AUDUSD Bullish Trade Idea - SwingMy trading is based on COT readings along with Supply & Demand.
In this idea you can see a clear Weekly Demand area in support with great COT readings where the Users & Producers are clearly bullish and Retailers bearish. Of course, you want to trade AGAINST retailers at all costs because they are mostly wrong.
imgur.com
(Red = U&Ps | Blue = Retailers | Green = Fund managers / trend followers)
So, in addition to all that, I use Elliott Waves to confirm trends or end of trends, and now we're in the beginning of a major Wave 3 (creating wave 1 & 2, we're here).
Hope you like this idea and trade safe!
AUDUSD
Aussie H4 | Bearish downtrend to resume?The Aussie (AUD/USD) is rising towards a pullback resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 0.6173 which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level.
Stop loss is at 0.6223 which is a level that sits above the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement and a pullback resistance.
Take profit is at 0.6087 which is a swing-low support.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
AUDUSD, What will hapen in upcoming weeks ?Hello Traders, Happy new year in advance, I Hope you have a great year ahead with your family.
let's go for AUDUSD analysis:
for upcoming weeks, we'll probably see an upward correction to Specified level at first and then it will start another fall. so with a proper trigger we can open a short position.
And finally tell me what do you think ? UP or DOWN ? leave your comment below this post.
If this post was helpful to you, please like it and share it with your friend.
THANKS.
Sideways Action in AUD/USD with Bearish Bias Amid RBA Rate Cut AUD/USD is expected to trade sideways in the near term, with a bearish bias overall. The market remains range-bound, and any rallies should be sold at resistance levels, as the broader trend is down. The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) is anticipated to cut rates, which could put additional pressure on the Aussie, reinforcing the overall negative outlook for the pair. Watch for confirmation at key levels before entering trades, with the focus on selling at resistance.
AUDUSD Breakout And Potential RetraceHey Traders, in the coming week we are monitoring AUDUSD for a buying opportunity around 0.61600 zone, AUDUSD was trading in a downtrend and successfully managed to break it out. Currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the retrace area at 0.61600 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
AUDUSD buying Trading IdeaHello Traders
In This Chart AUDUSD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today AUDUSD analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (AUDUSD market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity onAUDCAD Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Chart
Ghost's AUD/USD LTF Setup [LONG]Trump is signing executive orders in 3 hours, price has been very choppy today and looks at face value like it's about to mirror the move down back up, however, the risk of trump mentioning or doing anything with Tariffs is high and for that reason I think it's possible the liquidity below around .621 may get manipulated before the move up.
AUDUSD - 4H Why we need to Buy?!The FX:AUDUSD has shown strong bullish momentum after hunting liquidity below the 2022 low on the daily and weekly timeframes.
✅ Breakout & Retest: The pair successfully broke the descending channel's resistance and is now pulling back to the breakout zone, confirming its strength.
✅ Higher High Formation: A higher high structure supports the bullish bias, indicating potential continuation towards previous highs and beyond.
📌 I expect another bullish push from this key support zone.
🔔 Follow for real-time updates!
XAU/USD : Bull or Bear (READ THE CAPTION)By analyzing the 4-hour gold chart, we see that, as expected, the price continued its upward movement following yesterday's analysis, hitting the $2752 and $2764 targets, delivering a 200-pip return. After reaching $2764, gold corrected from $2766 down to $2757, and it is currently trading around $2759. If the price stabilizes below this level, we could see further corrections.
⚠ Important Note: Today, we have the FOMC meeting and the U.S. interest rate decision, which could lead to high market volatility. I strongly recommend avoiding trading during these critical hours!
THE MAIN ANALYSIS :
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
Bearish drop?AUD/USD is rising towards the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.6262
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 0.6324
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance.
Take profit: 0.6176
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Australian dollar extends losses on soft Aussie CPIThe Australian dollar is down for a third straight trading day and has declined 1.3% this week. In the North American session, AUD/USD is trading at 0.6228, down 0.37% on the day.
Australia's annual inflation rate dropped to 2.4% in the fourth quarter of 2024 from 2.8% in Q3. This was below the market estimate of 2.5% and was the lowest reading since Q1 2023. Electricity prices were sharply lower due to an energy bill rebate and services inflation dropped to 4.3% from 4.6%, its lowest level in three quarters. On a quarterly basis, CPI remained unchanged at 0.2% in Q4, below the market estimate of 0.3%.
The Reserved Bank of Australia's trimmed mean CPI, a key indicator of underlying inflation, slowed to 0.5% q/q in Q4, lower than 0.8% in Q3 and below the market estimate of 0.6%. Annually, trimmed mean CPI fell to 3.2%, compared to a revised 3.6% in Q3 and below the market estimate of 3.3%.
The soft inflation report has raised expectations that the RBA will lower rates at the Feb. 18 meeting, with the market pricing in a quarter-point cut at 80%. That would bring the cash rate to 4.10%, its lowest since Oct. 2023. Today's inflation report has added significance as it is the final tier-1 event prior to next month's rate meeting.
Investors are awaiting the Federal Reserve's rate announcement later today, although it would be a massive surprise if the Fed did not maintain the current benchmark interest rate of 4.25%-4.5%. The Fed has cut rate three consecutive times, including a jumb0 half-point chop in September 2024, but the resilient US economy has stalled plans to aggressively lower rates further and currently the Fed is projected to cut rates only once or twice in 2025.
AUD/USD is testing support at 0.6228. Below, there is support at 0.6204
0.6262 and 0.6286 are the next resistance lines
AUD/USD Resistance Rejection and Bearish OutlookAUD/USD represents the Australian Dollar against the US Dollar in the forex market. The current price is 0.62300, with a target price of 0.60000, indicating a bearish outlook. The expected price drop suggests a potential gain of 200+ pips if the trade moves as anticipated. The analysis is based on the support and resistance pattern, a key concept in technical trading. The price has reached a strong resistance level and is facing rejection, signaling selling pressure. A rejection at resistance often indicates a shift in momentum, leading to a possible downward move. Traders anticipate the price to decline toward the next support level at 0.60000. This setup suggests bearish dominance as long as resistance holds. If the price fails to break above resistance, further downside movement is likely. Proper risk management is crucial, as market conditions can change.
AUD/USD BUYERS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|LONG
Hello, Friends!
Bullish trend on AUD/USD, defined by the green colour of the last week candle combined with the fact the pair is oversold based on the BB lower band proximity, makes me expect a bullish rebound from the support line below and a retest of the local target above at 0.625.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
AUD/USD Sell-Off Continues! More Pain Ahead? The AUD/USD pair is showing clear signs of bearish continuation as price respects a higher timeframe Fair Value Gap (FVG), rejecting attempts to push higher. Additionally, high-impact news against the Australian Dollar has accelerated downside momentum, reinforcing the bearish bias.
Key Observations:
✅ HTF FVG Respect – Price reacted strongly to the daily FVG, showing a rejection pattern.
✅ Bearish Momentum – Fundamentals align with technicals, pushing AUD lower.
✅ Sell-Side Liquidity Target – Eyes on 0.61305 as a major liquidity grab zone.
Trade Outlook:
Expect further downside movement, but watch for potential retracements into the FVG before continuation lower. If price remains below 0.62703, the probability of a deeper sell-off increases.
DYOR and manage risk accordingly! 📉🔥
Soft AU inflation figures likely cements RBA cut AUD/USD escaped a short-covering rally on Wednesday, as softer-than-expected Q4 inflation figures could justify the 25bp RBA cut that money markets were already pricing in. I take a quick look at the key inflation measures and AUD/USD.
Matt Simpson, market Analyst at City Index and Forex.com
FOREX AUDUSD LONGAUDUSD appears to have formed a fakeout at the lower end of the range. This suggests that traders who entered short positions when support was broken are now either closing their positions or adding to their losing trades to avoid liquidation. This dynamic could fuel the price toward 0.64, where the 21-week exponential moving average is located.
I'm watching for the price to reach the nPOC zone. However, if the price finds support around the 21-day EMA within the next 1–2 days, I plan to enter with half of my position.
AUD/USD's Potential Bearish Flag BreakdownChart Analysis:
The AUD/USD pair is trading within a short-term rising channel, providing a near-term bullish framework amid a broader bearish trend.
1️⃣ Rising Channel:
The pair remains within the bounds of a green-shaded rising channel, suggesting upward momentum persists in the short term.
A break below the channel’s lower boundary near 0.6240 could signal a return to bearish dominance, while a move above 0.6300 would strengthen bullish prospects.
2️⃣ Moving Averages:
50-day SMA (blue): Positioned at 0.6327, acting as the next key resistance level above the rising channel.
200-day SMA (red): At 0.6578, remains well above the current price, reflecting the pair’s long-term bearish bias.
3️⃣ Momentum Indicators:
RSI: At 47.66, indicating neutral momentum and the potential for either continuation or reversal within the channel.
MACD: Near zero but improving, suggesting waning bearish momentum.
What to Watch:
A sustained break above 0.6300 and the 50-day SMA would open the door for further gains.
Alternatively, failure to hold the rising channel support at 0.6240 could lead to renewed selling pressure, targeting the 0.6200 psychological level and below.
The AUD/USD pair’s near-term direction hinges on its ability to maintain the rising channel structure while contending with the overhead 50-day SMA resistance.
-MW