Audjpy-short
AUDJPY: Watch this - don't kick yourself!AUDJPY is in a critical zone on the 3D time frame. This is one to get ready to short, on a lower time frame. Price is struggling in the congestion zone, which contains a heavy bearish investor sentiment. This does not mean price is bound to head south. It means that the probability estimate from this time frame is for the south. For every probability in one direction, there is a residual probability in the opposite direction.
AUDJPY - One more push lwoer before ralling ?We are in a Triangle formation and we should very soon see price go down for wave E.
We should ideally see a 3 waves decline.
Note that wave E sometimes is quite small so that it doesn't have to touch the lower trend line.
This count gets negated if price goes above wave B and below wave A.
AUDJPY - Will The Yen Be The Safe Haven Yet Again? With JPY new set for tomorrow with the Bank Of Japan discussing the Monetary Policy and the governor of the BOJ speaking on the Bill Of Exchange, this could be a influencing factor as to where AUDJPY price would like to move.
Currently, at the time of writing this article, we are sitting above the 78.750 monthly key level. We are respecting the descending trend line, however we have broken the ascending trend line. Price has also been ranging between the 77.700-79.800 price region from early January till now. We began to see downside momentum after consolidating between the 25th of February and 5th of March, where we then saw price break the consolidation zone creating a lower low followed by a lower high.
I favour a short bias however I'd like for price to close below the monthly key level or see a break and retest. Price could also push higher, seeing stop hunts and break the descending trend line and retest the ascending trend line, around the 79.500 price region, which will be another retracement to the 61.8 Fibonacci level. I will be waiting for more confirmation on this pair however price looks bearish. With speculation in the air surrounding the Aussie Dollar likely slipping below 0.70 USD in the second half of 2019, this may be a high probability setup with downside targets of 73.500 and 71.000 long term.
If the descending trend line is broken, retested and then we see an aggressive bullish movement, this short may be invalidated. As always, risk management is key and trade responsibly. Only use my analysis in line with yours, do not doubt or change your bias.
If any further questions are needed, hit me up on instagram: keownarcher
AUD/JPY ShortBearish engulfing below 78.666 level, had two massive wick rejections to the upside indicating this pair doesn't want to continue bullishly. Possibly the last touch on the trend line as i have found the 4th touch can be a pretty significant reversal touch number (if that makes sense haha). I am also bearish on AUD this week overall, but am thinking we will get a slight bullish pullback on Monday morning (perhaps around 10-20 pips) then proceed downward. Trade safe and keep grinding everyone.
AudJpy Short position on this pair.
-Price has been sold off on the weekly and daily time frames.
-Price action has pulled back to test previous support which now could potentially turn into resistance.
- Daily resistance lines up with 0.5 Fibonacci retracement.
- Downside target of 75.000 round number
- Will need to see some clear rejection of this area and before looking for short positions.
AUDJPY ShortAssuming the pair continues to be range-bound, riding the short-term bearish trend. Setting up sell stop order with TP 80.513 and SL just a few pips below the 38.2% fib line (@82.378). Must close this trade before the CPI news tomorrow at 9:30am (GMT+8), because considering how bullish the overall sentiment is in COT futures as well as RBA being hawkish in general, there's probability that this pair might have a bullish breakout.
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Daily:
Weekly:
Confidence: B (because of risks mentioned above)