AUD/CHF +70 Pips In Less Than 2 Hours , Did You Enter ?If We Have a Daily Closure Above 0.57000 We can add another entry To the same Targets
This Is An Educational + Analytic Content That Will Teach Why And How To Enter A Trade
Make Sure You Watch The Price Action Closely In Each Analysis As This Is A Very Important Part Of Our Method
Disclaimer : This Analysis Can Change At Anytime Without Notice And It Is Only For The Purpose Of Assisting Traders To Make Independent Investments Decisions.
Audchflong
Massive Buying Opportunity: Is a Move to 0.64 Next?This pair is shaping up to be one of my favorite trade setups: the trendline break and retest of the level/zone that broke the trendline.
Looking at the Monthly chart below, we’ve seen a significant downtrend for nearly two years that ended in February this year. At that time, I posted a buy setup, buying dips under 0.57 and targeting the 0.60 level as the first target.
This initial leg has now completed. As explained in the related post from February, after this leg, we would likely see a move back down to test the area that caused the trendline break.
This phase has now played out, and the next likely path is a dip back under 0.57, followed by the start of a new leg in the Monthly uptrend, targeting new highs and the Monthly sell zone starting at 0.63, where we’ll likely see selling interest.
Of course, we don’t just blindly enter when the price dips below 0.57. Instead, we wait for price action to give us cues that momentum is slowing down by zooming into the lower timeframes.
One of my favorite indicators for reading the slowing of momentum is the MACD indicator, specifically looking for divergence signals on the lower timeframes.
If you check the 4-hour chart below, you’ll see we are already starting to get divergence signals.
The 8-hour and 6-hour charts also show the same divergence signals, indicating that selling momentum is starting to slow down as we approach a key HTF area of interest.
What I expect next is a brief dip back under 0.57, followed by a surge higher. We may even dip a little lower towards 0.56.
I will use my TRFX indicator and patiently wait for buy signals on the 4-hour to 12-hour charts before starting to build my buying position.
The first target will be 0.605, and if this position plays out as expected, a clear move up to 0.63 is on the cards.
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AUDCHF: Bullish Reversal SetupAUDCHF: Bullish Reversal Setup
Overview
The AUDCHF pair has recently demonstrated signs of a bullish reversal following a strong bearish movement. This analysis explores the technical factors contributing to the potential shift from a downtrend to an uptrend.
Key Support and Resistance Levels
1. Support Zone:
- The price has found significant support at a key level, where previous lows have historically provided a solid foundation for price rebounds. This level has shown strong buying interest, indicating potential for a reversal.
2. Resistance Zone:
- The immediate resistance level above the current price is crucial for confirming the bullish trend. A successful break and close above this resistance could signal further upward momentum.
Technical Indicators
1. Relative Strength Index (RSI)**:
- The RSI has moved out of oversold territory and is rising, indicating increasing buying pressure. This suggests that the bearish momentum is waning, and the bulls are gaining strength.
Risk Management
Ensure to use stop losses and position sizing to align with your risk tolerance. Continuously monitor the market for any changes in sentiment or fundamental factors that could impact the trade.
This analysis provides a comprehensive view of the potential bullish reversal in the AUDCHF pair, emphasizing key technical indicators, chart patterns, and fundamental factors. By closely monitoring the identified levels and market signals, traders can make informed decisions and capitalize on the potential upward movement.
AUDCHF LONG
Current Trend :
The AUD/CHF pair is showing a bullish trend with a recent breakout from a descending trendline. The current price is 0.60499, just above the 200-period simple moving average (SMA) at 0.59995.
Support and Resistance Levels :
Major Support: 0.60309, 0.60279
Major Resistance: 0.60531, 0.60766
Fibonacci :
Key Fibonacci retracement levels are drawn from the recent low to the high:
38.2%: 0.60385
50.0%: 0.60309
61.8%: 0.60279
The breakout of the descending trendline indicates a potential bullish reversal. Confirmation of this breakout, coupled with a rebound above the SMA 200 level, reinforces the idea of a bullish continuation. The Fibonacci levels provide reference points for placing Stop Loss and Take Profit orders, minimizing risk while maximizing potential gain.
AUDCHF LongThe monthly chart already gives me a lot of information. The last candles were all bullish, and now we have a nice wick rejection. The weekly chart clearly shows the weekly trend and has closed above the last two weekly candle highs. This indicates clear momentum. Based on the monthly and weekly charts, I have all the important information:
clear direction
target
I manage my trades in the daily chart and 4-hour chart. Daily chart: We can see that we are now in a bullish structure. So, the long correction is over, and we can expect a new high.
That doesn't mean we can't fall a bit more before continuing the bullish trend!!!
ICT Longsetup AUDCHF👋Hello Traders,
Our 🖥️ AI system detected that there is an H1 or higher timeframe ICT Long setup in
AUDCHF for session trade (a couple of hours)
Weekly chart is in down trend!! So that you couid wait for a reversal to downside as a Swing Short trade after this upward pulse alternatively!
Please refer to the details Stop loss, FVG(Buy Zone),open for take profit.
For more ideas, you are welcome to visit our profile in tradingview.
Have a good day!
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AUDCHF - Short active !!Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on AUDCHF.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bearish market structure from 4H timeframe perspective, so I look for short position. I expect bearish price action from here after price filled the imbalance and rejected from bearish order block.
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AUDCHF - Long active !!Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on AUDCHF.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bullish market structure from 1H timeframe perspective, so I look only for long position. I expect bullish price action continuation after price filled the imbalance rejected from trendline + bullish order block.
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AUDCHF: BULLISH BAT SPOTTEDHello Traders,
Trust trading has been great for you all. Here is my brief analysis of the AUDCHF pair.
The AUDCHF pair shows a bullish bat pattern, indicating a potential upward reversal. This pattern was spotted in February and has been responsible for the upward rally noticed on the pair since the first week of February. There appears to be more room to the upside on the pair.
Key points : X: 0.53416, A: 0.72599, B: 0.64114, C: 0.69243, D: 0.56181.
My Expectation : Price to rise from 0.59072 to around 0.68 in the coming weeks/months.
Invalidation : If price exceed the 0.54662 to the downside, this idea becomes invalidated.
Traders should watch price action closely and put in proper risk management.
Cheers and happy trading!
AUDCHF potential longWe have observed significant activity from Commodity Trading Advisors (CTAs), who have recently increased their long positions on the Australian dollar against the Swiss franc. This strategic move is supported by several compelling factors that suggest a potential upside for the AUD/CHF pair.
Fundamental Analysis:
One of the primary drivers behind this trade is the interest rate differential between Australia and Switzerland. The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) currently maintains higher interest rates compared to the Swiss National Bank (SNB). Higher interest rates in Australia make the Australian dollar more attractive to investors seeking better yields, thereby providing strong support for the currency.
Technical Analysis :
From a technical perspective, the AUD/CHF pair has exhibited a robust reaction at a critical support level. This key level has historically acted as a significant pivot point, providing strong buying interest and forming a solid foundation for a potential upward movement. The recent price action suggests a renewed bullish sentiment, further reinforced by various technical indicators pointing towards a continuation of the upward trend.
Conclusion :
Considering both the favorable interest rate differential and the positive technical signals, the outlook for AUD/CHF appears bullish. Traders might find this an opportune moment to consider long positions, capitalizing on the potential for further appreciation of the Australian dollar against the Swiss franc.
AUDCHF - Short after filling the imbalance ✅Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on AUDCHF.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bearish market structure from 4H timeframe perspective, so I look for a short. I expect price to continue the retracement to fill the imbalance higher and then to reject from FIBO 0.618 level + institutional big figure 0.59000.
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AUDCHF I Triple bottom and potential bullish continuation Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
** AUDCHF Analysis - Listen to video!
We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met.
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AUDCHF - Potential Bullish OpportunityThe AUD/CHF currency pair has recently exhibited notable price action, presenting an opportunity for technical analysis. Employing harmonic pattern recognition and key support levels, this report aims to outline potential bullish movements and associated trade parameters.
Harmonic Pattern Formation:
A Harmonic Pattern (XABCD) has emerged within the AUD/CHF pair, signaling a potential reversal from the prevailing bearish sentiment. This pattern, identified at a crucial support area, suggests an imminent bullish trajectory.
Key Support Area:
The formation of the Harmonic Pattern coincides with a significant support level, adding credence to the potential bullish outlook. This confluence strengthens the likelihood of a reversal and subsequent upward movement in price.
Technical Entry Strategy:
Entry: Consider initiating a long position near 0.58778, strategically positioned to capitalize on the anticipated bullish momentum.
Stop Loss: Implement a stop loss order at approximately 0.58274 to mitigate potential downside risk and preserve capital in the event of adverse price movements.
Profit Targets:
Target 1 (TP-1): Set the initial profit target at 0.59293, aligning with the expected bullish move following confirmation of the pattern.
Target 2 (TP-2): Establish a secondary profit target at 0.59794, aiming to capitalize further on the anticipated upward price trajectory.
Trade Management:
As with any trade, it is essential to remain vigilant and adapt to evolving market conditions. Monitor price action closely, particularly the breakout of the bearish 4-hour trendline, as confirmation of this breakout will validate the bullish bias and support trade execution.
Conclusion:
In summary, the AUD/CHF currency pair presents a compelling opportunity for bullish movement, supported by the formation of a Harmonic Pattern at a key support area. By adhering to the specified entry, stop loss, and profit target levels, traders can effectively capitalize on the anticipated upward price momentum while managing risk appropriately.
*Note: Trading involves inherent risks, and it is recommended to conduct thorough analysis and exercise prudent risk management strategies.*
AUDCHF / Long Trade Signal ✅💡Hello Traders!
This is my idea for AUDCHF. I expect a bull run until the resistance level at the price of 0.59400.
The price reacts perfectly from the supply zone, and I see the bullish candle as a confirmation of a long trade opportunity.
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AUDCHF - Capture Bullish Opportunity with Anti-Butterfly PatternTrend Analysis:
AUDCHF is currently exhibiting a Bullish trendline on the 4-hour time frame, indicating a favorable upward trajectory in the market sentiment. Additionally, the currency pair adheres to Dow Theory principles, further reinforcing the bullish bias.
Fibonacci Retracement:
A retracement to the 0.786 Fibonacci level has been observed, signaling a temporary pullback within the overarching bullish trend. This retracement was met with upward rejection, indicating robust buying pressure at this level.
Harmonic Pattern:
The AUDCHF pair has formed an Anti-Butterfly Harmonic pattern (XABCD), suggesting a potential reversal and continuation of the bullish momentum. Point D of the pattern serves as a significant turning point, indicating a high probability of a bullish move.
Trade Setup:
Based on the technical analysis, a prudent entry point is near 0.59175, aligning with the anticipated bullish momentum. A stop-loss order should be placed near 0.58852 to mitigate potential downside risk.
Profit Targets:
The first profit target (TP-1) is set at 0.59529, representing a conservative price level where partial profits can be taken. The second profit target (TP-2) is positioned at 0.59862, capturing additional upside potential as the bullish trend unfolds.
Conclusion:
In conclusion, the technical analysis suggests a favorable opportunity for a bullish trade setup in the AUDCHF currency pair. Traders are advised to closely monitor price action around the specified entry, stop loss, and profit target levels to capitalize on the anticipated bullish move effectively. As always, risk management remains paramount in executing successful trades.
AUDCHF On the monthly charts we have a long term bearish trend forming new lows. There are imbalances likely to be cleared when there is a bullish correction.
On the lower time frames, we signs of a bullish correction forming though we do not yet have a clear confirmation. On the 4 hour,we have internal bullish structure with minor bearish correction. Once we have a clear break, we will go long on this pair targeting the previously mentioned imbalances.
FX Wars Episode 3 - The revenge of the AUD (vs CHF)As a wise trader once said:
"Trading is a simple game. What makes it so complicated is the presence of the SNB."
In short and simple terms:
I'm buying the AUD against the CHF for a long-term swing trade.
The reasons for this are short and sweet:
- As predicted back in February, Swiss inflation fell below 2% in July.
- As predicted, Swiss inflation fell much faster than the SNB had expected (currently at 1.4%)
- As predicted, the SNB raised interest rates for the last time in June and paused in September
- Tomorrow the SNB will not raise rates, but the market will start to price in possible SNB rate cuts for 2024
- My forecast: 1st rate cut by the SNB in 2024 will be by March or June
- As predicted in this trade idea, the Swiss economy is increasingly weakening and flirting very aggressively with a possible recession, which would seal 2-3 possible rate cuts in 2024
AUDCHF - Long from support ✅Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on AUDCHF.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bullish market structure from 4H timeframe perspective, so I am looking for a long. I wait price to go a little bit lower and then to reject from trendline + support + institutional big figure 0.58000.
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