Audlong
AUDUSD Long off Daily ChartAUDUSD looking great for a long setup. Not the best risk:reward ratio on this one, but a great setup. Let's take a look. First, let's start with the AUDUSD chart on the daily timeframe.
Price has stayed in this relatively small channel for the past couple of months quite nicely. We've taken a bounce near the bottom, with a strong bullish candle. Furthermore, there is a mild divergence in the RSI. Although AUDUSD is making higher low, the RSI actually reached 35.93 at this low vs 36.26 at the previous (lower) low. Not a strong divergence, but there nonetheless.
On the AUD basket I use, we can see a similar trendline supporting some AUD strength. This basket is the AUD compared to the other major currencies, and we can see an overall period of strength coming off this supporting trendline.
Finally, we have the USD basket, similar to the DXY. The 1.106-1.114 zone has served as a nice resistance zone for the past couple of months. In fact, we may have a bit of a head and shoulders forming here. The USD has potential for weakness here. It has not shown clear signs of a downward move, but if we wait too long for this trade, we may not find a solid risk:reward ratio.
RISK MANAGEMENT NOTE: If you know my trading system, you know I do not over-expose on trades. I risk 2% per trade, but if I have two entries on one currency (such as AUD), I will enter with 1% risk on each of the two. I am already short EURAUD off the 15 minute chart since last night (14/11/21). I have legged in several times, and my stop is well clear of breakeven. Thus, I took a full 2% risk on this trade.
ENTRY: 0.73504
STOP: 0.726 (below the last swing low on the daily chart)
TP: 0.753 (right at the previous swing high on the daily chart)
This leaves us with a roughly 1:1.8 risk:reward ratio.
AUD/USD Long as CPI data could force RBA to change courseA very strong new trend emerging that has stopped only on the first attempt at the 200DMA on the AUD/USD at 0.7550.
The trend is underpinned by strong commodity prices and the idea that Australia will not be immune to inflation as it reopens from lockdown and that the RBA will join RBNZ, BOC, BOE and the FED in being worried about inflation when it picks up in coming months.
Q3 CPI is Wednesday 27th of October and anything hot here could cause another frenzy like when New Zealand released their inflation on Monday this week coming in at 4.9% y/y.
Targets are the previous range support at 0.7675 on a break of 200DMA.
Support is seen from the trendline at 0.7440 and 0.7380
AUDUSD Poised to Resume Its UptrendHello fellow risk-takers
AUDUSD has been bearish of late in what seemed to be an extended retracement of the previous decisive rally.
We appear to be at the end of retracement.
A resumption of bullish move looks about ready to begin.
Watch out & take care
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* The above-presented information is for entertainment purposes only and should not be viewed as investment advice.
AUDNZD long positionConfluences:
-Price retraced as I predicted before, trade hit my take profit and at the 50 fib retracement (right now) I entered a buy.
-The 50 fib retracement is also above a zone which is a very strong support.
-If price breaks this, I will re-enter at the 61.8
Feel free to tell me what you think!
CHF/AUD Look for this to Break SupportThis is at a support level and I am expecting it to rise slightly from here before breaking through. It is too risky to enter before it breaks the support but if it does then a short can be entered on a retest of this level which would then be acting as resistance. Target would be 1.4232
AUD is not a buy now. Period.I think we need aud to drop a bit more before we can enter in a buy position with it as the RSI is getting a bit overvalued and also it broke down of its wedge pattern. What do you think? Leave your comments and likes below. WARNING! I am not a financial adviser and take this advice with a grain of salt. Tell me what I should analyze next!
AUD is pushed high - How To React - AUDJPY Market OutlookShort term outlook of the Australian market: AUD is pushed to the upside after fundamental drivers that gave confidence to buyers
Q: Should I buy AUD now?
A: Not right now. Wait for correction, and then after choosing a pair that is mainly driven by AUD at that time, start loading longs.
Q: Why would AUD continue rallying high?
A: The catalyst of that bullish movement was the RBA dovish shift, which was followed by rate cuts. Investors considered that this is a brilliant time to own Australian Dollars, so they start buying. Nobody knows if the currency of Oceania will fall again but the current situation is more likely to have created fresh solid ground for bulls to start building high, after a medium-term bearish market.
AUDJPY Market Outlook:
Sentiment: Medium-term Bearish - About to shift to bullish
Pattern: Price was moving in a falling wedge which broke on the US election day and it might be catalyst for more upward momentum
Important Levels:
74.000 seems to be a strong long-term support for now.
74.200 is short-term S/R and behaves like a pivot level, meaning that we're bullish above it and bearish below it
Buy zones: We use 74.200 as a buy zone as we see that the upper limit of the wedge and the Daily level meet there. RSI is also indicating bullish momentum and it can be a reliable signal on when to buy.
Hope you liked this market outlook! Happy trading! :)