AUD/JPY H4 | Downtrend to extend further?AUD/JPY is rising towards a pullback resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 97.32 which is a pullback resistance.
Stop loss is at 98.35 which is a level that sits above an overlap resistance.
Take profit is at 95.64 which is a swing-low support.
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AUDJPY
AUD/JPY BEST PLACE TO SELL FROM|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
It makes sense for us to go short on AUD/JPY right now from the resistance line above with the target of 96.652 because of the confluence of the two strong factors which are the general downtrend on the previous 1W candle and the overbought situation on the lower TF determined by it’s proximity to the upper BB band.
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AUDJPY - Short from bearish OB !!Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on AUDJPY.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bearish market structure from 4H timeframe perspective, so I look for a short. I expect price to continue the retracement to fill the imbalance higher and then to reject from bearish OB.
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AUDJPY: Potential Long from Key Support ZoneOANDA:AUDJPY is currently trading near a significant support zone which previously led to bullish reversals. The recent bearish move into this zone suggests a potential for buyers to step in and drive prices higher.
A bullish confirmation, such as rejection patterns, bullish engulfing candles, or long lower wicks, would increase the likelihood of a rebound. If buyers regain control, the price may rise toward the 96.650 level, where sellers could potentially re-emerge.
This setup aligns with a possible short-term recovery within the broader bearish trend. Traders should wait for confirmation of buying pressure before considering long positions.
AUDJPY NEXT STEPAUDJPY is falling towards these two red lines ;
the first line is obvious, the tough thing to forecast is what's happening after reaching this one, does it go back up before reaching the next one ?
For us, its should be a "head and shoulders" pattern, meaning some pretty smooth but sure descent towards lower prices, without going back up.
AUDJPY: Free Trading Signal
AUDJPY
- Classic bullish setup
- Our team expects bullish continuation
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Long AUDJPY
Entry Point - 96.697
Stop Loss - 96.279
Take Profit - 97.474
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
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audjpy buy signal. Don't forget about stop-loss.
Write in the comments all your questions and instruments analysis of which you want to see.
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P.S. I personally will open entry if the price will show it according to my strategy.
Always make your analysis before a trade
AUDJPY BULLISH BATHarmonic Pattern Trading Strategy:
1. Combine patterns with 2-3 confirmations (e.g., MA, BB, RSI, Stoch) for increased accuracy.
2. Implement proper risk management.
3. Limit exposure to 3% of capital per trade.
4. Exercise caution: Not every Harmonic Pattern presents a good trading opportunity.
5. Conduct thorough diligence and analysis before trading.
Disciplined approach = Enhanced edge.
AUDJPY Is Bullish! Buy!
Please, check our technical outlook for AUDJPY.
Time Frame: 15m
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 96.530.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 96.725 level soon.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
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AUDJPY My Opinion! BUY!
My dear friends,
AUDJPY looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 96.801 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear long signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bullish trend of the market.
Goal - 97.463
Recommended Stop Loss - 96.413
About Used Indicators:
Pivot points are a great way to identify areas of support and resistance, but they work best when combined with other kinds of technical analysis
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
AUDJPY GOING DOWNWe almost had the first part (you can take a look at the blue arrow on the 3rd of January), and it indeed reached the exact price we wanted it to (red dotted line)
However it has come back up since then, which shows that there's still a high buying volume for this asset.
But at some point, it is to come down and break the first red to reach the second lower red.
We made two possibilities for you to get the scheme.
AUD/JPY BULLS ARE STRONG HERE|LONG
Hello, Friends!
AUD/JPY pair is trading in a local downtrend which we know by looking at the previous 1W candle which is red. On the 9H timeframe the pair is going down too. The pair is oversold because the price is close to the lower band of the BB indicator. So we are looking to buy the pair with the lower BB line acting as support. The next target is 97.590 area.
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AUDJPY Weekly Analysis: Potential Rebound at Major TrendlineOn the AUDJPY weekly chart, there is an interesting rebound potential around the main trendline. Previously, the price has bounced off this area several times, as indicated by green arrows. This pattern suggests that the trendline remains a strong support level.
Currently, the price is approaching this trendline area, offering a buying opportunity with measured risk. If another rebound occurs, the main target is at the psychological level of 110, which also serves as a potential resistance. If the price fails to stay above the trendline, a stop loss is placed at 93.6 to limit losses and manage risk effectively.
This analysis supports a swing trading strategy, considering the weekly timeframe, which shows a long-term upward trend. The consistent price movements around the trendline strengthen the validity of this analysis.
Disclaimer:
This analysis is part of a trading plan and does not constitute trading advice. Technical analysis is probabilistic and does not guarantee profitability. Always implement good risk management in every trading decision.
Heading into overlap resistance?AUD/JPY is rising towards the pivot which acts as an overlap resistance and could reverse to the 1st support.
Pivot: 98.14
1st support: 96.93
1st Resistance: 99.02
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Heading into 61.8% Fibonacci resistance?AUD/JJPY is rising towards the resistance level which is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 98.15
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 98.70
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that is slightly above the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 96.91
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
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Could we see some weakness in AUDJPY in the near term?Both currencies are currently on the weaker side against their major counterparts. Despite the RBA holding off from cutting, nor hiking rates, the AUD struggled to find strong grounds. Similarly for JPY, where the currency has been hit because of no significant action taken by the BoJ, it has been tough for the yen to find strength. Also, strong global stock market activity made safe-haven yen less attractive.
Given that MARKETSCOM:AUDJPY is seen as somewhat of a risk-on/risk-off monitor, we can see that the pair has been in “limbo” from around the end of August. From around the beginning of December, the pair started moving slightly upwards within a short-term rising channel formation. If we purely look at that structure, then we also examine the prevailing trend, which has been to the downside, meaning there is a greater chance for FX_IDC:AUDJPY to exit the channel through the lower side of it. However, until we see that exit, we can not assume the breakout will be lower.
At the time of writing, looking at our EMAs on our daily chart, we can see that the price action is below all of them, indicating possible weakness to come. The MACD is showing some weakness in the upside momentum, and the RSI remains below 50. These are technical indications of potential downside in the near term.
Nevertheless, we would prefer to wait for a clearance of the lower side of the aforementioned channel, before considering any downside movement.
For us to shift our attention to some higher areas, a break of the upper side of that rising channel may indicate bullish activity. If that happens, the rate would also be placed above all our EMAs, possibly attracting more bulls into the field.
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AUD/JPY Reversal: Targeting 102.000 from 96.900
AUD/JPY has recently shown signs of exhaustion at lower levels, signaling a potential reversal from the 96.900 level. Here’s a detailed breakdown of why this setup presents an attractive trading opportunity:
Technical Analysis:
Key Support Zone:
The 96.900 level has proven to be a significant support area historically, as seen from previous price reactions. The pair has bounced strongly from this region multiple times, indicating the presence of strong buying interest.
Bollinger Bands:
The price is approaching the lower Bollinger Band on the daily timeframe, which often serves as a dynamic support level. This suggests a high likelihood of mean reversion toward the midline or upper band.
Fibonacci Levels:
Applying Fibonacci retracement from the recent swing low to the swing high reveals that 96.900 aligns closely with the 38.2% retracement level. This confluence strengthens the case for a reversal.
Trendline Analysis:
A rising trendline drawn from the March 2023 low intersects near 96.900. The trendline has been respected multiple times, indicating its significance.
Divergence on RSI:
On the 4-hour and daily charts, the RSI is showing bullish divergence, with the oscillator forming higher lows while the price forms lower lows. This often precedes a reversal in price.
Volume Profile:
A noticeable increase in volume near the 96.900 region suggests accumulation by institutional players, further reinforcing the support level's validity.
Fundamental Drivers:
Risk Sentiment:
The Australian Dollar, being a commodity-linked currency, is often influenced by global risk appetite. Any improvements in risk sentiment could boost AUD demand.
Japan's Monetary Policy:
The Bank of Japan’s commitment to its ultra-loose monetary policy may continue to pressure the Yen. This divergence in monetary policies between the RBA and BoJ supports a bullish bias for AUD/JPY.
Economic Indicators:
Strong economic data from Australia, particularly in the employment and commodity sectors, could act as a catalyst for further upside.
Target and Risk Management:
Entry Point:
Look for long positions near 96.900, ideally after a bullish confirmation (e.g., a pin bar or engulfing candle on the daily timeframe).
Take-Profit Levels:
First target: 98.500 (psychological level and minor resistance).
Final target: 102.000 (major resistance zone from previous highs).
Stop-Loss Placement:
A tight stop-loss below 96.400 ensures limited downside risk while providing an excellent risk-to-reward ratio.
Conclusion:
AUD/JPY is presenting a high-probability reversal opportunity from the 96.900 support zone. Both technical and fundamental factors align, making this trade idea particularly compelling. Monitor price action closely for confirmation before entering.
AUD/JPY: Bearish Reversal in Play, A Long Downtrend Awaits?Hey Realistic Traders, OANDA:AUDJPY has no chance for a Bullish Outlook? Let's dive into the analysis...
After a prolonged consolidation phase, the Aussie Yen has once again traded below the EMA-200 line, forming a new lower high along the way. This bearish signal marked the beginning of a continued downward movement, which was further confirmed by a breakout from a rising wedge pattern. Such breakouts typically indicate strong bearish momentum, especially when accompanied by multiple bearish marubozu candlesticks.
Further strengthening this outlook, a falling wedge breakout occurred on the JPYBASKET, signaling a continuation of its prevailing bullish trend. This divergence between Aussie Yen and JPYBASKET adds weight to our bearish analysis.
Considering these strong technical signals, the price is likely to move downward toward the first target at 94.651 or potentially the second target at 93.716.
However, this bearish scenario depends on the price staying below the critical stop-loss level at 98.478.
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"Disclaimer: "Please note that this analysis is solely for educational purposes and should not be considered a recommendation to take a long or short position on Aussie Yen".