Intraday the Aussie might lift but beating USD% D, W, TF? No
On Friday AUDUSD looked to me a very strong case for long positions, at least going forwards a few days to a week. I took the trade Long, knowing the USD$ was strong, because that's what the charts were telling me on Friday, but today it's a difference story. The Aussie likely to get a small bounce now and further selling to then take hold later in Tuesday.
But that has all changed with the Gold price selling off yesterday Monday, Gold selling and correcting in a bigger manner puts the US Dollar in a position of strength. Yesterday, I wrote how the US Dollar broke out with Bitcoin last week.
But at some point, very soon I imagine, the USD$ will not be able to outperform and be in alignment with Bitcoin's continued outbreak upwards.
But stranger things have happened, for now the USD$ is back and showing its strength against other currency's.
Audusdbearish
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AUD/USD rises for fifth day (but resistance looms)The Aussie has risen for a fifth day, but it is worth noting that minor rallies tend to peter out around the 5-6 day mark. Price action on the 1-hour chart also suggests the rally could be corrective, against its drop from 65c-63c.
Given a bearish RSI divergence is forming on the 1-hour RSI (14) and the 50-day EMA resides around the weekly R1 pivot, we're looking for evidence of a swing high and for momentum to turn lower.
Bearish Outlook on AUDUSD - 23 Jun 2023The price on the H4 timeframe has recently breached the consolidation range of 0.6750 and 0.6800, indicating a breakout. A throwback to the resistance zone at 0.6750 could provide the bearish acceleration towards key resistance-turned-support zone at 0.6650, which coincides with the 227.2% fibonacci extension level. Price is hovering below our ichimoku cloud and 20 EMA, supporting our bearish bias.
AUD/USD still to decline? AUD/USD hit a six-month low at 0.6525, the broken neckline of the inverse head and shoulders pattern.
Technical indicators suggest further downward movement, with the RSI and Stochastic oscillator indicating oversold conditions. The MACD is negative, signaling a bearish trend.
The price has dropped below its moving averages and violated the short-term range floor at 0.6565. If sellers break the 0.6525 support, the pair may test the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement at 0.6483, followed by a decline towards 0.6420 and potentially the 0.6370-0.6340 zone.
Overall, AUD/USD is expected to see more selling if the 0.6525 level breaks.
Bearish Outlook on AUDUSD- 19 May 2023On the 4H timeframe, there is bearish order flow, forming lower highs and lower lows. A pullback to key resistance zone at 0.67, which is in line with the 50% Fibonacci retracement level, and a break below downside confirmation level at 0.6580 could provide the bearish acceleration to the support zone at 0.6420, which coincides with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension level. Price is hovering below the 20 EMA and ichimoku cloud, supporting our bearish bias.
AUDUSD 15M: Bearish outlook seen, further downside below 0.6665On the 15M timeframe, price is showing strong bearish correction. A pullback to the resistance zone at 0.6700, which coincides with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement, and a break below downside confirmation at 0.6680 could present an opportunity to play the drop to the resistance-turned-support zone at 0.6665. Price is holding below ichimoku clouds and 20 EMA, supporting our bearish bias.
AUDUSD Strong Bearish Trend 1H TFAUDUSD shows strong bearish trend in spite of bullish divergence. Previous LL also broken by the current price action. There is strong bias of bearish. TP1 is right above support. It is likely to get hit. However, TP2 is under two major support. Not likely to get hit. However, initiated two short trades with 1% risk and 2% reward.
Bearish outlook on AUDUSD - 14 April 2023Price is testing a key resistance zone at 0.6780 on the H1 timeframe, which is in line with the 78.6% Fibonacci extension level. A pullback to this zone could present the opportunity to play the drop to the support zone at 0.6720, which coincides with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level. Price is hovering below the 20 EMA and MACD is showing bearish momentum, supporting our bearish bias.
AUD could retest the March lows if the Fed are not that dovishAUD/USD is hinting at a potential swing high on the daily chart. And if my hunch that the Fed won’t be as dovish as market pricing currently suggest, it leaves room for USD strength and a lower Aussie.
AUD/USD seems to have completed a 3-wave retracement which perfectly respected a 38.2% Fibonacci ratio. Our bias remains bearish beneath the cycle highs, and we anticipate a move back to the March lows should the Fed stick to their hawkish guns, given the RBA delivered a dovish hike and dovish minutes this month.
AUDUSD Trading Plan - 20/Mar/2023Hello Traders,
Hope you all are doing good!!
I expect AUDUSD to go Down after finishing the correction.
Look for your SELL setups.
Please follow me and like if you agree or this idea helps you out in your trading plan.
Disclaimer: This is just an idea. Please do your own analysis before opening a position. Always use SL & proper risk management.
Market can evolve anytime, hence, always do your analysis and learn trade management before following any idea.
AUDUSD H4: Bearish outlook seen, further downside below 0.6780On the H4 timeframe, prices have fallen below a key support-turned-resistance zone at 0.6780, which is in line with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement. A pullback to this zone presents an opportunity to play the drop to the support zone at 0.6700, in line with the graphical low and 23.6% Fibonacci extension. Prices are holding below the Ichimoku cloud, supporting the bearish bias.