Trend reversal in AUDJPY?AUDJPY could be creating a tripe top formation after price failed to break the 76.90 resistance level. AUDJPY has also dropped below the supportive trend line that I have drawn in my chart.
If price stays below this supportive trend line then it will likely that AUDJPY will continue to drop.
Audjpyidea
AUDJPY - BULLISH BIASWhy we look to long AUDJPY?
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MARKET OUTLOOK
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AUD - BULLISH
1️⃣ Investors pushed the US Dollar to fresh 2-year lows in early Asian trade amid delayed fiscal stimulus for the American economy.
2️⃣ Australian Government signed an agreement with UK-based drug company AstraZeneca to secure the potential COVID-19 vaccine developed by Oxford University, if its trials prove successful.
3️⃣ Westpac-Melbourne Institute Leading Economic Index in Australia rose by 0.1% month-over-month in July, posting the smallest gain in three months.
JPY - BEARISH
1️⃣ Investors cheered prospects of further stimulus for the US economy after US House Speaker Nancy Pelosi indicated that a stimulus deal may still be reached if Democrats cut their stimulus proposal in half.
2️⃣ Receding safe-haven demand undermined the JPY.
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TECHNICAL
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- We are looking to long AUDJPY on RBS level + SMA50 area on H1 chart. Stop loss under pivot point .
- AUDJPY in bullish zone.
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RISK TO THIS TRADE
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- Stop loss will hit if market sentiment turns to risk-off mode.
AUD/JPY Technical Analysis.Currently, AUD/JPY is trading at 76.26. The price is moving in up trend by making higher high and lower low pattern. The pair may start a new down trend if it breaks the support level at 76.08, likely It is possible that the pair may rebound back after touching support level to continue its up trend. If the pair starts a new down trend after breaking the support level, then its first target price will be at 75.74 and second target price will be at 75.09.
Follow a proper risk management strategy to avoid unnecessary losses and to increase profitability, don't risk more than 2% of your capital on each trade.
Do follow us for future Forex trend analysis and Ideas.
Thank you,
Rishikesh Lilawat
AUDJPY / SELL IDEAOn the chart we see price has broken the trendline and hit its key support level where it was rejected - It is a key level as we can see multiple rejections on the chart if you look further back
It then retraced to the trendline and was rejected again
Once price has broken support we can look for sell entries to the target shown on the chart
AUDJPY - SELL OPPORTUNITYAUD - BEARISH
1️⃣ Australia's Victoria state Premier confirmed a record 723 additional coronavirus cases and announced that face masks are now mandatory across the state, while there were later comments from Australian PM Morrison that the coronavirus spike in Victoria state is very concerning.
2️⃣ Consumer prices in Australia declined by 0.3% year-on-year in Q2 2020. This was the first drop in consumer prices since Q3 1997.
3️⃣ All major economic data RBA is negative.
4️⃣ Weaker-than-expected domestic data, which showed that Building Approvals fell to an eight-year low in June.
JPY - BULLISH
1️⃣ The Japanese Yen gains as accelerating coronavirus infection rates continued to dampen hopes of recovery for the United States economy.
2️⃣ The recent escalation of diplomatic tensions between the world's two largest economies forced investors to take refuge in traditional safe-haven assets.
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Technical
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- We looking to short #AUDJPY on SBR level + SMA 50 area.
- AUDJPY in bearish zone.
AUDJPY, 8hr tf, double top possibility and triangle patternThere is a possibility AUDJPY forming a double top on the daily chart. Price also broken below the ascending trend line which has supported AUDJPY for 4 months.
Taking a deeper look into 8hr chart there is a possiblity of triangle pattern also forming. Price already broken below the support and currently we are on the retest process of broken support.
Sell AUDJPY 75.20-25
Stop loss 75.65
Take profit 1 @74.30
Take profit 2 @73.40
AUD/JPY Technical Analysis.Currently, AUD/JPY is trading at 75.20. The pair is consolidating in the resistance and support wedges. Previously, the pair was trading in a down trend in a descending triangle pattern. There is a great possibility that the pair will rebound back from its support level. But if the price breaks the support level at 74.87, then It may start a new down trend and its first target price will be at 74.03 and second target price will be at 73.42.
Follow a proper risk management strategy to avoid unnecessary losses and to increase profitability, don't risk more than 2% of your capital on each trade.
Do follow us for future Forex trend analysis and Ideas.
Thank you,
Rishikesh Lilawat
AUDJPY, MORE BEARISH MOVES INCOMING?**ENG**
- Price breaking and retesting our 4H supportive trendline, a bearish engulfing would be enough to confirm our short entry.
**PT**
- Preço a quebrar e a efetuar o retest na nossa trendline de suporte, uma bearish engulfing seria necessário para confirmar uma entrada para short.
AUDJPY potential sell set-up. AUDJPY has rallied strongly and reached the previous high yesterday. However, it is possible that there could be a reversal in this area.
So, watch for bearish price action and sell with 75.50 as TP1 and 74 as TP2. SL can be put at 77.20
The above set-up will be invalid if price closes above the resistance level.
AUDJPY, SHORT AT THE DAILY?!**ENG**
Price reaching a major resistance zone at the daily timeframe, we are expecting a rejection of this level followed by a drop to our 38.6% FIB level.
**PT**
Preço quase a atingir a nossa zona de resistência no timeframe diário, estamos à espera de uma rejeição deste nível seguida de uma queda até à zona dos 38,6% do FIB.