Audchfforecast
Aud Chf LongA reversal analysis for the AUD/CHF currency pair from the 57518 level involves examining the historical price action, identifying potential reversal points, and analyzing relevant technical indicators to assess the probability of a reversal occurring. Please note that as an AI language model, I don't have access to real-time data, so the analysis provided here is based on hypothetical scenarios and the knowledge available up to September 2021.
Historical Context:
First, let's take a look at the historical price movement of the AUD/CHF pair leading up to the 57518 level. We need to consider both long-term and short-term trends to get a comprehensive understanding.
Key Support and Resistance Levels:
Identify significant support and resistance levels on the chart. These levels can act as crucial reference points and can provide insight into potential reversal areas.
Candlestick Patterns:
Analyze the candlestick patterns at the 57518 level. Look for key reversal patterns like doji, hammer, shooting star, or engulfing patterns. These patterns can signal potential reversals.
Momentum Indicators:
Review momentum indicators like the Relative Strength Index (RSI) or Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Divergence between price and the indicator can indicate a potential reversal.
Volume Analysis:
Examine trading volumes around the 57518 level. Significant volume spikes or divergences can provide clues about possible changes in market sentiment.
Fibonacci Retracement:
Apply Fibonacci retracement levels from recent swing highs to lows to identify potential support or resistance levels that coincide with the 57518 level.
News and Events:
Consider any upcoming economic data releases or geopolitical events that might impact the AUD/CHF pair. Sudden news can trigger sharp reversals.
Sentiment Analysis:
Evaluate market sentiment through sources like CFTC Commitments of Traders (COT) report or sentiment indicators. Extreme sentiment can indicate a potential reversal.
Timeframe Analysis:
Assess the reversal analysis across different timeframes (daily, weekly, monthly) to get a more comprehensive view.
Remember that a reversal analysis is not a guarantee of future market movement. It is crucial to use risk management techniques, set stop-loss orders, and combine multiple analyses before making any trading decisions. Additionally, consulting with a qualified financial advisor or professional trader is recommended for personalized guidance based on current market conditions.
7 Dimension analysis for AUDCHF 😇 7 Dimension Analysis
Analysis Time Frame: Daily
1: Price Structure:
The current price structure is bearish, characterized by a Breakout from Sideways (BoS) behavior. The move is impulsive and nearing completion, with a major weekly demand area acting as support. The inducement is not yet confirmed, and there have been 3 pullbacks during the last corrective leg. Notably, there are no unmitigated order blocks during the entire impulsive leg, indicating no significant resistance until the Choch level. Confluence is observed on the daily, weekly, and monthly time frames, with a demand zone present in the same area.
2: Pattern
🟢 TREND LINES:
Trend lines are acting as resistance levels, and a closing above them will provide final confirmation.
🟢 CHART PATTERNS:
A potential Head and Shoulders pattern is forming, but a massive volume and engulfing bar at the last leg's low point add complexity. Additionally, there is a weekly liquidity sweep and a Fakeout Within 1 Bar pattern. These patterns suggest that the price may move sideways from here to form a proper demand base.
🟢 CANDLE PATTERNS:
A Change in Guard pattern appeared at the bottom, indicating a potential reversal.
Momentum (Engulfing) occurred with massive volume, adding to the potential bearish reversal signal.
Momentum Fakeout Reversal also occurred with significant volume.
A Narrow Range is forming with 3 candle squeezes yet to be confirmed.
The last corrective and current impulsive candles are inside the reversal candle.
Today's session opened low but experienced bullish control throughout the day.
3: Volume:
Volume on the Fakeout is good, indicating significant market interest.
Volume on the demand is heavy at the initial point, showing strong buying activity.
4: Momentum RSI:
🟢 Zone: The RSI is currently in a sideways zone.
🟢 Range Shift: Initially sideways to bullish.
🟢 Divergence: Hidden divergence with low momentum observed. Momentum has been holding in the bullish zone for a prolonged period.
5: Volatility Bollinger Bands:
🟢 Middle Band: A resistance breakout will be crucial for the initial upside move.
🟢 Squeez: Just started, suggesting potential low volatility ahead.
🟢 Headfake: Only one candle so far, not yet confirmed.
6: Strength ADX:
The trend is currently bearish. But initial reversal can start from this zone
7: Sentiment ROC:
The rate of change indicates that AUD is gaining strength.
✔️ Entry Time Frame: H1
✅ Entry TF Structure: Bullish
☑️ Current Move: Impulse Move with one Choch.
✔ Support Resistance Base: Weekly support area and Fakeout.
☑️ Candles Behavior: Engulfing pattern making a valid low
☑️ FIB Trigger Event: Activated.
☑️ Trend Line Breakout: Confirmed.
☑️ Final Comments: Consider buying as an initial test entry.
💡 Decision: Buy
🚀 Entry: 0.5850
✋ Stop Loss: 0.5795
🎯 Take Profit: 0.6090
😊 Risk to Reward Ratio: 1:3
🕛 Expected Duration: 5 Days
Summary:
The analysis suggests a bearish price structure with an impulsive move nearing completion. Various chart patterns and candlestick formations add complexity to the overall scenario. The RSI indicates a sideways zone, and the ADX confirms the bearish trend. A potential bullish entry is identified based on the current move, support resistance, and FIB trigger event. The risk-to-reward ratio is calculated at 1:3, and the expected duration for the trade is 5 days.
Aud Chf Long In this analysis, we will focus on the AUD/CHF forex pair within the limits of 0.57889 to 0.57408, aiming to identify potential signs of a bullish reversal. This range implies a downward movement in the pair's price, and we will assess the technical and fundamental factors that could contribute to a potential bullish reversal within this specific range.
Technical Analysis:
a. Support Level: The lower limit of 0.57408 represents a significant support level, where the pair's price has previously shown a strong tendency to bounce back upwards. This level indicates a potential area where bullish reversal patterns could emerge.
b. Oversold Conditions: Utilizing oscillators like the Relative Strength Index (RSI), we observe if the AUD/CHF pair is oversold within the specified limits. An RSI reading below 30 or displaying bullish divergences suggests that selling pressure may have exhausted, setting the stage for a potential upward movement.
c. Candlestick Patterns: Analyzing candlestick patterns, such as hammer, bullish engulfing, or morning star, can provide further insights. If these patterns appear near the lower limit, it may indicate a bullish reversal signal, reflecting buyers' emergence and potential price recovery.
Fundamental Analysis:
a. Macroeconomic Factors: Monitoring relevant economic developments in Australia and Switzerland can contribute to a bullish reversal analysis. Positive factors may include an improvement in Australian economic indicators like GDP growth, employment data, or increased consumer confidence. Additionally, favorable Swiss economic data, such as strong exports or positive monetary policy actions, can also support a bullish outlook.
b. Central Bank Policies: Monitoring the monetary policies of the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) and the Swiss National Bank (SNB) is crucial. Any hints of a dovish stance by the RBA or a hawkish tone by the SNB can impact the AUD/CHF pair's dynamics, potentially favoring a bullish reversal.
c. Market Sentiment and Risk Appetite: Assessing broader market sentiment and risk appetite is essential. If global markets exhibit a positive risk-on sentiment, characterized by increased investor confidence and a preference for riskier assets, it can positively influence the AUD/CHF pair's performance and contribute to a bullish reversal.
Conclusion:
Considering the technical analysis indicators such as significant support levels, potential oversold conditions, and relevant candlestick patterns, coupled with positive fundamental factors like improved economic indicators and supportive central bank policies, there is a possibility of a bullish reversal within the specified limits of 0.57889 to 0.57408 for the AUD/CHF forex pair. However, it is crucial to monitor ongoing market developments and adapt the analysis accordingly, as forex markets are subject to volatility and unforeseen events that may impact price movements.
AUDCHF seems to go higherFor this pair I am not so sure but it seems that we are facing an expanding diagonal. I have considered to invalidation level. Me myself consider the nearest level firstly, as RR would be higher and secondly I think it is better to consider another entry level in case our analysis failed.
AUDCHF Analysis 9July2023this is a swing trading analysis with D1 time frame.
if you look at the bearish channel, it can be seen that the price is currently supported by the bullish trendline with no new LL structure.
I see this as a long option with invalis area boundaries and a fairly high long target.
AUDCHF - Long active ✅Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on AUDCHF.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bullish market structure from 4H timeframe perspective, so I am looking for longs. I expect bullish price action from here as we can see that price filled the imbalance and rejected from bullish order block.
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AUDCHF - Long from bullish order block ✅Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on AUDCHF.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bullish market structure from 4H timeframe perspective, so I am looking for longs from discount zone. I expect price to continue the retracement to fill the imbalances lower and then to reject from bullish order block.
Fundamental analysis: Tomorrow we have news on AUD, will be released Unemployment Rate. Pay attention to the results in order to validate the analysis.
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AUDCHF - Short from bearish order block ✅Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on AUDCHF.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bearish market structure from 4H timeframe perspective, so I am looking for shorts. I expect price to continue the retracement to fill the imbalance higher and then to reject from bearish order block + institutional big figure 0.60000.
Fundamental analysis: Tomorrow will be released monthly CPI on CHF, pay attention to the result in order to validate or not the analysis.
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