Audnzdforecast
7 Dimension Sell Idea For AUDNZD Core Analysis Method: Smart Money Concepts
😇7 Dimension Analysis
Market: At monthly rejection or supply zone
Time Frame: H4
1: Swing Structure: From the monthly zone, the market formed a CHOCH with inducement, giving a corrective swing move as the 1st pullback mitigated the extreme wick OB and swept liquidity at the Premier zone.
🟢 Entry Model: ABCD
2: Pattern
🟢 CHART PATTERNS:
Reversal: Consolidation rectangle at supply level. Shakeout reversal Wyckoff method.
🟢 CANDLE PATTERNS:
Long wick: Hammer or hanging man but at the wrong place indicates a reversal. Momentum: Strict engulfing at the highest candle.
3: Volume:
Observed a very large selling volume on July 11th while the price was making new highs. This volume can be considered selling volume or profit-taking volume. Based on this volume, there is a very high chance that the price will go down.
4: Momentum RSI
🟢 Bullish to sideways zone with a proper range shift and multiple bearish divergences at the top indicate a sudden loss of momentum. Based on this, there is a high chance the price will go down.
5: Volatility Bollinger Bands
🟢 Contraction has started; the price might range for some sessions. After this, expect a lower band squeeze breakout and continuation to lower "walking on the band" condition. Here, a BB M pattern is also forming and a band puncher at the highest candle.
6: Strength: Everything is neutral yet.
7: Sentiment: Sell
✔️ Entry Time Frame: 15m
✅ Entry TF Structure: Bearish
✔ Entry Time POI: Mitigated
☑️ Trend line breakout: Yes
💡 Decision: Sell Limit
🚀 Entry: 1.1111
✋ Stop Loss: 1.1133
🎯 Take Profit: 1.1020
😊 Risk to Reward Ratio: 4 RR
🕛 Expected Duration: 10 days
SUMMARY: Analysis supports a strong sell position based on the Smart Money Concepts methodology, with expected bearish momentum and high potential reward.
AUDUSD two scenarios trading**Monthly Chart**
AUDUSD monthly chart shows that it is moving within a range from June 2023 high of 0.68996 and Oct 2023 low of 0.62700 levels. The previous month's candle closed as bullish indecision after testing the Imbalance Price Action candle (or FVG) of Jan 2024. This month's candle (still active), moved higher to test the range of IPA once more and sold off at around 0.68000 which has provided a high probability trading setup with low risk to move lower on lower time frames (ie. Daily and 4H).
I am interested to see how this month (July 2024) will close which provides an indicative direction on AUDUSD next movements from a technical view point.
**Weekly Chart**
Last week's candle closed as a bearish IPA suggesting the next trajectory to be lower at least to reach the lower target at around 0.646600 level. However, there is also an upside bias for AUDUSD to move higher to sweep liquidity at 0.68000 and then move towards a monthly high at around 0.69000 levels. As the price ranges on the weekly chart, it has two opposite scenarios (ie. Buy and Sell) at certain levels on lower time frames.
**Daily Chart**
Last week AUDUSD continued it’s move to the downside after it bounced from the key level at 0.68000 (round number). The move was aggressively bearish which indicates a continuation of the downward momentum at least to reach the 0.63500 level
I have marked the two expected scenarios in the chart for reference.
AUDNZD Weekly Analysis and OutlookAUDNZD Weekly Analysis and Outlook
This week, the AUDNZD pair has shown a strong upward trajectory, closing in a bullish continuation phase. This upward momentum indicates a positive sentiment among traders, suggesting further potential for growth.
Current Market Overview:
The pair has been steadily moving upwards, supported by favorable market conditions and bullish sentiment. As it approaches a key resistance zone, traders should closely monitor the price action. A successful break above this resistance would likely confirm the continuation of the bullish trend.
Expectations and Potential Scenarios:
Upon breaking the resistance zone, we anticipate that the AUDNZD will continue its upward momentum. This breakout could open the door to higher levels, offering traders potential opportunities to capitalize on the bullish trend.
Primary Expectation: If the resistance is broken, the price is likely to sustain its upward movement, potentially targeting higher resistance levels. This scenario would reinforce the bullish outlook, making it a favorable environment for long positions.
Alternative Scenario: However, if the price encounters strong resistance and fails to break through, a temporary pullback could occur. Traders should be prepared for this scenario, as it might provide opportunities to reassess entry points at lower levels before resuming the upward trend.
Conclusion:
In summary, the AUDNZD pair is poised for further upward movement following its recent bullish phase. Traders should watch for a decisive break above the resistance zone, which could serve as a catalyst for continued gains. Maintaining awareness of both bullish and corrective scenarios will be crucial for effective trading strategies. Stay updated with market developments and adjust your positions accordingly.
By Piptera Digital Solutions,
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AUDNZD - Opportunity for a long trade !!Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on AUDNZD.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bullish market structure from 4H timeframe perspective, so I look for a long position. I expect price to make a retracement to fill that huge imbalance lower and then to reject from bullish order block + institutional big figure 1.10000.
Fundamental news: Upcoming week on Wednesday (GMT+3) we have news on NZD, we will see results of CPI and on Thursday (GMT+3) we have Unemployment Rate on AUD, news with high impact on currency.
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AUNZD I Impulse correction phase Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
** AUDNZD Analysis - Listen to video!
We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met.
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Thanks for your continued support!Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
AUDNZD - Downside move !! Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on AUDNZD.
Technical analysis: Here can see that price filled the imbalance and rejected from bearish order block, as well we have hidden divergence on daily and regular divergence on H4, so I expect to see bearish price action.
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AudNzd shortA short trade signal for AUD/NZD suggests that the Australian dollar is expected to weaken against the New Zealand dollar.
From a fundamental perspective, weaker economic data from Australia compared to New Zealand, a more dovish stance by the Reserve Bank of Australia compared to the Reserve Bank of New Zealand, and lower commodity prices impacting Australia's economy can all contribute to the bearish outlook. These combined factors indicate a higher likelihood of the AUD depreciating against the NZD, supporting the short trade signal.
AUDNZD - Long from bullish order block !!Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on AUDNZD.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bullish market structure from 4H timeframe perspective, so I look only for long position. I want price to continue the retracement to fill the imbalance lower and then to reject from bullish order block.
Fundamental news: Upcoming week on Wednesday we will see result of CPI on AUD, news with high impact on currency.
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AUDNZD Technical Analysis and Trade Idea👉 In our analysis, we direct our attention to the higher time frame charts for the AUDNZD. Presently, these charts signal a bullish outlook. However, we note that the price has entered a significant resistance zone. Furthermore, the market appears to be overextended. In the accompanying video, we delve into a potential retracement and a trade concept based on the Fibonacci retracement levels (specifically, the 50% to 61.8% range). It’s crucial to understand that this assessment remains speculative and does not constitute a definitive prediction. To validate a genuine reversal, diligent monitoring of specific price movements is imperative. The video provides an in-depth analysis of the trend, market structure, and price action. Always keep in mind that trading carries substantial risk, so prioritize robust risk management strategies in your decision-making process. 📊✅
AUD/NZD: Double Trouble - Resistance & Fibonacci Signal BearishAUD/NZD has been confined within a well-defined bearish channel for a considerable period. This indicates a downtrend with a series of lower highs and lower lows. The price has recently reached a key resistance level that coincides with a significant Fibonacci retracement zone between 0.5 and 0.618. This confluence of technical factors suggests a high probability of a bearish breakout.
Key Observations:
Bearish Channel: Price action is clearly trapped within a descending channel, highlighting the ongoing downtrend.
Resistance & Fibonacci Convergence: The current price zone near 1.095450 aligns with both a key resistance level and a critical Fibonacci retracement area (0.5 to 0.618). This confluence strengthens the bearish bias.
Strong Bearish Momentum: Price action at this resistance level exhibits strong bearish momentum, suggesting a potential rejection and continuation of the downtrend.
Trading Recommendation:
Based on the technical observations, a short position on AUD/NZD appears favorable. However, proper risk management is crucial.
Entry: A short position can be initiated on a confirmed break below the channel's lower trendline or a strong bearish candlestick reversal pattern at the current resistance level.
Stop Loss (SL): A stop loss can be placed above the recent swing high or the upper trendline of the bearish channel, depending on your risk tolerance.
Take Profit (TP): Potential take-profit targets can be identified based on Fibonacci extension levels or the measured move of the preceding bearish leg within the channel.
Risk Management:
Remember, always adhere to proper risk management principles. Ensure your stop loss is strategically placed to limit potential losses, and take profit targets should be established based on your risk-reward ratio.
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered as investment advice. Always conduct your own research and due diligence before making any trading decisions.
AUDNZD:Bearish now, will NZD bounce back? OANDA:AUDNZD
In coming weeks, we can see NZD bouncing back strong, AUDNZD remained bullish, however after looking at the behaviour of how price moved, we expect bears to engulf the trend. Please use accurate risk management to be successful in the market.
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AUDNZD - Buy opportunity ✅Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on AUDNZD.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bullish market structure from 4H timeframe perspective, so I look only for long position. I expect price to go a little bit lower to fulfill the imbalance and then to reject from bullish order block + institutional big figure 1.10000.
Fundamental news: Tomorrow (GMT+3) we will see result of Cash Rate on AUD, news with high impact on currency.
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AUDNZD - Harmonic Pattern - Bearish Momentum ExpectedAUDNZD is currently forming a Harmonic Pattern (XABCD) on the chart. The pattern indicates a potential reversal of the current trend, with Point D marking the completion of the pattern. Based on this formation, we anticipate a Bearish trend momentum to follow from Point D.
Entry and Stop Loss:
Entry: 1.09480
Stop Loss: 1.09850
Take Profit Targets:
TP-1: 1.09100
TP-2: 1.08745
TP-3: 1.08370
Rationale:
The entry point of 1.09480 aligns with the anticipated reversal from Point D of the Harmonic Pattern. The stop loss at 1.09850 is set to mitigate potential losses in case the market moves against the expected bearish momentum.
For take-profit targets, TP-1 at 1.09100, TP-2 at 1.08745, and TP-3 at 1.08370 are strategically placed to capture potential downward movements in the market, considering key support levels and Fibonacci retracement levels.
Risk Management:
It is crucial to adhere to proper risk management principles while trading this setup. Position sizing should be adjusted to ensure that potential losses are within acceptable limits relative to the trading account size.
Conclusion:
Based on the analysis of the Harmonic Pattern and associated entry and exit points, we anticipate a Bearish trend momentum in AUDNZD from Point D. Traders should monitor the price action closely and execute the trade according to their risk tolerance and trading strategy.
Capturing Opportunity: Short Trade Setup on AUDNZDOverview:
AUDNZD has exhibited a notable rejection at a significant resistance zone, confluently aligning with the 4-hour trendline. This presents a compelling opportunity for a potential short-trade setup.
Entry Point:
Considering the observed rejection and alignment with the 4-hour trendline, an entry point at 1.09150 is recommended. This level reflects a strategic position to capitalize on the anticipated downward movement.
Stop Loss:
To manage risk effectively, a stop loss should be placed at 1.09490. This level provides a buffer against potential adverse price movements while allowing for sufficient room for market fluctuations.
Take Profit Targets:
Two take profit targets are identified:
- TP-1: Set at 1.08797, representing the initial profit-taking level. This level aligns with the anticipated downward momentum and serves as a conservative exit point.
- TP-2: Positioned at 1.08450, reflecting a deeper target for maximizing profit potential. This level accounts for further downside potential based on the prevailing market dynamics.
Conclusion:
In conclusion, the technical analysis suggests a favorable short trade opportunity for AUDNZD, with an entry point at 1.09150, stop loss at 1.09490, and profit targets set at 1.08797 and 1.08450 respectively. Traders should monitor price action closely and adhere to risk management principles throughout the trade execution process.
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AUDNZD Technical Analysis and Trade IdeaThe AUDNZD demonstrates persistent bullish momentum with a robust upward trend visible on the daily timeframe. Consider a long entry upon a Fibonacci retracement, aiming for previous swing highs. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes and should not be considered financial advice.
AUDNZD - Potential buy from trendline ✅Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on AUDNZD.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bullish market structure from 4H timeframe perspective, so I look for a long position. I wait price to continue the retracement and my point of interest for a long is if price rejects from trendline + S/R level.
Fundamental news: Next week on Wednesday we have news on AUD, will be released yearly CPI, which has high impact on currency.
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