Potential swing trade long on AUD/USDLike NZD/USD, the Aussie is refusing to roll over despite a strong US inflation report. That is in itself a sign of strength.
The daily chart is yet to see a close beneath the Q3 open, and the lows are holding above the 50-day EMA and 38.2% Fibonacci level. A bullish RSI divergence also formed from the oversold zone to suggest a swing low has formed or is near.
The bias remains bullish above last week's low ad for an initial move to 0.6750 - a break above which assumes a move for 0.6800.
Audusdforecast
AUD/USD 0.65897 - 0.08% SHORT IDEA MTF WEEK BIAS 🐻🐻🐻HELLO TRADERS
Hope everyone is doing great a look at AUDUSD 🛑IN THE COMING WEEK
MULTI TIME-FRAME BREAK-DOWN
DXY DAILY
* Lets start with the DXY.
* We see the 78.6 % FIB level holding in the past week.
* Looking for signs of some bearish momentum for continuation with the bears.
* The DXY is currently trading in PREMIUM.
* Any signs of bearish momentum would Signal Bearish moves for the week that is.
* Bullish momentum changes the Bias for the week & possibly signals reversals
AUDUSD DAILY TIME-FRAME
* On the DAILY we are trading / rejecting of a FVG.
* Should we violate this FVG looking to trade in premium, before continuation.
* This week looking for a push higher before continuing down.
* Should the FVG hold looking to go short, should momentum signal.
* We have a draw in LQ below which will serve as targets should we push higher.
AUDUSD 4H TIME-FRAME
* We pushing higher having some bullish momentum on the 4H.
* Looking for some push higher before seeing bearish moves.
* We see + FVG holding signalling bullish momentum.
* Looking to trade in PREMIUM for short entries & longs alike.
AUDUSD 1H TIMEFRAME
* We are in a BULLISH trend.
* Looking for continuation into premium.
* shift in momentum would validate the BEARISH BIAS.
HOPE YOU ENJOYED THIS OUT LOOK, SHARE YOURS BELOW🛑
lets see how it goes.
IF THIS IDEA ASSISTS IN ANY OR IF YOU LIKE THIS ONE
SMASH THAT LIKE BUTTON & LEAVE A COMMENT.
ALWAYS APPRECIATED
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* Kindly follow your entry rules on entries & stops. |* Some of The idea's may be predictive yet are not financial advice or signals. | *Trading plans can change at anytime reactive to the market. | * Many stars must align with the plan before executing the trade, kindly follow your rules & RISK MANAGEMENT.
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| * ENTRY & SL -KINDLY FOLLOW YOUR RULES | * RISK-MANAGEMENT | *PERIOD - I TAKE MY TRADES ON A INTRA DAY SESSIONS BASIS THIS IS NOT FINACIAL ADVICE TO EXCECUTE ❤
LOVELY TRADING WEEK TO YOU!
AUDUSD ( M6A1! Futures ) Weekly Outlook..... BEARISHI was surprised by the strength of the USD last week, and it lead to a flawed view of the AUD market. The market was weaker than expected, and has potentially turned bearish.
Let the market unfold on Monday, and wait for clarity.
Leave a comment and I will reply directly and promptly! Thank you.
May profits be upon you.
#1 AUDUSD Weekly Analysis 21.01.2024+
1.) weekly candle reject weekly level
2.) holding strong daily/weekly level
3.) daily momentum candle
4.) 4hour bullish orderflow
-could be a pullback trade because we see momentum to the downsite, but still holding strong support zone-
waiting for a small pullback then long
AUDUSD H1 / BULLISH CHANNEL GOING AFTER FVG / LONG ENTRY ✅💲Hello Traders!
This is my idea related to AUDUSD H1. I see a very nice bullish structure, and I expect a rise until the first FVG as a first target. It represents a good opportunity to execute a long trade.
Traders, if you liked my idea or if you have a different vision related to this trade, write in the comments. I will be glad to see your perspective.
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AUD/USD BUY
AUDUSD has reached the horizontal support area on the daily timeframe chart.
📈 Expectations:
Anticipate the pair to re-test key support levels, as highlighted in the attached chart.
📊 Trading Strategy:
This trade is based on a combination of technical analysis and candlestick patterns. It's a long-term position, so ensure sufficient margin to manage market fluctuations. Implement proper risk management in line with your account size.
🚦 Trading Rules:
1️⃣ Rule 1: If the trade does NOT surpass our entry-level (🟢 GREEN LINE ON THE CHART), Do not enter the trade.
2️⃣ Rule 2: When the market hits Target 1, consider closing some positions or move your STOP LOSS to ENTRY price for safe trading.
3️⃣ Rule 3: After reaching Target 1, avoid placing new trades based on the same signal/alert.
4️⃣ Rule 4: If the market consolidates for more than 2 days, close the trade and patiently wait for the next favorable trading opportunity.
AUDUSD: The dollar is on track for another weekly gain amid econThe dollar has trended higher for the second consecutive week, supported by a strong domestic economy and the central bank's cautious stance on interest rate cuts. The dollar index, which measures the currency against a basket of six major rivals, rose 0.9% this week to 103.4. The dollar has appreciated about 5% against the yen this year, and the exchange rate currently stands at 148.12 yen.
Risk sentiment-sensitive Australian and New Zealand dollars rose 1.7% and 2%, respectively, and are poised for their biggest weekly gains since November and June. ,beginning%. The probability that the US will cut interest rates in March has decreased, with market odds falling to 57% from 75% the previous week. The change in expectations follows strong U.S. jobs data, with jobless claims at their lowest level in about a year and a half, putting pressure on the market to cut back. Interest fee. The two-year Treasury yield, which reflects expectations for short-term interest rates, rose 22 basis points to 4.35%.
AUDUSDOn the monthly chart we have a bearish long term outlook. The price completed a correction at 0.90-1. Thereafter we are in a bearish continuation on the monthly chart.
On the weekly charts, we are nearing the end of a bullish correction that may reverse or continue slightly higher. Looking closely, we also seem to be in a consolidation awaiting a proper breakout, our bias presently is a bearish set up though we do not have confirmation.
Presently, on the daily charts, we are waiting for a clear direction, either a break to the upside targeting liquidity at 0.692 or higher targeting the unmitigated supply at 0.7. Alternatively, we could have a break to the downside targeting the liquidity at 0.63 or fresh demand at 0.626.
AUD/USD Bull on the horizon...In terms of trading analysis, I am a strong advocate for taking a long-term approach and striving to gain the best possible insight into where the market may be heading in the coming quarters (and in some cases even further ahead) .
Identifying the overall direction of the market is a critical factor not just in positioning oneself for high-percentage gains but also in increasing profits while reducing trade frequency.
I have already shared my EUR/USD outlook video, but I would also like to share my ideas here regarding both the GBP/USD and AUD/USD pairs.
While my main focus is typically on the EUR/USD, I do occasionally explore other pairs if there are promising opportunities.
The GBP/USD setup is a large falling wedge which typically calls for a move to the upside. Coupled with a up trending MACD which further gives this further strength of a possible bullish move.
The AUD/USD setup is a large falling Descending triangle which typically calls for a move to the upside. Coupled with a up trending MACD which gives this further strength of a possible bullish move.
Projected target on the GBP/USD is 1.4000.
Projected target on the AUD/USD is 0.7700 (possibly extended to 0.8000..
AUDUSD I Trade update I Potential long from bottom of channelWelcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
** AUDUSD Analysis - Listen to video!
We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met.
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AUDUSD: Asian foreign exchange dropped, USD recovered waiting foMost Asian currencies fell on Tuesday, while the dollar rose as traders largely remained risk-averse ahead of further signals on when the Federal Reserve may begin cutting interest rates.
The dollar index and dollar index futures rose 0.5% and 0.3%, respectively, during the Asian session on Tuesday. The dollar index is also trading at a small premium to futures, suggesting short-term demand for the greenback is growing.
Traders are now awaiting further signals on the Fed and the US economy, with Fed Governor Christopher Waller due to speak later on Tuesday.
On Wednesday, US retail sales and industrial production figures are expected to provide more clues on the world's largest economy, with any signs of cooling allowing for more bets on growth. cut interest rates soon.
However, the market appears to have moderated bets that the Fed will begin cutting interest rates as soon as March 2024, according to Fed policy tracker CME
AUDUSD I Pullback, continuation, and long from supportWelcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
** AUDUSD Analysis - Listen to video!
We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met.
Please support this idea with a LIKE and COMMENT if you find it useful and Click "Follow" on our profile if you'd like these trade ideas delivered straight to your email in the future.
Thanks for your continued support!
AUDUSD: Asian foreign exchange markets fall, USD rises ahead of The Australian dollar was among the few exceptions on the day, rising 0.3% as data showed CPI inflation eased in November, but remained well above the Reserve Bank's 3% target of 2%. annual. Core inflation also remains high amid high food and service prices.
The dollar index and dollar index futures were mildly mixed during the Asian session on Wednesday, after seeing a sharp increase in overnight trading.
The main focus remains on the upcoming US CPI data is expected to show a slight increase in inflation in December. But difficult inflation, along with recent signs of strength in the labor market, gives the Fed more room to keep interest rates higher for longer periods of time.
While the central bank is expected to cut interest rates this year, the market is increasingly skeptical about whether a rate cut will come as soon as March 2024.
Fed officials also resisted betting on an early rate cut, as inflation is expected to remain well above the Fed's 2% annual target in the near term.
AUDUSD still higher from recent support level {08/jan/2024}Educational Analysis says AUDUSD may move in this range for some time according to my technical.
Broker - Pepperstone
This is not an entry signal. I have no concerns with your profit and loss from this analysis.
Why this range?
Because AudUsd has already been in an Uptrend since last Month, And basically will go higher from the demand level.
Although it is in an uptrend, the market may come down to collect sell-side liquidity and fill fair value gaps. Then shoots up to the new high.
Let's see what this pair brings to the table in the future for us.
Please check the Comment section on how it turned out for this trade.
I HAVE NO CONCERNS WITH YOUR PROFIT OR LOSS,
Happy Trading, Fx Dollars.
Divergent Inflation Paths: AUDUSD Set for Bearish MovementAnalysis for AUDUSD: Bearish Outlook
1. U.S. Inflation Trends:
- Recent Data: The U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) showed an increase of 3.4% year-over-year in December, the highest in three months. This rise was more than expected, indicating a continued inflationary pressure.
- Core Inflation: Core inflation, which excludes volatile items like food and energy, remains firm. Notable increases were seen in used cars, apparel, housing, and car insurance costs.
- Federal Reserve's Challenge: The Fed faces a difficult path in achieving its 2% inflation target. The recent data suggests that the decline in goods and energy prices is slowing, while inflation in housing and services remains high.
2. Impact on AUDUSD:
- Rising U.S. Inflation: Higher inflation typically leads to expectations of tighter monetary policy from the Fed. This could result in a stronger USD as interest rates may rise to combat inflation.
- Market Response: The release of the inflation data led to a fall in the S&P 500 and fluctuations in Treasuries, reflecting market uncertainty.
3. Comparison with Australian Economy:
- Australian Inflation: The Australian economy is reportedly experiencing a decrease in inflation, moving towards stabilization. This contrasts with the U.S. situation, where inflation remains a concern.
- Economic Stability: Greater stability in the Australian economy, compared to the ongoing inflationary challenges in the U.S., might typically favor the AUD. However, the current global economic environment appears to favor the USD.
4. Global and Political Factors:
- Global Risks: Rising shipping costs and potential escalations in the Middle East could impact global inflation trends, potentially affecting currency markets.
- U.S. Political Climate: Inflation continues to be a significant issue in U.S. politics, affecting public opinion and potentially influencing economic policy.
5. Technical Analysis:
- Technical Indicators: Traders should look for technical confirmation of a bearish trend, such as resistance levels, moving averages, and RSI indicators.
- Price Action: Watch for bearish patterns or breaks below key support levels in AUDUSD.
Conclusion:
Given the higher inflation rates in the U.S. and the expectation of continued Fed intervention to control inflation, there is a potential for a stronger USD against the AUD. However, traders should continuously monitor evolving economic data and geopolitical events that could influence market sentiment and currency values. Technical analysis should be used to validate any trading decisions in the context of current market conditions.
AUDUSD 4 hour timeframeAUDUSD still inside a strong channel up, and failed to break fibonacci support.
we can follow bullish movement, as long as this channel up not broken.
Bullish target at 0.69289 with maximum target at 0.70013
Best stoploss for this setup below previous Higher low around 0.66312
Good luck
AUD/USD Strives for Heights Amid Dollar's ResurgenceAUD/USD Strives for Heights Amid Dollar's Resurgence: Navigating Market Dynamics
The AUD/USD experienced a notable surge, reaching a fresh five-month high at 0.6870 before encountering a shift in momentum. During the American session, the pair saw a reversal, dipping below 0.6850 as the US Dollar staged a recovery, fueled by an uptick in Treasury yields.
Market Response to US Data:
Despite noteworthy data releases from the US on Thursday, including an unexpected increase in Initial Jobless Claims to 218,000, market participants seemed largely indifferent. The week ending December 23 also witnessed Pending Home Sales holding flat in November, falling short of the anticipated 1% increase. The resilience of the AUD/USD in the face of these figures suggests the pair's sensitivity to broader market dynamics.
Upcoming Events and Data Focus:
As we move into Friday's trading, Australia is void of scheduled data releases, placing the spotlight on the US with the release of the Chicago Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI). However, the real anticipation is directed towards next week's US employment data, featuring crucial indicators such as ADP, JOLTS, jobless claims, and Nonfarm payrolls.
Technical Analysis and Bullish Outlook:
Our analysis maintains a bullish stance, tracking the AUD/USD's price movements. Notably, the pair exhibited resilience with two rebounds on the dynamic trendline within Fibonacci areas. The upcoming Fibonacci zone, ranging between 38.3% and 50%, emerges as a potential trigger for another bullish impulse, following a swing-style pattern.
Conclusion:
The AUD/USD's journey to a five-month high showcases its inherent strength, even amid a resurging US Dollar. The market's reaction to US data and the upcoming focus on employment figures sets the stage for continued volatility. With our bullish outlook guided by technical analysis, the AUD/USD's ability to navigate Fibonacci zones suggests potential opportunities for traders in the evolving market landscape. As the pair readies for the next leg of its journey, investors are poised for strategic moves aligned with the dynamic interplay of global economic forces.
Our preference
Looking for a Long positions with target at 0.6940
AUDUSD Technical Analysis and Trade IdeaThe AUDUSD has encountered a significant resistance level following its recent bullish run. This video offers a concise analysis of the trend, market structure, and price action, exploring a potential trade setup. We emphasize that this content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.