AUDUSD, Developing Triangle, Opportunity When Confirmation!Hello, Traders Investors And Community, welcome to this update-analysis where we are looking at recent events, the current price-structure, and what we can expect the next hours and days from AUDUSD. The major uptrend which I forecasted in previous analysis about AUDUSD confirmed properly as mentioned and touched the trendline before showing bearish signs to the downside where AUDUSD is building an overall consolidational range here if you did not saw this analysis already I highly recommend that you look at it when going on my account to have a full-depth-overview. Besides this fact, there are some other interesting signals which I determined and which will affect AUDUSD in a significant way.
As you can examine when looking at my chart now is that AUDUSD is moving in this overall sideways range which is building a triangle that is marked in my chart with the blue trendlines. At the moment this triangle can confirm either to the up or downside as there are factors playing into both scenario, on the bearish side it is the fact that AUDUSD is heavily overbought and after such a bull run normally comes minimum a smaller correction when not a bigger pull-back, on the bullish side it is the fact that AUDUSD is still holding above the 400-EMA in black and the 100-EMA in light-blue which are serving as strong support levels holding the trend to the upside, therefore, the price currently reaches an equilibrium state where it has to show which is the proper direction.
On the smaller scale, AUDUSD is developing the overall wave count where it is setting up the final wave E now to complete the overall wave count. This happens when the upper boundary is touched a last time after which we can get another pullback before the final breakout establishes. At the moment it is possible that AUDUSD breaks directly to the upside or to the downside but this probability is at the moment highly marginal because the triangle isn't established for that long time now. From a trading perspective, the breakout can be traded either aggressively with an immediate entry or conservative with entry after confirmation, therefore the fact that it is possible to confirm the triangle in both directions the conservative approach to wait on confirmation is definitely smarter here.
In this manner, thank you for watching, support for more market insight, have a great day and all the best my friends! ;)
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AUD/USD valid breakout targets 0.7420As we highlighted yesterday that we wanted to see a confirmation of breakout or reversals in AUD/USD, and the price action today suggests that AUD/USD confirms the uptrend.
Note: We are buying the dips on AUD/USD with stops at the support levels at 0.7330 to target 0.7420 in short term trading.
AUDUSD Still caught in the cloud for some timeFollowing last weeks Wyckoff view I formed of the market we have seen two good rejection candles off of the Automatic Reaction ('AR') level. So we will probably be looking for the bottom of the cloud in the weeks to come at around 0.72. Then staying in the cloud to about the end of August. Well lets see were the market takes us. I will be looking to follow the Kijun-sen on the lower time frames.
Potentially long AUDUSD Cypher and Bat patternsThis pair is in an uptrend on the daily. I will be looking to follow the move upwards with these two patterns (Cypher and Bat)
We are already experiencing oversold conditions and have some structure looking left.
Cypher pattern:
Entry: 0.75646
TP1: 0.76641
TP2: 0.77287
Bat pattern:
Entry: 0.755316
TP1: 0.76461
TP2: 0.77178
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Pivotal moment for AUDUSD (Hopefully Bearish)I believe we are at a pivotal moment for the AUDUSD depending on the next 1 or 2 candles. The yellow line above was a major support level in the past for the head and shoulders pattern and was also validated a few more times after that before break at the neckline. If price stays above this neckline in the next couple of candles, I predict the AUDUSD will consolidate around this area or head up, using it as support. BUT if next candles are bearish and below this support line than I feel confident in shorting the AUDUSD with stop lost at 0.7734, target one 0.74005, and target 2 at 0.73043. Support level should turn into resistance, creating a good risk vs. reward.