Will AUDUSD will fall sharply?AUDUSD is a forex instrument that has 5.4% of trading volume.
The Instrument has been in a falling wedge pattern and seems to continue its trend for some time.
It has touched the above trendline and might break the rectangle pattern to the downside. If it happens, it might give a violent move to the downside.
Once it breaks, wait for the retest, and then enter after the retest. It might be a nice trade with RR: 1:2.5.
Reasons :
If it breaks to the downside, it will also break VWAP to the downside, which might trigger the selling moment.
RSI has already shown weak strength, and the trendline is broken to the downside in RSI.
Price < 13 EMA < 200 EMA (Weak Trend)
Bearish pattern formation for 3rd wave.
Verdict :
Bearish if breaks downside.
Plan of action:
Short after downside breakout retest
Audusdanalysis
AUD/USD Navigates Volatile Waters: Analyzing Barriers/CatalystsThe AUD/USD pair is currently in a volatile state due to conflicting signals from macroeconomic trends in China and the United States. A strong resistance level at 0.6485 makes it difficult for upward momentum to develop. China's positive economic data offers some upside for the AUD, while the US dollar's strength creates downside risk.
TRADE IDEA DETAILS
CURRENCY PAIR: AUD/USD
CURRENT TREND: Sideways, with resistance at 0.6485
TRADE SIGNAL: Neutral (Caution advised)
👉ENTRY PRICE: 0.6450 (only if you see a confirmed breakout above 0.6460)
✅TAKE PROFIT: 0.6500 (if the breakout happens, targeting the next psychological level)
❌STOP LOSS: 0.6420 (below the lower boundary of the current range)
ANALYSIS:
The currency pair is facing strong resistance at 0.6485, making a 'Buy' signal risky unless a confirmed breakout occurs above 0.6460. With the Chinese economic indicators being positive but the US Dollar being strong, we're essentially in a market tug-of-war, contributing to a sideways trend. Given this, a cautious approach is warranted. For a 'Sell' signal, additional downward pressure would need to manifest, possibly from US economic data.
FINAL THOUGHTS:
The current conflicting macroeconomic indicators from China and the US are resulting in a sideways trend. In this setup, caution is advised. It's essential to watch for definitive signals in either direction before entering the market.
AUDUSD SHORT!!!Hey Traders!
What we see on AU is quite clear, we making a bearish structure in LTF, so we have permission to enter with half risk without confirmation from HTF,
So guys manage your risk not more than 0.5%,
I will update you if I see any sign of bullish move,
Good luck,
Any question comment me bellow!
@FxShd Team
AUDUSD Analysis 14Sep2023To observe a positive trend for AUDUSD in the bullish market, certain obstacles need to be overcome. This includes breaking through resistance areas and trendlines to determine the direction of the bullish trend. The resistance zone appears to be the initial target, with a high chance of the price responding positively to it.
AUDUSD SHORT TermVSELLING Trading IdeaHello Traders
In This Chart AUDUSD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today AUDUSD analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (AUDUSD market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on AUDUSD Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
DeGRAM | AUDUSD confluence at the resistance AUDUSD is trading in the descending channel and has made lower lows.
The price rebounded from the channel border resistance and fibo level.
Price action formed a kill zone for the short opportunity: fibo level 50.8% and dynamic resistance and divergence as extra confirmation.
We expect a bearish move from the kill zone.
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AUD/USD looks set for a retest of 65cDespite strong data from the US and weak data from China over the past few weeks, AUD/USD bears have failed to keep the Aussie below 64c. Even a strong inflation report from the US on Wednesday resulted in the Aussie springing back above that key level.
Since then, we have seen the pair break a retracement line on the 1-hour chart as part of a bullish breakout ahead of the Australian employment report. The okay jobs numbers provide no reason for bears to jump in, but it has pulled back from current cycle highs.
AUD now looks good to bullish eyes around current levels, and a move towards 65c is favoured as long as prices remain above 64c (although tighter risk management could be used as 0.6410 as an invalidation point).
AUD/USD IN 15 MINS TIMEFRAME.The AUDUSD is likely to reach the support level and then bounce back. If you are trading on AUDUSD then wait for the drop and make your entries precisely. A close below the support level will invalidate this forex trade.
Note: This update is only meant for scalping trade and not for mid to long-term holdings. DYOR before investing.
AUDUSD I Downside bias and short-term potential longWelcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
** AUDUSD Analysis - Listen to video!
We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met.
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AUDUSDIt is not a signal, just an attempt to analyze the direction..
• Warning •
Any deal I share does not mean that I am forcing you to enter into it, you enter in with your full risk, because I'll not gain any profits with you in the end.
The risk management of the position must comply with the stop loss.
(I am not sharing financial or investment advice, you should do your own research for your money.)
AUDUSD SHORT DO YOU AGREE?Has we can see all bearish PD Array are being respected and on Daily timeframe, we can see a bearish --breaker forming, Now moving to the 4H timeframe we can see an Orderblock that is yet to be mitigated which will be a potential area for a market structure shift which is my point of interest for a short entry.
AUDUSD hitting a line in the sand … the week of 04 SepThe line in the sand seems to be in the 0.65218 region. The aussie has stayed below it and failed to close above it for the last 17 trading days. This pair is below the 200 dma, the USDX is firmly bullish, I really don’t seem to have a choice but be bearish on AUDUSD – at least for the short to medium term.
Can the bulls try to make another short run to the upside? Yes, absolutely and I would welcome that because that would give a better entry for a short. I suspect that on Monday we may see some sideways moves and possibly on Tuesday, we should have a nice short entry.
My ideal trade parameters are indicated on the chart. The ideal scenario does not always happen, but if my analysis is correct, we have the potential of a 3R trade.
Being prepared for the unexpected is a good idea in trading, so please use sound money and risk management and stay patient in all your trades. If you like my content, please give it a “thumbs up” and follow me to get even more.
What do you think about this trade idea? Please comment and share your thoughts!!
The AUDUSD Showdown: Bulls, Bears, and a Tale of Two ContinentsGrab a cuppa, Forex enthusiasts, because we've got a drama unfolding in the currency market that's more gripping than a cricket Ashes series. The star of this financial soap opera? The AUDUSD currency pair, and let me tell you, it’s been a rollercoaster of a year. Imagine it like a chess match, except the kings are central banks and the knights and bishops are economic indicators. Confused? Don't worry, we’re breaking it down.
Scene One: Technical Tidbits
So, the AUDUSD has slipped to 0.6450 from an already modest 0.6500 earlier this week. That's not a cliffhanger; it’s a downhill slide that's been going on since the New Year’s fireworks. If this were a reality show, Team Bear would be winning, and Team Bull would be eyeing the exit.
The Chart Gossip
Picture a 200-day moving average as that posh, elusive club everyone wants to get into but can't. The AUDUSD is trading _below_ this VIP line, essentially making it the social outcast of currency pairs. Adding fuel to the fire, our pair is also entangled in a 'descending triangle pattern,' which in trader jargon means, "Don’t expect a U-turn any time soon, mate!"
Scene Two: The Fundamentals Face-off
Now let’s zoom out from the charts and plunge into the juicy, real-world stuff. What’s actually pushing our Aussie-US duo into this downslide?
Central Banks: A House Divided
The U.S. Federal Reserve and the Reserve Bank of Australia are like that couple we all know — in a complicated relationship. While the Fed is hiking up interest rates like a mountain climber scaling Everest, the RBA has nearly run out of gas. This disconnect is like a magnetic force, pulling the AUDUSD even lower.
The Aussie Battleground
Australia’s economy is looking a bit under the weather. We’re talking trade wars with the US, economic slowdown, and even our big buyer, China, cutting back on shopping sprees. A sluggish Aussie economy? Not exactly a crowd-pleaser for AUD investors.
The Chinese Domino Effect
Don't forget China, Australia’s main squeeze for exports. If China sneezes, Australia catches a cold, as the saying goes. The slowing Chinese economy, caught in its own trade war saga, is causing a decrease in demand for Aussie goods, adding another log to the AUDUSD’s funeral pyre.
Should You Dance with the AUDUSD?
You might think trading AUDUSD is like dating a bad boy: full of thrills, thanks to its high liquidity and yummy spreads. But let me tell you, folks, the excitement comes with caution stickers all over. It's a high-risk, high-reward game.
In a Nutshell
The ongoing drama surrounding AUDUSD is the Shakespearean tragedy of the Forex world, and the forecast doesn't look like a romantic comedy. We're talking diverging central bank policies, a weakening Australian economy, and China's fading appetite for imports. It's a triple-threat that points to a continued bearish outlook for the AUDUSD.
So, whether you're Team Bull or Team Bear, keep your wits about you. The AUDUSD market isn't for the faint-hearted, and it demands that you keep your finger on the pulse of global economic theatre. Curtain's down, but the next act promises to be just as riveting!
AUDUSD Analysis 1Sep2023Seeing the movement in the last few days, Audusd is likely to be correction with a bullish target in the SND area above. The price has not changed to the bullish trend as long as it hasn't risen more than the SND area. Although at this time the price has break Trendline bearish and forms 2x new high, but has not met the requirements indicating a positive price reversal
Buy AUDUSD?
I've been observing the AUD/USD chart , and it seems that the price might continue in an uptrend. We can notice multiple instances of the price breaking through the support/resistance zone, and after that, the price managed to surpass the trendline and perform a retest. I anticipate that the price will reach higher levels. This trade could potentially be of a longer duration. If it goes in our favor, consider taking partial profits.