AUDUSD Continues Downtrend with High-Probability Weekly FVG AUDUSD has maintained a strong downtrend, recently wicking into a weekly Fair Value Gap (FVG) that previously broke structure, confirming this FVG as high-probability. The recent close below the weekly FVG reinforces a bearish bias, indicating that sellers are still in control.
The next target for this move is the sellside liquidity at 0.63541. This setup aligns with the prevailing trend, making it a high-probability continuation to the downside.
Always remember: DYOR (Do Your Own Research).
AUDUSD
AUDUSD What Next? BUY!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for AUDUSD below:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 0.6508
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bullish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 0.6573
Recommended Stop Loss - 0.6475
About Used Indicators:
Super-trend indicator is more useful in trending markets where there are clear uptrends and downtrends in price.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
AUDUSD Sell the dead cat bounce.The AUDUSD pair gave us an excellent sell opportunity last time on our bearish signal (September 18, see chart below) as it got rejected marginally above the 1.5 year Resistance Zone and broke below both the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and 1D MA200 (orange trend-line):
This is so far consistent with all three previous sell sequences that reached the 1D RSI oversold (30.00) barrier. If the symmetry continues to hold, then we should be expecting at least a +2.62% counter-trend rebound and then another rejection towards the 1.382 Fibonacci extension.
As a result, we remain bearish on AUDUSD but need to move our Target a bit higher at 0.64500 (despite the gravity of the 2-year Higher Lows trend-line and the Support Zone) in order to match the 1.382 Fib.
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AUDUSD Is Approaching An Important ResistanceHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring AUDUSD for a selling opportunity around 0.65700 zone, AUDUSD is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 0.65700 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
XAU/USD : More Fall Ahead ? (READ THE CAPTION)We can observe that after reaching $2699 again, gold faced selling pressure and has corrected down to $2659 so far. Considering that both the New York and Canadian markets are closed today, we are likely to see the next significant move tomorrow.
Considering the current price trajectory, we need to see how gold reacts if it declines further to the $2649 level. If this level does not hold as support, there is a high likelihood that gold will first hit the $2643 target and then continue dropping to $2630 and $2616.
THE MAIN IDEA :
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AUD/USD "Aussie" Bank Money Heist Plan on Bearish Side.Ola! Ola! My Dear Robbers / Money Makers & Losers, 🤑💰
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Potential bullish bounce for the Aussie?AUD/USD is falling towards the support level which is a pullback support that is slightly below the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.6544
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that is slightly below the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 0.6508
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Take profit: 0.6597
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
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AUD/USD 1-Hour UpdateAUD/USD 1-Hour Update – We’ve broken through a support zone, which has now turned into resistance in the pink area. A pullback has occurred, and it looks like the price is getting rejected, potentially heading toward the green support zone. This area could see buyers stepping back in, or, if you’re in a short, it might be a good place to consider reducing positions.
AUDUSD Potential DownsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring AUDUSD for a selling opportunity around 0.66100 zone, AUDUSD is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 0.66100 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
AUDUSD Channel Down aiming for a bearish break out.AUDUSD is trading inside a Channel Down since September 19th.
The price is currently under the MA50 (4h) and the bullish wave of the Channel Down is about to end.
So far this is similar to the first bullish wave (Megaphone) that made a bearish break out on October 3rd.
Trading Plan:
1. Sell on the current market price.
Targets:
1. 0.64565 (Fibonacci 1.5 extension).
Tips:
1. The RSI (4h) double topped and is trading under its MA. Sell signal as well.
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Levels discussed on 11th November Livestream11th November
DXY: Consolidating along 105, look for break out above 105.15 to reach high of 105.45
NZDUSD: Sell 0.5955 SL 20 TP 40
AUDUSD: Sell 0.6565 SL 25 TP 50
GBPUSD: Sell 1.2830 SL 30 TP 80
EURUSD: Sell 1.0660 SL 25 TP 50
USDJPY: Buy 153.80 SL 40 TP 80
USDCHF: Buy 0.8790 SL 25 TP 80
USDCAD: Do Nothing
Gold: Could range between 2660 and 2644
AUDUSD Long- day tradingForgot to post this trade earlier!
FX:AUDUSD
Let's see if it reaches the buy-side liquidity: we've got a W pattern, swing low, FVG, discount array, and buy-side liquidity in play.
Honestly, it looks poised to go higher if today’s level holds; otherwise, more downside ahead. EUR/USD has recovered well, but tomorrow will bring a new challenge.
AU Index Rallies from Demand Area as Bullish Sentiment GrowsThe AU Index experienced a significant development yesterday as it reached a key demand area, showing a strong rejection today that indicates potential bullish momentum. This demand zone, identified through technical analysis, has historically served as a pivotal point for price action, suggesting an opportunity for a price turnaround. With the opening candle reflecting a robust rejection of lower levels, traders are increasingly optimistic about the possibility of a bullish trend emerging in the coming months.
From a technical standpoint, this demand area presents a solid foundation for potential upward movement. The absence of follow-through selling and the strength of the rejection signal that buyers are stepping in to support the price. When coupled with historical seasonality patterns, which indicate a likelihood of gains during this period, there is a compelling case for a bullish outlook on the AU Index. Historical trends suggest that this time frame has often led to price rallies, providing further confirmation for those considering long positions.
On the fundamental side, the insights from the Commitment of Traders (COT) report paint an interesting picture. While retail traders are predominantly bearish, indicating a cautious sentiment among the broader market participants, the smart money narrative tells a different story. Institutional investors appear to be either bullish or in the early stages of building long positions, which can be a telling signal for future price action. This divergence between retail bearishness and institutional buying often creates an environment ripe for a market reversal, particularly as the smart money tends to lead rather than follow market trends.
Given these dynamics, traders are now on the lookout for a long setup on the AU Index. Emphasizing risk management and entry strategies will be essential in this endeavor. With the price showing resilience at the demand area and fundamental signals suggesting a shift towards bullishness, there is a growing confidence that the AU Index may be poised for a sustained rally.
In conclusion, the confluence of technical indicators, seasonal patterns, and the contrasting sentiments present in the COT report presents an enticing opportunity in the AU Index. As traders position themselves for potential gains, the next few sessions will be crucial in determining whether this demand area will indeed act as a launchpad for a bullish trend in the months ahead. Investors will be closely monitoring price movements, looking for confirmation to validate their long strategies in what could be an exciting period for this index.
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AUDUSD Trading IdeaBased on Simple Technical Analysis ( Trendline + Support & Resistance )
Risk Disclaimer:
Please be advised that I am not telling anyone how to spend or invest their money. Take all of my analysis as my own opinion, as entertainment, and at your own risk. I assume no responsibility or liability for any errors or omissions in the content of this page, and they are for educational purposes only. Any action you take on the information in this analysis is strictly at your own risk. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Past results are not indicative of future returns. Good luck :-)
Japan’s consumer spending slips, yen extends gainsThe Japanese yen has posted gains on Friday. In the European session, USD/JPY is trading at 152.38, down 0.36% on the day. The yen has taken traders on a roller-coaster ride this week, plunging 2% on Wednesday and rebounding on Thursday with a 1.1% gain.
Japan’s household spending fell by 1.1% y/y in September, following a 1.9% drop in August. This was better than the market estimate of -2.1%. Household spending has declined in 10 of the past 12 months, as consumer confidence fell in October and inflation is relatively high. On a monthly basis, household spending decreased 1.3%, after a strong 2% gain in August. This beat the market estimate of 0.7%.
The weak yen is also weighing on consumers, who are being squeezed as their purchasing power has fallen. The yen fell to three-month lows this week against the dollar and if the downswing continues, the Bank of Japan will be under pressure to respond with a rate hike.
Although consumers are holding tight on the purse strings, wages have been rising and the BoJ is hopeful that will translate into increased consumer spending and demand-driven inflation. Consumer spending makes up more than half of the economy and BoJ is unlikely to make further rate hikes until it sees stronger consumer spending. The markets don’t expect a rate hike until early 2025.
The Federal Reserve didn’t surprise anyone with a 25-basis point rate cut on Wednesday. This is the second cut in the easing cycle after an oversized 50-bp chop in September. The vote was unanimous and unlike the Bank of Japan, the Fed has been transparent and telegraphed its plan to cut rates ahead of the meeting. The Fed is expected to continue cutting rates in the coming meeting and will be keeping a close eye on inflation and employment reports.
USD/JPY faces resistance at 153.44 and 154.17
152.16 and 151.43 are the next support levels
AUDUSD Will Go Up! Long!
Please, check our technical outlook for AUDUSD.
Time Frame: 4h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 0.664.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 0.668 level soon.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
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