AUDUSD BULLISH OR BEARISH DETAILED ANALYSISAUDUSD is currently trading at 0.6400 and forming a clear inverse head and shoulders pattern on the 12-hour timeframe, a well-known bullish reversal structure. The neckline breakout is nearing, and the recent price behavior shows strong bullish volume support, indicating growing confidence among buyers. With a projected target of 0.6700, this setup offers a favorable risk-to-reward ratio as we transition into a potential trend shift in favor of the Aussie.
On the fundamental front, the Australian dollar is benefiting from a more resilient macro backdrop. Recent Australian jobs data came in stronger than expected, and the RBA remains cautious on rate cuts, especially with inflation pressures still lingering. Meanwhile, US inflation remains sticky, but with the Fed leaning toward a “higher-for-longer” stance rather than aggressive tightening, the greenback has shown signs of exhaustion against risk-linked currencies like AUD.
Technically, the price has respected the 0.6350 support level and is now forming higher lows. The breakout of the neckline around 0.6450 could accelerate bullish momentum, especially if accompanied by a strong candle close and continued volume confirmation. The next resistance lies at 0.6550, with the larger structure aiming for a test of 0.6700. This aligns with broader market sentiment rotating into commodity currencies, particularly as China stimulus hopes and improving risk appetite lift AUD.
AUDUSD remains one of the more technically clean setups among the majors right now. With a bullish pattern forming, supportive fundamentals, and improving sentiment across risk assets, this is a setup that deserves close attention from traders looking to ride the next impulsive leg to the upside.
