AUD/JPY 4H: Potential Reversal at Support Zone !!Price Action: The price is trading below the 200-period EMA, indicating that the general trend is bearish. However, there's a price bounce near the orange box (support zone), suggesting that a reversal could occur from this level.
Support and Resistance Zones:
The support zone is the orange box around 95.85–96.10. Price is near the lower bound of this zone, which could provide a buying opportunity if the price holds above it.
Resistance is at the higher level of around 97.55, and there's also a minor resistance around 96.70, which is likely a short-term obstacle.
EMA (200): The 200-period EMA (at 96.69) is acting as a dynamic resistance, contributing to the overall bearish bias. If price closes above it, there could be a shift in sentiment.
Potential Trade Setup: The analysis shows a possible buying opportunity if price holds above the orange box (95.85–96.10). A potential upside target would be around the 97.55 level, which aligns with previous price action resistance.
Overall, this chart is suggesting a bounce off the support zone with a possible move towards resistance. However, the trend remains bearish as long as the price stays below the 200 EMA.
AUDJPY
Could the price bounce from here?AUD/JPY is falling towards the support level which is a pullback support that is slightly below the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 95.69
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that is slightly below the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 95.06
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that is slightly above the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 96.62
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
AUD/JPY: Counter-trend bull flag in focusI have outlined my bearish case for AUD/JPY for the year in prior articles and videos, but today I want to look at a potential countertrend setup.
A bull flag is forming on the daily chart. Usually I'd prefer to see such patterns during a strong uptrend as a continuation pattern. But given we saw a false break of an elongated bullish pinbar and sharp reversal higher, I suspect there is at least one more leg higher brewing for AUD/JPY. And because this is counter trend to my core bearish bias, I am not seeking the usual flag projection target, and instead will be happy with a more conservative reward if successful.
Prices are holding above the 10-day ERMA and weekly pivot point, but bulls could also seek dips towards the high-volume node (HVN) at 95.11 or around the 98 handle.
Bulls could target the 97 handle, with a break above 97.20 brining the weekly R1 into focus just below 98.
Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at City Index and Forex.com
AUDJPY - Idea for a sell !!Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on AUDJPY.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bearish market structure from 4H timeframe perspective, so I look for a short. My point of interest is imbalance filled + rejection from bearish OB and level 96.000.
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AUDJPY Sell signal below the 4H MA50.The AUDJPY pair has been trading within a Bearish Megaphone and is currently going sideways within the 4H MA200 (orange trend-line) and 4H MA50 (blue trend-line). Every time the latter broke to the downside, the pattern started its new Bearish Leg.
Assuming it hits at least the 1.236 Fibonacci extension like the first Bearish Leg, we are looking at a short-term Target of 93.750, if the 4H MA50 breaks.
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AUDJPY hawkish RBA statement after their 25bps cutThis was the RBA's first rate cut since 2020, with the bank citing some progress towards bringing down inflation, but warning that further monetary easing still hinged on more downside in inflation. The central bank indicated that it would retain a restrictive policy due to the strength of the jobs market and an uncertain global economic outlook.
The AUDJPY currency pair price action sentiment appears bearish, supported by the longer-term prevailing downtrend. The recent oversold bounce back is retesting major resistance at 97.30.
The key trading level is at 97.30, which is the current swing high, 50 Day Moving Average and previous support now newly formed resistance. An oversold rally from the current levels and a bearish rejection from the 97.30 level could target the downside support at 94.90 followed by 93.40 and 91.40 levels over the longer timeframe.
Alternatively, a confirmed breakout above 97.30 resistance and a daily close above that level would negate the bearish outlook opening the way for further rallies higher and a retest of 98.50 resistance followed by 100.00 levels.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Bullish bounce?AUD/JPY is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 96.59
1st Support: 94.69
1st Resistance: 96.84
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bullish bounce off pullback support?AUD/JPY is falling towards the support level which is a pullback support that is slightly below the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 95.69
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that is slightly below the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 95.06
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that is slightly above the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 96.85
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Happening Now: AUDJPY Swing Move Setup Buy- on Weak JPYBased on a strong AUD and weak JPY - see the currency index charts.
We've had a rejection off an area and Weekly candle last week closed engulfing - confirming bullishness.
Major news this week may create the conditions for volatility.
Will wait for a reversal pattern in price action before confirming the Buy.
AUDJPY Daily BiasThis price has been on a bearish momentum for the past few weeks, until there was a market structure shift at around the 96.73. I anticipate that the momentum might be bullish.
To confirm this, today's candle might be significant. If we close lower than Friday's Daily Candle, the price might be drawn towards the Daily FVG zone at 95.7. If we close above, we might have our bullish entry targeting 98.8.
AUD/JPY BEST PLACE TO SELL FROM|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
AUD/JPY is trending down which is clear from the red colour of the previous weekly candle. However, the price has locally surged into the overbought territory. Which can be told from its proximity to the BB upper band. Which presents a beautiful trend following opportunity for a short trade from the resistance line above towards the demand level of 94.234.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
AUDJPY The Week Ahead 17th Feb 25The AUDJPY currency pair price action sentiment appears bearish, supported by the longer-term prevailing downtrend. The recent oversold bounce back is retesting major resistance at 97.30.
The key trading level is at 97.30, which is the current swing high, 50 Day Moving Average and previous support now newly formed resistance. An oversold rally from the current levels and a bearish rejection from the 97.30 level could target the downside support at 94.90 followed by 93.40 and 91.40 levels over the longer timeframe.
Alternatively, a confirmed breakout above 97.30 resistance and a daily close above that level would negate the bearish outlook opening the way for further rallies higher and a retest of 98.50 resistance followed by 100.00 levels.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
AUDJPY retest of previous support at 97.30The AUDJPY currency pair price action sentiment appears bearish, supported by the longer-term prevailing downtrend. The recent oversold bounce back is retesting major resistance at 97.30.
The key trading level is at 97.30, which is the current swing high, 50 Day Moving Average and previous support now newly formed resistance. An oversold rally from the current levels and a bearish rejection from the 97.30 level could target the downside support at 94.90 followed by 93.40 and 91.40 levels over the longer timeframe.
Alternatively, a confirmed breakout above 97.30 resistance and a daily close above that level would negate the bearish outlook opening the way for further rallies higher and a retest of 98.50 resistance followed by 100.00 levels.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
AUDJPY The Target Is DOWN! SELL!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for AUDJPY below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 96.823
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points High anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear sell, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 96.490
About Used Indicators:
The pivot point itself is simply the average of the high, low and closing prices from the previous trading day.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Bearish drop?AUD/JPY is rising towards the pivot which acts as a pullback resistance and could drop to the 50% Fibonacci support.
Pivot: 96.53
1st Support: 95.68
1st Resistance: 97.86
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
AUDJPY My Opinion! SELL!
My dear followers,
This is my opinion on the AUDJPY next move:
The asset is approaching an important pivot point 96.402
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear short signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bearish trend of the market.
Goal - 95.587
About Used Indicators:
For more efficient signals, super-trend is used in combination with other indicators like Pivot Points.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
AUDJPY - Deeper pullback or retesting strong support?These are the 2 scenarios that I see for AUDJPY on the 4h timeframe.
Scenario 1 - Deeper Pullback and Continuation:
In this scenario, the price could initially drop further from current levels around 96.24, potentially reaching the 95.50 area, forming a deeper pullback. This move would shake out some weak longs and create a stronger base for the next move up. After this deeper correction, the pair could find strong buying interest and initiate a significant bounce, potentially targeting the recent highs around 98.50-99.00. This scenario would align with the overall consolidation pattern we've seen in recent months.
Scenario 2 - Orange Box Retest:
The alternative scenario shows price moving down to retest the orange box support zone around 94.00. This would represent a more bearish development, as it would mean breaking below the recent swing lows. The orange box appears to be a significant support area, and reaching this level could trigger one of two responses: either a strong bounce from this major support zone, or if the support breaks, it could lead to a more substantial decline. The reaction at this zone would be crucial for determining the pair's medium-term direction.
Both scenarios suggest some downside in the near term, with the key difference being the depth of the pullback and the subsequent reaction at these lower levels.
Bullish bounce?AUD/JPY is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 96.54
1st Support: 95.68
1st Resistance: 97.86
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
AUDJPY Is Recovering After The Wedge PatternAUDJPY pair is sharply and impulsively recovering after we spotted the wedge pattern, so it’s now rising in minimum three waves A/1-B/2-C/3 that can retrace the price back to the starting point of the wedge pattern and back to 99-100 area, especially if we consider an unfilled GAP at 98.35 level. Currently we can see it making a five-wave impulse into wave A/1, so after corrective pullback in wave B/2, be aware of a bigger rally within wave C or maybe even wave 3 if goes decisively above 100 area.
The ending diagonal (wedge) pattern is a special type of wave that occurs in wave 5 of an impulse or wave C of a correction. An ending diagonal pattern is a type of pattern that can occur at the completion of a strong move. It reflects a “calming” of the market sentiment such that price still moves generally in the direction of the larger move, but not strongly enough to produce an impulsive wave. Ending diagonals consist of five waves, labeled 1-2-3-4-5, where each wave subdivides into three legs. Waves 1 and 4 overlap in price, while wave 3 can not be the shortest amongst waves 1, 3 and 5.
The reason why they are so interesting is because they are indicating a reversal, usually a strong one, which can retrace the price back to the starting point of the pattern.
AUD/JPY "Aussie vs Japanese" Forex Market Bearish Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑💰🐱👤
Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the AUD/JPY "Aussie vs Japanese" Forex Market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes short entry. Our aim is the high-risk Green Zone. Risky level, oversold market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bullish robbers are stronger. 🏆💸Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉
Entry 📈 : "The vault is wide open! Swipe the Bearish loot at any price - the heist is on!
however I advise placing Sell limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or closest high or low level should be in retest.
Stop Loss 🛑: Thief SL placed at 96.800 (swing Trade) Using the 4H period, the recent / nearest low or high level.
SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
Target 🎯: 93.500 (or) Escape Before the Target
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📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro, COT, Sentimental & Positioning:
AUD/JPY "Aussie vs Japanese" Forex Market is currently experiencing a Bearish trend., driven by several key factors.
🔴Fundamental Analysis
- The Australian economy is experiencing a slowdown, with a decline in GDP growth rate and a rise in unemployment rate.
- The Japanese economy is also experiencing a slowdown, with a decline in GDP growth rate and a rise in inflation rate.
- The interest rate differential between Australia and Japan is narrowing, with the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) expected to cut interest rates and the Bank of Japan (BOJ) expected to keep interest rates low.
🔵Macro Economics
- The global economic slowdown is expected to continue, with a forecast of 3.0% global GDP growth rate for 2023.
- The US-China trade tensions are expected to continue, with a potential impact on global trade and economic growth.
- The commodity prices are expected to remain low, with a potential impact on the Australian economy.
🟤COT Report
- Non-commercials (speculators) are net short 40,000 contracts, indicating a bearish sentiment.
- Commercials (hedgers) are net long 20,000 contracts, indicating a bullish sentiment.
- The net positioning of non-commercials has decreased by 10,000 contracts in the past week, indicating a decrease in bearish sentiment.
🟢Sentimental Market
- Retail traders have a bearish sentiment towards AUD/JPY, with 60% being bearish.
- Institutional investors have a bearish sentiment towards AUD/JPY, with 55% being bearish.
- Hedge funds have a bearish sentiment towards AUD/JPY, with 58% being bearish.
⚪Positioning
- Institutional traders are holding short positions in AUD/JPY, indicating a bearish sentiment.
- Retail traders are holding short positions in AUD/JPY, indicating a bearish sentiment.
- Hedge funds are holding short positions in AUD/JPY, indicating a bearish sentiment.
🟡Overall Outlook
- AUD/JPY is expected to trend bearish in the short term, driven by the global economic slowdown, US-China trade tensions, and the narrowing interest rate differential between Australia and Japan.
- The bearish sentiment among retail traders, institutional investors, and hedge funds is expected to continue, putting downward pressure on AUD/JPY.
- The COT report indicates a decrease in bearish sentiment among non-commercials, which could potentially lead to a short-term rebound in AUD/JPY.
⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
📌Please note that this is a general analysis and not personalized investment advice. It's essential to consider your own risk tolerance and market analysis before making any investment decisions.
📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly.
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