AUD/JPY 1:10 BEARISH (Is it worth the risk???)Possible short trade setup being formed. This analysis is based on trend lines , price action, support/resistance zones and sentimental information.
It is a high probable trade with an extremely small risk to high reward ratio.
I'm really looking for the SELL.
If I get stopped out I would be looking to re-enter.
Enjoy!!!!!
Aud_jpy
AUD/JPYWe are in a correction looking to break out. I am suspecting a little more down before a move up to break the blue trend line.
If price drops below the last low 79.045 I will draw a trend line 80.453 pivot and trade a break out of that LTF TL.
If price drops back to the .50 near the green daily TL I will watch carefully for a bull signal. (a higher risk trade).
If price breaks out strongly above the blue 4 hr trend line I will wait for the small correction and trade that break out.
See my breakout plan on the link below.
If you like the breakout plan please let me know and I will repost it for others.
Educate yourself, crate a trade plan, validate your ideas with other trader's ideas. Own your trade good or bad.
If someone never admits they were wrong in trading they are a bold faced liar.
aud/jpy positioned to sellCurrent situation:
- Price is at minor resistance with more resistance above
- Price is in a long-term downtrend
Looking ahead:
- Waiting for the price to break down from the 76.25 area and move lower
- Price has tested support at 74.75 three times. A break would be significant.
Notes:
- Aussie employment numbers release on Wednesday. The forecast and results have been volatile.
AUD/JPY Potential short setupA clean break of the 79 level would see price head towards the 77 level. We have already seen a break and retest of the 80.50 level where price has headed south and bounced of the 10 EMA. The long term outlook for this pair would be past the 77 level where we have the potential to reach the 75 level.
However if price does not break the 79 level we could see price head North again respecting the descending trendline and the trade would be invalid.
The AUDJPY and US30 are diverging dramaticallyNot sure what this means or if its a sign of things to come but the AUDJPY which have historically been highly correlated are now dramatically diverging.
I would say this is a bearish sign as typically drops in the aud/jpy represented a risk off atmosphere.
AUD/JPY BUY!Even though prices are below KUMO they have just broken a trend line suggesting bullish momentum.
Prices also hold pretty well above the KS (purple line) which is a strong support.
Prices could move to higher levels from here.
tp1: 84
tp2: 85.813
Stop loss should be placed on the KS at around 81.950
Good luck y'all
AUD/JPY Wedge with RSI divergence Its been a while since my last post, mainly because I have not been finding many high probability, high R/R since the market has been really slow the last couple of days.
Here is one very nice trade for you guys. AUD/JPY ascending wedge pattern with RSI divergence. These types of setups most often break to the downside.
AUD/JPY Head & Shoulder Pattern :pWell i tried drawing the elliot waves, and after drawing all waves, it looks like head & shoulder pattern. I think Price can fall again below the Golden Ratio 0.618 area.....As if we note the gap, it shows that price broke below this neckline earlier...but made a temporary swing from 38.2% area.....According to the daily time frame, it is still possible to see this happen
TP target is expected to be around 92.07¥.
SL will be 97¥
Good luck :)
AUD/JPY BounceAUD/JPY Strategy: Long
The AUD/JPY pair has been rallying since early April and occasionally has reversed creating a bullish trend line. This line has been tested especially on 5/7 through 5/11. This consolidation led to another rally which has since retraced and is now testing that trend line. Price at the moment is at approximately the 61.8% retracement of the 5/11 price low (94.78) and the 5/13 price high (97.28) starting this week at 95.81.
SInce the rate cut in early May has not dissuaded traders from buying the Aussie instead of the Japanese Yen, we have no reason to believe this will change. Notes from the prior monetary meeting will be released on Monday but since we have already had the rate cut the notes will be anti-climactic. We should expect price will bounce here and higher prices are ahead in the AUD/JPY pair. See the chart
Short opportunity on AUD/JPYThe aussie-yen cross tested a trend-line resistance at 93.30 yens Friday, and price action before the week's close suggests renewed selling pressure starting on Monday. 91.80 and 90.80 seem like plausible targets for short positions below 93.30. If the TL resistance breaks, however, I'd be rather bullish with an initial target of 94.50 given that prices are attempting to bounce off of a long-term TL support extending from the 2009 lows. Watch this pair on Monday.