AUDCAD Bearish Harmonic Pattern - Strategic Trade SetupThe AUDCAD pair is currently exhibiting a Bearish Harmonic Pattern (XABCD), with Point D anticipated to act as a Potential Reversal Zone (PRZ). This analysis aims to identify strategic entry and exit points based on the confluence of multiple technical indicators.
Key Technical Indicators
Potential Reversal Zone (PRZ):
Point D aligns with a significant Key Resistance area, which historically serves as a strong barrier to upward price movement.
4-hour Trend Line:
The trend line, which has acted as a pivotal point in previous market movements, intersects at Point D, reinforcing the likelihood of a reversal.
Bearish RSI Divergence (1-hour):
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) on the 1-hour chart displays a bearish divergence, suggesting weakening bullish momentum and potential for a bearish reversal.
Trade Setup
Entry Point:
A strategic entry is recommended at 0.91113, where the confluence of the aforementioned technical factors indicates a high probability of a trend reversal.
Stop Loss:
To mitigate risk, a stop loss should be placed at 0.91261, slightly above the resistance level to avoid false breakouts.
Take Profit Levels:
TP-1: 0.90964
The first take profit level is set at 0.90964, capturing initial downward momentum and ensuring partial profit realization.
TP-2: 0.90816
The second take profit level at 0.90816 aims to capitalize on further bearish movement, aligning with intermediate support zones.
TP-3: 0.90668
The final take profit target at 0.90668 corresponds to a more significant support level, maximizing potential gains from the bearish trend reversal.
Conclusion:
Based on the technical analysis, the AUDCAD pair presents a compelling bearish setup with multiple converging indicators at Point D. The proposed entry at 0.91113, supported by a precise stop loss and structured take profit levels, offers a well-balanced risk-reward ratio. Traders are advised to monitor price action closely as it approaches the PRZ to confirm bearish momentum before executing the trade.
