AUDUSD SHORT & LONG FORECAST Q3 D15 W29 Y25AUDUSD SHORT & LONG FORECAST Q3 D15 W29 Y25
Professional Risk Managers👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure.
Let’s see what price action is telling us today! 👀
💡Here are some trade confluences📝
✅Daily Order block identified
✅4H Order Block identified
✅1H Order Block identified
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
AUDUSD
AUDUSD(20250715)Today's AnalysisMarket news:
Sources said that after Trump's latest trade tax threat, the European Central Bank will discuss a more negative scenario next week than expected in June. The ECB is still expected to keep interest rates unchanged at its meeting on July 24. Discussions on rate cuts are still postponed to September.
Technical analysis:
Today's buying and selling boundaries:
0.6557
Support and resistance levels:
0.6602
0.6585
0.6574
0.6539
0.6528
0.6511
Trading strategy:
If it breaks through 0.6557, consider buying in, the first target price is 0.6574
If it breaks through 0.6539, consider selling in, the first target price is 0.6528
Market Watch UPDATES! FOREX Major PairsWelcome to the Market Watch Updates for Monday, July 14th.
In this video, we will give the forecast updates for the following markets:
USD Index, EURUSD, GBPUSD, AUDUSD, NZDUSD, USDCAD, USDCHF and USDJPY.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis.
Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
#AUDUSD: +1100 Pips Possible Swing Bullish Move! AUDUSD a strong sign of bullish behaviour has appeared alongside bullish momentum. As we have NFP tomorrow, we expect market to remain volatile; what we think now is to have market settled down before we can have any confirmation. We recommend to remain extra cautious tomorrow, once market get settled we can then enter with accurate risk management.
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Australian dollar eyes China GDPThe Australian dollar has edged lower on Monday. In the North American session, AUD/USD is trading at 0.6555, down 0.32% on the day. The Aussie took advantage of US dollar weakness last week as it touched a high of 0.6593, its highest level since November 2024.
China's economy is expected to have grown by 5.1% in the second quarter, after back-to-back quarters of gains of 5.4%. The government's annual growth target is around 5.0%, and policymakers won't complain if this target is exceeded for a third consecutive quarter.
China's exports were up 5.8% y/y in June, above the consensus of 5.0% and well above the May gain of 4.8%. The jump in exports was driven by a trade truce with the US that lowered tariffs on Chinese goods from 145% to 55%. Still, the economic picture is uncertain as the tariff truce ends in August.
China will also release industrial production and retail sales for June, with the markets forecasting weaker numbers. Industrial production, which has been decelerating in recent months, is expected to ease to 5.6% from 5.8%, while retail sales are expected to fall to 5.6%, down from 6 .4% in May, which was the strongest level since December 2023.
Australia releases Westpac Consumer Sentiment on Tuesday, with a forecast of a 0.4% gain for July . This follows a 0.4% gain in June. Consumers remain cautious, despite the Reserve Bank of Australia's rate cut in May and lower inflation.
The RBA shocked the markets last week when it maintained the cash rate at 3.85%, as all signs appeared to point to a quarter-point cut. The RBA meets next on August 12.
AUD/USD is testing support at 0.6562. Below, there is support at 0.6550
There is resistance at 0.6570 and 0.6582
XAU/USD : Gold at a Turning Point – Rejection or Breakout Ahead?By analyzing the TVC:GOLD (XAUUSD) chart on the 4-hour timeframe, we can see that price climbed to $3330 today, entering a key supply zone, which triggered a pullback down to $3310. Gold is now trading around $3317, and I’m watching several potential setups closely.
Scenario 1:
If gold stabilizes below $3320, we could see a bearish move toward $3296.
Scenario 2:
If price breaks above the $3333 resistance, it may enter the next supply zone between $3341 and $3351, which could trigger a strong rejection—potentially offering a 100 to 400 pip move.
Now let’s break down the key levels to watch:
Supply zones: $3320, $3333, $3342, $3358
Demand zones: $3303, $3296, $3289, $3278
Monitor how price reacts to each of these zones — they may provide excellent opportunities.
Bullish bounce off overlap support?AUD/USD is falling towards the support level which is an overlap support that is slightly above the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level too ur take profit.
Entry: 0.6546
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support that is slightly above the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 0.6529
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 0.6590
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support.
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AUDUSD Cautiously Bullish As US PI Data Looms This is the Weekly FOREX Forecast for the week of July 14 - 18th.
In this video, we will analyze the following FX market: AUDUSD
The AUDUSD has been grinding higher for weeks. Only Friday closed with a hint of a pullback starting. The RBA is looking for the US CPI Data to post. If the inflation numbers are a bit hot, this will strengthen the USD against the AUD. A soft CPI should see the market pricing back in higher chances of a third cut by year-end and weigh on the US dollar.
We'll see how the market reacts on Tuesday.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis.
Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
AUDUSD 4Hour TF - July 13th,2025AUDUSD 7/13/2025
AUDUSD 4hour Bullish idea
Monthly - Bearish
Weekly - Bearish
Dailly - Bullish
4hour - Bullish
We’re looking like we’re back to bullish after last week. The 4Hour timeframe has been moving up nicely and as of last week we’re sitting just below 0.65800. Going into this week we’re looking mainly bullish but we are still going to mark up two potential scenarios:
Bullish Continuation - This is looking like the most likely scenario. Ideally, price action pushes above 0.65800 then retests as support and confirms the next higher low. I’d be interested in positions as the higher low is forming and as I can spot bullish conviction to enter long on.
Bearish Reversal - Even though it’s likely we will continue bullish, a reversal is still possible as nothing is definite. For us to consider bearish setups we would need to see a break below 0.65500 with a retest of that zone as new resistance. Look for a lower high to short on below 0.65500.
AUDUSD Selling Trading IdeaHello Traders
In This Chart AUDUSD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today AUDUSD analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (AUDUSD market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on AUDUSD Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Chart
Week of 7/13/25: AUDUSD AnalysisLast week pushed bullish and demand is still in control on all time frames, so we are going to follow bullish order flow.
Looking for bottom liquidity to be taken in the local range before getting in on a long.
Major News:
Tuesday - CPI
Wednesday - PPI
Thursday - Unemployment
AUDUSD SHORT & LONG – WEEKLY FORECAST Q3 | W 29 | Y25💼 AUDUSD SHORT & LONG – WEEKLY FORECAST
Q3 | W 29 | Y25
📊 MARKET STRUCTURE OVERVIEW
AUDUSD is currently trading around a previously mitigated Daily and 4H Order Block zone.
Price has shown signs of short-term bearish momentum on lower timeframes (1H & 15m), but the broader structure still allows for bullish re-entries from deeper discounted levels.
We’re entering a key decision zone with potential for both short and long opportunities, depending on intraday confirmation.
🔍 Confluences to Watch 📝
✅ Daily OB – Previously Mitigated
Larger structure still holds room for bullish continuation if key internal supports hold.
✅ 4H OB – Mitigated with Initial Rejection
✅ 1H & 15m OBs – Valid for Intraday Shorts
Clean bearish structure on intraday timeframes.
Potential shorts available
📈 Risk Management Protocols
🔑 Core Principles
Risk per trade: Max 1%
Only act at planned levels — never chase
RR minimum: 1:2
Use scaling techniques on intraday shorts, and hold conviction for swings when structure confirms
🧠 Your risk plan is your protection. Without it, your strategy is meaningless.
🧠 Weekly FRGNT Insight
“Bias is flexible. Discipline is not.”
Adapt to what price gives — but never abandon your risk framework.
🏁 Final Thoughts from FRGNT
📌 Both short and long opportunities are valid this week.
📌 Choose your bias based on structure + confirmation.
📌 Let the order flow lead and risk management guide.
❤️ Stay sharp, stay structured. I’ll see you at the very top.
🎯 Trade consistent. FRGNT X
AUSSIE BANK ROBBERY: AUD/USD Bullish Breakout Confirmed!🔥 AUD/USD BANK HEIST: The Ultimate Bullish Robbery Plan (Thief Trading Style) 🔥
🌟 ATTENTION, MONEY MAKERS & MARKET ROBBERS! 🌟
💸 MISSION BRIEF:
Based on Thief Trading Style (technical + fundamental analysis), we’re executing a bullish heist on AUD/USD ("The Aussie")—time to steal those pips like a pro!
📈 ENTRY STRATEGY (The Heist Begins!)
Long Entry Trigger: Wait for Dynamic Resistance MA crossover + candle close above 0.65300 (bullish confirmation).
Pro Tip: Use Buy Stop orders above MA or Buy Limit orders on pullbacks (15m/30m timeframe).
🔔 SET AN ALERT! Don’t miss the breakout—alert up, gloves on!
🛑 STOP LOSS (Protect Your Loot!)
"Yo, rookie! 🗣️ If you’re entering on breakout, DO NOT set SL before confirmation!
📍 Thief SL Placement: Nearest 4H swing low (0.64800)—adjust based on your risk, lot size, & trade multiples.
⚠️ Warning: Deviate at your own peril—your risk, your rules!
🎯 TARGET (Cash Out & Run!)
Take Profit Zone: 0.65800
Scalpers: Long-only plays! Use trailing SL to lock profits.
Swing Traders: Ride the wave—big money moves require patience!
📰 FUNDAMENTAL BACKUP (Know Why We Robbin’!)
Bullish momentum fueled by macro trends, COT data, sentiment shifts.
🚨 Breaking News Alert: Avoid high-impact news spikes—trail SL or stay out!
💥 BOOST THE HEIST!
Hit 👍 LIKE, 🔄 SHARE & 🚀 BOOST—strengthen the robbery squad! More heists = more profits!
🤑 NEXT HEIST COMING SOON… STAY TUNED! 🐱👤
AUDUSD: Bearish Continuation is Expected! Here is Why:
The price of AUDUSD will most likely collapse soon enough, due to the supply beginning to exceed demand which we can see by looking at the chart of the pair.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
AUDUSD – The Spring Is Loading!AUDUSD has just pulled off an impressive rebound from the 0.6460 support zone, bouncing cleanly off the ascending trendline — like a compressed spring ready to launch. The repeated appearance of Fair Value Gaps after recent upward moves reveals a critical clue: smart money is stepping back in, and this time, they want control.
The price is now testing the familiar resistance at 0.6616 — a zone that has previously rejected several bullish attempts. But this time feels different. The US dollar is clearly losing steam after softer CPI data, pushing bond yields lower and giving AUD a tactical edge.
If the 0.6520 support holds strong, the next breakout won’t just be about overcoming resistance — it could be the spark for a new bullish wave. And when that wave hits... it won’t go unnoticed.
AUDUSD SHORT & LONG FORECAST Q3 D11 W28 Y25AUDUSD SHORT & LONG FORECAST Q3 D11 W28 Y25
It’s Fun Coupon Friday! 💸🔥
Professional Risk Managers👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure.
Let’s see what price action is telling us today! 👀
💡Here are some trade confluences📝
✅Daily Order block identified
✅4H Order Block identified
✅1H Order Block identified
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
AUDUSD H4 I Bullish Bounce Off Based on the H4 chart, the price could fall toward our buy entry level at 0.6554, a pullback resistance.
Our take profit is set at 0.6617, aligning with the 127.2% Fib extension.
The stop loss is set at 0.6508, an overlap support.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
AUD/USD: Short Setup to 0.6450This trade idea is rooted in a data-driven approach, leveraging a rare asymmetry in the economic calendar and specific quantitative models to identify a high-clarity opportunity.
📊 The Thesis by the Numbers
My model assigns clear probabilities to the potential scenarios for this week, based on the scheduled U.S. data releases.
60% Probability: Base Case (USD Strength). Triggered by a U.S. Core CPI reading at or above 0.3% MoM.
30% Probability: Alternative Case (USD Weakness).
10% Probability: Wildcard Scenario (Risk-On Rally).
🧠 The Data-Driven Rationale
This setup scored a -5 on my quantitative thesis model, indicating a strong bearish conviction. The core of this is the one-sided event risk. With Australia's calendar completely empty, the AUD is a sitting duck. Meanwhile, a volley of tier-one U.S. data (CPI, PPI, Retail Sales) is expected to confirm a robust economy. This fundamental divergence, combined with a technical picture of price coiling below long-term resistance, creates the conditions for a catalyst-driven drop.
⛓️ Intermarket & Statistical Edge
Further analysis of market correlations and forward-looking models reinforces the bearish bias.
🌐 Correlations: The positive correlation of AUD/USD with equities (SPY: +0.31) suggests that a strong USD report, which could pressure stocks, would create a direct headwind for the Aussie.
🎲 Monte Carlo Simulation: While the mean outcome is neutral, the model's 5th percentile for price is down at 0.6503 , highlighting the statistical risk of a significant downside move if the catalyst fires.
✅ The Trade Setup
📉 Bias: Bearish / Short
👉 Entry: Watch for a bearish reversal pattern on the 1H or 4H chart within the $0.6550 resistance zone.
⛔️ Stop Loss: A decisive daily close above the 0.6622 resistance level.
🎯 Target: 0.6458 (June low-day close).
Good luck, and trade safe.
AUDUSD Strong bullish momentum inside this Channel Up.The AUDUSD pair has been trading within a 3-month Channel Up pattern and on Monday almost hit its 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and rebounded. This is the start of its new Bullish Leg.
Based on the previous ones, it should complete a +2.70% rise at least. As long as the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) holds, we are bullish, targeting 0.66555.
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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AUD/USD Rebounds From Channel Support – Eyes on 0.66 BreakoutThe Australian dollar is pressing higher against the U.S. dollar after rebounding from the lower boundary of a rising parallel channel. Price remains above both the 50-day and 200-day SMAs, with the latter recently reclaimed — a bullish sign for medium-term trend strength.
The pair is now testing the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of the July 2023–April 2024 decline at 0.6558, which has been a sticky resistance zone. A clean break above this level would put the upper boundary of the channel — currently near 0.6670 — in focus.
Indicators:
MACD is flat but on the verge of turning higher, suggesting early signs of renewed momentum.
RSI is at 56, pointing to modest bullish momentum with room to run before reaching overbought territory.
Key Levels:
Resistance: 0.6558 (Fibonacci), followed by the channel top near 0.6670.
Support: 0.6480 (channel base and 50-day SMA), then 0.6409 (200-day SMA).
Conclusion:
AUD/USD is holding within a constructive channel pattern with support from key moving averages. A sustained break above 0.6558 would confirm bullish continuation toward the upper end of the range. Traders may look for confirmation through momentum indicators and daily close strength.
-MW
AUDUSD SHORT FORECAST Q3 D10 W28 Y25AUDUSD SHORT FORECAST Q3 D10 W28 Y25
Professional Risk Managers👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure.
Let’s see what price action is telling us today! 👀
💡Here are some trade confluences📝
✅Daily Order block identified
✅4H Order Block identified
✅1H Order Block identified
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X