Audjpyshort
16-12-2024 - AUDJPY Short16/12/2024 - AUDJPY - Short Trade Plan
Trade Details:
Entry: 98.454
Stop Loss: 98.789
Take Profit 1: 98.110
Final Target: 97.117
Reason for Trade:
Price is rejecting a strong supply zone and trendline resistance.
Potential bearish reversal setup is forming after a retest of the resistance zone.
RSI shows a potential bearish divergence, further supporting the short bias.
Disclaimer : This trade plan is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Always perform your own analysis and risk management before executing any trades.
AUDJPY - Short active !!Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on AUDJPY.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bearish market structure from 4H timeframe perspective, so I look for a short. I expect bearish price action after price filled the imbalance and rejected from bearish OB.
Fundamental news: On Tuesday (GMT+2) we will see results of Cash Rate on AUD and on Thursday Unemployment Rate. News with high impact on currency.
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AUD/JPY: Is the Downtrend Losing Steam?Monthly Chart Overview
On the monthly chart, AUD/JPY is exhibiting significant downside extension, reaching a key rejection zone. This area has historically acted as a strong support or resistance, which could indicate potential for price exhaustion. However, patience is required, as the bearish trend remains intact for now.
Weekly Chart Perspective
Zooming into the weekly chart, the price appears even more overextended to the downside. The pair is approaching important zones of interest, suggesting the possibility of a retracement. This could present buying opportunities as the price potentially rebalances. However, the bearish momentum remains strong, making it crucial to wait for confirmation since the downward trend could persist.
4-Hour Chart Dynamics
On the 4-hour chart, the key lies in observing whether:
Price breaks aggressively to the upside, signaling the beginning of a potential retracement, or
Price continues its downward movement, confirming the prevailing bearish trend.
This timeframe is crucial for fine-tuning your entry and taking a directional stance. Any aggressive bullish momentum or clear bearish continuation will dictate the strategy.
Fundamental Insights (COT Report)
A notable signal suggesting the potential for a long setup is visible in the Commitment of Traders (COT) report:
The JPY positions are showing aggressive additions to long positions, with a simultaneous unwinding of short positions.
In contrast, the AUD remains stable, indicating less aggressive positioning on the AUD side of the pair.
This shift in sentiment toward the JPY could be an early indication of a potential reversal in AUD/JPY, as the market might be anticipating a weakening of the downtrend or a possible retracement.
Trading Approach
Bullish Plan: Wait for confirmation of a reversal (e.g., bullish engulfing candles, breaks of recent highs, or strong momentum). Enter on the retracement with targets at resistance levels identified on the weekly chart. The shift in JPY positioning strengthens the case for this setup.
Bearish Plan: If the price continues to break lower, consider shorting after a pullback to resistance, in line with the higher timeframe trend.
Key Takeaways
The combination of price reaching historical rejection zones and the COT report sentiment shift suggests potential for a reversal, but patience is critical for confirmation.
Monitor the 4-hour chart for key breakouts or confirmations in price direction.
Use defined zones on the monthly and weekly charts for targets and risk management.
AudJpy formed rising wedge pattern!Looking for Impulse Down.
AudJpy formed rising wedge pattern as continuation pattern and AJ should continue fall to the deep. Make sure you have your own rules on RR and follow them. This is just a trading idea to help you gain better knowledge. If you have any question ask me in comments.
Learn & Earn!
Wave Trader Pro
AUDJPY: Bearish Wave Poised for Targets around 98.77Hello Traders,
Trust trading has been awesome.
Find below my analysis of AUDJPY currency pair.
Current Price: 99.738
The pair shows bearish sentiment across the H4, H1, and M30 timeframes, with a downward trend firmly established (as price keeps making lower highs and lower lows). Momentum indicators suggest strong bearish pressure; however, the price is currently consolidating within a narrow range, limiting immediate directional movement.
Bias: Bearish, as long as the price remains below the key resistance level at 99.997, and we see a breakout of the consolidation range (Squeeze).
Targets
First Target: 98.770
Second Target: 98.108
Ultimate Target: 97.816
This bearish outlook is further supported by Elliott Wave analysis, with the potential for a downward move fulfilling the Wave 5 projection of the current impulsive wave, provided the price stays below 100.048.
AUD/JPY Clear breakthrough, trend trading.Hi guys, we are coming up with yet another fantastic opportunity, which we will express our attention onto Resistance and Support line. The AUD/JPY has been trading in a very tight range since the beginning of October up until now. There is an extremely strong resistance line which has been physically broken once sitting above the level of 101.700 , in between that time the pair has been trading just below the Resistance of 101.600 to it's lower end at the support of 99.778. For now my analysis would be targeting the lower end of 99.700 to 99.800 level and then for us to see another retest towards the two goals which I have set up as follows
As a pending order - BUY LIMIT at level of 99.778 with following take profits -
Take profit 1 : 101.161
Take profit 2 : 101.673
Enjoy this fantastic analysis which has brought me a lot of success the past two months, hence the fact that it was trading in a very obvious range and allowed for very easy entries to follow up and catch quite a few good pips of movement.
AUD/JPY: Potential Retest Setup for a Bearish Move Watching for a retracement into the highlighted resistance zone (~100.387) before considering a bearish continuation. This setup aligns with the current market structure and offers an opportunity to join the trend if conditions are met.
📉 Key Observations:
Recent break below support turned the zone into potential resistance.
Anticipating a retest in this area to confirm rejection before any short entry.
The overall market structure remains bearish with lower highs and lower lows.
🎯 Plan:
Wait for price to retest and reject the resistance zone.
First target: 98.053, the next significant support level.
Stop-loss: Above 101.250 to allow for potential volatility.
🧠 Entry Psychology Tip: "Be okay with missing the trade if it doesn’t meet your plan." 📌 Letting the market prove itself before entering builds confidence in your setup and keeps you disciplined. Stay focused on execution, not on the outcome.
AUDJPY - Idea for a sell !!Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on AUDJPY.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bearish market structure from 4H timeframe perspective, so I look for a short. I expect price to continue the retracement to fill the imbalance higher and then to reject from bearish OB + institutional big figure 101.000.
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AUDJPY ShortThis price made a pullback from the bearish momentum formed in July - August, and has been confirming the fib levels between that range.
Also, it has been forming a rising flag since it touched the lowest low, which IMO is a strong indicator of a strong bearish momentum.
As for now is on the 0.5 fib level 99.95, and I do anticipate that the price will continue with the bearish momentum.
An analysis using a shorter timeframe will follow so that we can know our entry position.
AUDJPY sell signal. Don't forget about stop-loss.
Write in the comments all your questions and instruments analysis of which you want to see.
Friends, push the like button, write a comment, and share with your mates - that would be the best THANK YOU.
P.S. I personally will open entry if the price will show it according to my strategy.
Always make your analysis before a trade
Sell AUD/JPY Bearish ChannelThe AUD/JPY pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential selling opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a well-defined Bearish Channel pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming Hours.
Key Points:
Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around the current price of 100.25, positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 99.48
2nd Support – 99.11
Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order above 100.75. This helps limit potential losses if the price unexpectedly reverses and breaks back upwards.
Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you.
Best Regards, KABHI FOREX TRADING
Thank you.
AUDJPY - Long after filling the imbalance !!Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on AUDJPY.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bullish market structure from 4H timeframe perspective, so I look for a long. My point of interest is imbalance filled + rejection from bullish OB.
Like, comment and subscribe to be in touch with my content!
audjpy sell signal. Don't forget about stop-loss.
Write in the comments all your questions and instruments analysis of which you want to see.
Friends, push the like button, write a comment, and share with your mates - that would be the best THANK YOU.
P.S. I personally will open entry if the price will show it according to my strategy.
Always make your analysis before a trade
Will audjpy keep updating bearish sentiment ?Hello Ligand Traders ! Lets talk about our existing running trade which is Australian dollar vs
Japanese Yen. In this chart you are watching that we took a sell trade near about 100.633 .Our initial intraday target was 99.675.So we anticipated a downward move .We expected a lower highs and lower lows here .But here we can see that some rejections are forming near about 100.0. 100 is the psychological level which holds the strong power for reversal . Its not possible to break such level in first attempt . We don't know how much orders buyers bought from this 100. If the order flows are high enough ,this 100 level can be acting reversal point which will lead the price to swing back up . As you can see previous impulsive upward move was made too . So sellers closed their positions at 100.0 and buyers bought from 100.00.Thats why we experienced a sudden spike upside . We will verify if its real movement or not . If price comes down again near 100 it will be proved that sellers are in control and we will trigger our sell trade again for the maximum profit .Stay with Ligand for updates .Happy Trading .
AUD/JPY Short Setup - 2.25 RR Trade IdeaI’m looking to short AUD/JPY on the 1H timeframe, with confluence from both the pair’s price action and the JPY basket breaking a key trendline. Here’s the setup:
Entry Strategy: After rejecting a key resistance at 100.663, I’m waiting for a confirmed closure below this level before entering. The plan is to enter on a retracement back to around 100.531, aligning with the resistance.
JPY Basket Confluence: The JPY basket has also broken a significant downward trendline, indicating potential JPY strength. This adds additional confirmation for the short idea on AUD/JPY.
Stop Loss (SL): I’ve set my stop at 101.276, just above recent highs and above the resistance, which gives a buffer of +74.5 pips.
Take Profit (TP): TP is placed at 98.858, targeting previous lows and key support, offering a solid 2.25 risk-reward ratio and a potential gain of +167 pips.
With both the technical structure on AUD/JPY and the JPY basket confirming potential downside, this trade presents a great opportunity to capture a move lower. I’ll be watching closely for the retracement before entering.
look for the C wave! #audjpy#AUDJPY has made an A and B wave correction already for this 240min impulse.
Strong bearish indication of a trend continuation for the impulsive C wave in this what appears to be ABC correction.
Look for trend continuation setups on the lower time frames and watch for the bottom of A for reversal!
AUD/JPY Fully Closed +250 Pips 0 Drawdown , Short Entry Ready !This Is An Educational + Analytic Content That Will Teach Why And How To Enter A Trade
Make Sure You Watch The Price Action Closely In Each Analysis As This Is A Very Important Part Of Our Method
Disclaimer : This Analysis Can Change At Anytime Without Notice And It Is Only For The Purpose Of Assisting Traders To Make Independent Investments Decisions.
#AUDJPY 4HAUDJPY (Australian Dollar / Japanese Yen)
Timeframe: 4-Hour (4H)
Pattern: Rising Wedge
A rising wedge pattern has been identified on the 4-hour chart of the AUDJPY pair. This formation typically indicates a potential reversal or a slowdown in upward momentum, as prices move within converging trend lines that slope upwards.
The rising wedge is characterized by higher highs and higher lows, suggesting a gradual tightening of price action. However, the overall sentiment is bearish, indicating that buyers may be losing strength.
Forecast: Sell
Given the current analysis, the forecast suggests a potential selling opportunity. The pair appears poised for a breakout to the downside, which could signal a reversal from the previous uptrend.
Technical Outlook:
Resistance Zone: The upper boundary of the rising wedge, where selling pressure may intensify.
Support Zone: The lower boundary of the wedge, which could act as a target for downside movement.
Key Levels to Watch: A confirmed break below the lower trend line would reinforce the bearish outlook.
Traders should monitor for confirmation signals such as increased selling volume or bearish candlestick patterns to validate the entry.
Keep an eye on broader market conditions and relevant news events that may influence price action
AUDJPY sell signal. Don't forget about stop-loss.
Write in the comments all your questions and instruments analysis of which you want to see.
Friends, push the like button, write a comment, and share with your mates - that would be the best THANK YOU.
P.S. I personally will open entry if the price will show it according to my strategy.
Always make your analysis before a trade
audjpy sell signal. Don't forget about stop-loss.
Write in the comments all your questions and instruments analysis of which you want to see.
Friends, push the like button, write a comment, and share with your mates - that would be the best THANK YOU.
P.S. I personally will open entry if the price will show it according to my strategy.
Always make your analysis before a trade