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AUDUSD - CURRENT SITUATION AND FUNDA & TECHNICAL BIAS#AUDUSD - Currently the MARKET SENTIMENT for AUD is slightly UP SIDE according to the MARKET SENTIMENT. Even now, if RISK ON for AUDUSD happens in the near future, it can definitely go UP. Therefore, AUDUSD currently has an UPSIDE BIAS. Several RBA HAWKISH COMMENTS have been released. Also USD has become STRONG in short term with FED SENTIMENT. It will most likely be temporary. Therefore, STOCKS and COMMODITIES MARKETS are going down quite a bit. It is heavily influenced by the Australian dollar. And AUSTRALIA INFLATION DATA was very POSITIVE. Due to this, the RBA made a RATE HIKE. - It is definitely possible to break the AUDUSD STRUCTURE and go up to the higher RESISTANCE LEVEL. Accordingly, AUDUSD can go up to the 0.7127 level. After that, if the MARKET RISK OFF, AUDUSD can SELL to the AUDUSD 0.6642 LEVEL if the MARKET SENTIMENT changes and STOCKS and COMMODITIES start going down. If the dollar becomes strong, you can sell until the level of 0.6552. For that, the MARKET STRUCTURE should be BREAK. And RISK should be OFF.
by benny_marshall
AUDUSD: RBA to hold rates steady for an extended period!Greetings to all traders! I have some valuable trading-related information that I would like to share with you. Please give it a read and if you find it helpful, kindly leave a positive feedback and consider following me ❤️ While Australia's activity data has shown a slight decline, the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) is still focused on tightening monetary policies due to persistent inflation patterns. Additionally, we believe that China's reopening will positively impact the Australian dollar's performance. We anticipate that the Australian economy will avoid a recession this year, and the RBA will maintain interest rates at 3.85% for an extended period. As a result, we expect the Australian dollar to outperform the US dollar in 2023 and 2024. Note: Note: Full TP, SL for winning the market and safe trading!
Long
by Sphyn-Trader
1
AUDUSD BuyAccording to the latest inflation report, Australia’s CPI has fallen from the record high of 8.4% in December to 6.8%, indicating that the inflation rate is quickly subsiding. However, the recent oil production cuts implemented by the OPEC+ cartel threaten the recent gains made by most countries fighting inflation. RBA Governor Phillip Lowe said that the central bank recognises that the impact of its rate hike would take time to be felt across the economy. Therefore, the RBA was still monitoring the impact of its rate hikes on the economy before plotting its next course of action. The decision not to hike interest rates was taken to give the RBA time to continue assessing the impact of previous rate hikes on Australia’s economy. The reserve bank governor said the opportunity to achieve a soft landing for the economy was narrow. AUDUSD h1 price is in an uptrend. After a short correction yesterday, the pair is now showing signs of continuing its upward move. Recommended buy to current price 0.6755, SL: 0.6720, TP: 0.6800
Long
by VTmarkets
AUDUSD BuyThe Australian dollar has initially fallen during the trading session on Monday, but then turned around to go straight up in the air. By doing so, the market has slammed into the 50-Day EMA, causing the market to struggle with a major technical level. Keep in mind, the area between the 0.67 and 0.68 level has been extraordinarily important in the recent past, and a break above the 0.68 level would be a major victory for the Aussie dollar. If we do break above the 0.68 level, the first target will be the 200-Day EMA, which sits just above there. Alternatively, if we turn around right here, we could see the market down to the 0.67 level again. Anything below the candlestick for this massive day on Monday would obviously be very negative, and I think at that point you would have to start selling hand over fist. There is an argument to be made for some type of bearish flag trying to be formed, but you can also still make an argument for an ascending triangle. Because of this, I suspect that retail traders will continue to be somewhat confused, and therefore we will continue to see a lot of conflicting opinions. AUDUSD h1 main trend is still bullish. However, now traders need to wait for another deep correction of this pair to have the best buying opportunity. Recommended to wait to buy to 0.6750, SL: 0.6710, TP: 0.6820
Long
by VTmarkets
Pending areasAfter the accumulation phase breakout, an unattended order block was created and price aggressively drove up in an inverse manner. Price was rejected by the neckline, made a pullback to the fair value gap and aggressively corrected the inefficiency. Price then decreased and got rejected several times before increasing all the way up to the supply zone. The supply zone was validated, witnessed a drop which also got a rejection, price is failing to activate the pending regions. We now have an indecisive correction move accompanied by three current bullish candlesticks. With the correlation idea, this pair is also more likely to drop to the order block or even lower to the demand zone. However, we ought to keep in mind that the market could go bullish and create a new high…
by tokelohomi
AUDUSD, to where after the channel ?Now we see that the AUDUSD moving in a channel, respecting it's borders, but we still do not know yet the real direction will be after this correction movement reaching the 23.6 % Fibo retracement. If we need to continue with the elliott wave count, the correction wave (A) diagonal should break above wave (4), that condition did not happened yet, but we are waiting any break move to can draw the next lines finding the next movement direction. according to the last CFTC date , the COT both long and short positions was decreased showing a less volatility, and that we are see now on the chart. in the next move, in case that the market moving in an up trend, we could see the pair AUDUSD reaching the levels of (0.685). while on the other side, we could reach (0.635). be ready for the next move that will identify the next market direction in the medium term.
by JR-HUB
AUDUSD - Bearish price action ✅Hello traders! ‼️ This is my perspective on AUDUSD. Technical analysis: Here we are in a bearish market structure from daily perspective, so I am looking for shorts. I expect bearish continuation as price rejected from bearish order block. My target is sell stop liquidity and the imbalance lower. Fundamental analysis: Tomorrow we have news events on USD, will be released final GDP for first quarter of 2023. The forecast for GDP is to remain the same as per last quarter, which means we would not have such big moves in market, however we should look for the results in order to validate our analysis. Like, comment and subscribe to be in touch with my content!
Short
by Snick3rSD
AUDUSD - CURRENT SITUATION AND FUNDA & TECHNICAL BIAS#AUDUSD - Currently the MARKET SENTIMENT for AUD is slightly UP SIDE according to the MARKET SENTIMENT. Even now, if RISK ON for AUDUSD happens in the near future, it can definitely go UP. Therefore, AUDUSD currently has an UPSIDE BIAS. Several RBA HAWKISH COMMENTS have been released. Also USD has become STRONG in short term with FED SENTIMENT. It will most likely be temporary. Therefore, STOCKS and COMMODITIES MARKETS are going down quite a bit. It is heavily influenced by the Australian dollar. And AUSTRALIA INFLATION DATA was very POSITIVE. Due to this, the RBA made a RATE HIKE. - It is definitely possible to break the AUDUSD STRUCTURE and go up to the higher RESISTANCE LEVEL. Accordingly, AUDUSD can go up to the 0.7127 level. After that, if the MARKET RISK OFF, AUDUSD can SELL to the AUDUSD 0.6642 LEVEL if the MARKET SENTIMENT changes and STOCKS and COMMODITIES start going down. If the dollar becomes strong, you can sell until the level of 0.6552. For that, the MARKET STRUCTURE should be BREAK. And RISK should be OFF.
by benny_marshall
AUD could retest the March lows if the Fed are not that dovishAUD/USD is hinting at a potential swing high on the daily chart. And if my hunch that the Fed won’t be as dovish as market pricing currently suggest, it leaves room for USD strength and a lower Aussie. AUD/USD seems to have completed a 3-wave retracement which perfectly respected a 38.2% Fibonacci ratio. Our bias remains bearish beneath the cycle highs, and we anticipate a move back to the March lows should the Fed stick to their hawkish guns, given the RBA delivered a dovish hike and dovish minutes this month.
Short
by CityIndex
4
AUDUSD BuyThe Australian dollar is slightly stronger this morning when valued against the Greenback. The Australian dollar jumped to an overnight high of 0.6758, after the Federal Reserve decision. It is testing the critical resistance zone around 0.6760, amid the broad-based Dollar’s weakness. Yesterday, investors looked past the Reserve Bank of Australia’s (RBA) hint of a rate pause as the prevalent selling bias around the US Dollar (USD) turns out to be a key factor that assists the AUD/USD pair to regain positive traction. It is worth recalling that the minutes of the RBA meeting held on March 7 revealed a step down in hawkishness as policymakers only considered a 25 bps hike and agreed to revisit the case for a pause at the April meeting amid the uncertain economic outlook. Looking ahead today and we will see the release of the Conference Board Leading Index a combination of 7 economic indicators related to money supply, building approvals, profits, exports, inventories, and interest rate spreads. Finally, on Friday we will see the release of the Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI), a survey of about 400 purchasing managers, which asks respondents to rate the relative level of business conditions including employment, production, new orders, prices, supplier deliveries, and inventories. AUDUSD h1 price is sideways in the 0.6670-0.6730 zone. Today it is possible that the pair will move up to the 0.6730 resistance area once again. Recommended buy to current price 0.6692, SL: 0.6660, TP: 0.6730
Long
by VTmarkets