaps AUD/JPY is looking at another crack at 98. Although a feature of this 40-47 day cycle is for gains to be erratic and choppy before producing a sudden selloff into its spike low.
AUD/USD short-term view 0.63Hello Traders
It seems AUD/USD is going to make a triple combo corrections.
it is possible, since we are bullish on USD.
so we are expecting the price will reach 0.63 and 0.616 levels eventually.
Our technical view has been shown in the chart.
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Thanks For Reading
Team Fortuna
-RC
(Disclaimer: Published ideas and other Contents on this page are for educational purposes and do not include a financial recommendation. Trading is Risky, so before any action do your research.)
Swiss Inflation Trends Impacting AUDCHF: A Closer LookIn the upcoming trading week, we're keeping a close eye on AUDCHF for a potential buying opportunity near the 0.57450 zone. AUDCHF is currently undergoing a corrective phase within its uptrend, approaching the critical support and resistance area. Adding a fundamental layer to our analysis, it's noteworthy that inflationary pressures in Switzerland are showing signs of easing. This shift in inflation dynamics could influence trading sentiments and provide insights into potential currency movements.
Stay vigilant and trade safe,
Joe.
AUDJPY to continue in the upward move?AUDJPY - Intraday
There is no clear indication that the upward move is coming to an end.
Trend line support is located at 97.70.
Risk/Reward would be poor to call a buy from current levels.
A move through 98.00 will confirm the bullish momentum.
The measured move target is 98.50.
We look to Buy at 97.70 (stop at 97.45)
Our profit targets will be 98.35 and 98.50
Resistance: 98.00 / 98.25 / 98.50
Support: 97.70 / 97.50 / 97.25
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
Sell AUDUSD Channel BreakoutThe AUD/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential selling opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a bearish channel pattern. This pattern suggests ongoing selling pressure and a higher likelihood of further declines in the coming minutes or hours.
Key Points:
Bearish Channel Breakout: The price has been trading within a descending channel defined by two converging lines: a falling resistance line and a falling support line. This pattern indicates ongoing downtrend and potential for continued selling pressure.
Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around the current price of 0.6514, which sits close to the broken channel resistance. This could offer an entry point near a potential reversal zone.
Target Levels: Initial bearish targets lie at the support levels of 0.6485 and 0.6468, marking previous support zones within the channel.
Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order above the broken channel resistance line at 0.6540. This helps limit potential losses if the trend unexpectedly reverses.
Thank you
AUD/USD - Loose Price PredictionHere is a loose prediction on how AUD/USD will move on the hourly timeframe using ICT Concepts, just for fun.
This prediction is based on an hourly Breaker and a signature R2F Gap.
Remember, to only trade what you see and not what you think. Our minds can play tricks on us.
- R2F
GBPAUD: Pushing into the PCZ of a Bearish SharkGBPAUD is pushing above the range resistance and into the PCZ of a Bearish Shark with elevated volumes, at the same time there is a Bearish Gartley formed on the RSI and the RSI is setting up to breakdown while in the overextended zone. I think we will likely see the AUD take back dominance for a few months in many of its pairs, particularly in the GBPAUD and AUDUSD pairs.
It is possible that the GBPAUD pushes above 1.95 for a short amount of time, I will likely continue shorting into 1.955
AUDUSD to find buyers at current support?AUDUSD - 24h expiry
Although the bears are in control, the stalling negative momentum indicates a turnaround is possible.
The selloff has posted a correction count on the daily chart.
Risk/reward is ample to call a buy trade.
Price action looks to be forming a bottom.
Bullish divergence can be seen on the 4 hour chart (the chart makes a lower low while the oscillator makes a higher low), often a signal of exhausted bearish momentum, or at least a correction higher.
We look to Buy at 0.6520 (stop at 0.6496)
Our profit targets will be 0.6580 and 0.6595
Resistance: 0.6560 / 0.6590 / 0.6615
Support: 0.6500 / 0.6470 / 0.6445
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.