Audchfshort
AUDCHF ShortWaiting for the bounce before the possible bearish slide of this pair if not by Friday, by next week, based on price action from the weekly chart as well as the bearish effect on most AUD pairs in general due to recent USD strength from rising US yields and general hawkishness of the Fed. Setting up sell stop order @0.74069 with TP near the weekly trendline support @0.731 and SL just a few pips above this week's resistance @0.746.
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Daily:
Weekly:
Confidence: B (risk of getting whipsawed, better to enter this trade after Personal Consumption & GDP news on Friday)
AUD/CHF short setup on 'Bearish Bat' formationAUD/CHF pauses downside at 100-DMA support at 0.7468, we see weakness on break below.
The pair has failed to extend gains above 200-DMA, and is retracing from 3-month highs at 0.7567.
Price action hovers around daily Ichimoku cloud, and break below 100-DMA raises scope for test of 21-EMA at 0.7433.
We evidence a 'Bearish Bat' formation on daily charts which adds to the bearish bias.
Stochs are on verge of a rollover from overbought levels and bullish momentum is fading.
Violation at 21-EMA will see further weakness. While on the flipside, 200-DMA is major resistance, any further upside only on decisive break above.
Focus now on Australia inflation numbers, weak data could push the Aussie lower.
Support levels - 0.7468 (100-DMA), 0.7433 (21-EMA), 0.7428 (38.2% Fib), 0.74
Resistance levels - 0.7502 (5-DMA), 0.7544 (converged 200-DMA & 61.8% Fib), 0.7567 (Apr 19 high)
Good to go short on break below 100-DMA, SL: 0.75, TP: 0.7430/ 0.74/ 0.7360.
AUD/CHF short setupAUD/CHF slips lower below 5-DMA support at 0.7442, currently trades at 0.7425, intraday bias lower.
SNB maintains status quo, leaves deposit rate unchanged at -0.75%, failed to provide any fresh impetus.
Renewed concerns over a global trade war lending some support the Swiss Franc's safe-haven appeal.
Technical studies are turning slightly bearish. Stochs are on the verge of a rollover from overbought levels.
Upside remains capped below 50-DMA and daily cloud also weighs on the upside.
We evidence bearish divergence from price action on RSI and Stochs which adds to bearish bias.
Price has slipped below hourly cloud and is on track to test 200-SMA at 0.7395. Violation there could see further weakness.
Support levels - 0.7395 (1H 200-SMA), 0.7364 (20-DMA), 0.7334 (61.8% Fib retrace of 0.7242 to 0.7483 rally)
Resistance levels - 0.7442 (1H 55-EMA & 5-DMA), 0.7467 (50-DMA), 0.75
Good to go short on rallies around 0.7425/35, SL: 0.7470, TP: 0.7395/ 0.7365/ 0.7335
Rising wedge/ascending triangle breaking bullish trendlineFX_IDC:AUDCHF
Rising wedge from late 2015 till date (start 2018).
Price behaviors noted:
1) constantly made higher highs, and higher lows
2) price has respected the support with minimally 3 decent touches
3) similar findings for the resistance, which was initially an increasing resistance, turned into a flat resistance - respecting a longer term S/R
Reasons to look to/take a short:
1) the break occured towards the last 1/3 of the triangle, meaning price has been in the formation for a considerable amount of time (compared to a break at the middle of the triangle)
2) risk-reward opportunities surpasses > 1.20, if stop-loss is placed just below 0.78 and a 0.65 target
3) general price direction, from mid 2012 till date, is bearish. A short constitutes a position with the longer term trend.
*This is my first attempt to contribute to the tradingview community. All suggestions/feedback welcome!
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iskfx
AUD/CHF short trade ideaUpside for now remains capped at 0.74 handle and we see breakout there to see further gains.
On the flipside, the pair is trading below all major moving EMAs.
Break below 0.73 handle will see resumption of weakness.
We then see scope then for test of 0.7220 (88.6% Fib).
Support levels - 0.73 (psychological level), 0.7285 (78.6% Fib retrace of 0.7146 to 0.78 rally), 0.7220 (88.6% Fib)
Resistance levels - 0.7384 (5-DMA), 0.74 (psychological level), 0.7480 (1H 200-SMA)
Good to go short around 0.7370, SL: 0.7425, TP: 0.73/ 0.7285/ 0.7220
AUD/CHF Ichimoku Bearish Trade IdeaThis pair has tried rising and has failed to make it to support. As long as our bearish confirmations hold, I will be looking for a sell entry. I am watching for a break below our current candle targeting close to the low of the long bearish wick we saw last week. If any of our bearish confirmations change, this trade may become invalidated.