AUD/USD Testing Key Support ZoneChart Analysis: The Australian Dollar is testing a critical support area as it hovers near 0.6375 and 0.6285 (pink horizontal lines), levels that have held firm multiple times over the past year.
1️⃣ Support Retest:
The price has approached this zone, which acted as support in November 2023 and March 2024. Traders often watch such levels for potential rebounds or breakdowns.
2️⃣ Moving Averages:
50-day SMA (blue): Trending downward, reflecting short-term bearish momentum.
200-day SMA (red): Flat-to-downward slope, signaling a weakening long-term trend.
The price remains firmly below both SMAs, reinforcing bearish sentiment.
3️⃣ Momentum Indicators:
RSI: Hovering near 36, indicating weak momentum but not yet oversold. Traders might monitor for any divergence signals.
MACD: Bearish momentum persists with the signal line below zero and no clear crossover in sight.
What to Watch:
If the price decisively breaks below 0.6285, it could open the door for further downside.
On the flip side, a rebound from this support zone might see a test of the 50-day SMA near 0.6550.
Monitor RSI for any bullish divergence and price action around these key levels.
The AUD/USD remains under pressure, with a critical support test underway. Traders may find clarity as price action unfolds near this zone.
-MW
AUDUSD
AUDJPY - Growing SHORTS! Big Move Ahead!In one of our last AUDJPY analysis, we indicated that price looked foppish. Since then, we've had almost a 2000pip drop!
That big drop can be marked as wave 1 in our new bearish impulsive trend.
We are now in Wave 2, which is an ABC correction. We have completed Wave A (3 waves). We are now in Wave B (3 waves). We're currently in subwave b of wave B. Expecting subwave c to appear very soon.
Trade Idea:
- Watch for bearish price action on lower timeframe
- You can use trendline break, fibs or BOS to find the reversal point
- When entered, put stops above subwave B.
- Target: 91 (750pips)
4Week Chart
Goodluck and as always, trade safe!
See our previous setups below:
AUDUSD BUY | Idea Trading AnalysisAUDUSD is moving in an UP trend channel.
The chart broke through the dynamic Resistance line, which now acts as support.
We expect a decline in the channel after testing the current level which suggests that the price will continue to rise
Hello Traders, here is the full analysis.
I think we can soon see more fall from this range! GOOD LUCK! Great BUY opportunity GOLD
I still did my best and this is the most likely count for me at the moment.
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Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad
AUDUSD Trade SetupFor those looking to enter this trade, you can take an entry now with a tight and light stop-loss.
For those who prefer a safer approach, wait for the break of wave 4, followed by a retest, and then enter. This method offers greater security.
The triangle pattern has formed successfully. However, keep in mind that most chart patterns are often designed to manipulate traders by breaking and moving against their positions.
As for me, I’m not concerned about such manipulations. I have a strict risk management plan in place, and I’ve identified two key entry zones as marked on the chart.
AUD/USD Analysis (1-Hour Timeframe)I'm monitoring AUD/USD closely as the price approaches a black trendline. If the trendline is broken, it could signal a bearish move.
My target for this setup is the green support level, which has historically acted as a strong zone of buyer activity. This area could present opportunities for either reducing short positions or watching for a potential bounce.
Key points:
Wait for confirmation of a trendline breakout.
Observe volume and candlestick patterns to validate the move.
Be cautious around the green support level for possible reversals.
Patience is essential for the best entry!
AUDUSD H1 | Bullish Rise?Based on the H1 chart analysis, we can see that the price has just bounced off our buy entry at 0.6357, which is an overlap support close to the 78.6% Fibo retracement.
Our take profit will be at 0.6382, which is a pullback sistance level.
The stop loss will be placed at 0.6333, which is below multi-swing low support level.
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EURUSD GOING DOWNEUR/USD appears poised for a bearish move, supported by key technical indicators and chart structures. Price action has rejected a significant liquidity zone, suggesting strong selling pressure and the inability of buyers to hold higher levels. A confluence of resistance from a descending trendline and the 50-day EMA strengthens the bearish outlook.
On higher timeframes, a recent liquidity sweep at a key high has been followed by a sharp rejection, indicating trapped buyers and the potential for further downside. A break below the recent market structure low could trigger stop orders, accelerating the move toward the next major liquidity cluster. Watch for increasing momentum and volume as confirmation of this potential bearish shift.
+ responding to the liquidity rectangle, pushing down
GOLD BULLISHGold appears poised for a bullish breakout, supported by key technical indicators and chart structures. Price action has reclaimed a significant liquidity zone, suggesting strong buyer interest and absorption of supply. A confluence of dynamic support from an ascending trendline and the 50-day EMA further strengthens the bullish case.
On higher timeframes, a recent liquidity sweep at a key low has been followed by a strong rebound, indicating that sellers may be trapped and the market could pivot higher. A break above the recent market structure high could trigger stop orders, fueling momentum toward the next major liquidity cluster. Watch for increasing volume and momentum as confirmation of this potential upward move.
+ precisely the contrary of NASDAQ with a little more zigzag liquidity
Audusd AUD/USD rises to 0.6392, buoyed by weak US labor market reports. US Initial Jobless Claims hit a two-month high, fueling speculation of continued Fed policy easing. Australian employment exceeds expectations with 35.6K jobs added in November, unemployment dips to 3.9%The AUD/USD rose sharply and print a daily high of 0.6429 following Aussie’s data, but it has trimmed its gains, as strong US PPI figures, hint that the Federal Reserve would adopt a cautious approach on reducing interest rates.
Momentum turned slightly bullish in the near-term, but overall, the trend Is tilted to the downside as the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is bearish.
If AUD/USD buyers reclaim 0.6400, the next resistance would be the 0.6500 mark. A breach of the latter will expose the 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) of 0.6568.
Conversely, if sellers stepped in and drag prices below the December 11 daily close of 0.6336, the pair might drop to 0.6300, before aiming toward October 23, 2023 swing low of 0.6270
AUDUSD_1D&1WAnalysis and review of the Australian dollar economy Elliott wave analysis style Mid-term and long-term time frames The Australian dollar is in a downward trend. The most important resistances are 0.67545 and 0.64611 Trading position from sell to buy The market is in a big ABC correction wave, we are currently in wave B. The main support and target is 0.60000.
Will the better-than-expected employment data revert AUD's trend+ Macro theme:
The RBA kept rates at 4.35%, sounding more optimistic about inflation and hinting at future cuts. But Thu's job numbers might spoil those plans—Unemployment Rate dropped to 3.9%, showing a surprisingly strong labor market. This hot jobs data could push back those early 2025 rate-cut forecasts many have been making.
+ Technical theme:
- AUDUSD found support and bounced above 0.6365. The price is within the descending channel and below both EMAs, indicating a bearish momentum persists.
- If AUDUSD extends its decline below 0.6365, the price may retest the subsequent support at 0.6300, confluence with the 100% level of Fibonacci Extension.
- On the contrary, if AUDUSD surges above 0.6474, breaking its descending channel and EMA21, the price may retest the following resistance around 0.6560.
Analysis by: Dat Tong, Senior Financial Markets Strategist at Exness
AUDUSD Is Going Up! Long!
Please, check our technical outlook for AUDUSD.
Time Frame: 4h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is on a crucial zone of demand 0.634.
The oversold market condition in a combination with key structure gives us a relatively strong bullish signal with goal 0.639 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
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AUDUSD ShortAUD/USD remains in a bearish trend, with recent price action aligning with technical and fundamental signals. Traders are watching US PPI data today for potential market-moving insights.
Technical Setup
Using Smart Money Concepts (SMC) and Fibonacci retracement, the 0.71–0.79 Fibonacci zone stands out as a key resistance level, supported by a Fair Value Gap (FVG) from the last swing high. Price is testing the 50% Fibonacci level, creating an opportunity for a short trade.
Trade Plan
Entry: 0.7120 (near the 0.75 Fibonacci level).
Stop Loss: 0.64729 (above the 0.79 Fibonacci level for risk protection).
Take Profit: 0.63378 (targeting below the Fair Value Gap for a clean exit).
Risk/Reward Insights
This setup offers a Risk/Reward Ratio of 1:3, with a risk of 64.7 pips to potentially gain 192.1 pips.
Disclaimer
Trading involves significant risk. Always trade with a clear plan, implement stop-loss orders, and never risk more than you can afford to lose. This analysis is not financial advice—trade responsibly and stay informed.
Follow for more actionable trading insights and strategies!
AUDUSD ShortAUD/USD remains in a bearish trend, with recent price action aligning with technical and fundamental signals. Traders are watching US PPI data today for potential market-moving insights.
Technical Setup
Using Smart Money Concepts (SMC) and Fibonacci retracement, the 0.71–0.79 Fibonacci zone stands out as a key resistance level, supported by a Fair Value Gap (FVG) from the last swing high. Price is testing the 50% Fibonacci level, creating an opportunity for a short trade.
Trade Plan
Entry: 0.7120 (near the 0.75 Fibonacci level).
Stop Loss: 0.64729 (above the 0.79 Fibonacci level for risk protection).
Take Profit: 0.63378 (targeting below the Fair Value Gap for a clean exit).
Risk/Reward Insights
This setup offers a Risk/Reward Ratio of 1:3, with a risk of 64.7 pips to potentially gain 192.1 pips.
Disclaimer
Trading involves significant risk. Always trade with a clear plan, implement stop-loss orders, and never risk more than you can afford to lose. This analysis is not financial advice—trade responsibly and stay informed.
Follow for more actionable trading insights and strategies!
Objectives complete and now we have new plans... AUDUSDGreetings fellow traders!
All the major targets marked in the previous idea have been achieved.
The new plan for now is observing what the market does. We do have a bullish Purge and Revert in progress in AUDUSD on the daily. Long till 0.64700. Apart from that, we also have a daily volume imbalance which would draw price towards it. Attaching the daily chart for reference.
Have an insightful trading week ahead!
Disclaimer- All content is for educational purposes only and not trading advice.
AUDUSD (2D) HIGH-RISK OPPORTUNITY, UPTREND⚠️ Here's a HIGH-RISK OPPORTUNITY to capture the UPTREND RETRACEMENT before it returns to the High Timeframe downtrend.
SLO2 @ 0.7235 ⏳
RESISTANCE @ 0.71769
SLO1 @ 0.7138 ⏳
TP4 @ 0.7090
TP3 @ 0.6914 (Resistance, minor)
TP2 @ 0.6800
TP1 @ 0.6636
BLO1 0.6469 ⏳
BLO2 0.6366 📈
⚠️Holding a Long Position above 0.6914 is HIGH-RISK
AUDUSD Potential DownsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring AUDUSD for a selling opportunity around 0.64400 zone, AUDUSD is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 0.64400 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
FORECAST UPDATES: How Are We Doing? Were We Accurate?Tuesday Dec. 10, 2024.
Here are the updates to the Weekly Forex Forecast posted Saturday. We'll see if the forecasts were right on point and working out... or if we were just plain wrong.
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