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Market Analysis: AUD/USD Recovers - More Gains Ahead?Market Analysis: AUD/USD Recovers - More Gains Ahead? AUD/USD is attempting a recovery wave from 0.6440. Important Takeaways for AUD/USD Analysis Today - The Aussie Dollar found support near 0.6440 and is now recovering against the US Dollar. - There was a break above a key bearish trend line with resistance at 0.6480 on the hourly chart of AUD/USD at FXOpen. AUD/USD Technical Analysis On the hourly chart of AUD/USD at FXOpen, the pair dipped from the 0.6685 resistance zone. The Aussie Dollar declined below 0.6500, but the bulls were active near 0.6440 against the US Dollar. A low was formed near 0.6439 and the pair is now correcting losses. There was a move above the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward wave from the 0.6685 swing high to the 0.6439 low. There was also a break above a key bearish trend line with resistance at 0.6480. The pair is now above 0.6500 and the 50-hour simple moving average. On the upside, immediate resistance is near the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward wave from the 0.6685 swing high to the 0.6439 low at 0.6560. The first major resistance is near 0.6630. A clear upside break above 0.6630 could send the pair toward 0.6685. The next major resistance on the AUD/USD chart is near 0.6720, above which the price could rise toward 0.6750. Any more gains might send the pair toward 0.6800. On the downside, initial support is near 0.6500 or the 50-hour simple moving average. The next support could be the 0.6480 zone. Any more losses might send the pair toward the 0.6440 support. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
1
AUDUSD - Trump continues to influence the dollar!The AUDUSD currency pair is located between EMA200 and EMA50 in the 4H timeframe and is moving in its downward channel. In case of an upward correction due to the release of economic data this week, we can see the supply zone and sell within those limits with the appropriate risk reward. As long as the drawn upward trend line is maintained, the target of this corrective movement will be the ceiling of the descending channel. The recent U.S. elections have sparked two contrasting narratives about the country’s economic future. One emphasizes economic growth through tax and regulatory cuts, while the other highlights downside risks stemming from tariffs and overall policy uncertainty. However, the business cycle’s strong performance to date remains a key consideration. Forecasts suggest that U.S. economic growth will slightly slow to 2% in 2025, with unemployment rising modestly to 4.5%. Additionally, the Core Personal Consumption Expenditures (Core PCE) index is expected to decrease by 0.5% next year, settling at 2.3%. The Federal Reserve is likely to cut interest rates by 25 basis points in December and reduce them further to 3.75% by the end of Q3 2025. On the trade policy front, significant tariff increases on China are anticipated, though no major changes are expected elsewhere. These tariffs could reduce trade volumes and raise import prices. According to a recent Federal Reserve Bank of New York report, credit application rejection rates in 2024 are projected to be significantly higher than in 2019. The report also indicates that households are expected to be less inclined to apply for credit next year. Rejection rates for mortgage refinancing and auto loans have reached record highs in the survey’s history. Furthermore, the share of Americans refraining from applying for credit due to discouragement is on the rise. Meanwhile, Goldman Sachs has revised its 2025 economic growth forecast for Australia downward, citing potential negative spillovers from the expected increase in U.S. tariffs on China. In its 2025 Australia and New Zealand Outlook report, Goldman now predicts a 1.8% rise in Australia’s GDP for next year, down from its earlier 2% forecast. This adjustment reflects the anticipated impact of tariffs on Australia’s exports, given that China is its largest trading partner. President-elect Donald Trump has threatened to impose a 60% tariff on Chinese exports, aiming to protect American businesses and jobs. In response, Chinese President Xi Jinping has remarked that China-Australia relations have maintained a positive trajectory of growth. He emphasized the need for enhanced coordination and cooperation between the two nations, stating that there are no fundamental conflicts of interest between them. Xi also called on Australia to create fairer trade conditions, announcing China’s readiness to increase imports of high-quality Australian products and encourage Chinese companies to invest in the country.
Short
by Ali_PSND
AUD/USD: Seeking dips for move to 66cAUD/USD has risen for a thirds day from its multi-week low, and shows the potential to head for 66c It is the second day in a row the market closed just off its daily high and the daily RSI (2) is not yet overbought. However, the October high makes a likely interim resistance level which could spark a pullback before dip buyers return. Bulls could seek dips down towards the weekly pivot near 0.6500 in anticipation of its next leg higher, with 0.6560, 0.6584 (November VPOC) and the 0.6600 handle coming into focus.
Long
by CityIndex
Heading into 38.2% Fibonacci resistance?The Aussie (AUD/USD) is rising towards the pivot which acts as an overlap resistance and could reverse to the pullback support. Pivot: 0.6543 1st Support: 0.6448 1st Resistance: 0.6596 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Short
by ICmarkets
Bearish reversal?AUD/USD is rising towards the resistance level which is an overlap resistance that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit. Entry: 0.6540 Why we like it: There is an overlap resistance level that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss: 0.6598 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Take profit: 0.6453 Why we like it: There is a pullback support. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Short
by VantageMarkets
AUDUSD H1 - AUD (Strongest) Against USD (Weakest) = UpTrend (3)This indicates which currencies are GAINING value and which are LOSING value. As a result, we see which pairs to trade. By trading the currency gaining the most value against the currency losing the most value = We aspire to ride the strongest trends, obtain the highest performance, be in the safest trades and to avoid the choppy chaotic charts. --- This layout displays the Value, Performance and Pressure behind each currency. Let's break it down by panel. -- In the top panel: Indicator 'Currencies' / Settings: Performance All 8 Currencies. We see the performance of all 8 major currencies. Most recent bars: AUD (Orange line) is the strongest currency. USD (Red line) is the weakest currency. So, we bought the AUDUSD pair because both currencies are going opposite ways (AUD going up / USD going down). -- In the second panel: Indicator 'Currencies' / Settings: Pair Performance. We see the Performance of the 2 currencies of the pair on chart. The AUD (Orange line) and the USD (Red line) + the Pressure of the Pair in the background. The brighter the color in background = The higher is the performance for the pair on chart. -- In the 3rd panel: Indicator: The 'Template'. (Over 10 years in R&D to paint the chart perfectly.) Resistance was broken. -- In the 4th panel: Indicator 'Currencies' / Settings: Pressure. We see the Pressure behind each currencies of the pair on chart. The Higher is the line = More Upside pressure. The Lower is the line = More Downside pressure. -- 5th panel: Indicator 'Currencies' / Settings: Value of the Base currency (AUD). Displays the Value of the AUD + Intensity Background (Up/Down) 6th panel: Indicator 'Currencies' / Settings: Value of the Quote currency (USD). Displays the Value of the USD + Intensity Background (Up/Down) Strategy for 5th and 6th panels: Blue Background (One Currency Gaining Value) AGAINST Red Background (One Currency Losing Value) = Pair Trending. (If you want to learn more about this, we have recorded a video. Comment 'Video'.)
Long
by ascension
8
London Session Focus: USDJPY Momentum & Potential AUDUSD BuyThis morning during the London session, my primary focus is on the USDJPY. We anticipate a momentum low developing below the current price level. Additionally, the AUDUSD has flagged a potential buying opportunity around the 0.6450 level. The EURUSD and GBPUSD (Cable) are also showing potential for bullish moves; however, their price structures are currently less defined than those of the above-mentioned pairs. Trade wisely and happy trading!
by Charts247TradingAcademy
AUD/USD BULLSEYE STRAT 11/11/24- USD expected to withstand selling pressure; oil rally, president trump re-elected + pres trump stock rally, cpi expected to hold according to economic data matches SEIIV4L Strategic Cpi signal, (*) buy lows @ significant decline after full decline (*) Dxy will have fake selling pressure due to uninformed investors, this will allow market to hit Tp1 currently 1.7% away from target (0.64478) (*) Expect AUSSIE employment securities to rally AU dollar after decline total of 7.4% chopped down to to definite TP's (0.66787) 3.6& (0.68229) - 5.8%. - Market retracement range/range trading: 0.24% , 0.35% , 0.44%
Long
by Sylynt056
2
NEW NASDAQ ROUTEThe potential drop in the NASDAQ in the coming days could be driven by several key factors. First, macroeconomic uncertainties, including geopolitical tensions or the persistence of high interest rates, could increase market volatility. Additionally, recent disappointing quarterly earnings from major tech companies, which are often heavily weighted in the index, add downward pressure. Lastly, technical signals such as the breach of critical support levels or a decline below the 50-day moving average could trigger accelerated sell-offs. Investors should closely monitor these indicators to assess risks and adjust their portfolios accordingly.
CAPITALCOM:US100Short
by edl75
AUD/USD Analysis on the 1-Hour ChartIn this analysis of AUD/USD, we are currently observing a clear downtrend, with sellers dominating the market. A key resistance zone, marked in pink, has been identified based on previous price action where sellers entered the market to push prices lower. At the moment, the price is still far from this resistance zone. However, our strategy is to prepare for a potential scenario where the price retraces back to this area. If the price reaches the pink zone, there is a strong likelihood that sellers could return, resuming the downtrend. Trading Plan: Long Positions: For traders holding long positions, this resistance zone is an excellent area to consider reducing positions to secure profits, as a rejection from this level could lead to a decline. Short Positions: If the price shows signs of rejection or bearish confirmation (e.g., a bearish candlestick pattern, divergence, or weakening momentum) upon reaching the pink zone, it could provide an opportunity to enter a short position in alignment with the prevailing downtrend. Risk Management: Use a stop loss just above the pink resistance zone to manage risk in case of a breakout. This approach combines disciplined risk management with technical analysis, ensuring that we capitalize on potential market movements while minimizing exposure to unexpected reversals.
Short
by WaveRiders2
AUD/USD Reaches New Low: Technicals Highlight Bearish TrendThe AUD/USD pair has sunk below 0.65000, hitting a low of 0.64529, reflecting a persistent bearish trend for the Australian dollar. This decline aligns with the strong US dollar index at 106.4 amidst robust post-election performance. The RBA's steady interest rate at 4.35% and lackluster employment growth in Australia indicate ongoing economic pressures that may limit the Aussie’s recovery. Meanwhile, anticipated rate cuts by the Fed could introduce USD vulnerabilities, adding complexity to the pair's future trajectory. Traders should closely monitor economic indicators and central bank policies in both regions for potential market shifts.
by tastyfx
5