Audusddaily
AUDUSD long term forecastAUDUSD, in the long run, is going to be one hell of a ride
Why? You may ask, while things look pretty straightforward at the moment, price doesn't always go as planned. Especially when trading on the lower time frame. However, for those who utilize the H1, H4, and even daily timeframe, this should be a good wave to ride.
First post here, will be offering more as time goes on.
AUDUSD:UPDATED CHART 10/07/2023❤️Dear Traders, hope everyone having an profitable week. Our last setup on AUDUSD showcased the possible future trend of the pair. Price came close to our area of entry.
In our opinion price already have completed the bearish move and the bulls have taken control over.
AUD/USD could rebound if the RBA deliver a hawkish hikeAUD/USD retracted around -4.4% from the June high, and it appears we may have seen a swing low around 66c. The pullback found support around a volume cluster from the previous rally and formed a 3-day bullish reversal pattern (morning star reversal). Soft US inflation helped weigh on the US dollar, and an RBA hike tomorrow could send the Aussie higher.
Money markets are pricing in ~23% chance of a hike, whilst economists are split 50/50 between a hike or a pause.
I suspect money markets have priced it incorrectly once again, and the RBA are more likely to hike by another 25bp tomorrow. 4.1% is still low relative to the RBA’s peers, the BOE hiked by 50bp and the ECB, SNB and BOC all hiked by 25bp since the RBA’s last meeting. And the Fed continue to suggest two more hikes are coming. Sure, Australian inflation was lower than estimate, but remains nearly twice the upper range of the RBA’s target. And as this may be Lowe’s last meeting, he may feel obliged to back another rate hike tomorrow.
AUD/USD has pulled back during Asian trade and is trying to build a base above Thursday's high. An initial move towards the 0.6720 high seems feasible, with a 25bp hike potentially seeing the Aussie extend it rally towards the 86c resistance zone.
20 Reasons for Buy AUDUSD🔆MULTI-TIME FRAME TOP-DOWN ANALYSIS OVERVIEW☀️
1:✨Eagle eye: A completely bearish trend is in place. The last low was created in 2001, followed by a CHOCH (Correction of Higher Chance) that occurred in 2011. The market then entered a correction phase and formed a valid lowest level in 2020 with a big hammer and heavy volume. This indicates that the market may have formed a higher low and could potentially continue its bullish journey. Currently, the market is making an inside hammer move and coming down for a liquidity grab. Price has reached an extreme level, and if we closely observe, we'll notice that each candle has lower-side wicks.
2:📆Monthly: Despite the overall bearish trend, there is a valid low formed, and at that low point, there is a significant volume which indicates a strong buying area. If we look at the closing of November 2022, there is a big doji candle followed by big bullish momentum moves. The current month's candle also shows a similar character.
3:📅Weekly: A triangle pattern is forming, and it has almost narrowed down according to the timeframe or the triangle's nature. If we check the ratio of bullish and bearish candles from the last low to the current candle, we can clearly observe powerful bulls in control. The internal structure forms a bearish CHOCH, but it immediately creates a fakeout, turning the bearish CHOCH into a bullish pattern. Take this into consideration.
4:🕛Daily: A very strong CHOCH has already occurred, and now the price is making a corrective move after the CHOCH. At an interesting point, we can observe significant volume before the point, indicating profit booking. Following this, there is a classic doji candle and the current big bullish momentum candle that signals a long position entry.
😇7 Dimension analysis
🟢 analysis time frame: Daily
5: 1 Price Structure: Bullish CHOCH
6: 2 Pattern Candle Chart: Doji and momentum candle
7: 3 Volume: Execution volume before 3 days
8: 4 Momentum UNCONVENTIONAL RSI: Shifting from a bearish range to sideways, indicating strength on the upside. RSI holding above the 40 level signifies strength in the upside move.
9: 5 Volatility measure Bollinger bands: After a volatile move, the price is currently in a calm mood. The last squeeze breakout formed a headfake formation where the price initially went down and then reversed, leading to opposite price moves.
10: 6 Strength ADX: Sideways movement
11: 7 Sentiment ROC: AUD is stronger than USD on the scoreboard.
✔️ Entry Time Frame: Daily
12: Entry TF Structure: Bullish CHOCH
13: Entry Move: Impulsive
14: Support Resistance Base: Support at Fibonacci Validation Zone (FVG) and order block (OB)
15: FIB: Trigger event activated
☑️ Final comments: Buy right now.
16: 💡Decision: Long
17: 🚀Entry: 0.6700
18: ✋Stop Loss: 0.6630
19: 🎯Take Profit: 0.6970
20: 😊Risk to Reward Ratio: 1:3
🕛 Expected Duration: 15 days
AUD/USD hourly chart analysis, further decline likelyDear traders, AUD/USD has pulled back a bit after dropping to 0.6665 level.
However, it seems like the current pullback is about to end.
Price is struggling to cross the 100-hour moving average which is acting as
a dynamic resistance in AUD/USD . So, my recommendation is to sell the
rallies in AUD/USD.
The short-term target would be 0.6670. If the minor support line at 0.6670 breaks,
expect further decline towards 0.66
AU Dump Set to Soar by an Impressive 3.57%?Technical Analysis :
12 hour pull back chart :
Verified by VRVP :
I'll join the action only when that red line finally breaks.
My strategy involves using a dynamically trailing stop loss approach.
Feel free to leave comments if you'd like to receive regular updates on my SL's.
Thank you, loyal followers! Your support drives me forward on this incredible trading journey. Let's achieve financial success together!
#AUDUSD- 230+ PIPS CLEAN SELL SETUP❤️Dear Traders,
-Hope you had a great weekend, FX:AUDUSD is on bullish trend, price have break out number of structures and retested all buying zone and respected it, now in our analysis. We wanted to make everything clear, price will come to our 'premium selling zone' area; where we want an nice clean move of 230+ pips after which we may see some bullish price movement.
-Once price rejected at our area and drops from there, enter a sell entry with 40- 50 pips with a good 'risk management'.
as always have a good mindset before you analysis or trade; emotions turns good trades to bad once.
AUD/USD IDEA (DAILY)🔸Howdy Gang, let's analyze the Daily chart for AUDUSD today.
🔸Expecting price to liquidate 0.67170 then we sell around 0.67280 or we sell at 0.67443
🔸Recommended strategy AUDUSD: Let it liquidate and then you enter. Stay safe gang!
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Trading Futures , Forex, CFDs and Stocks involves a risk of loss.
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Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Always limit your leverage and use tight stop loss.
Is it time to sell AUD/USD now? Check analysisDear traders, in the AUD/USD daily chart, we can see the formation of
a bearish candlestick. The bearish candle has formed at the 100 day EMA
level which is quite significant.
This level, indicated by a circular zone in my chart could act as a resistance.
So, if this zone acts as a resistance and price action continues to be bearish,
traders can consider selling AUDUSD@0.6680-0.6710 with SL above the resistance
and TP at 0.65.
AUDUSD: Bearish Flag BreakoutAUDUSD is in a strong bearish trend. After looking at the weekly and monthly charts we are only looking at selling
opportunities.
We have seen the following reasons for looking to sell:
1: Bearish flag breakout.
2: Trendline breakout.
We are looking to take an entry at the retest of the trendline.
AUDUSD-SELLING OPPORTUNITY AT THE PERFECT AREADear Traders, AUDUSD rejected and dropped 150+ from last week high however, as it dropped significantly market will be more likely to recover and comeback to the almost last week HH. Let's focus on how market will react on Monday.
We also have FED meeting on Wednesday.
AUDUSD POTENTIAL SHORT FORMATION IN PROGRESSWhen we zoom out on the higher time frames, we can see that the pair is in a strong downtrend
despite the bullish correction in the daily time frame which lasted a few days.
We have listed various reasons which support our bearish basis.
1: Monthly time frame trend suggests a strong downtrend.
2:Price failed to break the lower high formed on the 4th of April 2023
3:Trendline like breakout
4: Ascending triangle breakout
We will wait for price to correct on the lower time frames before looking for an entry.
We need the trade to be a minimum of 1 to 3 risk reward before we consider looking for
an entry.
20 Reasons for Buy AUDUSD🔆MULTI-TIME FRAME TOP-DOWN ANALYSIS OVERVIEW☀️
1:✨Eagle eye: Multi-year bearish trend in effect.
2:📆Monthly: Market made an insider high and low, but was rejected from the monthly order block.
3:📅Weekly: Market structure is bearish, but it filled out the last swing 50% area and respected a strong reversal upside signal with a double bottom formation.
4:🕛Daily: Daily structure is bullish and the market completed its inducement, indicating an overall bullish trend. Market may go above 0.7100 levels after a long consolidation.
😇7 Dimension analysis
🟢 Analysis time frame: H4
5: 1 Price Structure: Sideways
6: 2 Pattern Candle Chart: Double Top
7: 3 Volume: High volume during this period suggests buyers are active somewhere.
8: 4 Momentum UNCONVENTIONAL RSI: Above 60, indicating a super bullish zone.
9: 5 Volatility measure Bollinger Bands: High bullish volatility.
10: 6 Strength ADX: Bulls are in power.
11: 7 Sentiment ROC: AUD is the strongest this week.
✔️ Entry Time Frame: 15 Min
12: Entry TF Structure: Bullish
13: Entry Move: Impulsive
14: Support Resistance Base: Last FVG should be a support.
15: Wait for a trigger event.
☑️ Final Comments: Buy at support or breakout.
16: 💡Decision: Buy
17: 🚀Entry: 0.6725
18: ✋Stop Loss: 0.6687
19: 🎯Take Profit: 0.6900
20: 😊Risk to Reward Ratio: 1:5
🕛 Expected Duration: 3 Days