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AUDJPY

AUD/JPY Crushed by Carry Trade UnwindAUD/JPY is the quintessential "carry trade" pair among the majors given Australia's clear link to global growth and Japan's persistent near-zero interest rates. After a strong start to the year, the pair has dropped over -1100 pips (-10%) in just the last 3 weeks along, underscoring the risk with crowded carry trades. A near-term bounce is possible, but with the BOJ starting to raise interest rates, it's unlikely we'll see the same level of enthusiasm for AUD/JPY longs any time soon. -MW
by FOREXcom
Beginning of the AJ Bull's END?!Here I have AUD/JPY on the Daily Chart! Beginning in March of 2020 to what seems to be the new High @ 109.372 in July of 2024, we have seen the end of the 5th Wave of Elliot's Impulse Wave! With Prices steep decline to the new LOWER LOW @ 99.209, knocking out the Low of June and Testing the Low of May, these are the conditions needed for what could potentially turn into a Correction Wave!!! The Sellings have BEGUN! -You can see that the RSI after this enormous drop in price Breaking Lows ( Structure) is now operating under the 50 mark & Oversold! -The BB Trend is now printing Red Bars showing signs of Bears in the vicinity! Where might Price go?? -If 99.209 is our True Lower Low we will be working with, I suspect price will make a STRONG retracement! *Potential Retracement Levels* ( 103.091 - 103.691 ) - Golden Zone ( 104.291 - 105.490 ) - 50% / 38.2% -Fundamentals- *Uncertainty of BOJ decision mixed with the suspected COOLING of inflation on AUD may be just the catalyst we need to see this pull off! AUD - CPI q/q & y/y - Tuesday, July 30th JPY - BOJ Policy Rate - Tuesday, July 30th
Short
by Novi_Fibonacci
AUD/JPY Buy Trade OpportunityAttention Traders! Here's an exciting trade setup for the AUD/JPY currency pair. This opportunity involves a buy trade with a well-defined entry range and profit targets to maximize your potential gains. Trade Details: Buy Range: Enter the trade when the price is between 105.40 and 105.50 Profit Targets: First Target: 107 Set this as your initial level to take some profits. Second Target: 107.50 Aim for this level to maximize your returns. Key Points to Consider: Entry: Ensure you enter the trade within the specified range of 105.40 to 105.50 to optimize your potential profits. Profit-Taking Strategy: Setting two profit targets allows for effective risk management and maximized gains. Close part of your position at 107 to secure initial profits and aim for 107.50 for additional gains. Risk Management: Always consider your risk tolerance and use appropriate stop-loss orders to protect your investment in case the market moves against your position. This structured approach ensures you have a clear plan for entering and exiting the trade, balancing potential profits with effective risk management. Happy Trading!
Long
by FOREX-XONA
Potential bullish bounce?AUD/JPY is falling towards the pivot which is a pullback support and could bounce to the 1st resistance which is also a pullback resistance. Pivot: 102.64 1st Support: 101.59 1st Resistance: 103.88 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Long
by ICmarkets
7 Dimension Buy Signal For AUDJPY CORE Analysis Method: Smart Money Concepts 😇 7 Dimension Analysis Time Frame: H4 1️⃣ Swing Structure: Bullish with BOS 🟢 Swing Move: Corrective swing reaches the extreme POI. 🟢 Pull Back: Deep pull reaches the extreme POI, with a high chance of reversal. 🟢 Area: Discounted area with swing demand zone. 2️⃣ Patterns Reversal: Double bottom. 🟢 CANDLE PATTERNS: Multiple long wicks at the bottom. Tower bottom reversal. 3️⃣ Volume 🟢 Volume during correction: Not significant, but shows high volume at the POI, indicating execution volume. 4️⃣ Momentum RSI 🟢 Zone: In strong bearish zone with proper range shift and multiple divergences. 🟢 Moves: Strong loud moves indicating significant bearish momentum at this point, suggesting this breakout might be the last support area for the uptrend. 5️⃣ Volatility Bollinger Bands 🟢 Expansion: About to end; before a breakout or reversal, price might enter a consolidation phase until confirmation. 🟢 Band Puncher: Indicates a short-term up move before cooling down some volatility. 6️⃣ Strength: Equal but slightly bullish without strong momentum. 7️⃣ Sentiment: Wait until breakout. ✔️ Entry Time Frame: M15 ✅ Entry TF Structure: MSS ✔️ Entry Time POI: Filled ☑️ FIB Trigger event: Done ☑️ Trend line breakout: Yes 💡 Decision: BUY 🚀 Entry: 107.340 ✋ Stop loss: 106.713 🎯 Take profit: 109.1 😊 Risk to reward Ratio: 3 RR 🕛 Expected Duration: SUMMARY The analysis identifies a bullish swing structure on the H4 time frame, marked by a Break of Structure (BOS) and a corrective swing reaching the extreme Point of Interest (POI). The deep pullback to the extreme POI, along with a discounted area and swing demand zone, suggests a high chance of reversal. Reversal chart patterns, such as a double bottom, are noted along with multiple long wicks at the bottom, forming a tower bottom reversal. Volume analysis indicates that while volume during correction was not significant, high volume at the POI suggests execution volume. Momentum RSI is in a strong bearish zone with proper range shifts and multiple divergences, indicating strong bearish momentum. However, this suggests that the current breakout might be the last support area for the uptrend. Bollinger Bands show that the expansion is about to end, indicating a potential consolidation phase before a breakout or reversal. A band puncher pattern indicates a short-term up move before volatility cools down. Strength is equal but slightly bullish without strong momentum. Sentiment advises waiting until a breakout. The entry time frame is M15, with the entry structure indicating MSS, and the POI is filled with the FIB trigger event and trend line breakout confirmed. The decision is to buy at 107.340, with a stop loss at 106.713 and a take profit at 109.1, providing a 3:1 risk to reward ratio. The expected duration for this trade setup is to be determined based on market conditions and price behavior as outlined.
by Optimum369
Bearish Continuation in AUD/JPY with Strategic Entry & TP LevelsThe AUD/JPY pair shows a strong bearish continuation pattern following yesterday's CPI data release. A Lower Low (LL) formed after the Higher Low (HL) breakout, with significant rejection at a key Resistance Area, aligning with the 38.2% Fibonacci Retracement Level. Analysis: Price Rejection at Resistance The rejection at the Resistance Area, coupled with the 38.2% Fib Level, suggests strong bearish pressure. Bearish Continuation: The LL formation post-HL breakout confirms a bearish trend. A break below 106.700 signals further downside potential. Trading Strategy: Entry Enter at 106.700 on LL breakout. Stop Loss Place SL at 107.980, above the resistance. Take Profit TP-1: 105.420 TP-2: 104.140 Conclusion: The technical indicators and price action confirm a bearish continuation. Enter at 106.700, with a stop loss at 107.980, targeting profits at 105.420 and 104.140 for an effective trading strategy.
Short
by trading_jupiter
Bullish rise?AUD/JPY has just reacted off the pivot and could potentially rise to the pullback resistance. Pivot: 104.87 1st Support: 103.96 1st Resistance: 105.90 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Long
by ICmarkets
AUDJPY Is Very Bullish! Buy! Please, check our technical outlook for AUDJPY. Time Frame: 2h Current Trend: Bullish Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bullish The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 106.858. The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 107.392 level. P.S We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator. When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold. When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Long
by SignalProvider
1
Potential bullish bounce?AUD/JPY is reacting off the pivot which has been identified as a pullback support and could bounce to the 1st resistance. Pivot: 106.65 1st Support: 107.83 1st Resistance: 107.83 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Long
by ICmarkets