Possible opportunity in Aussie vs USD this week?US dollar
Attention will be paid to key economic indicators that roll out over the course of the week such as the Non-farm Payrolls jobs report, JOLTs job openings, and the ISM Services PMI survey.
Moody's analysis suggests a cooling down of various labor market measures. The uptick in November jobs growth is attributed to the impact of the United Auto Workers strikes in October rather than a substantial resurgence in the labor market.
Aussie Dollar
The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) is anticipated to maintain its interest rate in its upcoming meeting on Wednesday, with a 97% probability for the rate to stay at 4.35%. There is only a 3% chance of a 25bps hike to 4.60%. This expectation follows the RBA's decision to raise the Cash Rate by 25bps in the last November meeting.
A surprise decision by the RBA (or even a change in outlook) could see the Aussie dollar spike like the NZ dollar did last week. Look for weak preliminary job numbers coming from the US for extra confirmation of a bullish Aussie outlook.
Audusdforecast
AUDUSD BUYING ZONE !!!HELLO TRADERS !!!
As we can see this pair is holding weekly support and moving to north and we are looking for buying opportunity for this pair now it have to retrace with DXY move to the downside till the buying zone so we are looking for these design levels so we will trade on this pair with a low risk and higher rewards its just a trade idea share ur thoughts on this pair with us & stay tuned for new entries
AUDUSD - W1 strong support approaching Analyzing the weekly chart of AUDUSD, our outlook anticipates a price decline toward the lower boundary of the channel, which also coincides with the 88.6% Fibonacci retracement level. We expect the Australian dollar (AUD) to establish strong support at the 0.62750 level.
Following this expected support, our projection foresees a robust upward movement toward the 0.66700 level. Our initial stop-loss will be set at 0.61700, positioned just below the previous low recorded in October 2022. This stop-loss level is approximately 1.5% below our anticipated entry point. Importantly, this trade maintains a favorable risk-to-reward ratio of 1:4.
Please remember that trading carries inherent risks, and market conditions can change swiftly. This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. Always exercise prudent risk management and consider various factors when making trading decisions.
AUDUSD: Currency market update: USD decreased slightly, AUD AUDUSD rose 0.28% to 0.6635 following China PMI data. Manufacturing activities had their second consecutive month of decline while non-manufacturing activities bottomed out for the year. With such a situation, the market expects China to announce more economic stimulus measures
AUDUSD - Long from bullish order block ✅Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on AUDUSD.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bullish market structure from 4H timeframe perspective, so I am looking for longs. I want price to make a retracement to fill the imbalance lower and then to reject from bullish order block.
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audusd sell signal. Don't forget about stop-loss.
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P.S. I personally will open entry if the price will show it according to my strategy.
Always make your analysis before a trade
AUDUSD is ready to go shortWe are starting to see increased selling pressure at the level of 0.6565. The most recent high did not provide enough liquidity for the price to push higher again. Therefore, a sell-off is possible to target the level of 0.6435.
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AUDUSD - Expect retracement ✅Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on AUDUSD.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bullish market structure from 4H timeframe perspective, so I am looking for long. I want price to continue the retracement to fill the imbalance lower and then to reject from bullish order block.
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AUSSIE RALLY IS STARTING! [AUDUSD] LONG POSITIONIntroduction:
The AUD/USD currency pair is exhibiting compelling signals hinting at a potential trend reversal, with a particular focus on the recent price action and key technical levels.
Current Status:
As of the close of the New York session, the price has firmly held ground at 0.65100, maintaining its position above crucial support levels. A noteworthy observation on the daily timeframe is the rebound from the 31.8% Fibonacci retracement level, signaling resilience in the bullish sentiment.
Structural Shift:
The narrative evolves further when examining the structure of the market. From early November, there was a notable Break of Structure (BOS), suggesting a shift in market dynamics. However, as of November 16, a Change of Character (CHOC) is evident, signaling a potential reversal in the prevailing trend.
4-Hour Bullish Momentum:
Zooming into the 4-hour timeframe, candlestick patterns reflect a robust bullish trend. Multiple bullish candles with few wicks rejecting the 0.65150 zone, coupled with positive volume, create a compelling case for an imminent breakout. The 0.65150 level, appearing as a psychological barrier, is poised for a potential rupture.
Long Position Opportunity:
Considering the current dynamics, there appears to be a Long Position opportunity on the horizon. A favorable entry scenario is anticipated if the price successfully breaks the 0.65150 zone and undergoes a retest, confirming the newfound support. This setup presents a potential profit target of approximately 80 pips.
Intraday Insights:
During the overlap of the London and New York sessions, the price action adds another layer of intrigue. A Hammer candlestick followed by a Belt candlestick suggests a tussle between sellers and buyers. Despite the sellers' attempt to push the price down, the momentum from buyers appears to be gaining strength, setting the stage for a potential rally.
Conclusion:
In conclusion, the AUD/USD pair is displaying multiple indicators signaling a potential reversal and the initiation of a bullish trend. Traders are advised to closely monitor the 0.65150 zone for a breakout, and consider a Long Position with a retest confirmation. The recent price action, structural shifts, and intraday patterns collectively contribute to a compelling case for a rally in the Aussie.
AUDUSDOn Friday, the US currency faced a negative start, with precious metals and other key currencies gaining strength. This trend is also reflected in this particular currency pair. In the very near future, as it approaches the level of 0.65010, there is an expectation of increased market activity and potential liquidity. Following this, there is a likelihood of a local update in the highs, indicating a shift in the currency pair's value.
AUDUSD Expanding Triangle Pattern BreakoutWe expect further downside on this pair, signalled by the formation of an expanding triangle pattern breakout. We can also see the breakout, close and retest of the price below the key level on lower time frames, further supporting our directional basis. The trend has changed from bullish to bearish.
AUD/USD: The impact of Xi-Biden's San Fran face-offThe AUDUSD and NZDUSD led the rally against the US dollar yesterday and are doing the same again today.
The surprising low inflation number from the US is what caused the rally yesterday. But today we have a new event that could be driving sentiment in these pairs. This event is still underway, so it still to play out completely, and its consequences still to be digested and figured into the market: This event is the meeting of Chinese President Xi Jinping and US President Joe Biden in San Francisco.
The meetings represent a cooling of trade (and otherwise) tensions between the two countries.
What next?
A weak support has been established around 0.64828. I would like to see the pair probe for a close closer to 0.65400 before concluding that there is a definite bullish bias. We will be watching news reports about the mood of the meeting and any outcomes to gain an understanding of the fundamental drivers for the AUD.
AUDUSD - Potential retracement ✅Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on AUDUSD.
Technical analysis: As we can see here price changed the character and now we could see bullish market structure. After taking buy side liquidity I see price to make a retracement to fill the imbalances lower and then may be a rejection from bullish order block.
Fundamental news: Tomorrow will be released Unemployment Rate on AUD. If the result is negative, it will support our idea.
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