Strifor || AUDUSD-30/04/2024Preferred direction: BUY
Comment: Before the Fed meeting on major currency pairs, a rather uncertain situation has developed, and the best option will most likely be to refrain from trades and make a decision on entry after the interest rate decision. However, the most likely scenario is in favor of buyers. At the moment, the best option would be to look for an entry point near the support level of 0.64906 . We consider two scenarios near this level, where scenario №1 is about a rebound trade, and scenario №2 - a false breakout. The growth target in both cases is the level of 0.66000 .
If, after the Fed , the price falls below the support level of 0.64906 and cannot recover, then you should not count on growth in the medium term.
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AUDNZD
AUDNZDAUDNZD is in strong bullish trend.
As the market is consistently printing new HHs and HLs.
currently the market is retracing a bit after last HH, which is 50% Fib retracement level and local support as well. if the market successfully sustain this buying confluence the next leg up could go for new HH.
What you guys think of this idea?
Strifor || NZDUSD-23/04/2024Preferred direction: BUY
Comment: The New Zealand dollar duplicates the sentiment of its older brother, the Australian dollar . Since last week, the buy priority has been maintained, and only the growth target has been changed, which we are considering at the level of 0.59857 . Setting a goal higher than 0.60000 will be a rather risky idea, so it is best to limit the goal to this level.
Considering this week, we offer two scenarios where the most likely growth will not be long in coming (scenario №1) .
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Strifor || AUDUSD-23/04/2024Preferred direction: BUY
Comment: Tuesday has started more positively for the majors, especially for the euro and pound , which we talked about yesterday (these trading ideas can be viewed). The Australian dollar, like the above currencies, is on the buy list. Here, we continue to keep previous long positions with a target at the level of 0.65010 . Within the framework of the current week, we can consider two scenarios, which are depicted on the chart. The more likely scenario №1 assumes growth from around current prices. US PMI data may help buyers here if the figures will be less than forecast.
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AUDNZD entered a period of consolidation as prices fell slightlyAUDNZD entered into a period of consolidation as prices eased in the form of a bull flag pattern. After yesterday’s close, a bullish continuation appears on the cards for the pair despite today’s intraday pullback from the daily high.
A move below 1.0885 suggests a failure of the bullish continuation but as long as prices hold above this marker, the longer-term bullish bias and the prospect of a bullish continuation remains constructive. One thing to keep in mind is the risk of a shorter-term pullback as the RSI approaches overbought once more. Upside target appears at 1.1052 (June 2023 high) and 1.0885 to the downside.
AUDNZD - Harmonic Pattern - Bearish Momentum ExpectedAUDNZD is currently forming a Harmonic Pattern (XABCD) on the chart. The pattern indicates a potential reversal of the current trend, with Point D marking the completion of the pattern. Based on this formation, we anticipate a Bearish trend momentum to follow from Point D.
Entry and Stop Loss:
Entry: 1.09480
Stop Loss: 1.09850
Take Profit Targets:
TP-1: 1.09100
TP-2: 1.08745
TP-3: 1.08370
Rationale:
The entry point of 1.09480 aligns with the anticipated reversal from Point D of the Harmonic Pattern. The stop loss at 1.09850 is set to mitigate potential losses in case the market moves against the expected bearish momentum.
For take-profit targets, TP-1 at 1.09100, TP-2 at 1.08745, and TP-3 at 1.08370 are strategically placed to capture potential downward movements in the market, considering key support levels and Fibonacci retracement levels.
Risk Management:
It is crucial to adhere to proper risk management principles while trading this setup. Position sizing should be adjusted to ensure that potential losses are within acceptable limits relative to the trading account size.
Conclusion:
Based on the analysis of the Harmonic Pattern and associated entry and exit points, we anticipate a Bearish trend momentum in AUDNZD from Point D. Traders should monitor the price action closely and execute the trade according to their risk tolerance and trading strategy.
Will We SELL Off Again @ 1.105 ??This pair has been stuck in a range between 1.105 & 1.055 for nearly 2 years and has just broke out of the short term resistance @1.095
The next logical move now is for the pair to test the top of the 2 year range above 1.10 and as it does this is where I will be looking for SELL setups.
The daily chart below gives you a clearer picture of the 2 year range and also shows you (red arrows) the 2 attempts made last year to break above 1.105 both ended up in a heavy reaction and price dropping back down to the bottom of the range.
If you zoom out the Monthly charts (image below) you can see the AUDNZD has been stuck in a longer term range between 1.14 -1.02.
This could indicate that buyers may look to push up through the 1.105 level though the Monthly chart above shows that this level has always been a hard nut to crack and there always seems to be a reaction here.
This is what I fully expect to occur I will look for short term SELL setups first looking to target the previous resistance @ 1.085 for profit taking.
This is a very basic range trading setup and would be invalidated if we get a weekly or monthly close above 1.105 as if this occurs a move up to 1.14 is highly likely.
Let me know what you think in the comment section below
Aussie CPI on Tap - How to Trade Aussie PairsAt 9:30pm EST we have Australia reporting CPI data and in this video I have plotted out some areas of interest that I would consider selling Aussie provided we get strong bullish momentum following the reports. The sells are intended to only be scalp trades with small targets of only 10-20 pips depending on the pair.
AUDNZD: Channel Down top rejection.AUDNZD is marginally bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 58.715, MACD = 0.003, ADX = 36.182) as it started pulling back after the price got rejected at the top of the June-initiated Channel Down. All same RSI based pullbacks hit at least the 0.618 Fibonacci level and declined by at least -2.62%. Under those conditions, we are short on AUDNZD, targeting the closest of the two levels, the 0.618 Fib (TP = 1.07200).
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Strifor || NZDUSD-16/04/2024Preferred direction: BUY
Comment: WThe buy-priority remains the same for the New Zealand dollar. Previously, we looked at a medium-term long trade, which is in progress and is in the accumulation stage.
If we talk about short-term prospects, we can consider the two scenarios shown on the chart. There is a high probability that the buyer will strengthen at current prices, so this potential movement is shown as scenario №1 . Less likely scenario №2 cannot be ruled out. We set the target for this growth at the level of 0.59500, one can also consider target №2 at the level of 0.59857.
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AUD/NZD Short idea(4/16/2024)Today after China's economic data, the Market is betting dovish on AUD.
We believe the price has made an ABC correction and it likely started the C wave.
Our technical view has been shown in the chart.
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Thanks For Reading
Team Fortuna
-RC
(Disclaimer: Published ideas and other Contents on this page are for educational purposes and do not include a financial recommendation. Trading is Risky, so before any action do your research.)
AUDNZD Set To Grow! BUY!
My dear followers,
This is my opinion on the AUDNZD next move:
The asset is approaching an important pivot point 1.0897
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear long signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bullish trend of the market.
Goal - 1.0907
About Used Indicators:
For more efficient signals, super-trend is used in combination with other indicators like Pivot Points.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Fading Aussie strength (Apr 10)Fundamentals & Sentiment
AUD:
Australia has beaten its neighbor in terms of robustness of the economy, with Services PMI and Avg Cash Earnings sustaining upward momentum best. Such economic performance also translated into better GDP QoQ growth paving the way for AUD to outperform NZD for the last 2 months and propelling the pair higher. It's also vividly reflected in expected rate differentials.
NZD: The rate decision is supposed to clear the air around further outlook on NZD, giving the room for market internals to play out, while AUD bulls should be attracted to takes some profits, correcting the uptrend.
Technical & Other
Setup: TR(B)
Setup timeframe: 4h
Trigger: 4h
Medium-term: UP
Long-term: Uptrend
Min target: support
Risk: 0.25%
Entry: Limit
AUDNZD: Bearish Continuation is Highly Probable! Here is Why:
It is essential that we apply multitimeframe technical analysis and there is no better example of why that is the case than the current AUDNZD chart which, if analyzed properly, clearly points in the downward direction.
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Strifor || EURUSD-Mid-term viewPreferred direction: BUY
Comment: The main currency pair is most likely now the most interesting to buy, since it has the most formed buy-setup. A significant part of the buyers have already been liquidated, and growth according to scenario №1 is now most likely. Scenario №2 is considered as plan B, where buy-positions are expected at the level of 1.06500 . This level is located near the support trend line.
The target for this medium-term long trade is not considered above the level of 1.07500 .
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Strifor || NZDUSD-Mid-term viewPreferred direction: BUY
Comment: Once again, we are considering the New Zealand dollar together with the Australian dollar , well, this is not surprising given their high correlation. Here, too, a recovery is expected in the medium term, but not everything is so simple, and still, before growth, there will most likely be updates to local lows. A more optimistic scenario is exactly what it looks like and can be found on the chart within scenario №1.
Scenario №2 is more aggressive on the part of the seller, and here it would be best to look for long-positions at the support level of 0.59018 . Above the level of 0.60713 the target is not considered.
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