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Audusd4hr

AUDUSD Bearish Butterfly Pattern Signals ReversalThe AUDUSD pair is currently forming a Bearish Butterfly Harmonic Pattern (XABCD), a classical harmonic formation that signals potential trend reversals. The critical Point D, known as the Potential Reversal Zone (PRZ), is where the pattern completes, indicating a high probability of a bearish reversal. Confluence Factors: Key Resistance Area: Point D aligns precisely with a significant resistance level, suggesting strong selling pressure at this zone. 4-Hour Trend Line: The PRZ also coincides with a descending trend line on the 4-hour chart, reinforcing the bearish outlook. RSI Bearish Divergence: The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is exhibiting bearish divergence, where the price is making higher highs while the RSI is making lower highs, indicating weakening bullish momentum. Entry and Risk Management: Entry: Based on the confluence factors, an entry is recommended at 0.66730. Stop Loss: To manage risk, place the stop loss at 0.67180, just above the resistance and PRZ, providing a buffer against potential volatility. Take Profit Levels: TP-1: 0.66280 TP-2: 0.65830 TP-3: 0.65380 These profit levels are strategically placed at key support zones and Fibonacci retracement levels, offering a structured exit plan as the market potentially moves in our favor. Conclusion: Given the alignment of the Bearish Butterfly Harmonic Pattern, key resistance, trend line, and RSI divergence, a bearish reversal is anticipated from Point D. This setup presents a high-probability trading opportunity, supported by multiple technical factors. The proposed trade setup provides a favorable risk-reward ratio, making it a prudent entry for traders looking to capitalize on a potential trend reversal in the AUDUSD pair.
Short
by trading_jupiter
AUDUSD Potential Short Opportunity Bearish Bat Harmonic PatternThe AUDUSD pair is currently exhibiting a potential Bearish Bat Harmonic Pattern (XABCD) formation, coupled with its proximity to a significant resistance level. This suggests a possible reversal in trend momentum, with bearish indications expected to strengthen from Point D onwards. Harmonic Pattern Analysis: The Bearish Bat Harmonic Pattern (XABCD) is emerging on the AUDUSD chart, indicating a potential reversal of the current uptrend. The completion point (Point D) of this pattern aligns closely with the key resistance level, adding further confluence to the bearish scenario. Entry and Stop Loss: We recommend taking a short position at 0.65200, anticipating the reversal from Point D. A stop loss should be placed at 0.65900 to mitigate potential losses in case of a breakout above the resistance level. Take Profit Targets: TP-1: 0.64520 TP-2: 0.63820 TP-3: 0.63128 Rationale: The decision to enter a short position is supported by the confluence of the Bearish Bat Harmonic Pattern and the key resistance level. This setup suggests a high probability of a bearish reversal, with potential downside targets identified at various support levels. Risk Management: It's crucial to adhere to proper risk management principles when executing this trade. By maintaining a disciplined approach to position sizing and adhering to the specified stop loss level, traders can effectively manage their risk exposure. Conclusion: Based on the technical analysis, a short position on AUDUSD is recommended, with entry at 0.65200 and a stop loss at 0.65900. Take profit targets are set at 0.64520, 0.63820, and 0.63128. This analysis aims to capitalize on the anticipated bearish momentum following the completion of the Bearish Bat Harmonic Pattern and the resistance level confluence.
Short
by trading_jupiter
2
AUDUSD - Shark Harmonic Pattern Formation Detected-Bearish TrendAUDUSD is currently forming a Shark Harmonic Pattern (XABCD) on the 4-hour time frame. This pattern is characterized by specific Fibonacci ratios between the price swings. The completion point, Point D, coincides with a key Resistance level, indicating a potential reversal. Trendline Analysis: In addition to the harmonic pattern, there is a significant Trendline acting as a dynamic resistance level, further supporting the bearish outlook. Entry and Stop Loss: Based on the analysis, a prudent entry point is identified at 0.64800, just below Point D. To manage risk, a stop loss is recommended at 0.65350, above the recent swing high and the pattern completion point. Take Profit Targets: Three take profit targets are set to capitalize on potential downward movement: TP-1: 0.64270 TP-2: 0.63740 TP-3: 0.63200 Risk Management: The risk-to-reward ratio for this trade is carefully considered to ensure favorable risk management. The potential profit targets offer a balanced reward relative to the risk taken with the stop loss. Conclusion: With the Shark Harmonic Pattern formation, along with the confluence of the Trendline and key Resistance level, the technical analysis suggests a bearish momentum in AUDUSD. Traders may consider entering short positions with the specified entry, stop loss, and take profit levels, keeping risk management principles in mind.
Short
by trading_jupiter
3
Audusd looking for a short-term surprise for the upside 0.6620Audusd looks quite good at this consolidation phase to go long and target 0.6620 level as target with entry around 0.6551 level or above with a stoploss at 0.6525 level. this expansion seems limited and after that i am expecting price to fall further down and resume the downtrend . i have two setups for this AUDUSD one as per the higher time frame while this trade is for shorter term perspective and my both analysis do not have a same bias. both are valid in this one i am long just for a short term and my previous trade which is short that is also valid
Long
by Rizwan-Ali
2
AUSSIE RALLY IS STARTING! [AUDUSD] LONG POSITIONIntroduction: The AUD/USD currency pair is exhibiting compelling signals hinting at a potential trend reversal, with a particular focus on the recent price action and key technical levels. Current Status: As of the close of the New York session, the price has firmly held ground at 0.65100, maintaining its position above crucial support levels. A noteworthy observation on the daily timeframe is the rebound from the 31.8% Fibonacci retracement level, signaling resilience in the bullish sentiment. Structural Shift: The narrative evolves further when examining the structure of the market. From early November, there was a notable Break of Structure (BOS), suggesting a shift in market dynamics. However, as of November 16, a Change of Character (CHOC) is evident, signaling a potential reversal in the prevailing trend. 4-Hour Bullish Momentum: Zooming into the 4-hour timeframe, candlestick patterns reflect a robust bullish trend. Multiple bullish candles with few wicks rejecting the 0.65150 zone, coupled with positive volume, create a compelling case for an imminent breakout. The 0.65150 level, appearing as a psychological barrier, is poised for a potential rupture. Long Position Opportunity: Considering the current dynamics, there appears to be a Long Position opportunity on the horizon. A favorable entry scenario is anticipated if the price successfully breaks the 0.65150 zone and undergoes a retest, confirming the newfound support. This setup presents a potential profit target of approximately 80 pips. Intraday Insights: During the overlap of the London and New York sessions, the price action adds another layer of intrigue. A Hammer candlestick followed by a Belt candlestick suggests a tussle between sellers and buyers. Despite the sellers' attempt to push the price down, the momentum from buyers appears to be gaining strength, setting the stage for a potential rally. Conclusion: In conclusion, the AUD/USD pair is displaying multiple indicators signaling a potential reversal and the initiation of a bullish trend. Traders are advised to closely monitor the 0.65150 zone for a breakout, and consider a Long Position with a retest confirmation. The recent price action, structural shifts, and intraday patterns collectively contribute to a compelling case for a rally in the Aussie.
Long
by e11p
1
AUD USD LONGRisk 0.5% TP1 = 1:2 RR RISKY Trade as we are going aginst the trend. Is willing to see how it turns out. Disclaimer: The contents in this Idea are intended for information purpose only and do not constitute investment recommendation or advice. Nor are they used to promote any specific products or services. They serve as an integral part of a case study to demonstrate fundamental concepts in risk management under given market scenarios. A full version of the disclaimer is available in our profile description.
Long
by TheBlackCapitol_
AUDUSD 4h long entryHello guys, Today we are going to take a long entry in OANDA:AUDUSD currency pair. Right now, the price is coming down to take the support of 4h time frame . If you look at this currency pair of the 4-hour chart you can clearly see the price is going upward by taking the support its 4hr trendline. So, from here, there is a chance for this currency pair to go up. Once it has given a breakout from the resistance line there will be a big move ahead. Thanks & regards, Alpha Trading Station Disclaimer: This view is for educational purpose only & any stock mentioned here should not be taken as a trading/investing advice. We may or may not have position in the stocks mentioned here. Please consult your financial advisor before investing. Because Price is the "King of Market".
Long
by AlphaTradingStation
20 Reasons For Long AUDUSD 🔆MULTI-TIME FRAME TOP-DOWN ANALYSIS OVERVIEW☀️ 1:✨Eagle eye: Multi years Bearish Trend is here 2:📆Monthly: making an insider high and low also rejected from monthly order block 3:📅Weekly: and weekly Choch is formatted, but the price does not confirm high yet. After a correction, prices are halted on the previous monthly low and equilibrium area so that there is a high chance prices can go high from here 4:🕛Daily: a clear up trend now 3rd move id started on the proper discount area and also forted appropriate price actions and structure setup 😇7 Dimension analysis 🟢 analysis time frame: H4 5: 1 Price Structure: bearish & market start forming lower high 6: 2 Pattern Candle Chart: equal lows at bottom long wick candles also lower high monthly weekly and daily lows also 7: 3 Volume: 8: 4 Momentum UNCONVENTIONAL Rsi: Rsi also shift their range from bearish to sideways properly 9: 5 Volatility measure Bollinger bands: Bollinger band in a tight squeeze /also proper w pattern is formatted so walking on the band is excepted 10: 6 Strength ADX: total neutral 11: 7 Sentiment ROC: Aud is more substantial than USD on the base on Rate of change ✔️ Entry Time Frame: H1 12: Entry TF Structure: bullish 13: entry move: impulsive 14: Support resistance base: H1 equilibrium support H1 last swing support or 2nd option H1 premium breaks 15: FIB: ☑️ final comments: Buy 16: 💡decision: LOng 17: 🚀Entry: 0.6780 18: ✋Stop losel:0.6695 19: 🎯Take profit: 0.7129 20: 😊Risk to reward Ratio: 1:4 🕛 Excepted Duration: 10 Days
Long
by Optimum369
1
The logic behind the AUDUSDThe head and shoulders pattern has formed, with the US dollar maintaining its strength, indicating that bearish momentum is inevitable for the Australian dollar The January core inflation data, including CPI , PPI and retail sales, all rebounded. Combined with the wage data in the non-agricultural employment report, it shows that US inflation has rebounded in stages. Although the downward trend of inflation remains unchanged, it will stimulate Fed extends rate hikes The U.S. dollar rebounded strongly due to the rise in inflation and stimulated the central bank to raise interest rates. Worries prompted investors to cover the U.S. dollar, and the U.S. dollar regained its dominance in the short-term situation. At the same time, the strong US dollar depresses commodity prices, and the Australian dollar loses its power. Interest rate hike expectations are also extremely detrimental to the performance of U.S. stocks. After the end of the earnings season, U.S. stocks lack guidance, and rising inflation suppresses market liquidity and puts pressure on stock market sentiment. In this situation, the short position of the Australian dollar has the best time, location, and harmony. Technical head and shoulders The head and shoulders pattern is a high chance of winning in the technical trend, and it is one of the skills that must be mastered
Short
by Ice_and_Fire1
AUDUSD - CURRENT SITUATION AND FUNDA & TECHNICAL BIAS#AUDUSD - Currently the MARKET SENTIMENT for AUD is slightly UP SIDE according to the MARKET SENTIMENT. Due to RISK ON for AUDUSD, there is currently an UPSIDE BIAS for it. The main reason for that is because MARKET RISK is ON, STOCKS and COMMODITIES MARKETS are now slightly UP. It is heavily influenced by the Australian dollar. And today AUSTRALIA INFLATION DATA was very POSITIVE. Due to this, the RBA made a RATE HIKE. - It is definitely possible to break the AUDUSD STRUCTURE and go up to the higher RESISTANCE LEVEL. Accordingly, AUDUSD can go up to 0.6600 LEVEL. And after that, AUDUSD can SELL to the 0.6000 LEVEL if the MARKET SENTIMENT changes and STOCKS and COMMODITIES start going down. For that, the MARKET STRUCTURE should be BREAK. And RISK should be OFF.
by benny_marshall