AUDUSD buying opportunity | 1 December 2022On the H4 timeframe, an ascending AUDUSD came to tap the 0.67500 resistance zone several times where a falling wedge can be seen and a slope of higher lows began forming after 21 November. By around 1 December supply became exhausted and gave in to growing demand, where price finally broke through the 0.67500 resistance-turned-support zone. Price was also fuelled by a shift to risk-on market sentiment following hints at a potential easing of Covid restrictions in China, while the Greenback nosedived after dovish FOMC statements further elevating AUDUSD. We expect price to come back and test the new 0.67500 support level where we forecast a subsequent bounce to the next resistance level at 0.68900. Stochastic RSI has dipped into oversold conditions, while an upswing above the Moving Average of the Bollinger band while currently staying within the upper bound indicates a bullish direction.
Audusdbullish
AUDUSD - CURRENT SITUATION AND FUNDA & TECHNICAL BIAS#AUDUSD
- Currently the MARKET SENTIMENT for AUD is slightly UP SIDE according to the MARKET SENTIMENT. Due to RISK ON for AUDUSD, there is currently an UPSIDE BIAS for it. The main reason for that is that the US ELECTION was won by the REPUBLICANS and the US CPI DATA is NEGATIVE. Therefore, STOCKS and COMMODITIES MARKETS are going up a bit now. It is heavily influenced by the Australian dollar. And the AUSTRALIA INFLATION DATA was very POSITIVE that day. Due to this, the RBA made a RATE HIKE.
- It is definitely possible to break the AUDUSD STRUCTURE and go up to the higher RESISTANCE LEVEL. Accordingly, AUDUSD can go up to the 0.6850 level. And before that, AUDUSD can SELL to the 0.6447 LEVEL if the MARKET SENTIMENT changes and STOCKS and COMMODITIES start going down. For that, the MARKET STRUCTURE should be BREAK. And RISK should be OFF.
AUDUSD - CURRENT SITUATION AND FUNDA & TECHNICAL BIAS#AUDUSD
- Currently the MARKET SENTIMENT for AUD is slightly UP SIDE according to the MARKET SENTIMENT. Due to RISK ON for AUDUSD, there is currently an UPSIDE BIAS for it. The main reason for that is because MARKET RISK is ON, STOCKS and COMMODITIES MARKETS are now slightly UP. It is heavily influenced by the Australian dollar. And today AUSTRALIA INFLATION DATA was very POSITIVE. Due to this, the RBA made a RATE HIKE.
- It is definitely possible to break the AUDUSD STRUCTURE and go up to the higher RESISTANCE LEVEL. Accordingly, AUDUSD can go up to 0.6600 LEVEL. And after that, AUDUSD can SELL to the 0.6000 LEVEL if the MARKET SENTIMENT changes and STOCKS and COMMODITIES start going down. For that, the MARKET STRUCTURE should be BREAK. And RISK should be OFF.
AUDUSD - CURRENT SITUATION AND FUNDA & TECHNICAL BIAS#AUDUSD
- According to the analysis we gave the previous day, the AUDUSD DOWN SIDE WAVE has been down about 75++ PIPS. We hope you get it anyway. It is still moving DOWN SIDE as we have given.
- Currently the MARKET SENTIMENT for AUD is on the UP SIDE. Due to RISK ON for AUDUSD, there is currently an UPSIDE BIAS for it. The main reason for that is because MARKET RISK is ON, STOCKS and COMMODITIES MARKETS are now slightly UP. It is heavily influenced by the Australian dollar.
- It is definitely possible to break the AUDUSD STRUCTURE and go up to the higher RESISTANCE LEVEL. Accordingly, AUDUSD can go down to 0.6364 LEVEL. And after that, AUDUSD can be BUY to the 0.6766 LEVEL if the MARKET SENTIMENT changes and STOCKS and COMMODITIES start going UP. For that, the MARKET STRUCTURE should be BREAKED..
AUDUSD analysis: MACD bullish crossoverThe latest Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) minutes, which opened the door to more interest rate hikes, may provide only marginal support to the Australian dollar when compared to the US dollar ( AUD/USD ).
Stronger global economic growth, a Chinese industrial recovery, more risk appetite among investors, and widespread gains in commodity prices are required for the Australian dollar to thrive. These factors would strongly reverse the Aussie’s trajectory, pushing the AUD/USD comfortably back above 0.70.
Therefore, for the time being, the RBA’s pledge serves to provide a floor, thus containing the potential downside risk of the AUD/USD pair, since the Fed is likewise convinced of rising interest rates forcefully.
AUD/USD technical analysis
Technically speaking, we are starting to notice positive indications from a short-term viewpoint. The momentum is rising on the daily chart, with the 14-day RSI climbing from 37 to 48. Breaking 50 would mean bulls might overtake bears in the near-term.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator produced a bullish crossover signal yesterday, as the MACD line (blue line) passed from below to above the signal line (orange). Four of the six MACD crossovers that had occurred in 2022, then provided the right signal.
The 0.6875 level, which corresponds to the highs reached on July 8th, is the barrier that has to be broken in the very short term. Breaking this level might boost bulls’ convictions to target the 50-day moving average at 0.697.
Idea written by Piero Cingari, forex and commodities analyst at Capital.com
AUDUSD LONGOANDA:AUDUSD
AUDUSD on an uptrend with HHs and LLs on the 1H. Price broke resistance and made a pullback testing what is now support. Price retraced at 38.2% fib level. A consolidation occurred creating a descending triangle with LH's and a strong support level with long wicks indication a strong rejection of buyers, should price close higher than the last lower high of the descending triangle it will break structure and a buy setup will be confirmed and take profit 1 would be at 0.72119, and take profit 2 will be at 0.72571 should price continue to break the resistance level of take profit 1.