AUDCHF My Opinion! SELL!
My dear followers,
I analysed this chart on AUDCHF and concluded the following:
The market is trading on 0.5720 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation.
Target -0.5674
Safe Stop Loss -0.5747
About Used Indicators:
A super-trend indicator is plotted on either above or below the closing price to signal a buy or sell. The indicator changes color, based on whether or not you should be buying. If the super-trend indicator moves below the closing price, the indicator turns green, and it signals an entry point or points to buy.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
AUDCHF
AUDCHF Buy signal within the Channel Down.The AUDCHF pair has been trading within a Channel Down pattern since the January 27 2023 High. The price is currently on a 2-week rise and following the completion of a 1D MACD Bullish Cross, it can extend to at least the 0.382 Fibonacci level based on the previous two Lower Lows of the Channel Down. As a result, we are targeting 0.58200, which would also make a technical contact with the 1D MA100 (green trend-line).
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AUDCHFAUDCHF is trading in ascending channel but it seems like the buying stream is being limited. As the pair has started to form bearish candles from resistance zone. Currently the pair is hovering at local resistance zone but looks like sellers will take charge and continue to downside.
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AUDCHF Is Very Bearish! Sell!
Take a look at our analysis for AUDCHF.
Time Frame: 6h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is approaching a significant resistance area 0.565.
Due to the fact that we see a positive bearish reaction from the underlined area, I strongly believe that sellers will manage to push the price all the way down to 0.561 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
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AUDCHF Finally we have the reaction!On AUD/CHF, we have a long setup after the price began to rotate in the 0.56-0.5630 zone, providing significant confirmations. Currently, we're in a demand zone, and the price seems to be supported by a strong trendline that holds considerable liquidity from the ascending price. Additionally, we have a price that broke two H4 swing highs; the first one lacks an interesting entry point, while the second presents an appealing entry at the 0.5657 level, where we have an H1 demand. Personally, I'll wait for the price to retrace into this zone before considering a long entry. In the case of a market entry, I would set the target around 0.5730, where we have an H4 swing high, and place a stop around 0.5602, below the market low. Happy trading to all.
AUDCHF Long structure with entry point!On AUD/CHF, we have a long setup after the price began to rotate in the 0.56-0.5630 zone, providing significant confirmations. Currently, we're in a demand zone, and the price seems to be supported by a strong trendline that holds considerable liquidity from the ascending price. Additionally, we have a price that broke two H4 swing highs; the first one lacks an interesting entry point, while the second presents an appealing entry at the 0.5657 level, where we have an H1 demand. Personally, I'll wait for the price to retrace into this zone before considering a long entry. In the case of a market entry, I would set the target around 0.5730, where we have an H4 swing high, and place a stop around 0.5602, below the market low. Happy trading to all.
AUDUSD – oversold but following China When trading the AUD you’re essentially expressing a view on China. USDCNH has been on a one-way tear of late and has weighed on AUDUSD, reflecting poor China economics, concerns of a credit event, but also the comparative returns seen in US Treasuries (over China bonds). We’ve seen underperformance in Chinese equity and industrial metals. The AUDUSD daily suggests the double top target of 0.6300 over the medium-term, and as we see in the price action, rallies have been savaged. It will take a while to get there, and the move will not be linear. For now, I see modest upside risk as shorts possibly cover given the PBoC has just announced a sizeable liquidity injection into the interbank market – but I would look to flip short into 0.6480. GBPAUD, EURAUD and AUDCHF have also been huge trades of late, and I would be taking some off the table to assess how headlines around China's fiscal stimulus play out.
Idea - Chris Weston
AUDCHF, Breakout? AUDCHF / 1D
Hello traders, welcome back to another market breakdown.
AUDCHF has devaited above old highs with a fake breakout.
The price now seems to be breaking bellow old highs which might set us for trend continuation.
I'll be watching the next pull-back.
Trade safely,
Trader Leo
Trading Under The Spotlight: My Open Analysis Odyssey #8Greetings once more, TradingView community!
The tapestry of the market never ceases to amaze and with each unfolding pattern, there's a new story to tell. As we dive deeper into this shared odyssey, here’s a swift recap of our guiding principles:
Transparency, Not a Tutorial : Each chart and narrative shared is a slice of my trader's journey, but the core strategy remains a guarded secret. This isn’t a trading manual; it’s a diary of my analytical observations.
Frequency & Execution : Every trading day is a distinct tale, with a myriad of setups, but it's crucial to remember that not all are acted upon. This series mirrors my trader's intuition, not necessarily actionable advice.
Purpose & Growth : Rooted in this venture is a thirst for analytical mastery and the embrace of community-driven insights.
Without further ado, let's delve into the next analysis of the day:
Instrument : AUDCHF
Bias : Short
Overall Trend : Short
Thoughts : The bearish sentiment for AUDCHF is evident, but I must confess, I'm not entirely synced with the underpinning fundamentals for this pair. Yet, a cardinal trading principle reminds us: "an object in motion tends to stay in motion." Hence, aligning trades with the overarching trend often proves advantageous, enhancing our chances of sailing smoothly rather than struggling against the current.
Your engagement, whether you're observing, chiming in with insights, or soaking up knowledge, remains invaluable. As we journey on, I look forward to further dissecting the market’s myriad facets, one setup at a time.
AUD breakout traders – look to the yuan for inspirationAs is typically the way in FX trading the breakout traders see a set-up on the higher timeframes and either the market uses these levels to fade the move, or the breakout fails to gain traction and ultimately reverses.
Those seasoned traders who use breakouts for trade entry – often momentum and trend-followers – know the percentage of breakouts that lead to trending conditions is typically low. It is why they target ‘outlier’ moves within a distribution and subscribe to the view that the win/loss ratio is not a major concern. The strategy will typically run win rates of 30-40% but will focus more on the reward-to-risk trade-off.
Extracting as much profit from each trade is where they make their money and that is where the science of holding positions kicks in.
We may end up with many small losing positions, but when we win it is ideally a 5 to 10R. Holding, as I say, is key and that is never easy – it is why having a rules-based strategy can pay dividends. When the market breaks out and goes on a run you must know when to hold and when to fold.
Granted, FX markets have a higher propensity to revert to a mean than commodities or equity indices, but the AUD screams out as currently fitting this dynamic. Notably, EURAUD, AUDUSD, AUDCHF and GBPAUD screened on the breakout radar yesterday, but have since failed to follow through with the move.
China is at the heart of the AUD recent moves. USDCNH has always been a strong guide for me on AUD flows, and while I have been of the view that weaker external demand needs a weaker currency – the PBoC is doing the utmost to push back on the yuan weakness, with consistently stronger yuan ‘fixings’ (seen each day at 11:15 AEST).
As a driver, we’ve seen a slightly better China CPI print today at -0.3% and USDCNH has sold off, in turn, this has lifted the AUD.
The statistical correlation between AUD and CNH has broken down of late, but for those trading AUDUSD or the AUD crosses through Asia, the influence of the yuan is still incredibly significant.
Tactically, if we are to see an upside break of 7.2500 (in USDCNH) I’d have far higher conviction we’ll see a closing breakout in these AUD pairs.
Patience is always our best friend in trading, especially when using leverage, as we need to nail our entries – so having the set-ups on the radar and waiting for the market flow to push a trade is prudent.
One could say we’re at peak negative sentiment towards China, and next week’s China economic data (industrial production, retail sales, fixed asset investment) is likely to see a more pronounced positive reaction to a beat than a negative one to a miss. That is a risk to manage, but if the AUD kicks lower in these pairs it could be meaningful and certainly be welcomed by those that like to trade continuations.
AUD-CHF Bearish Flag Pattern! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
AUD-CHF is trading in a
Downtrend and the pair
Has formed a bearish
Flag pattern so IF we
See a bearish breakout
Then we will be expecting
A bearish continuation
Sell!
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