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Audusdanalysis

AUDUSD: 0.7150 is our next possible target in 2024?Happy New Year 2024. AUDUSD, has been bullish in daily timeframe, suggesting a clear move upwards 0.7150 region which is where we will exit our trade. Looking at the current price momentum it is clearly notable that price has already retraced and it is very likely it will rebound strongly in days to come. Entry can be available when the market opens where with 50-80 pips stop loss a long entry worth it. With the take profit of 600 pips, a great risk to reward.
Long
by Setupsfx_
9
USD Weakness and Potential Bullish Momentum on AUDUSDThe foreign exchange market, influenced by economic policies and global events, is undergoing a significant transformation in the AUDUSD currency pair. This analysis delves into the repercussions of the Federal Reserve's (The Fed) dovish policy decisions on the USD and explores how this has contributed to the strengthening of the Australian Dollar. Federal Reserve's Dovish Stance: In response to economic challenges, the Federal Reserve has embraced a dovish approach, refraining from raising benchmark interest rates to foster economic recovery. Chairman Powell's dovish signals have resonated in the currency markets, resulting in a depreciation of the USD. Market Analysis: Since the December 14 FOMC meetings, the AUDUSD has seen a noteworthy surge from 0.65690 to its recent peak at 0.68710. This upward trend, encapsulated within an ascending channel, signals bullish momentum. However, the ongoing correction phase suggests a temporary pullback before the upward trend resumes. Strategic Trading Approach: Entry Point: Strategically position the entry point around support levels, especially when accompanied by a confirmed bullish pattern. This approach capitalizes on the corrective phase, providing an advantageous entry position. Stop Loss: Manage risk with a stop-loss order below the ascending channel or the support level of 0.68061. This safeguards against unexpected market movements, offering a defined exit point if the trade deviates from expectations. Consider an alternative stop-loss placement around 0.67903 in case of a substantial shift. Take Profit: Set the take-profit level at 0.68815, representing the highest point in the past six months. This serves as a reasonable target for capitalizing on the bullish momentum. Conclusion: The Federal Reserve's cautious approach and the resulting USD depreciation have paved the way for potential bullish momentum on AUDUSD. Despite a brief correction, entering the market around support levels using bullish patterns offers an optimal strategy. Prudent risk management, with well-placed stop-loss orders, and targeting 0.68815 for profit-taking provide a concise plan for navigating the current USD weakness and the anticipated AUDUSD upswing. Traders can effectively capitalize on this market scenario with a strategic and well-informed approach.
Long
by fardycurry
1
AUDUSD Long Position Trade Aud Economy is looking positive When assessing all of the data for Australia, the economy is in a much more stable place which would have been one of the goals from the people who lead and set the countries monetary and fiscal policies. Inflation has hit its peak 4 quarters ago and has been stepping down slowly before reaching the RBA’s target of 2.5 by 2025, which with all things taken into account is a possibility. With interest rates at a high, there are rumblings of decreasing the current rate of 4.35% slowly, however, we will know much more during the first 2 data set releases of 2024 but as for now the higher interest rates are still attracting business into the internal and external business into the economy which is a plus for the Australian economy. Geopolitical tensions across the world in terms of wars have added value to the exports of Australia, however, the continuous tensions with their biggest trade partners China is definitely something that could derail the good done in supporting the Australian Economy a “The population have been spending and spending well as retail sales were up during the summer and this is something we could see repeated during the festive season as the families and business will be busy which will potentially produce a good reading in terms of retail sales in Australia. This is supported by the higher wage growth, which would mean people will have more disposable income and to spend on goods and services and even save. With Private house approvals also doing well in the economy this sounds out the economy as much more stable as private house approvals give us an early indication of whether there is a recession in progress or not. Macro indicators point towards an ease of pressure on the Australian economy almost as if Australia are at the halfway point of their recovery from the Covid 19 pandemic as they set their sights on bringing down inflation and interest rates. So far, the confidence that Australia would be one of the strongest nations coming out of the recession has been correct analysis with reducing the unemployment rate rather quickly playing a factor in that, but the work is not done. So, whilst there is optimism heading into Q2, there are also some concerns to be aware coming into the Q2. Australian exports represent over 20% of gross domestic product (GDP). Approximately 65% of Australia’s two-way trade occurs with countries in Asia” (Zhou, I. and Satherley, T. 2023), so the disruption with their business with China as the Chinese have placed higher tariffs on their goods as well as bans on Australian products make Australia less attractive which isn’t going to be helpful, especially when you also take into consideration the implication of decarbonisation in a few years. So, whilst Australia thrives in trading today, make no mistake it is a very necessary win for them as they will need to plan ahead going forward.
Long
by OfficialMMMVP
2
AudUsd broke the falling trend line resistanceIn my last week's AudUsd post, I wrote that the pair has bullish perspectives as long as 0.65 support remains intact. Indeed, this was the case and, after a few days of consolidation above this important support level, aUDuSD reversed to the upside but, more importantly, broke above the falling trend line resistance. My outlook remains bullish for this pair and I expect my target of 0.69 to be reached. Negation comes with a fall back under the trendline
Long
by Mihai_Iacob
AUDUSD ~ Risk Off Sentiment: Stuck In Limbo into EOY (2H)FX_IDC:AUDUSD chart mapping/analysis. Aussie Dollarydoos struggling to regain bullish momentum after early December peak. Trading scenarios into EOY: Preliminary trading range = ~66.20 to ~65.25. Break above ~66.20 = regain bullish momentum. Bullish target(s) = re-test descending trend-line (white dotted) / upper range of ascending parallel channel (green). Break below ~65.25 = extend bearish capitulation. Bearish target(s) = 61.8% Fib / lower range of ascending parallel channel (green) confluence zone. 200SMA also acting as dynamic resistance, reinforcing bearish rollover. Major macro economic news this week = higher probability of implied volatile swings in either direction.
by BlueHatInvestor
Audusd looking for a short-term surprise for the upside 0.6620Audusd looks quite good at this consolidation phase to go long and target 0.6620 level as target with entry around 0.6551 level or above with a stoploss at 0.6525 level. this expansion seems limited and after that i am expecting price to fall further down and resume the downtrend . i have two setups for this AUDUSD one as per the higher time frame while this trade is for shorter term perspective and my both analysis do not have a same bias. both are valid in this one i am long just for a short term and my previous trade which is short that is also valid
Long
by Rizwan-Ali
2
AUDUSD I Potential long from support pending USD PPIWelcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments! ** AUDUSD Analysis - Listen to video! We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met. Please support this idea with a LIKE and COMMENT if you find it useful and Click "Follow" on our profile if you'd like these trade ideas delivered straight to your email in the future. Thanks for your continued support!
Long
by BKTradingAcademy
2
AUDUSD - W1\D1AUDUSD W1 - The price reached level 161 after breaking through the trend line. which could lead to the start of a correction or a continuation of the downward movement to new lows. D1 - The price can form a 3-wave structure and, upon breaking through the minimum of the 1st wave, continue moving to the levels of 0.62592. What can you expect? You can consider entering from the level of ~0.65260 with further movement to the target 0.62592. Cancellation of the idea so as not to take increased risk on the idea levels beyond the end of the 2nd wave - 0.66261 or 1st wave - 0.66953. Cancellation of the structure, can also be the formation of an ABC formation. Short Target 0.6932 - 0.64250 - 0.63629 - 0.62592
Short
by Trade_Hive_Signals
AUDUSD: UBS: The Fed will still be cautious and declare the needUBS comments ahead of the December 12th and 13th FOMC meeting: The Summary Economic Outlook (SEP), released at the same time as the December policy statement, says there will likely be at least one, and more likely two, rate cuts in 2024. . While the market is happy with the FOMC's rate cuts, UBS expects the committee to be a little more cautious. The cumulative rate cuts deemed appropriate by a majority of FOMC officials over the SEP's forecast period are expected to be approximately 250 basis points. It's still too early to declare victory over inflation Even if the FOMC cuts rates, the Fed is likely to continue warning that it is prepared to raise rates again if there is any doubt that inflation is falling.
Short
by Chart_MasterPro
4