AUDUSD: Bearish Flag Retest Within Macro HeadwindsAUDUSD is developing a clean bearish technical setup just as macro fundamentals increasingly weigh on the Australian dollar. The pair recently completed a rising wedge breakout and is now retesting broken structure within a larger downtrend. With risk sentiment shaky due to U.S. tariff threats and dovish repricing of the RBA’s outlook, Aussie bulls may struggle to sustain momentum. A confirmed breakdown below 0.6458 could open the door toward June’s swing low near 0.6390.
🧠 Technical Breakdown:
✅ Bearish Flag Structure:
The chart shows a sequence of bearish flags and rising wedges, all of which have historically broken lower. The latest breakout to the downside was sharp, and the current rally appears corrective.
✅ Fib Levels & Confluence:
Price is hovering near the 38.2% retracement (0.6510) from the last leg down. The invalidation zone around 0.6565 aligns with a supply zone, making it an ideal SL area.
✅ Target Zones:
First support: 0.6458
Measured move: 0.6390 - 0.6370
These coincide with Fib 61.8% & 100%, adding technical confluence.
📉 Fundamental Drivers:
Dovish RBA Signals: Labour data missed expectations, and June inflation slowed (4.8% vs. 4.9% expected), softening the RBA’s hawkish stance.
Stronger USD Outlook: Powell’s reappointment risk and rate-cut delay pricing have supported the dollar. U.S. data (Retail Sales, CPI) still signal sticky inflation and strong labor.
Tariff Risk from Trump: With the U.S. floating global 10% tariffs, risk assets like AUD (a high-beta currency) face downside pressure.
⚠️ Risks to Bearish Bias:
Stronger-than-expected China stimulus could support AUD as a proxy.
A dovish Fed pivot or soft U.S. data might undercut USD strength.
Audusdanalysis
AUDUSD SELLAUD/USD dives to three-week lows near 0.6560 after weak Australian employment data
The Australian Dollar is one of the weakest performers of the G8 currencies on Thursday, hammered by a disappointing Australian Employment report and the overall risk-averse market, which is boosting demand for safe-haven assets, such as the US Dollar
The battle between the Australian Dollar (AUD) and the US Dollar (USD) will be one worth watching in 2025, with central banks stealing the limelight. The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) has kept interest rates at record highs whilst most of its overseas counterparts started the loosening process. The US Federal Reserve (Fed), on the other hand, has trimmed the benchmark interest rate by 100 bps through 2024 and aims to slow the pace of cuts in 2025. The central banks’ imbalance aims for record lows in AUD/USD
TP 1 0.650
TP 2 0.649
TP 3 0.648
RESISTANCE 0.653
AUDUSD Bearish Breakout!
HI,Traders !
AUD-USD is trading in a sideways trend
and the pair
Made a breakout of the
Key horizontal level
Of 0.8149 which is now
A resistance and the pair
Is now making a retest
Of the level so as we are
Bearish biased we will
Be expecting a pullback
And a further bearish
Move down !
Comment and subscribe to help us grow !
AUDUSD Forming Bullish MomentumAUDUSD is showing strong bullish momentum, and the current price structure confirms that the pair is gearing up for another potential rally. After building solid bullish pressure from key support zones, price has been making higher lows with clear buying interest stepping in on dips. I entered this setup earlier and am already in deep profit. With the momentum continuing to hold, I’m anticipating another wave to the upside in the coming sessions.
From a fundamental standpoint, the Australian dollar is currently benefiting from broad US dollar softness driven by expectations of a Fed rate cut later this year. As inflation cools in the US and the labor market shows signs of moderation, the Fed’s hawkish stance has softened, weakening the dollar across the board. At the same time, the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) has maintained a relatively firm tone, leaving the door open for further tightening if inflation pressures persist domestically. This divergence in central bank tone is favoring AUD strength.
Additionally, commodities like iron ore and copper—major Australian exports—have recently found renewed demand, particularly from China. With Chinese authorities signaling more fiscal and monetary stimulus to support their post-COVID recovery, the Australian economy stands to benefit, further supporting AUD upside. This commodity-backed strength adds another layer of support to the bullish AUDUSD narrative.
Technically, the pair has broken above a key resistance level and is now forming a bullish continuation pattern on the lower timeframes. Price action is supported by rising volume and moving averages starting to slope upward. The structure is clean, the fundamentals are supportive, and sentiment across TradingView shows increasing bullish interest in AUDUSD. I'm holding for higher levels as the bullish wave continues to develop.
AUDUSD(20250715)Today's AnalysisMarket news:
Sources said that after Trump's latest trade tax threat, the European Central Bank will discuss a more negative scenario next week than expected in June. The ECB is still expected to keep interest rates unchanged at its meeting on July 24. Discussions on rate cuts are still postponed to September.
Technical analysis:
Today's buying and selling boundaries:
0.6557
Support and resistance levels:
0.6602
0.6585
0.6574
0.6539
0.6528
0.6511
Trading strategy:
If it breaks through 0.6557, consider buying in, the first target price is 0.6574
If it breaks through 0.6539, consider selling in, the first target price is 0.6528
#AUDUSD: +1100 Pips Possible Swing Bullish Move! AUDUSD a strong sign of bullish behaviour has appeared alongside bullish momentum. As we have NFP tomorrow, we expect market to remain volatile; what we think now is to have market settled down before we can have any confirmation. We recommend to remain extra cautious tomorrow, once market get settled we can then enter with accurate risk management.
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AUDUSD Cautiously Bullish As US PI Data Looms This is the Weekly FOREX Forecast for the week of July 14 - 18th.
In this video, we will analyze the following FX market: AUDUSD
The AUDUSD has been grinding higher for weeks. Only Friday closed with a hint of a pullback starting. The RBA is looking for the US CPI Data to post. If the inflation numbers are a bit hot, this will strengthen the USD against the AUD. A soft CPI should see the market pricing back in higher chances of a third cut by year-end and weigh on the US dollar.
We'll see how the market reacts on Tuesday.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
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Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
AUDUSD Selling Trading IdeaHello Traders
In This Chart AUDUSD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today AUDUSD analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (AUDUSD market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on AUDUSD Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Chart
Week of 7/13/25: AUDUSD AnalysisLast week pushed bullish and demand is still in control on all time frames, so we are going to follow bullish order flow.
Looking for bottom liquidity to be taken in the local range before getting in on a long.
Major News:
Tuesday - CPI
Wednesday - PPI
Thursday - Unemployment
AUSSIE BANK ROBBERY: AUD/USD Bullish Breakout Confirmed!🔥 AUD/USD BANK HEIST: The Ultimate Bullish Robbery Plan (Thief Trading Style) 🔥
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Long Entry Trigger: Wait for Dynamic Resistance MA crossover + candle close above 0.65300 (bullish confirmation).
Pro Tip: Use Buy Stop orders above MA or Buy Limit orders on pullbacks (15m/30m timeframe).
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🎯 TARGET (Cash Out & Run!)
Take Profit Zone: 0.65800
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Market Analysis: AUD/USD Attempts Fresh ClimbMarket Analysis: AUD/USD Attempts Fresh Climb
AUD/USD is attempting a fresh increase from the 0.6485 support.
Important Takeaways for AUD/USD Analysis Today
- The Aussie Dollar found support at 0.6485 and recovered against the US Dollar.
- There is a key bearish trend line forming with resistance at 0.6535 on the hourly chart of AUD/USD at FXOpen.
AUD/USD Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart of AUD/USD at FXOpen, the pair started a fresh increase above 0.6550. The Aussie Dollar tested the 0.6585 zone before the bears appeared and pushed it lower against the US Dollar.
The pair declined below the 0.6560 and 0.6550 support levels. The recent low was formed at 0.6485 and the pair is rising again. The bulls pushed it above the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 0.6588 swing high to the 0.6485 low.
The pair is now consolidating above the 50-hour simple moving average. On the upside, the AUD/USD chart indicates that the resistance is near the 0.6535 zone. There is also a key bearish trend line forming at 0.6535.
The first major resistance might be 0.6550 and the 61.8% Fib retracement level. An upside break above it might send the pair further higher. The next major resistance is near the 0.6560 level. Any more gains could clear the path for a move toward the 0.6585 resistance zone.
If not, the pair might correct lower. Immediate support sits near the 0.6510 level. The next support could be 0.6485. If there is a downside break below 0.6485, the pair could extend its decline toward the 0.6440 zone. Any more losses might signal a move toward 0.6420.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Australian Dollar Strengthens Following RBA DecisionAustralian Dollar Strengthens Following RBA Decision
Today, the AUD/USD pair experienced a spike in volatility. According to ForexFactory, analysts had forecast that the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) would cut interest rates from 3.85% to 3.60%. However, the market was caught off guard as the central bank opted to keep rates unchanged.
The RBA stated the following:
→ It remains cautious in its inflation outlook and awaits further evidence confirming that inflation is on track to return to the 2.5% target.
→ The decision to hold the rate was made by a vote of six to three — a rare instance of a split opinion among committee members.
The initial market reaction to the RBA’s unexpected move was a sharp appreciation of the Australian dollar. However, this was followed by a quick pullback in the minutes that followed (as indicated by the arrows).
Technical Analysis of the AUD/USD Chart
Since early July, price action in AUD/USD has been forming a descending channel (marked in red). In this context:
→ Today’s sharp rally and subsequent retracement underscored the significance of the upper boundary of the channel;
→ The pair tested a previously broken ascending trendline (the lower line of the blue channel);
→ Although the price briefly rose above the 0.65450 level, this area may now act as resistance going forward.
There is a possibility that, as forex trading unfolds throughout the day, AUD/USD could retreat towards the median line of the descending channel. Such a move could be interpreted as follows:
→ The initial reaction to the RBA decision may have been premature;
→ Selling pressure persists, which might trigger a move towards the support zone near 0.64850.
Looking ahead, the trajectory of AUD/USD in July 2025 will be largely influenced by developments surrounding a potential trade agreement between the United States and other countries, including Australia.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
#AUDUSD:We are yet to see weaken USD! AUDUSD to make yearly highAUDUSD hasn’t seen strong bullish volume yet, but tomorrow’s NFP will be crucial for determining the future trend of the AUDUSD. Based on your analysis, you can set multiple targets.
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AUDUSD WEEKLY HIGHER TIME FRAME FORECAST Q3 W27 Y25AUDUSD WEEKLY HIGHER TIME FRAME FORECAST Q3 W27 Y25
Professional Risk Managers👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure.
Let’s see what price action is telling us today! 👀
💡Here are some trade confluences📝
✅Weekly 50EMA Rejection
✅Daily Order block identified
✅4H Order Block identified
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
The Aussie Dollar Heist Blueprint: "AUD/USD" Long Setup!?🌍 Hello, Global Wealth Warriors! Ciao, Salut, Guten Tag, Ola! 🌟
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Entry 📈 : "The heist is on! Wait for the MA line breakout (0.65200) then make your move - Bullish profits await!"
however I advise to Place Buy stop orders above the ATR line (or) Place buy limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe most recent or swing, low or high level for Pullback entries.
📌I strongly advise you to set an "alert (Alarm)" on your chart so you can see when the breakout entry occurs.
🛑 **Stop Loss**:
📍 Thief SL parked at the recent/swing low on the 4H timeframe (0.64600) for day/swing trades.
📍 Tailor your SL to your risk appetite, lot size, and number of orders. Stay sharp!
🎯 **Target**: Aim for 0.66300 or make a swift exit just before.
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💹 **Market Pulse**: The AUD/USD (The Aussie) forex market is in a ATR Dynamic Resistance zone but leaning bullish, fueled by key drivers. ☝
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AUD/USD Shows Bullish Hints, Can Gains Be Sustained?Market Analysis: AUD/USD Shows Bullish Hints, Can Gains Be Sustained?
AUD/USD started a decent increase above the 0.6440 and 0.6465 levels.
Important Takeaways for AUD/USD Analysis Today
- The Aussie Dollar rebounded after forming a base above the 0.6370 level against the US Dollar.
- There was a break above a key bearish trend line with resistance at 0.6470 on the hourly chart of AUD/USD at FXOpen.
AUD/USD Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart of AUD/USD at FXOpen, the pair started a fresh increase from the 0.6370 support. The Aussie Dollar was able to clear the 0.6400 resistance to move into a positive zone against the US Dollar.
There was a close above the 0.6440 resistance and the 50-hour simple moving average. There was a break above a key bearish trend line with resistance at 0.6470. Finally, the pair tested the 0.6520 zone. A high was formed near 0.6519 and the pair recently started a consolidation phase.
The pair dipped and tested the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 0.6372 swing low to the 0.6519 high.
On the downside, initial support is near the 0.6485 level. The next major support is near the 0.6465 zone. If there is a downside break below the 0.6465 support, the pair could extend its decline toward the 0.6445 level. It is close to the 50% Fib retracement level.
Any more losses might signal a move toward 0.6405. On the upside, the AUD/USD chart indicates that the pair is now facing resistance near 0.6520. The first major resistance might be 0.6550. An upside break above 0.6580 might send the pair further higher.
The next major resistance is near the 0.6600 level. Any more gains could clear the path for a move toward 0.6650.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
AUDUSD Analysis – Falling from the Rising WedgeAUDUSD pair broke below an ascending wedge, a bearish reversal pattern.
Clean rejection from 0.6518, with lower highs and new lower lows confirming bearish momentum.
Price is now sitting below former trendline support, retested and respected as resistance.
Bearish target points toward 0.6400–0.6380 zone, aligning with recent swing lows.
Risk invalidation sits above 0.6520, where structure fails.
Technical Bias: Bearish
Target: 0.6400
Stop-loss zone: Above 0.6520
📊 Current Bias: Bearish
🔍 Key Fundamentals Driving AUDUSD
AUD Fundamentals (Weakening):
Australian jobs data was mixed, and wage growth has plateaued.
RBA remains cautious, with expectations for rate cuts later in 2025.
AUD pressured by China growth risks and weak commodity demand.
Geopolitical drag: Australia-China tensions and weak Chinese retail data from 618 Festival dampen AUD outlook.
USD Fundamentals (Resilient):
USD remains bid on risk-off flows, especially after weak global data and ongoing Middle East tensions.
Fed remains reluctant to cut fast despite disinflation signs – supports the USD.
US data is mixed, but rate cut odds are declining (only one expected in 2025 now per dot plot).
⚠️ Risks to This Bearish View
If China announces new stimulus, AUD could rebound sharply.
A dovish surprise from the Fed (e.g. Powell softening in speeches).
Sharp rebound in risk appetite (e.g. tech-led equity rally).
🗓️ Important Events to Watch
🇨🇳 China industrial profits & PMIs
🇦🇺 RBA Meeting Minutes (July preview hints)
🇺🇸 US Core PCE (June 28)
Global risk tone: watch metals, equities, and geopolitical headlines.
🚀 Which Asset Leads?
AUDUSD is lagging other USD pairs, but will likely lead commodity FX downside if China or metals weaken further.
Watch AUDJPY and EURAUD for further confirmation of risk-off flows and Aussie weakness.
AUDUSD H4 AnalysisAUDUSD Showing a Bearish Flag. If it breaks this zone above, Most probably can fly up to 0.65018 and higher to 0.65379. If no, Can rally between 0.64068 or even lower to 0.63878. Trading Analysis from 23-06-25 to 27-06-25. Take your risk under control and wait for market to break support or resistance on smaller time frame. Best of luck everyone and happy trading.🤗
Audusd setup Here's a bullish analysis on AUD/USD (generic and adaptable to most timeframes; if you want it based on a specific chart or timeframe, let me know):
---
📈 AUD/USD Bullish Analysis
1. Support Zone Holding Strong:
AUD/USD has established a firm support level around where price has bounced multiple times.
Recent price action shows a double bottom or rounded base formation, indicating demand buildup.
2. Bullish Trendline Formation:
A new higher low structure is forming, suggesting a shift in momentum.
Price is respecting a short-term ascending trendline, signaling continued buying interest.
3. Breakout Confirmation:
A bullish breakout above the 0.6650 resistance opens room for an upward move.
Next target levels: 0.6700 and 0.6780.
4. RSI & Momentum Indicators:
RSI trending above 50, showing strength.
Bullish divergence on momentum indicators confirms possible upside continuation.
5. Fundamentals (Optional Context):
AUD supported by improving risk sentiment and commodity strength (especially iron ore and gold).
USD weakening slightly due to lower rate hike expectations from the Fed.
---
🎯 Bullish Targets:
Entry zone: 0.6620–0.6640
Target 1: 0.6700
Target 2: 0.6780
Stop-loss: Below support
AUDUSD Coiling Near Key Resistance, Big Move Ahead?After a long period of sideways chop, AUD/USD is finally showing signs of strength. Price has been pressing against the key resistance zone, and we’re now seeing a tightening wedge breakout structure forming just beneath it.
A key moment on the chart is where sellers got trapped during that sharp downside wick. Since then, price has been recovering in a steady, controlled manner.
Now, with higher lows forming and momentum building near resistance, a parabolic move could be on the horizon if price manages to break out cleanly.
This is a classic setup where patience could pay off, the structure is bullish, and breakout confirmation may unlock strong upside potential.
DYOR, NFA
AUD/USD at Critical Resistance — Bearish Outlook Below 0.65381. Major Resistance Zone: 0.65380
Price is currently testing a strong horizontal resistance level at 0.65380, a level that has been tested multiple times (as shown by the pink circles).
This level has acted as a historical turning point, which increases its significance.
2. Price Structure: Lower Highs and Equal Highs
The chart reveals a potential double top or distribution pattern, forming under the 0.65380 resistance.
This suggests weakening bullish momentum and increases the probability of a bearish reversal.
3. Projected Bearish Path (White Dotted Lines):
If price fails to break above 0.65380 decisively, the expected move is a stepwise decline.
The projected path targets several support levels:
0.65003
0.64647
0.64213
0.63957
Final target: 0.63627, a key support from early May.
4. Support & Resistance Zones:
Resistance Levels:
0.65380 (Major)
0.65003
Support Levels (Sequential Targets):
0.64647
0.64213
0.63957
0.63627
5. Confluence with Fundamentals:
U.S. economic events (highlighted at the bottom with calendar icons) may act as volatility triggers, potentially accelerating this move.
✅ Summary & Trading Implications:
Bias: Bearish below 0.65380
Trade Idea: Watch for rejection at resistance or break below 0.65003 for confirmation.
Bearish Targets: Gradual move toward 0.63627 with key pauses at intermediate support levels.
Invalidation: Daily close above 0.65380 would negate the bearish setup and open potential for new highs.
AUD/USD Aims Steady IncreaseAUD/USD Aims Steady Increase
AUD/USD started a decent increase above the 0.6450 and 0.6500 levels.
Important Takeaways for AUD USD Analysis Today
- The Aussie Dollar rebounded after forming a base above the 0.6400 level against the US Dollar.
- There is a connecting bullish trend line forming with support at 0.6510 on the hourly chart of AUD/USD at FXOpen.
AUD/USD Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart of AUD/USD at FXOpen, the pair started a fresh increase from the 0.6450 support. The Aussie Dollar was able to clear the 0.6500 resistance to move into a positive zone against the US Dollar.
There was a close above the 0.6500 resistance and the 50-hour simple moving average. Finally, the pair tested the 0.6535 zone. A high was formed near 0.6533 and the pair recently started a consolidation phase.
There was a move below the 0.6520 level. The pair dipped below the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 0.6489 swing low to the 0.6533 high.
On the downside, initial support is near the 0.6510 level. There is also a connecting bullish trend line forming with support at 0.6510. It is close to the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 0.6489 swing low to the 0.6533 high.
The next major support is near the 0.6480 zone. If there is a downside break below the 0.6480 support, the pair could extend its decline toward the 0.6450 level.
Any more losses might signal a move toward 0.6420. On the upside, the AUD/USD chart indicates that the pair is now facing resistance near 0.6535. The first major resistance might be 0.6550. An upside break above the 0.6580 resistance might send the pair further higher.
The next major resistance is near the 0.6600 level. Any more gains could clear the path for a move toward the 0.6650 resistance zone.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
AUD/USD Bearish Setup – Key Rejection🔍 Market Context:
AUD/USD has shown an ascending structure followed by a potential bearish divergence. The recent high around 0.65437 is marked as the Invalidation Level — a break and close above this level would invalidate the current bearish scenario.
📌 Key Levels:
Resistance / Invalidation Zone: 0.65437
Support Target Zone: Near 0.64000
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📉 Bearish Scenario:
Price is expected to reject the resistance zone and move downward based on the current structure and possible exhaustion of bullish momentum. The red projected path illustrates a potential move lower if price fails to break above the invalidation level.
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📛 Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice or a trading recommendation. All trading involves risk. Please conduct your own analysis or consult a financial advisor before making trading decisions.