AUS/USD Long/Buy setting upLooking at AUS/USD for a potential Buy setting up on the Daily and 4 hr.
EMA has lined up in the correct stacking order.
An upward trend can be observed. The 20 has crossed over the 50.
We are starting a new Cycle 1 on the upward so I will wait for the pull back to the 20MA which will form the Cycle 2 then wait for the new Cycle 1 on the upward to start again before I buy in.
AUDUSD
AUDUSD Q3 | D24 | W30 | Y25📊AUDUSD Q3 | D24 | W30 | Y25
Daily Forecast🔍📅
Here’s a short diagnosis of the current chart setup 🧠📈
Higher time frame order blocks have been identified — these are our patient points of interest 🎯🧭.
It’s crucial to wait for a confirmed break of structure 🧱✅ before forming a directional bias.
This keeps us disciplined and aligned with what price action is truly telling us.
📈 Risk Management Protocols
🔑 Core principles:
Max 1% risk per trade
Only execute at pre-identified levels
Use alerts, not emotion
Stick to your RR plan — minimum 1:2
🧠 You’re not paid for how many trades you take, you’re paid for how well you manage risk.
🧠 Weekly FRGNT Insight
"Trade what the market gives, not what your ego wants."
Stay mechanical. Stay focused. Let the probabilities work.
FRGNT
AUDUSD Will Go Up From Support! Long!
Here is our detailed technical review for AUDUSD.
Time Frame: 4h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is on a crucial zone of demand 0.661.
The oversold market condition in a combination with key structure gives us a relatively strong bullish signal with goal 0.665 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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AUDUSD Elliott Wave Outlook: Impulse Pattern Approaching To EndThe AUDUSD pair is showing higher high from 4.09.2025 low, expecting rally to continue from 5.12.2025 low. It favors zigzag corrective bounce from April-2025 low & should continue rally against 0.6451 low. In daily, it started corrective bounce from 4.09.2025 low & may extend towards 0.6720 – 0.6955 area in next few weeks. Above 4.09.2025 low, it ended (A) at 0.6515 high of 5.06.2025, (B) at 0.6354 low of 5.12.2025 & favors upside in (C). Ideally, (C) can extend towards 0.6955 or higher levels, while pullback holds above 5.12.2025 low. Within (C), it placed 1 at 0.6595 high, 2 at 0.6451 low in corrective pullback & favors upside in 3. Within 1, it ended ((i)) at 0.6552 high, ((ii)) at 0.6369 low, ((iii)) at 0.6590 high, ((iv)) at 0.6451 low & ((v)) at 0.6595 high in overlapping diagonal. Below 1 high, it ended 2 in zigzag correction at extreme area before resume rally in 3.
It placed ((a)) of 2 at 0.6492 low in 5 swings, ((b)) at 0.6554 high & ((c)) at 0.6451 low in 5 swings. Wave 2 pullback ended at 0.618 Fibonacci retracement of 1. Within 3, it favors impulse in ((i)) started from 7.17.2025 low. It placed (i) of ((i)) at 0.6540 high, (ii) at 0.6495 low, (iii) at 0.6601 high, (iv) at 0.6576 low & favor upside in (v) targeting in to 0.6606 – 0.6637 area to finish it. It already reached minimum area, but can see more upside above 0.6593 low. Alternatively, the current move even can be (iii) of ((i)) followed by small pullback in (iv) & higher in (v). Later, it expects ((ii)) to correct in 3, 7 or 11 swings against 7.17.2025 low & find support from extreme area to continue rally. Wave 3 should extend in to 0.6692 – 0.6841 area in 5 swings before correcting in 4 of (C). We like to buy the pullback in 3, 7 or 11 swings at extreme area against 7.17.2025 low.
AUDUSD – a rebound from the bottom, ready to break free?After a strong bounce off the ascending trendline, AUDUSD is climbing decisively, clearing out multiple FVG zones on its way toward the key resistance near 0.66300. The bullish structure is intact, and buyers are clearly in control.
News backing the move:
– U.S. S&P Global PMI just came in below expectations, slowing the USD.
– China – Australia’s major trading partner – is signaling fresh stimulus, giving AUD an indirect boost.
If price reaches the 0.66300 zone without strong rejection, this could trigger a breakout that sets the stage for a new rally in August.
Caution: A USD rebound from this week’s data could briefly slow AUDUSD. But for now, the bulls are driving!
AUDUSD(20250724)Today's AnalysisMarket news:
U.S. President Trump continued to lash out at the Federal Reserve on Tuesday, but seemed to back off from the remaining plan to fire Chairman Powell. "I think he's doing a bad job, but he's going to be out of office soon anyway," Trump said in an exchange with reporters at the White House. "In eight months, he'll be out of office."
Technical analysis:
Today's buying and selling boundaries:
0.6580
Support and resistance levels:
0.6639
0.6617
0.6603
0.6558
0.6543
0.6521
Trading strategy:
Upward breakthrough of 0.6603, consider entering the market to buy, the first target price is 0.6617
Downward breakthrough of 0.6580, consider entering the market to sell, the first target price is 0.6558
AUD_USD BULLISH BREAKOUT|LONG|
✅AUD_USD is going up
Now and the pair made a bullish
Breakout of the key horizontal
Level of 0.6590 and the breakout
Is confirmed so we are bullish
Biased and we will be expecting
A further bullish move up
LONG🚀
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
AUDUSD: Bearish Flag Retest Within Macro HeadwindsAUDUSD is developing a clean bearish technical setup just as macro fundamentals increasingly weigh on the Australian dollar. The pair recently completed a rising wedge breakout and is now retesting broken structure within a larger downtrend. With risk sentiment shaky due to U.S. tariff threats and dovish repricing of the RBA’s outlook, Aussie bulls may struggle to sustain momentum. A confirmed breakdown below 0.6458 could open the door toward June’s swing low near 0.6390.
🧠 Technical Breakdown:
✅ Bearish Flag Structure:
The chart shows a sequence of bearish flags and rising wedges, all of which have historically broken lower. The latest breakout to the downside was sharp, and the current rally appears corrective.
✅ Fib Levels & Confluence:
Price is hovering near the 38.2% retracement (0.6510) from the last leg down. The invalidation zone around 0.6565 aligns with a supply zone, making it an ideal SL area.
✅ Target Zones:
First support: 0.6458
Measured move: 0.6390 - 0.6370
These coincide with Fib 61.8% & 100%, adding technical confluence.
📉 Fundamental Drivers:
Dovish RBA Signals: Labour data missed expectations, and June inflation slowed (4.8% vs. 4.9% expected), softening the RBA’s hawkish stance.
Stronger USD Outlook: Powell’s reappointment risk and rate-cut delay pricing have supported the dollar. U.S. data (Retail Sales, CPI) still signal sticky inflation and strong labor.
Tariff Risk from Trump: With the U.S. floating global 10% tariffs, risk assets like AUD (a high-beta currency) face downside pressure.
⚠️ Risks to Bearish Bias:
Stronger-than-expected China stimulus could support AUD as a proxy.
A dovish Fed pivot or soft U.S. data might undercut USD strength.
Australian dollar hits eight-month high on risk-on moodThe Australian dollar has rallied for a fourth sucessive day. In the North American session, AUD/USD is trading at 0.6588, up 0.50% on the day. The red-hot Aussie has jumped 1.6% since Thursday and hit a daily high of 0.6600 earlier, its highest level since Nov. 2024.
The financial markets are in a risk-on mood today, buoyed by the announcement that the US and Japan have reached a trade agreement. Under the deal, the US will impose 15% tariffs on Japanese products, including automobiles. As well, Japan will invest some $550 billion into the US.
Global stock markets are higher and the Australian dollar, a gauge of risk appetite, has climbed to an eight-month high.
Investors also reacted positively today to reports that negotiations between the US and China were speeding up and the US could grant an extension of the August 12 deadline to reach an agreement. The latest positive developments on the tariff front have raised hopes that the US will also sign trade deals with the European Union and South Korea.
The White House continues to put pressure on the Federal Reserve. Earlier this week, Treasury Scott Bessent called for a thorough review of the Federal Reserve. Bessent echoed President Trump's calls for the Fed to lower interest rates.
Fed Chair Jerome Powell hasn't shown any signs of plans to cut rates and has fired back that the uncertainty over Trump's trade policy has forced the Fed to adopt a wait-and-see policy. The Fed is widely expected to hold rates at the July 30 meeting but there is a 58% likelihood of a rate cut in September, according to CME's FedWatch.
AUD/USD has pushed above resistance at 0.6579 and tested resistance at 0.6593 earlier. Next, there is resistance at 0.6629
0.6539 and 0.6521 are the next support levels
Market Analysis: AUD/USD Climbs as Dollar WeakensMarket Analysis: AUD/USD Climbs as Dollar Weakens
AUD/USD started a decent increase above the 0.6520 level.
Important Takeaways for AUD/USD Analysis Today
- The Aussie Dollar rebounded after forming a base above the 0.6450 level against the US Dollar.
- There is a connecting bullish trend line forming with support at 0.6540 on the hourly chart of AUD/USD.
AUD/USD Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart of AUD/USD at FXOpen, the pair started a fresh increase from the 0.6450 support. The Aussie Dollar was able to clear the 0.6500 resistance to move into a positive zone against the US Dollar.
There was a close above the 0.6550 resistance and the 50-hour simple moving average. Finally, the pair tested the 0.6565 zone. A high was formed near 0.6564 and the pair recently started a consolidation phase.
On the downside, initial support is near the 0.6540 level. There is also a connecting bullish trend line forming with support at 0.6540. It is close to the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 0.6454 swing low to the 0.6564 high.
The next major support is near the 0.6495 zone. If there is a downside break below it, the pair could extend its decline toward the 0.6480 level. It is close to the 76.4% Fib retracement level.
Any more losses might signal a move toward 0.6450. On the upside, the AUD/USD chart indicates that the pair is now facing resistance near 0.6565. The first major resistance might be 0.6575. An upside break above the 0.6575 resistance might send the pair further higher.
The next major resistance is near the 0.6600 level. Any more gains could clear the path for a move toward the 0.6650 resistance zone.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
AUDUSD Q3 | D23 | W30 | Y25📊AUDUSD Q3 | D23 | W30 | Y25
Daily Forecast🔍📅
Here’s a short diagnosis of the current chart setup 🧠📈
Higher time frame order blocks have been identified — these are our patient points of interest 🎯🧭.
It’s crucial to wait for a confirmed break of structure 🧱✅ before forming a directional bias.
This keeps us disciplined and aligned with what price action is truly telling us.
📈 Risk Management Protocols
🔑 Core principles:
Max 1% risk per trade
Only execute at pre-identified levels
Use alerts, not emotion
Stick to your RR plan — minimum 1:2
🧠 You’re not paid for how many trades you take, you’re paid for how well you manage risk.
🧠 Weekly FRGNT Insight
"Trade what the market gives, not what your ego wants."
Stay mechanical. Stay focused. Let the probabilities work.
FRGNT
US Dollar Breakdown – Don’t Fight the FloodSince the start of the year, after forming a small double top around the 110 zone, the US Dollar Index (DXY) has followed only one direction: down.
So far, we’re seeing a decline that’s approaching 15%, with the index breaking multiple major support levels along the way. And judging by the current structure, there’s little reason to believe this trend will reverse any time soon.
________________________________________
🔍 Short-Term View – Flag Break, More Losses Ahead
Zooming in, we can observe that the last rally was purely corrective — a typical bear flag formation. That flag is now broken to the downside, which confirms renewed bearish pressure and suggests that further losses are likely even in the short term.
________________________________________
🎯 What’s Next?
The next major support zone sits around 95, a level that should act as a magnet if the current trend continues.
As long as price stays under 100 ZONE, the outlook remains bearish and the strategy should align with that bias.
________________________________________
✅ Strategy Going Forward
The safe and logical approach now is to buy dips on major USD pairs:
EURUSD, GBPUSD, AUDUSD, and NZDUSD
________________________________________
📌 Final Thought
The structure is clear, momentum favors the downside, and the market is offering clean setups across multiple USD pairs.
Don’t fight the trend — follow the flow. 🟢
Australian dollar rose 0.8% but there is a "Wall" of naked callsAustralian dollar is up 0.8% in 24h — and almost eyeing the 0.66–0.665 zone .
That’s exactly where we’ve been seeing a systematic build-up of naked calls on the futures.
More “bricks” added to the wall yesterday.
Early, looking at the CME data , there’s been a meaningful inflow in deep-out-of-the-money call options at the 0.665 strike . And this has been happening for several days for now
We can’t say it’s one single player — CME reports don’t show that.
But the pattern is too consistent to ignore.
🧠 Why it matters:
As I’ve said before — these long call stacks can easily turn into zero-cost put spreads by selling futures at those levels.
🎯 Bottom line:
Seems the market isn’t betting on a rally in long term.
It’s preparing to defend the range .
Strategy: open shorts at "build-up" resistance zone
Australia faces a dilemma between inflation and labor slowdown
The RBA, in its latest meeting minutes, emphasized that the recent rate hold reflects a cautious and gradual approach toward achieving its inflation target. While the central bank noted the need for further data to confirm a decline in inflation, some Board members flagged rising unemployment as a signal of potential labor market softening. Bloomberg added that Australia’s export-driven economy remains vulnerable to tariff-related uncertainties, while private demand growth remains sluggish.
AUDUSD extended its uptrend after testing the low at 0.6455, reaching as high as 0.6560. Both EMAs narrow the gap, indicating a potential shift toward bullish momentum. If AUDUSD holds above both EMAs, the price could gain upward momentum toward the high at 0.6595. Conversely, if AUDUSD breaks below the support at 0.6540, the price may retreat toward 0.6510.
AUDUSD: Bearish Continuation is Highly Probable! Here is Why:
The charts are full of distraction, disturbance and are a graveyard of fear and greed which shall not cloud our judgement on the current state of affairs in the AUDUSD pair price action which suggests a high likelihood of a coming move down.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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AUD/USD Channel Breakdown Could Threaten Bullish StructureAUD/USD is currently holding just above the 0.6500 psychological level after retreating from the 0.6558 Fibonacci resistance (61.8% retracement of the October–April decline). Price action has recently broken beneath the lower boundary of a rising wedge pattern—a traditionally bearish signal—raising the risk of deeper downside ahead.
The 50-day SMA (0.6498) and 200-day SMA (0.6399) are converging, with the former now acting as dynamic support following today’s bounce. However, momentum indicators offer limited bullish conviction: the RSI hovers near neutral at 51.5, and the MACD is flatlining just above zero, suggesting a pause in directional bias.
If bears push price back under 0.6500, the rising wedge breakdown could accelerate toward the 200-day SMA and potentially the horizontal support zone at 0.6178. On the flip side, a recovery above 0.6558 would invalidate the wedge and open the door for a run toward the 78.6% retracement near 0.6730.
Bias: Cautiously bearish while below 0.6558, especially if daily closes begin to settle under 0.6500. A loss of the 200-day SMA would confirm a trend reversal.
Time frame: Short- to medium-term (days to weeks)
-MW
AUDUSD Here is our signal for AUDUSD
Occasionally we give a free signal, so here's AUDUSD long.
Rules:
1- Wait for the 15 minute to close with momentum above the entry, ideally we want a re-test of the entry.
2- at TP1 move your SL to entry.
3- If you want to close at TP2 then do so.
📊Entry: 0.65223
⚠️SL: 0.65057
✔️TP1: 0.65407
✔️TP2: 0.65643
✔️TP3: 0.65940
Happy Trading,
Sarah
AUDUSD – Sellers taking over, the drop is on!This pair just got slapped hard at the descending trendline, right as it hit a familiar resistance zone. No more doubts – buyers are losing steam, and sellers are waiting to strike.
Market sentiment from Down Under is shaking, with weak economic signals piling up. Meanwhile, the mighty U.S. dollar is reclaiming the spotlight after gold’s flashy surge. The tide has turned!
Unless a miracle shows up, AUDUSD is set to dive deeper – and this is the perfect stage for traders who thrive on strong downtrends.
Sellers are in position – are you ready to join the ride?
Bearish reversal off 61.8% Fibonacci resistance?AUD/USD is rising towards the pivot and could reverse to the 1st support, which acts as a pullback support.
Pivot: 0.6543
1st Support: 0.6469
1st Resistance: 0.6590
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Aussie H1 | Swing-high resistance at a 61.8% Fibo retracementThe Aussie (AUD/USD) is rising towards a swing-high resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 0.6531 which is a swing-high resistance that aligns closely with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 0.6550 which is a level that sits above a swing-high resistance.
Take profit is at 0.6490 which is a pullback support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
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CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
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Losses can exceed deposits.
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Could the Aussie drop from here?The price is reacting off the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.6526
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 0.6587
Why we like it:
There is a multi swing high resistance.
Take profit: 0.6389
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support.
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AUDUSD(20250721)Today's AnalysisMarket news:
Waller refused to comment on whether he would dissent at the July meeting, saying that the private sector was not performing as well as people thought, and said that if the president asked him to be the chairman of the Federal Reserve, he would agree.
Technical analysis:
Today's buying and selling boundaries:
0.6506
Support and resistance levels:
0.6572
0.6547
0.6531
0.6481
0.6466
0.6441
Trading strategy:
If the price breaks through 0.6531, consider buying, and the first target price is 0.6547
If the price breaks through 0.6506, consider selling, and the first target price is 0.6481
AUDUSD important support at 0.6465Trend Overview:
The AUDUSD currency price remains in a bullish trend, characterised by higher highs and higher lows. The recent intraday price action is forming a continuation consolidation pattern, suggesting a potential pause before a renewed move higher.
Key Technical Levels:
Support: 0.6465 (primary pivot), followed by 0.6445 and 0.6400
Resistance: 0.6570 (initial), then 0.6590 and 0.6625
Technical Outlook:
A pullback to the 0.6465 level, which aligns with the previous consolidation zone, could act as a platform for renewed buying interest. A confirmed bounce from this support may trigger a continuation toward the next resistance levels at 0.6570, 0.6590, and ultimately 0.6625.
Conversely, a daily close below 0.6465 would suggest weakening bullish momentum. This scenario would shift the bias to bearish in the short term, potentially targeting 0.6445 and 0.6400 as downside levels.
Conclusion:
AUDUSD maintains a bullish structure while trading above the 0.6465 support. A bounce from this level would validate the consolidation as a continuation pattern, with upside potential toward the 0.6570 area. A breakdown below 0.6465, however, would invalidate this view and suggest deeper corrective risk.
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