EURAUD currency pair analysisIn the daily time frame, the price has hit the bottom of the descending channel at the same time as the harmonic shark pattern is completed. In addition, we also see the formation of a AB=CD pattern in the area of the bottom of the channel.
It is expected that the price will experience growth from this range or after another downward wave to the range of 1.6270
Audanalysis
AUD bears eye break below 65c, but a bounce could be due firstRisk aversion reigns supreme, casting a dark cloud over AUD/USD just before today’s employment report drops. A stellar jobs report is unlikely to spark calls for an imminent RBA hike, but it might prompt some short covering on the Aussie.
Besides, there are early signs of stability above the 65c zone with Wednesday’s lower wick, which saw a false break of the lower keltner band. Perhaps some mean reversions is due.
Bulls could seek dips towards 65c with a stop below and initially target the 200-day MA – a break above which assumes a deeper retracement and relief rally for global stocks. However, given our bias for the US dollar remains bullish over the weeks ahead, bears may want to seek evidence of a swing high forming below 0.6650 before committing to fresh shorts. A break beneath 65c brings 0.6370 into focus.
sell @AUDUSD, now.The AUD/USD declined on Thursday and fell below 0.6500. However, despite this correction, the short-term outlook still favors the upside as the Greenback remains under pressure due to weaker US labor market data and declining US Treasury yields.
Data from Australia showed that employment rose by 55,000 in October, surpassing the consensus estimate of 20,000 and significantly higher than the revised figure of 7,800 from the previous month (originally reported as 6,700). Most of the job gains were in part-time positions. The Unemployment Rate rose from 3.6% to 3.7% as expected.
The Melbourne Institute reported a slight increase in the expected one-year inflation rate to 4.9% in November, up from 4.8% in October. Despite the solid employment data, indicating a relatively tight labor market, and the rise in inflation expectations, the AUD/USD dropped during the Asian session as the US Dollar recovered ground.
In the US, most economic data came in below expectations. Continuing Jobless Claims reached the highest since 2022, and Initial Claims rose to 231,000, the highest level in nearly three months. Industrial Production declined by 0.6% in October, exceeding the modest 0.3% contraction expected. On the positive side, the Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Survey Index rose from -9 to -5.9, and the Kansas Fed Manufacturing Activity index recovered from -8 to -3 in November.
The US Dollar weakened after the data, but the decline was not significant, and it quickly reversed back into positive territory as market sentiment deteriorated.
AUD/USD looks set to extend its bounceThe Aussie fell in line with our bearish bias last week, thanks to stronger-than-expected CPI data from the US and the Middle East conflict. Yet despite the risk-off sentiment, the Aussie held above 63c last week and formed a bullish engulfing day on Monday.
A bullish engulfing candle also formed on the 4-hour candle, prices are back above the September low and are now considering a break above the monthly pivot.
Given the liquidity gap (LG) that formed during last week's decline, a break above last week's high assumes the LG could be filled if prices break higher.
The near-term bias remains bullish above the 4-hour candle low.
EURAUD I Approaching strong reversal zoneWelcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
** EURAUD Analysis - Listen to video!
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Potential Bullish Signal: Why I'm Watching the 0.875 Level?In the Daily charts, we've now retraced 100% of our last leg up . You can see right below the starting point of the leg up, we have a Weekly Demand/Buy zone beginning around the 0.875 level. Bulls might find this an enticing target for market entry, on a bullish signal.
This area could potentially be a 'STOP HUNT' zone. As we all know how retail traders often set their stops under swing lows, as taught in many trading books.
My buy strategy involves seeking buy signals as we approach the 0.875 level. There might be a brief plunge to this level, followed by a sharp upward move.
This is a short term trade idea , my target will be aiming for the 0.90 area with a stop loss set below 0.863. I will be looking for bullish signals on the lower timeframes using my TRFX indicator.
I hope you find this analysis helpful. Happy trading!
Forex Update: AUDCHF continuation watch.Today's focus AUDCHF
Pattern – LH - Continuation
Possible targets – .5920 .5875
Support – .5951
Resistance – .5875
Indicator support – MA sloping down, CCI 0 Cross
Hi and welcome to today’s update. Today we are watching the AUDCHF and wondering if we will see a new continuation lower that will maintain the current downtrend. Yesterday buyers made a solid move after the RBA rate hike but the move was cut down through the US session. We have run over the triggers we are looking for to confirm our continuation idea and watch to watch out for what could invalidate this idea.
Another factor could be tomorrow morning’s FOMC. If this ends up giving the AUD a boost it could invalidate the the signs we are seeing currently. The FOMC will be released at 4:00 am AEST Thursday morning.
Thanks for stopping by. Good trading, and have a great day.
AUD/NZD: Trans-Tasman analysis The AUD/NZD is an interesting pair to examine after the release of each country’s respective inflation reports yesterday.
In New Zealand, the annual inflation rate remained steady at 7.2%, prompting investors to forecast that inflation in the country has peaked, and the Reserve Bank of New Zealand can slow the pace of interest rate hikes moving forward, inducing a fall in the NZD against the US dollar. The next interest rate decision from the RBNZ is on February 22.
Australia’s inflation data, came in hotter-than-expected, at 7.8%, up from 7.3% in the previous reading. As a result, the Australian dollar climbed to a fresh 5-month high, almost the only major currency making a significant move against the US dollar on the day, as the market priced in a ninth consecutive rate rise by the Reserve Bank of Australia’s on February 7.
Naturally the AUD/NZD cross pair has begun to diverge quite significantly, with an emphatic break above the 200-EMA line, due to their respective performances against the USD. 1.09600 appears to be the most immediate level of resistance for the pair now, but doesn't seem to be holding up all that well against current buying activity, with the 20 EMA/ 1.09480 acting as the support.
Australian dollar will be bullish in 2023Considering the reopening of the Chinese economy and also the domestic economy of Australia, which seems to be in good conditions (because the Bank of Australia was cautious about increasing the interest rate), and the increase in the price of gold, this path can be imagined.
This week, it is likely that the Federal Reserve will increase the interest rate by 50 points, which the market will consume until the meeting, and I think the Australian dollar will be bullish in 2023, so friends who have chosen to trade based on the trend, if these assumptions are correct, they should In the created positions, buy Australian dollars because any correction will be a buying position, but on the condition that these conditions govern the market.
20 REASON FOR SHORT AUDUSD 🤑TOP DOWN ANALYSIS OVERVIEW🤑
🧐Eagle eye: bear trend extremely
Monthly: the overall trend is Bear, but the current candle in retracement and retrace till filling our all FVG almost filled all gap areas, so in a broader view, we can say retracement is our
weekly: trend in Bear, but the current move is the retracement
1 Structure analysis time frame: the daily trend is to fill bullish; it is a counter-trend for monthly and weekly retracement almost done
2 target time frame: Daily
3 Current Move: move is an impulse with a change in guard situation excepted reversal
4 Entry Time Frame: h4
4.1 Entry TF Structure: higher low is formatted with a small distance that also signs a reversal
4.2 entry move: impulse
5 Support resistance base: previous h44 order block
6 FIB: trigger even at daily D1
7-candle Pattern: Downside momentum
8 Chart Pattern: double top
9 Volume: High volume on 1st top low at 2nd sign of reversal
10 Momentum UNCONVENTIONAL Rsi: RSI IS in bullish zome YET
11 Volatility measure Bollinger bands: M pattern is a formatted reversal
12 strength ADX: ADX is bullish, YET
13 Sentiment ROC: USD IS STRONGER than AUD according to the current market
14 final comment: We need An additional confirmation until the price Not comes down to 0.6718 Level, so we place an Alert for now. After the Alert, We can decide on our Next Move. But OUR ARE WE ARE SEEKING SHORT ENTRY ONLY UNTIL PRICE BREAKS HIGH According to H4 TF
15 : decision: Natural till confirmation
16 Entry:
17 Stop losel:
18 Take profit:
19 Risk to reward Ratio:
Excepted Duration :
⭕️BUY AUDUSD ; It's time to buy🚀🔰You can see the analysis of the Australian dollar to the US dollar currency pair in the one-hour time frame (AUDUSD_ 1H)💣🔍
💥Due to the fact that the price was able to break the Down trend line🖤 and then pullback💜 to it, the price can have upward🔺 Resistance🧡
SUPPLY and DEMAND zones are indicated in the picture👌
Do you think this analysis can be profitable❓
I hope the analysis was useful for you🤍🌹
📌Please introduce the channel to your friends 🙏🏻
______📈TRADER STREET📉______
⭕️BUY AUDJPY; Its time to buy🤨❗🔰You can see the analysis of Australian dollar to Japanese yen in a 30-minute time frame (AUDJPY_ 30min)🔍💣
Due to the breaking of the Downward trend line🖤 by the price, if the price reaches the Support🧡, there is a possibility of the price rising to the SUPPLY zone🚀🔺
Do you think this analysis can be profitable❓
I hope the analysis was useful for you🤍🌹
📌Please introduce the channel to your friends 🙏🏻
__________📈TRADER STREET📉___________
⭕Best BUY & SELL areas AUDUSD in One hour time frame🔥💣🔰You can see analysis of Australian dollars in US dollars in one hour time🔍
✴️As is evident from the image, the price is moving in a parallel descending channel (purple💜). The areas of supply and demand are marked in the picture. Due to the presence of the price in the demand area, if the price can break the downtrend line (black🖤 line) upwards, you can buy in Pullback and the price can climb to the demand area ❗❗
If the price falls to the bottom of the current demand area, it can fall to the nearest demand area🧐
In your opinion, the price will move according to which scenario, GREEN💚 or RED❤️ ❓❓
I hope the analysis was useful for you🤍🌹
📌Please introduce the channel to your friends 🙏🏻
____________📈TRADER STREET📉_______________
⭕️SELL AUDNZD ; It's time to sell ❗️👌🏻🔰You see the analysis of the Australian Dollar to New Zealand Dollar in four hours ( AUDNZD , 4H) ❗️🔎
🔰SELLAUDNZD at 1.08930
✅TP ; 1.07750 (+118 pips)
❌SL ; 1.09340 (-41 pips)
📊R/R ; 0.34 (This number is derived from the division of Risk to Reward and must always be less than one, and the less it is, the better🧐)
🔰The price has started to fall from a supply area, then has broken the yellow uptrend line and pull back it. Sales in this area can be low risk. The target is placed at the cross of the demand range and the white upward trend line and orange support. .💰🧐
⚠️⚠️🔥Take a look at AUDNZD Analysis step by step on YouTube🔥⚠️⚠️
⚠️⚠️Please observe capital management and open a low volume transaction❗️❗️
I hope this analysis is useful for you🙏🏻🌹
📌Please introduce the "TRADER STREET" to your friends 🙏🏻
_______________________📈TRADER STREET📉________________________
💰AUDJPY analysis in four-hour time🔥🔰You can see the analysis of the Australian dollar in Japanese yen in four-hour time in the picture (AUDJPY - H4)🧐
🔰Due to the price movement in orange and black channels❗️ The closest areas of supply and demand to the current price are marked with purple💰
✴️Do you think the price trend will be based on the GREEN💚 line or the RED❤️ line ❓❓
I hope the analysis was useful for you🤍🌹
📌Please introduce the channel to your friends 🙏🏻
____________📈TRADER STREET📉_______________
AUDUSD - WaitingHello, I am currently expecting some of this movement, may not be exact, but as soon as we somehow get into the marked SELL zone, I will want to sell.
I personally prefer setting up multiple TPs, here's an explanation:
1) 1:1 allows you to take a 50% position and thus secure a balance against loss in case the market turns
2) 2-5 :1 means profit (25% trade volume), after reaching this TP I move SL to BE
3) 5-10 :1 means bonus money with rest of trade volume 25%
In this way, I ensure that my equity curve grows consistently without significant dips.
Money is lying on the ground, just bend down for it! Be patient and wait for the price to reach a strong zone and open a position!
⭕️SELL AUDNZD ; It's time to sell ❗️👌🏻🔰You see the analysis of the Australian Dollar to New Zealand Dollar in four hours ( AUDNZD , 4H) ❗️🔎
🔰SELLAUDNZD at 1.08930
✅TP ; 1.07750 (+118 pips)
❌SL ; 1.09340 (-41 pips)
📊R/R ; 0.34 (This number is derived from the division of Risk to Reward and must always be less than one, and the less it is, the better🧐)
🔰The price has started to fall from a supply area, then has broken the yellow uptrend line and pull back it. Sales in this area can be low risk. The target is placed at the cross of the demand range and the white upward trend line and orange support. .💰🧐
⚠️⚠️🔥Take a look at AUDNZD Analysis step by step on YouTube🔥⚠️⚠️
⚠️⚠️Please observe capital management and open a low volume transaction❗️❗️
I hope this analysis is useful for you🙏🏻🌹
📌Please introduce the "TRADER STREET" to your friends 🙏🏻
_______________________📈TRADER STREET📉________________________
⭕️SELL AUDCHF ; Its time to sell❗️🔰You see the analysis of the AUDCHF in one hour ( AUDCHF , 1H) ❗️🔎
🔰SELL AUDCHF at 0.70590
✅TP ; 0.69900 (+69 pips)
❌SL ; 0.71000 ( - 41 pips)
📊R/R ; 0.59(This number is derived from the division of Risk to Reward and must always be less than one, and the less it is, the better🧐)
🔰SELL AUDCHF at 0.70590
✅TP ; 0.68970 (+162 pips)
❌SL ; 0.71000 ( - 41 pips)
📊R/R ; 0.25(This number is derived from the division of Risk to Reward and must always be less than one, and the less it is, the better🧐)
🔰Due to the presence of the price in the range of sales supply in this region, the goal of confluence of white uptrend line and orange support line seems to be low risk.👌
In case of breaking the white uptrend line, there is a possibility of further downtrend and it is likely that the orange support line and demand range and white uptrend line will decline.❗️❗️
⚠️⚠️Please observe capital management and open a low volume transaction❗️❗️
I hope this analysis is useful for you🙏🏻🌹
📌Please introduce the "TRADER STREET" to your friends 🙏🏻
_______________________📈TRADER STREET📉________________________