AUDNZD - Buy opportunity ✅Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on AUDNZD.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bullish market structure from 4H timeframe perspective, so I look only for long position. I expect price to go a little bit lower to fulfill the imbalance and then to reject from bullish order block + institutional big figure 1.10000.
Fundamental news: Tomorrow (GMT+3) we will see result of Cash Rate on AUD, news with high impact on currency.
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Audnzdanalysis
DeGRAM | AUDNZD post-flagging growthAUDNZD is moving within the ascending channel after retesting the upper boundary.
The chart formed a bullish flag pattern after reaching the support level.
The price broke through the dynamic resistance, which now acts as support.
We expect the growth to continue, but the price may retest the lower boundary of the channel first.
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AUDNZD - Harmonic Pattern - Bearish Momentum ExpectedAUDNZD is currently forming a Harmonic Pattern (XABCD) on the chart. The pattern indicates a potential reversal of the current trend, with Point D marking the completion of the pattern. Based on this formation, we anticipate a Bearish trend momentum to follow from Point D.
Entry and Stop Loss:
Entry: 1.09480
Stop Loss: 1.09850
Take Profit Targets:
TP-1: 1.09100
TP-2: 1.08745
TP-3: 1.08370
Rationale:
The entry point of 1.09480 aligns with the anticipated reversal from Point D of the Harmonic Pattern. The stop loss at 1.09850 is set to mitigate potential losses in case the market moves against the expected bearish momentum.
For take-profit targets, TP-1 at 1.09100, TP-2 at 1.08745, and TP-3 at 1.08370 are strategically placed to capture potential downward movements in the market, considering key support levels and Fibonacci retracement levels.
Risk Management:
It is crucial to adhere to proper risk management principles while trading this setup. Position sizing should be adjusted to ensure that potential losses are within acceptable limits relative to the trading account size.
Conclusion:
Based on the analysis of the Harmonic Pattern and associated entry and exit points, we anticipate a Bearish trend momentum in AUDNZD from Point D. Traders should monitor the price action closely and execute the trade according to their risk tolerance and trading strategy.
DeGRAM | AUDNZD pullback from the trend lineAUDNZD is moving within the descending channel between the trend lines.
The chart instantly bounced lower after reaching the dynamic resistance level.
The price formed a bearish takeover.
We think that the price will correct from the resistance before continuing the momentum.
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DeGRAM | AUDNZD breakout of the ascending channelAUDNZD went down from the ascending channel.
The chart reached the 50% retracement level of the last bullish impulse.
The price formed a candle with a long upper tail.
We think that after the support retest the price will go down.
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Capturing Opportunity: Short Trade Setup on AUDNZDOverview:
AUDNZD has exhibited a notable rejection at a significant resistance zone, confluently aligning with the 4-hour trendline. This presents a compelling opportunity for a potential short-trade setup.
Entry Point:
Considering the observed rejection and alignment with the 4-hour trendline, an entry point at 1.09150 is recommended. This level reflects a strategic position to capitalize on the anticipated downward movement.
Stop Loss:
To manage risk effectively, a stop loss should be placed at 1.09490. This level provides a buffer against potential adverse price movements while allowing for sufficient room for market fluctuations.
Take Profit Targets:
Two take profit targets are identified:
- TP-1: Set at 1.08797, representing the initial profit-taking level. This level aligns with the anticipated downward momentum and serves as a conservative exit point.
- TP-2: Positioned at 1.08450, reflecting a deeper target for maximizing profit potential. This level accounts for further downside potential based on the prevailing market dynamics.
Conclusion:
In conclusion, the technical analysis suggests a favorable short trade opportunity for AUDNZD, with an entry point at 1.09150, stop loss at 1.09490, and profit targets set at 1.08797 and 1.08450 respectively. Traders should monitor price action closely and adhere to risk management principles throughout the trade execution process.
DeGRAM | AUDNZD movement volatility narrowingAUDNZD confirmed the boundaries of dynamic levels again.
The chart is moving in an ascending channel within the boundaries of narrowing volatility.
The price is growing for a long period without serious pullbacks, especially if we consider the older timeframes.
We think that the pullback will occur after the next achievement of the dynamic resistance.
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AUDNZD | Hidden Bearish Divergence | Harmonic Bearish Shark The AUDNZD chart currently shows the formation of a XABCD Harmonic Shark Bearish Pattern, indicating a Potential Reversal Zone (PRZ). Additionally, there is a hidden bearish divergence, suggesting that the current uptrend is likely to reverse into a downtrend. Furthermore, on the daily chart, the price has just touched a strong daily resistance zone, which also serves as an Order Block (OB). This action confirms the bearish OB and all these indicators collectively suggest a shift in the trend to a downtrend.
In technical analysis, a Harmonic Shark pattern is a specific type of harmonic pattern that signals potential trend reversals. The completion of this pattern at the PRZ indicates an area where traders might anticipate a change in the current price direction.
A hidden bearish divergence occurs when the price forms higher highs, but the corresponding indicator (such as the Relative Strength Index or RSI) shows lower highs. This suggests underlying weakness in the upward momentum, potentially leading to a reversal.
The concept of an Order Block (OB) refers to a significant level of support or resistance where institutional traders have previously entered the market. When the price approaches and reacts to this level, it can confirm the strength of the OB.
On the 1-hour time frame, also there is a hidden bearish divergence, and the Previous Day High (PDH) liquidity has been taken. Whenever the PDH is breached, a pullback to the downtrend is often observed. Additionally, the trend line on the 1-hour time frame has been broken, and the price has retested this trend line. According to Dow Theory, these indications suggest a shift in price behavior from forming higher highs (HH) and higher lows (HL) to forming lower highs (LH) and lower lows (LL).
On the daily time frame, the price has tested a strong resistance zone and is rejecting from its peak resistance level bearish OB. Overall, the daily chart appears bearish, indicating a potential trend change. Additionally, there is a trend line liquidity that needs to be breached for the price to move in either direction.
In summary, the combination of the Harmonic Shark Bearish Pattern, hidden bearish divergence, and interaction with a higher time frame to lower time frame strong daily resistance zone (Order Block) suggests a strong indication of a potential shift from an uptrend to a downtrend in the AUDNZD pair. However, it's essential to conduct comprehensive analysis and consider other factors before making trading decisions.
DeGRAM | AUDNZD decreasing volatility in the channelAUDNZD instantly reacted with a decline upon reaching the dynamic resistance.
The volatility of the movement decreased, forming an ascending wedge.
We expect a sell-off from the resistance, a retest of the support level, and a 38% retracement level.
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AUDNZD:🔴Is it Bearish...?!🔴
Well, as you can see, the price took the liquidity and hit the important higher time frame resistant, so we expect a bearish move.
Also, we can see the price generated a lot of sell-side liquidity that can be defined as targets.
Now, the price has created a bearish FVG, we can enter a sell position in this zone, but as always we need LTF confirmation.
💡Wait for the update!
🗓️28/03/2024
🔎 DYOR
💌It is my honor to share your comments with me💌
AUDNZD Technical Analysis and Trade IdeaThe AUDNZD demonstrates persistent bullish momentum with a robust upward trend visible on the daily timeframe. Consider a long entry upon a Fibonacci retracement, aiming for previous swing highs. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes and should not be considered financial advice.
DeGRAM | AUDNZD divergence at resistanceAUDNZD rebounded from the 1.08900 resistance level.
Price reached significant resistance on the D chart.
The market created divergence following a false breakout of the previous high.
We expect a sell off from the level, a retest of the support level, and a 50% retracement level.
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AUDNZD - Potential buy from trendline ✅Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on AUDNZD.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bullish market structure from 4H timeframe perspective, so I look for a long position. I wait price to continue the retracement and my point of interest for a long is if price rejects from trendline + S/R level.
Fundamental news: Next week on Wednesday we have news on AUD, will be released yearly CPI, which has high impact on currency.
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DeGRAM | AUDNZD structe based tradeAUDNZD is currently testing the structure resistance level by completing the AB=CD pattern.
It's decelerating while approaching resistance. It created a divergence at the resistance level.
The market reached the strong resistance level on the D chart.
We expect a sell-off from the resistance.
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AUDNZD - Opportunity for a long ✅Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on AUDNZD.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bullish market structure from 4H timeframe perspective, so I am looking for a long. I wait price to continue the retracement to fill the imbalance and then to reject from bullish order block + trendline.
Fundamental news: Upcoming week we have news with high impact on AUD, we will see results of Interest Rate on Tuesday.
Like, comment and subscribe to be in touch with my content!
SHORT AUD/NZD from 1.0704This pair appear to have peaked at 1.0746 which is inside a band of historical resistance.
We've seen the price push through the 25, 50 and 100 EMA's on H1 and we're also under the WPP mid pivot which has failed to halt the BEARS.
Key level now is the 200 EMA 1.0693 200 EMA which will most likely offer stern support for AUD/NZD BULLS and though I can envisage some sideways price action when (if) the price makes its way down there, othr indicators suggest this may not bne enough to stop the price ehasding to the WS1 pivot at 1.0667 which is the target price.
Other indications that the BEARS have assumed control of this market are the RSI which has been steadily declining since last Friday afternoon and MACD which has both fast and slow MA periods negative.
The red SELL line of the Andean Oscillator crossed the gree BUY line on Friday and early this morning the red SELL line crossed the signal line - all signs that this is now a BEAR market.
We've aso got a SELL signal on the Pivot Point SuperTrend so everything suggests we should be headed lower and in the absence of any significant or scheduled news we may well see this pair drift south over the next 24 hours.
STOP is at 1.0720 so this is a risk of just 16 pips and the target as mentioned is at 1.0667 which is WS1.
The STOP is HARD meaning it will not be adjusted. The TP is soft and we'd have to see how much BEARISH momentum is left if the price does indeed make its way down to the pivot.