Trading the Inflation Sandwich: What to Watch?Trading the Inflation Sandwich: What to Watch?
US CPI inflation (Consumer Price Index).
The CPI report is expected to confirm a continuation of the disinflationary trend observed in recent months. Analysts predict the annual inflation rate to edge down to 2.9%, while the core inflation rate is likely to decelerate to 3.2%.
This ongoing cooling of inflation could bolster expectations for the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) to lower interest rates in September.
Should inflation continue its downward trajectory, the FOMC may shift its focus to job numbers with greater intensity.
Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) rate decision
Of the 31 economists surveyed by Reuters, 9 expect the central bank to maintain its Official Cash Rate (OCR) at 5.5% for the ninth consecutive meeting, while 12 forecast a 25-basis point rate cut.
A decision to hold could lend support to the New Zealand dollar (NZD), whereas a rate cut might exert downward pressure.
Traders might like to keep an eye on the AUD/NZD cross, with key resistance and support levels possibly at $1.0975 and $1.0843
UK CPI inflation
Following the Bank of England’s (BoE) recent decision to cut the Bank Rate by 25 basis points to 5.0%—the first reduction in four years—a fresh inflation report is due from the UK.
Headline CPI inflation for July is expected to rise to 2.3% year-on-year from June's 2.0%, with estimates ranging from 2.0% to 2.4%.
Core inflation, which excludes volatile items like food and energy, is projected to hold steady at 3.5%, with a slight margin of variation between 3.3% and 3.5%.
AUDNZD
AUD_NZD SUPPORT AHEAD|LONG|
✅AUD_NZD is approaching a demand level of 1.0844
So according to our strategy
We will be looking for the signs of the reversal in the trend
To jump onto the bullish bandwagon just on time to get the best
Risk reward ratio for us
LONG🚀
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AUD/NZD Shared Yesterday +85 Pips Now , New Entry Valid !This Is An Educational + Analytic Content That Will Teach Why And How To Enter A Trade
Make Sure You Watch The Price Action Closely In Each Analysis As This Is A Very Important Part Of Our Method
Disclaimer : This Analysis Can Change At Anytime Without Notice And It Is Only For The Purpose Of Assisting Traders To Make Independent Investments Decisions.
AUD/NZD Gave Amazing Bearish P.A ,Valid For Sell To Get 200 PipsThis Is An Educational + Analytic Content That Will Teach Why And How To Enter A Trade
Make Sure You Watch The Price Action Closely In Each Analysis As This Is A Very Important Part Of Our Method
Disclaimer : This Analysis Can Change At Anytime Without Notice And It Is Only For The Purpose Of Assisting Traders To Make Independent Investments Decisions.
AUDNZD Set To Grow! BUY!
My dear subscribers,
AUDNZD looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 1.0960 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
My Stop Loss - 1.0905
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation.
Target - 1.1054
About Used Indicators:
The average true range (ATR) plays an important role in 'Supertrend' as the indicator uses ATR to calculate its value. The ATR indicator signals the degree of price volatility.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
AUDNZDAfter the price reaches the specified level,
if you see the Bearish hammer candle in the one-hour ( SHORT POSITION),
and if the desired level is broken, after the pullback buy.
Consider your risk management before entering a trade.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice.
All consequences of using this signal are at your own risk.
7 Dimension Sell Idea For AUDNZD Core Analysis Method: Smart Money Concepts
😇7 Dimension Analysis
Market: At monthly rejection or supply zone
Time Frame: H4
1: Swing Structure: From the monthly zone, the market formed a CHOCH with inducement, giving a corrective swing move as the 1st pullback mitigated the extreme wick OB and swept liquidity at the Premier zone.
🟢 Entry Model: ABCD
2: Pattern
🟢 CHART PATTERNS:
Reversal: Consolidation rectangle at supply level. Shakeout reversal Wyckoff method.
🟢 CANDLE PATTERNS:
Long wick: Hammer or hanging man but at the wrong place indicates a reversal. Momentum: Strict engulfing at the highest candle.
3: Volume:
Observed a very large selling volume on July 11th while the price was making new highs. This volume can be considered selling volume or profit-taking volume. Based on this volume, there is a very high chance that the price will go down.
4: Momentum RSI
🟢 Bullish to sideways zone with a proper range shift and multiple bearish divergences at the top indicate a sudden loss of momentum. Based on this, there is a high chance the price will go down.
5: Volatility Bollinger Bands
🟢 Contraction has started; the price might range for some sessions. After this, expect a lower band squeeze breakout and continuation to lower "walking on the band" condition. Here, a BB M pattern is also forming and a band puncher at the highest candle.
6: Strength: Everything is neutral yet.
7: Sentiment: Sell
✔️ Entry Time Frame: 15m
✅ Entry TF Structure: Bearish
✔ Entry Time POI: Mitigated
☑️ Trend line breakout: Yes
💡 Decision: Sell Limit
🚀 Entry: 1.1111
✋ Stop Loss: 1.1133
🎯 Take Profit: 1.1020
😊 Risk to Reward Ratio: 4 RR
🕛 Expected Duration: 10 days
SUMMARY: Analysis supports a strong sell position based on the Smart Money Concepts methodology, with expected bearish momentum and high potential reward.
AUDNZD Trading Opportunity! SELL!
My dear followers,
This is my opinion on the AUDNZD next move:
The asset is approaching an important pivot point 1.1142
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear short signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bearish trend of the market.
Goal - 1.1115
About Used Indicators:
For more efficient signals, super-trend is used in combination with other indicators like Pivot Points.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
AUDNZD Trading Opportunity! BUY!
My dear friends,
AUDNZD looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 1.1054 pivot level.
Bias -Bullish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear long signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bullish trend of the market.
Goal - 1.1102
Recommended Stop Loss - 1.1023
About Used Indicators:
Pivot points are a great way to identify areas of support and resistance, but they work best when combined with other kinds of technical analysis
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
AUDNZD: Bearish Continuation is Expected! Here is Why:
It is essential that we apply multitimeframe technical analysis and there is no better example of why that is the case than the current AUDNZD chart which, if analyzed properly, clearly points in the downward direction.
❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
AUDNZD - Bearish Breakout with 1:3 Setup on 4HrTaking a look at the 4h timeframe, we can see price action broke and held below the ascending trendline.
For me this indicates potential topping action. This pair is also heavily overbought on the daily timeframe so a correction at this point shouldn't be too much of a surprise.
Cooper prices also continue to get slammed which may contribute to some Aussie weakness.
Further more, we don't have any further major economic reports on the docket this week for either NZD or AUD which may cause this pair to correct. The Australian dollar does tend to have a correlation as a Risk-On currency with US equities. Today in the US session we saw both the Dow and SPX lose some of it's bullish momentum.
Trade Safe!
Detailed Review of AUD/NZD Daily Analysis### Detailed Review of AUD/NZD Daily Analysis
#### Overview:
The AUD/NZD currency pair has recently displayed significant activity, capturing the attention of forex traders and analysts alike. With a key move in the daily timeframe, this pair has grabbed the buy-side liquidity, signaling a potential shift in market dynamics. The following review delves into the intricate details of this shift, analyzing the implications of the change in status delivery and the forecasted movement till SSL (Sell Side Liquidity).
#### Key Insights:
1. **Buy Side Liquidity Grabbed:**
- The AUD/NZD pair has effectively captured the buy-side liquidity. This move is typically indicative of a phase where the market has consumed buy orders above a certain price level, often trapping late buyers and creating a setup for a reversal.
- This liquidity grab suggests that the market makers have fulfilled the demand for buy orders and are now likely to push the price in the opposite direction to target sell-side liquidity.
2. **Change in Status Delivery:**
- A notable change in status delivery is observed, implying a transition in market sentiment. This change often indicates that the previous bullish momentum has exhausted, and the market is preparing for a bearish phase.
- Traders should be vigilant as this transition can lead to significant price movements and opportunities for strategic positioning.
3. **Fair Value Gap (FVG) Identified:**
- The identification of a Fair Value Gap (FVG) provides a critical price zone that the market might aim to fill. An FVG represents an inefficiency in the market where the price moved too quickly, leaving behind a gap.
- In the context of AUD/NZD, the presence of an FVG suggests a potential price retracement. Traders can anticipate a correction towards this gap, providing an optimal entry point for short positions.
4. **Sell Till SSL (Sell Side Liquidity):**
- The forecasted movement indicates a sell-off till the Sell Side Liquidity (SSL) level. This target marks a significant support area where the market can find ample sell orders.
- As the price approaches this level, traders should be prepared for potential reactions. The SSL acts as a magnet for the price, and once reached, it may either trigger a reversal or further continuation based on the broader market context.
#### Trading Strategy:
Given the current analysis, traders can consider the following strategy:
- **Entry Point:** Look for short entry opportunities near the upper boundary of the identified FVG. This provides a favorable risk-reward setup as the market fills the gap.
- **Target:** Aim for the SSL level as the primary target. This aligns with the anticipated bearish momentum and offers a clear exit strategy.
- **Risk Management:** Place stop-loss orders above the recent high where the buy-side liquidity was grabbed. This ensures protection against unexpected bullish reversals.
#### Conclusion:
The AUD/NZD daily analysis presents a compelling case for a bearish outlook. With the buy-side liquidity grabbed, a change in status delivery, and the presence of an FVG, the market seems poised for a downward movement towards the SSL. Traders who align their strategies with these insights can capitalize on the potential opportunities that lie ahead. Stay vigilant, manage risks effectively, and keep an eye on key market developments to navigate this trading scenario successfully.
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This review combines technical analysis with strategic insights, aiming to provide an attractive and informative perspective for traders analyzing the AUD/NZD pair. If you need further adjustments or have specific points to include, feel free to let me know!
AUDNZD Weekly Analysis and OutlookAUDNZD Weekly Analysis and Outlook
This week, the AUDNZD pair has shown a strong upward trajectory, closing in a bullish continuation phase. This upward momentum indicates a positive sentiment among traders, suggesting further potential for growth.
Current Market Overview:
The pair has been steadily moving upwards, supported by favorable market conditions and bullish sentiment. As it approaches a key resistance zone, traders should closely monitor the price action. A successful break above this resistance would likely confirm the continuation of the bullish trend.
Expectations and Potential Scenarios:
Upon breaking the resistance zone, we anticipate that the AUDNZD will continue its upward momentum. This breakout could open the door to higher levels, offering traders potential opportunities to capitalize on the bullish trend.
Primary Expectation: If the resistance is broken, the price is likely to sustain its upward movement, potentially targeting higher resistance levels. This scenario would reinforce the bullish outlook, making it a favorable environment for long positions.
Alternative Scenario: However, if the price encounters strong resistance and fails to break through, a temporary pullback could occur. Traders should be prepared for this scenario, as it might provide opportunities to reassess entry points at lower levels before resuming the upward trend.
Conclusion:
In summary, the AUDNZD pair is poised for further upward movement following its recent bullish phase. Traders should watch for a decisive break above the resistance zone, which could serve as a catalyst for continued gains. Maintaining awareness of both bullish and corrective scenarios will be crucial for effective trading strategies. Stay updated with market developments and adjust your positions accordingly.
By Piptera Digital Solutions,
Invest Wisely!
AUDNZD - Opportunity for a long trade !!Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on AUDNZD.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bullish market structure from 4H timeframe perspective, so I look for a long position. I expect price to make a retracement to fill that huge imbalance lower and then to reject from bullish order block + institutional big figure 1.10000.
Fundamental news: Upcoming week on Wednesday (GMT+3) we have news on NZD, we will see results of CPI and on Thursday (GMT+3) we have Unemployment Rate on AUD, news with high impact on currency.
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BULLISH AUDNZDSorry Tradingview Family I forgot to post this idea sooner but on my analysis Sunday EST before the market opening I saw a bullish engulfing candle on the one-hour which turned out to be a part of a double top formation that eventually gravitated to the downside for a retest of the double bottom neckline which resulted in a quick trip to the moon currently running in profit
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YAH BLESS YOU ALL AMEN