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AUDUSD

AUD/USD Analysis 1HThe price has broken above the resistance zone in gray and is now forming a triangle pattern. ✅ My idea: If the price continues to rise, the first target is the red resistance zone, followed by the second resistance in the green zone. Using the measurement from the bottom of the triangle to its top, the green zone aligns with the projected target. 🚨 Plan: Wait for confirmation before entering to avoid false moves. Manage your risk with appropriate stop-loss levels. 👉 Follow me for more updates and trading ideas!
Long
by WaveRiders2
1
AUDUSD H4 I Bearish Reversal Based on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price is rising toward our sell entry at 0.6541, which is an overlap resistance. Our take profit will be at 0.6453, a multi-swing support level. The stop loss will be placed at 0.6618, a pullback resistance that aligns with the 161.8% Fibo extension High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 73% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Short
by FXCM
AUDUSD-The first interest rate cut is postponed until next year?The AUDUSD currency pair is below the EMA200 and EMA50 in the 4H timeframe and is moving in its downward channel. In case of a valid failure of the channel ceiling, we can see the supply zones and sell within those zones with the appropriate risk reward. The loss of the drawn support range will pave the way down for this currency pair. The Australian government’s plan to reform the central bank by splitting its board into two divisions is close to becoming law.Prime Minister Anthony Albanese’s administration is pushing through dozens of bills in the Senate during the final parliamentary session of the year to implement these major reforms. In this process, the government and the minority Green Party reached a last-minute agreement to revive stalled legislation. Previous negotiations had failed because the Greens demanded an immediate interest rate cut by Treasurer Jim Chalmers, which critics argued could undermine the central bank’s independence. Now, with sufficient political support, these long-awaited reforms are set to be enacted soon, potentially reshaping Australia’s monetary and economic policies. Australia’s four major banks—ANZ, Commonwealth Bank, National Australia Bank, and Westpac—have adjusted their forecasts for when the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) will make its first interest rate cut. Westpac and NAB now expect this to occur in May 2025, while CBA and ANZ continue to anticipate a February 2025 cut, albeit with caution. The next RBA meeting is scheduled for December 9–10, 2024. S&P Global Ratings, in its outlook for the global economy in Q1 2025, stated, “Risks are increasing as the new U.S. administration’s policies are likely to heighten inflationary pressures and tighten financial conditions.” The agency predicts global GDP growth of about 3% in 2025, with U.S. economic growth dropping below 2% and China moving toward 4% growth. According to Bloomberg, economists anticipate that China’s exports will hit a record high this year as international customers place orders early to avoid potential tariffs threatened by Trump. Meanwhile, Australia, known as a safe haven for heavy-duty pickup trucks, is set to experience its most significant automotive shift in years, with new models arriving, including the first off-road hybrid vehicle from China’s BYD. Australia, famous for its love of SUVs and petrol-fueled pickups, remains one of the laggards in adopting electric vehicles. According to the Australian Automobile Association, EV sales in Q3 dropped by 25% compared to Q2, accounting for just 6.6% of the market—the lowest share since 2022. However, the arrival of new hybrid models like the BYD Shark 6 could transform Australia’s automotive market and boost demand for electric and hybrid vehicles. Meanwhile, a spokesperson for China’s Ministry of Commerce reiterated the country’s opposition to unilateral U.S. tariffs. He urged the U.S. to adhere to World Trade Organization (WTO) rules and emphasized that imposing tariffs would not solve America’s economic challenges. China’s stance against unilateral tariff increases, including those threatened by Trump, remains consistent. On the other hand, the U.S. economy grew at a robust pace in Q3, primarily driven by a significant surge in consumer spending as inflation continued to ease. GDP rose at an annual rate of 2.8% during this period. Consumer spending, the primary engine of economic growth, increased by 3.5%, marking the highest rate this year. According to the GDPNow model, the real GDP growth rate (seasonally adjusted annual rate) for Q4 2024 was revised to 2.7% on November 27, up from 2.6% on November 19. Following the release of the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis’ Personal Income and Outlays report, real personal consumption expenditures growth for Q4 was revised upward from 2.8% to 3.0%.
Short
by Ali_PSND
TradeCityPro | AUDUSD Analysis Preparing for Movement👋 Welcome to the TradeCityPro channel! Let’s examine the key triggers for AUDUSD, which appears poised for an interesting move. 🌍 Fundamental Overview: Supported by stable commodity prices, especially iron ore, a key driver of Australia's economy. Recent Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) comments suggest a balanced stance with no immediate rate hikes. Bolstered by strong economic data and expectations of prolonged higher interest rates by the Federal Reserve. Mixed global risk sentiment keeps the USD favored as a safe-haven currency. ⏱ 4-Hour Timeframe AUDUSD has been in a long-term downtrend, losing multiple supports and forming successive lower highs and lows. However, the price has recently stabilized, ranging between 0.64501 and 0.65412. 📉 Short Position Trigger: After breaking the 0.64501 support, initiate a short trade targeting 0.62910. 📈 Long Position Trigger: In case of a false breakdown of the support or prolonged consolidation within the range, open a riskier long trade above 0.65412 , Safer long entries can be considered once higher highs and lows are confirmed. 📝 Final Thoughts This analysis reflects our opinions and is not financial advice. Share your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to share this analysis with your friends! ❤️
by tradecitypro
2
Uptrend for AUDUSD, upto 0.69, Is my analysis wrong? {27/11/202}Educational Analysis says AUDUSD may move UP from this range, according to my technical. Broker - FXCM Why BULL RUN? Because this pair has been juggling around for months in this range, I finally changed the character to show a sign of an uptrend, and I am looking to buy and hold this position on this pair. Let's see what this pair brings to the table for us in the future. Please check the comment section to see how this turned out. DISCLAIMER:- This is not an entry signal. THIS IS ONLY EDUCATIONAL PURPOSE ANALYSIS. I have no concerns with your profit and loss from this analysis. I HAVE NO CONCERNS WITH YOUR PROFIT OR LOSS, Happy Trading, Fx Dollars.
Long
by VishalBudhrani
AUDUSD - Short Trade IdeaThis is a short idea on AUDUSD. I'm anticipating lower prices towards a higher timeframe ascending trendline, after price took out buyside liquidity from a descending trendline and then displacing lower. The trendline in the image is one isolated to around these timeframes, and not the HTF narrative. Besides that, I'm basing it off a Daily iFVG and Daily -OB. First target is the most recent low that price made. Stoploss at immediate swing high, but completely possible for price to come up during a high impact news event to take out the buyside liquidity above. Either a sweep, or this idea is completely wrong. Good luck and safe trading. - R2F
Short
by Road_2_Funded
2
AUD/USD 1H AnalysisThe price is approaching a key resistance zone (red), where we could see sellers step in and push the price lower. However, we need confirmation before considering a short trade. ✅ What I’m looking for: Clear rejection signals at the resistance (e.g., bearish candlesticks, high selling volume). Strong confirmation that sellers are back in control. 🚨 Plan: Patience is key. Wait for confirmation before entering a short position to avoid unnecessary risk. What’s your view on AUD/USD? Let me know!
Short
by WaveRiders2
AUD/USD: Consolidation Amid Strength in Both CurrenciesAUD/USD: Consolidation Amid Strength in Both Currencies The AUD/USD pair remained relatively steady last week, consolidating as both the Australian dollar (AUD) and the US dollar (USD) stood out as some of the strongest currencies in the forex market. While both currencies are supported by robust fundamentals, differing factors drive their respective strengths, creating an interesting dynamic for the pair. Strength in the Australian Dollar The Australian dollar’s strength stems from the Reserve Bank of Australia’s (RBA) ability to maintain its current monetary policy. With interest rates at 4.35%, the RBA faces less urgency to implement sharp rate cuts, supported by: - GDP Annual Growth Rate: Australia’s economy is growing at 1.00% annually, showing moderate but steady expansion. - Inflation and Employment: Relatively high inflation and low unemployment provide the central bank room to hold rates steady, balancing growth with price stability. These factors position the AUD as one of the more stable and attractive currencies among major forex pairs. The Resilient US Dollar On the other hand, the US dollar remains strong, bolstered by robust economic data and the Federal Reserve’s stance on interest rates: - Initial Jobless Claims (Nov. 16): Better-than-expected at 213K, indicating a healthy labor market. - S&P Global Services PMI Flash (Nov.): Surprising to the upside at 57.0, reflecting strong activity in the services sector. With US interest rates at 4.75%, higher than Australia’s, and diminishing prospects of immediate rate cuts, the USD continues to attract global capital. However, the dollar’s strength is moderated by seasonal trends and risk-on sentiment, which tend to favor higher-yielding and riskier assets like the AUD. Key Event Ahead for the AUD The most significant event for the Australian dollar this week will be the release of the Monthly CPI Indicator (October) on Wednesday. The market is anticipating a reading of 2.3%, which will provide crucial insight into inflation trends and the RBA’s potential policy direction. A higher-than-expected result could further strengthen the AUD by reducing expectations of future rate cuts. Seasonality and Risk-On Sentiment Seasonal patterns and a supportive risk-on sentiment are also aiding the AUD/USD pair. Investors’ appetite for riskier assets typically benefits the Australian dollar, which is closely tied to global growth and commodity markets. Conclusion AUD/USD is in a unique position as both currencies are supported by strong fundamentals. While the Australian dollar benefits from steady domestic conditions and inflationary pressures, the US dollar is bolstered by robust economic performance and higher interest rates. The upcoming inflation report in Australia will likely set the tone for the AUD’s near-term trajectory, while broader market sentiment and seasonal trends could favor continued consolidation or moderate gains in the pair. What are your thoughts on AUD/USD? Could the Australian dollar take the lead, or will the US dollar maintain its upper hand? Share your insights in the comments!
Long
by InvestMate
1
Bearish drop?The Aussie (AUD/USD) is rising towards the pivot which acts as a pullback resistance and could drop to the pullback support. Pivot: 0.6557 1st Support: 0.6442 1st Resistance: 0.6645 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Short
by ICmarkets
3
AUDUSD: Time to turn bullish again.AUDUSD is bearish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 41.008, MACD = -0.006, ADX = 21.063) as it has been declining since the September 30th High. Technically though it is time to turn bullish again as not only has the 1D MACD formed a Bullish Cross, but the double bottom on the 1D RSI is identical to the February 13th 2024 Low. The resulting rebound reached the 0.5 Fibonacci level before a rejection. Consequently, we are turning bullish here, aiming for the current 0.5 Fib (TP = 0.66900). See how our prior idea has worked out: ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
Long
by InvestingScope
AUD/CHF: Watching for the Perfect Resistance TestFor this setup, I’m only looking to sell if price moves into the marked resistance zone (~0.57592). Patience and discipline are key—no zone, no trade. 📉 Market Context: The bearish structure is intact, with lower highs and lower lows showing sellers are in control. The marked resistance zone (~0.57592) is a critical area to watch for rejection. Stop-Loss: Set at 0.57984, above the resistance zone, to invalidate the setup. Target: Aiming for the support level at 0.56833, the next major area of interest. 🎯 Risk Management: Risking 1% of capital on this trade to ensure proper account management. Position size will be calculated based on the entry, stop-loss, and the 1% risk rule. 🧠 Psychology Tip: "Discipline in risk is non-negotiable." 📌 No matter how good a setup looks, risking more than you planned is a fast track to inconsistency. Stick to your 1%, and let probabilities do the heavy lifting.
Short
by CurlyTrader_xo
AUD/JPY: Potential Retest Setup for a Bearish Move Watching for a retracement into the highlighted resistance zone (~100.387) before considering a bearish continuation. This setup aligns with the current market structure and offers an opportunity to join the trend if conditions are met. 📉 Key Observations: Recent break below support turned the zone into potential resistance. Anticipating a retest in this area to confirm rejection before any short entry. The overall market structure remains bearish with lower highs and lower lows. 🎯 Plan: Wait for price to retest and reject the resistance zone. First target: 98.053, the next significant support level. Stop-loss: Above 101.250 to allow for potential volatility. 🧠 Entry Psychology Tip: "Be okay with missing the trade if it doesn’t meet your plan." 📌 Letting the market prove itself before entering builds confidence in your setup and keeps you disciplined. Stay focused on execution, not on the outcome.
Short
by CurlyTrader_xo