AUDUSD ANALYSIS The Australian Dollar rises as the Financial Times reported that the PBoC is signaling potential rate cuts this year. The AUD recovered from two-year lows as stronger commodity prices provided support, particularly Oil and Gold. The US Dollar Index corrects downwards from a new multi-year high of 109.56 reached on Thursday.
AUD/USD trades near 0.6210 on Thursday, maintaining a bearish outlook as it remains within a descending channel on the daily chart. However, the 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) has bounced back above the 30 level, suggesting the potential for a near-term upward correction despite the prevailing downtrend.
The AUD/USD pair may find immediate resistance at the nine-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at 0.6220, with the next obstacle at the 14-day EMA at 0.6244. A key resistance level is the descending channel’s upper boundary, around the psychological mark of 0.6300.
Audusdanalysis
AUD/USD "The Aussie Dollar" Forex Market Bullish Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟
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Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the AUD/USD "The Aussie Dollar" Forex market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry. Our aim is the high-risk Red Zone. Risky level, overbought market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bearish robbers are stronger. 👀 So Be Careful, wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉
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Stop Loss 🛑: Using the 2H period, the recent / nearest low or high level.
Goal 🎯: 0.63700
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Fundamental Outlook 📰 Economic Factors
Australia's Resilient Economy: Despite slowing growth, Australia's economy has shown resilience, with a strong labor market and steady consumer spending.
US Economic Slowdown: A potential slowdown in the US economy could lead to a decrease in interest rates, making the AUD more attractive.
Interest Rate Differential: Although the US has higher interest rates, the RBA's hawkish stance could maintain a relatively high interest rate differential, supporting the AUD.
Central Bank Policies
RBA's Hawkish Stance: The RBA's commitment to keeping interest rates higher to control inflation could support the AUD.
Fed's Dovish Pivot: A potential dovish pivot by the Fed could lead to a decrease in interest rates, making the AUD more attractive.
Sentiment Analysis
Risk Appetite: A rise in risk appetite among investors could lead to a shift towards higher-yielding currencies like the AUD.
US Dollar Weakness: A potential decline in the US dollar could support the AUD/USD pair.
Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly.
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AUDUSD, What will hapen in upcoming weeks ?Hello Traders, Happy new year in advance, I Hope you have a great year ahead with your family.
let's go for AUDUSD analysis:
for upcoming weeks, we'll probably see an upward correction to Specified level at first and then it will start another fall. so with a proper trigger we can open a short position.
And finally tell me what do you think ? UP or DOWN ? leave your comment below this post.
If this post was helpful to you, please like it and share it with your friend.
THANKS.
Bearish Pattern Plays Out: AUD/USD Breakdown ConfirmedAUD/USD is currently moving in a classical bearish pattern, with the price taking temporary support at the lower trendline. However, this support appears weak and, as anticipated, has now broken down, confirming further downside momentum.
The structure remains in favor of sellers, and more bearish movement is expected as the breakdown reinforces the selling pressure.
AUDUSD Clear level AUDUSD Clear level
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AUDUSD Top-down analysis Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
AUDUSD buy Trading IdeaHello Traders
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AUDUSD - Look for a sell !!Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on AUDUSD.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bearish market structure from 4H timeframe perspective, so I look for a short. I expect price to continue the retracement to fulfill the imbalance and then to reject from bearish OB + institutional big figure 0.63000.
Like, comment and subscribe to be in touch with my content!
AUD/USD "The Aussie" Forex Market Heist Plan on Bearish Side🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰
Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the AUD/USD "The Aussie" Forex market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes short entry. Our aim is the high-risk Green Zone. Risky level, oversold market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bullish robbers are stronger. 👀 So Be Careful, wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉
Entry 📉 : You can enter a short trade anywhere,
however I advise placing sell limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or closest high level should be in retest.
Stop Loss 🛑: Using the 2H period, the recent / nearest high level.
Goal 🎯: 0.62800
Scalpers, take note : only scalp on the Short side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰.
Warning⚠️ : Our heist strategy is incompatible with Fundamental Analysis news 📰 🗞️. We'll wreck our plan by smashing the Stop Loss 🚫🚏. Avoid entering the market right after the news release.
Take advantage of the target and get away 🎯 Swing Traders Please reserve the half amount of money and watch for the next dynamic level or order block breakout. Once it is resolved, we can go on to the next new target in our heist plan.
💖Supporting our robbery plan will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵 Tell your friends, Colleagues and family to follow, like, and share. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀
I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🫂
AUD/USD Declines as RBA Holds Interest Rates SteadyThe AUD/USD pair is experiencing continued downward pressure following the Reserve Bank of Australia's (RBA) decision to hold the Official Cash Rate (OCR) steady at 4.35% during its final policy meeting of the year. RBA Governor Michele Bullock articulated this choice at a press conference, highlighting that the interest rate has remained at this 12-year high for nine consecutive meetings in December. Currently, the price is trading around 0.6395, reflecting this bearish trend.
Market participants are keenly awaiting key economic data, including the upcoming US Consumer Price Index (CPI) announcement and Thursday's unemployment claims, along with the Core Producer Price Index (PPI). These reports are anticipated to introduce considerable volatility into the market. Should favorable economic indicators emerge for the USD, the AUD/USD could potentially approach the next demand zone. At this time, we are not looking to initiate any positions but rather to monitor the price movement and await a possible reach toward that demand area.
✅ Please share your thoughts about AUD/USD in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
Market Analysis: AUD/USD Sink Further, Losses Mount Market Analysis: AUD/USD Sink Further, Losses Mount
AUD/USD declined below the 0.6400 and 0.6375 support levels.
Important Takeaways for AUD/USD Analysis Today
- The Aussie Dollar started a fresh decline from well above the 0.6400 level against the US Dollar.
- There is a connecting bearish trend line forming with resistance at 0.6340 on the hourly chart of AUD/USD at FXOpen.
AUD/USD Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart of AUD/USD at FXOpen, the pair struggled to clear the 0.6430 zone. The Aussie Dollar started a fresh decline below the 0.6400 support against the US Dollar, as discussed in the previous analysis.
The pair even settled below 0.6375 and the 50-hour simple moving average. There was a clear move below 0.6340. A low was formed at 0.6317 and the pair is now consolidating losses. On the upside, an immediate resistance is near the 0.6340 level.
There is also a connecting bearish trend line forming with resistance at 0.6340. It is close to the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 0.6429 swing high to the 0.6317 low.
The next major resistance is near the 0.6375 zone or the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 0.6429 swing high to the 0.6317 low, above which the price could rise toward 0.6385. Any more gains might send the pair toward the 0.6430 resistance.
A close above the 0.6430 level could start another steady increase in the near term. The next major resistance on the AUD/USD chart could be 0.6500.
On the downside, initial support is near the 0.6320 zone. The next support sits at 0.6350. If there is a downside break below 0.6350, the pair could extend its decline. The next support could be 0.6320. Any more losses might send the pair toward the 0.6300 support.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Update levels AUDUSD 11.12.24I had to modify this analysis a little because I interpreted the closing triangle here which was wrong, plus I added some levels here and overall I think the market will go a little lower around the price of 0.62700, we could finally create an SFP from this zone, we could move somewhere for the price, easily around the level of 0.67, which is also the point where there is poc level suppor and the fibo level of 0.618, but for now it's still just a matter of waiting.
AUDUSD BUY | Idea Trading AnalysisAUDUSD is moving in an UP trend channel.
The chart broke through the dynamic Resistance line, which now acts as support.
We expect a decline in the channel after testing the current level which suggests that the price will continue to rise
Hello Traders, here is the full analysis.
I think we can soon see more fall from this range! GOOD LUCK! Great BUY opportunity GOLD
I still did my best and this is the most likely count for me at the moment.
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Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad
audusd buy signal. Don't forget about stop-loss.
Write in the comments all your questions and instruments analysis of which you want to see.
Friends, push the like button, write a comment, and share with your mates - that would be the best THANK YOU.
P.S. I personally will open entry if the price will show it according to my strategy.
Always make your analysis before a trade
Audusd AUD/USD rises to 0.6392, buoyed by weak US labor market reports. US Initial Jobless Claims hit a two-month high, fueling speculation of continued Fed policy easing. Australian employment exceeds expectations with 35.6K jobs added in November, unemployment dips to 3.9%The AUD/USD rose sharply and print a daily high of 0.6429 following Aussie’s data, but it has trimmed its gains, as strong US PPI figures, hint that the Federal Reserve would adopt a cautious approach on reducing interest rates.
Momentum turned slightly bullish in the near-term, but overall, the trend Is tilted to the downside as the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is bearish.
If AUD/USD buyers reclaim 0.6400, the next resistance would be the 0.6500 mark. A breach of the latter will expose the 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) of 0.6568.
Conversely, if sellers stepped in and drag prices below the December 11 daily close of 0.6336, the pair might drop to 0.6300, before aiming toward October 23, 2023 swing low of 0.6270
This is why AUD/USD bears need to watch USD/CNHBets are back on for the RBA to cut, with markets having now fully priced in three 25bp cuts beginning in April. Weak GDP was the culprit, which leaves the Aussie susceptible to further weakness should incoming data continue to deteriorate. However, Aussie bears may also need to factor the yuan into the equation.
AUDUSD speculative BUY as RBA Interest Rate DecisionAUDUSD currently traded in the downtrend movement. As we see in the weekly chart, the downshift movement starts from October as USD move stronger belong to strong economic data followed by investor's optimism of second Trump Presidential era.
Tomorrow, 10/12/24 RBA would give us signal about it's interest rate. Consensus is 4,35% and we may anticipate the movement if the actual data shows 4,35%. It may cause the upward shift as technical analyst see the movement already bounced from it's weekly trendline support. The upward correction movement would as high as 0.650xx using Fibbonacci Internal Retracement tools.
But, if the data shows us <4,35% it may cause more deep movement for the AUDUSD and we need to review again in further movement. I anticipated the movement and see BUY opportunity in this pair.
AUDUSD AUD/USD attracts fresh sellers and is pressured by a combination of factors. A softer risk tone and bets for an early RBA rate cut undermine the Aussie. Subdued USD demand fails to lend any support ahead of the US NFP reportThe AUD/USD pair experienced significant weakness on Friday, sinking near its August lows at 0.6350 after the release of the USThe data showed a much stronger than expected increase in jobs, while rising expectations for an interest rate cut by the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) added pressure to the Australian Dollar. Additionally, weaker than expected domestic GDP growth figures further dampened the outlook for AUD/USD.
Audusd AUD/USD reacts little to better-than-expected Australian Goods Trade Balance data and remains in a range above 0.6400 early Thursday. Rising bets for an early RBA rate cut cap the Aussie's upside amid China's economic woes and US-Sino trade war fears. Eyes turn to US data, FedspeakThe AUD/USD pair dives more than 1% to near the round-level support of 0.6400 in Wednesday’s European session. The Aussie pair plummets as the Australian Dollar (AUD) has been hit hard by weaker-than-projected domestic output data for the third quarter of this yearThe Australian Bureau of Statistics reported that the Australian economy surprisingly expanded at a slower-than-expected pace of 0.8% compared to the same quarter of the previous year against the 1% growth seen in the previous quarter of this year. Economists estimated the annualized Q3 GDP growth of 1.1%. On a quarterly basis, the Australian economy expanded by 0.3%, slower than expectations of 0.4% but faster than the former reading of 0.2%
AUD/USD: The Bear is Lurking – A Breakdown in the Making?Hey Forex fam! 🌍✨ Let’s talk about the Aussie Dollar (AUD) versus the Greenback (USD) – the pair that's been stuck in a battle royale of consolidation! 🧐 But here’s the scoop: the bears are sharpening their claws 🐻, and we might just be on the edge of a big breakdown! 🚨
🔍 The Setup: A Symmetrical Triangle (Bearish Edition!)
📉 Chart pattern: For the last few years, AUD/USD has been dancing between two trendlines, forming a symmetrical triangle – a classic consolidation pattern. Think of it like a coiled spring, ready to pop... but in the bearish direction! 👇
👀 Why bearish?
1️⃣ The triangle is following a long-term downtrend. The pair has been sliding since 2013, and this consolidation looks like a classic continuation pattern.
2️⃣ Momentum is fizzling out as we approach the apex of the triangle – suggesting that a downside breakout could be just around the corner.
📉 Levels to Watch: The Bear's Roadmap
Support to break: 0.63 – the bottom of the triangle and a critical level to confirm the bearish breakdown.
Next bearish targets:
0.60: A psychological barrier.
0.56: The low not seen since 2008 (ouch!).
💡 Why is the Bear in Control?
1️⃣ Fundamentals 📰: With the Federal Reserve still hawkish 💵 and China’s economic recovery slowing 🐢 (a key driver of AUD strength), the Aussie is under pressure.
2️⃣ Risk sentiment 😬: Investors are flocking to safe-havens like the USD in uncertain markets, leaving the AUD vulnerable.
⏳ Timing the Breakdown
⚡ Be ready for action! The pair is sitting right at the edge of the triangle. A daily close below 0.63 could trigger an avalanche of selling pressure. But remember: wait for confirmation – false breakouts can wreck your P&L! 🚨
🔥 Pro Tips for Trading the Breakdown
✅ Trade the breakout: Short AUD/USD once it closes below 0.63, and target 0.60 or lower.
✅ Set stop-losses: Place them slightly above the triangle (~0.64) to protect against fakeouts.
✅ Patience is key: Don’t rush in – let the price action confirm the direction.
The Bearish Bottom Line 🐻
AUD/USD is playing a waiting game, but the technicals and fundamentals both scream downtrend continuation. If the bears break through 0.63, get ready for a dive that could take us to 2008 levels! 📉
Are you ready to ride the bear? 🐻💥 Let me know your thoughts below, and as always, trade safe! 💪✨