Audjpyanalysis
AJ: Bullish CHoCH, Time To BuyWaiting to BUY...
- Bullish Choch
- BOS
- Bullish FVG filled
- Created HL
- Formed new HH
Price is currently at the 1st POI so it's possible price could go up from this zone. I would like to see a retracement to the discount fib zone 96.772 - 96.421. If we get some bullish price action in or around this area, we will buy. Let's set some price alerts and wait for more confirmation.
AUDJPY - Short active !!Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on AUDJPY.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bearish market structure from 4H timeframe perspective, so I look for a short. I expect bearish price action after price filled the imbalance and rejected from bearish OB.
Fundamental news: On Tuesday (GMT+2) we will see results of Cash Rate on AUD and on Thursday Unemployment Rate. News with high impact on currency.
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AUD/JPY: Is the Downtrend Losing Steam?Monthly Chart Overview
On the monthly chart, AUD/JPY is exhibiting significant downside extension, reaching a key rejection zone. This area has historically acted as a strong support or resistance, which could indicate potential for price exhaustion. However, patience is required, as the bearish trend remains intact for now.
Weekly Chart Perspective
Zooming into the weekly chart, the price appears even more overextended to the downside. The pair is approaching important zones of interest, suggesting the possibility of a retracement. This could present buying opportunities as the price potentially rebalances. However, the bearish momentum remains strong, making it crucial to wait for confirmation since the downward trend could persist.
4-Hour Chart Dynamics
On the 4-hour chart, the key lies in observing whether:
Price breaks aggressively to the upside, signaling the beginning of a potential retracement, or
Price continues its downward movement, confirming the prevailing bearish trend.
This timeframe is crucial for fine-tuning your entry and taking a directional stance. Any aggressive bullish momentum or clear bearish continuation will dictate the strategy.
Fundamental Insights (COT Report)
A notable signal suggesting the potential for a long setup is visible in the Commitment of Traders (COT) report:
The JPY positions are showing aggressive additions to long positions, with a simultaneous unwinding of short positions.
In contrast, the AUD remains stable, indicating less aggressive positioning on the AUD side of the pair.
This shift in sentiment toward the JPY could be an early indication of a potential reversal in AUD/JPY, as the market might be anticipating a weakening of the downtrend or a possible retracement.
Trading Approach
Bullish Plan: Wait for confirmation of a reversal (e.g., bullish engulfing candles, breaks of recent highs, or strong momentum). Enter on the retracement with targets at resistance levels identified on the weekly chart. The shift in JPY positioning strengthens the case for this setup.
Bearish Plan: If the price continues to break lower, consider shorting after a pullback to resistance, in line with the higher timeframe trend.
Key Takeaways
The combination of price reaching historical rejection zones and the COT report sentiment shift suggests potential for a reversal, but patience is critical for confirmation.
Monitor the 4-hour chart for key breakouts or confirmations in price direction.
Use defined zones on the monthly and weekly charts for targets and risk management.
AUDJPY is Holding After Channel BreakoutHello Traders
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Risk could plunge in 2025 if AUD/JPY clues are correctAUD/JPY is a classic barometer of risk. So I find it quite interesting to see that price action clues on the monthly chart are not too dissimilar to what we saw ahead of the GFC high in 2007. And if AUD/JPY plunges, the chances are it means global markets will also be in turmoil.
MS.
AUDJPY Popping now. Bears OB to Bulls OB. Further higher prices.
Heres another one primed to move higher following a retracement down during Thursday. I thought it might move lower further to near the Order block below.
Price recently has moved upwards against JPY.
It would breakout possibly today on a move above 101.50
AUD/JPY: Potential Retest Setup for a Bearish Move Watching for a retracement into the highlighted resistance zone (~100.387) before considering a bearish continuation. This setup aligns with the current market structure and offers an opportunity to join the trend if conditions are met.
📉 Key Observations:
Recent break below support turned the zone into potential resistance.
Anticipating a retest in this area to confirm rejection before any short entry.
The overall market structure remains bearish with lower highs and lower lows.
🎯 Plan:
Wait for price to retest and reject the resistance zone.
First target: 98.053, the next significant support level.
Stop-loss: Above 101.250 to allow for potential volatility.
🧠 Entry Psychology Tip: "Be okay with missing the trade if it doesn’t meet your plan." 📌 Letting the market prove itself before entering builds confidence in your setup and keeps you disciplined. Stay focused on execution, not on the outcome.
AUDJPY LoongEver since this price touched its LL at 93.5, it has been filling the imbalance created by then the volatile bearish momentum.
So far, it has filled two of the three imbalances created, and I anticipate that the next bullish momentum will be to fill before it resumes with the bearish momentum.
Entry at 101.5, target at 102.9 and SL at 100.8
AUDJPY - Idea for a sell !!Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on AUDJPY.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bearish market structure from 4H timeframe perspective, so I look for a short. I expect price to continue the retracement to fill the imbalance higher and then to reject from bearish OB + institutional big figure 101.000.
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AUDJPY ShortThis price made a pullback from the bearish momentum formed in July - August, and has been confirming the fib levels between that range.
Also, it has been forming a rising flag since it touched the lowest low, which IMO is a strong indicator of a strong bearish momentum.
As for now is on the 0.5 fib level 99.95, and I do anticipate that the price will continue with the bearish momentum.
An analysis using a shorter timeframe will follow so that we can know our entry position.
AUDJPY Short: for educational purposes only. W & 4HR chart
If we look at last weeks WEEKLY CANDLE, well it can only be described as a bearish pin-bar but that is my subjective view, plus this weeks WEEKLY candle is starting to form the same way. Ie. as a pin-bar candle bearish.
I am seeing momentum on all intraday charts to downside right up to the important weekly chart.
Standby, I will enter the trade very soon if I see a good opportunity to Short without being manipulated by the market makers. IE. They will immediately take the other side betting against me. Standby
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AUDJPY sell signal. Don't forget about stop-loss.
Write in the comments all your questions and instruments analysis of which you want to see.
Friends, push the like button, write a comment, and share with your mates - that would be the best THANK YOU.
P.S. I personally will open entry if the price will show it according to my strategy.
Always make your analysis before a trade
AudJpy- Good shorting opportunity of 500 pipsAfter an upward reversal in early August and a higher low in mid-September, AUD/JPY continued climbing to reach a local high around 102.
However, the pair has since stalled in this area, entering what appears to be a distribution phase. Currently, it seems to be testing a critical support level around 100.
A successful break below this level could signal an accelerated downward move.
A medium-term target for this decline is around 95, with an interim support level at 98—an attractive target for traders who are not so patient.
AUDJPY - Long after filling the imbalance !!Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on AUDJPY.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bullish market structure from 4H timeframe perspective, so I look for a long. My point of interest is imbalance filled + rejection from bullish OB.
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Aussie Yen on the Rise: Could It Hit 103.000 Soon?Hey Realistic Traders, let’s dive into the analysis of OANDA:AUDJPY !
On the H4 timeframe, Aussie Yen is holding strong above the EMA90, signaling a solid bullish trend. We’ve also seen a breakout from the symmetrical triangle pattern, which typically points to a continuation of the current uptrend. The MACD indicator shows a hidden bullish divergence, where the price makes higher lows while the indicator makes lower lows. This often suggests underlying strength and the potential for the uptrend to continue, reinforcing the bullish momentum.
With these key technical factors in alignment, we could witness an exciting push towards Target Area 1 at 103.000, or even up to Target Area 2 at 103.972. However, traders should keep a close eye on the stop-loss level at 99.946 to manage risk effectively.
Disclaimer: "Please note that this analysis is solely for educational purposes and should not be considered a recommendation to take a long or short position on Gold. "
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audjpy sell signal. Don't forget about stop-loss.
Write in the comments all your questions and instruments analysis of which you want to see.
Friends, push the like button, write a comment, and share with your mates - that would be the best THANK YOU.
P.S. I personally will open entry if the price will show it according to my strategy.
Always make your analysis before a trade