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Audusdidea

AUDUSD - Bearish Trendline ChannelMarket Overview: At the 4-hour time frame, AUDUSD exhibits a robust Bearish Trendline Channel, suggesting a prevailing downward momentum. Currently, the currency pair finds itself positioned at a crucial residential level, adding weight to the potential bearish outlook. Entry and Stop Loss: Based on the analysis, a strategic entry point is identified at 0.65200, aligning with the broader downtrend and providing an optimal risk-reward ratio. To mitigate potential losses, a recommended stop loss is set at 0.65600, strategically placed to protect against adverse market movements. Profit Targets: Regarding profit-taking levels, two targets are outlined: TP-1 at 0.64850 and TP-2 at 0.64480. These levels are chosen based on technical support and resistance areas, aiming to capture potential downward price movements within the established trend. Conclusion: In conclusion, the technical analysis suggests a bearish bias for AUDUSD, with a calculated entry point, stop loss, and profit-taking levels in line with the prevailing market dynamics. Traders are advised to execute with caution and adhere to risk management principles. Disclaimer: This analysis is based on current market conditions and may be subject to change as new information becomes available.
Short
by trading_jupiter
AUDUSD: Dollar steady, CPI data awaitedThe dollar index and dollar index futures steadied above the 102 level on Monday, after recording sharp declines last week. The greenback was beset by comments from Fed Chairman Jerome Powell that the central bank was close to having enough evidence of easing inflation. Powell also made clear that he does not expect inflation to reach 2% to begin considering interest rate cuts. Adding to this pressure, data on Friday showed nonfarm payrolls rose more than expected in February. But January's figures were revised significantly lower, while other figures showed unemployment rising, suggesting the labor market has cooled somewhat. Powell's comments kept markets more focused on Tuesday's CPI data, especially as several other Fed officials also signaled that any rate cuts by the Fed would depend largely on the path of inflationary
Long
by Chart_MasterPro
2
AUDUSD H1 / Looking For a Short Entry in SUPPLY AREA 📉Hello Traders! This is my idea related to AUDUSD H1/ I will set a pending order in the supply area, where I expect the price to go bearish. I will look for a short trade (if I will see the confirmation) in the supply area as this is my area of interest. Traders, if you liked my idea or if you have a different vision related to this trade, write in the comments. I will be glad to see your perspective. ____________________________________ Follow, like, and comment to see my content: www.tradingview.com
by GoodTradeST
AUDUSD: USD reached its highest level in 8 weeksThe US Dollar Index rose to 104.18, its highest level since December 2023. The US jobs report released on Friday (February 2) far exceeded market expectations. This information reinforced Fed Chairman Jerome Powell's statement at the end of the agency's policy meeting last week that an interest rate cut in March 2024 was unlikely. Expert Chris Weston, head of research at Pepperstone, said that the optimistic US jobs report basically showed that an interest rate cut in March 2024 is very fragile. According to CME's FedWatch tool, traders are assessing just a 20% chance that the Fed could begin easing interest rates in March 2024, compared with nearly 50% a week ago. The possibility of cutting interest rates in May 2024 is also possible. Currency expert Carol Kong at Commonwealth Bank of Australia (CBA) said that the USD is likely to stabilize at its recent increase. US Treasury bond yields also skyrocketed due to expectations that interest rates will increase in the long term. Benchmark 10-year yield increased 5 basis points to 4.0829%
Long
by Chart_MasterPro
AUDUSD SELL | Day Trading AnalysisHello Traders, here is the full analysis. Watch strong action at the current levels for SELL . GOOD LUCK! Great SELL opportunity AUDUSD I still did my best and this is the most likely count for me at the moment. Support the idea with like and follow my profile TO SEE MORE. Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 🤝 Patience is the If You Have Any Question, Feel Free To Ask 🤗 Just follow chart with idea and analysis and when you are ready come in THE GROVE | VIP GROUP, earn more and safe, wait for the signal at the right moment and make money with us💰
Short
by TheGrove
1
AUDUSD: The foreign exchange market is quiet, the USD is stable Most Asian currencies remained weak on Wednesday, with the dollar hovering near a six-week high as markets awaited further signals on when the Federal Reserve would start cutting interest rates. The Australian dollar weakened by 0.1%, although January's PMI data showed improvement in manufacturing and services activity. The Australian dollar, which is often used as an indicator of overall Asian markets' risk appetite, is also trading near seven-week lows. The US dollar has stabilized near six-week highs as the economy continues to grow. Data, Fed meeting underway The dollar index and dollar index futures each fell 0.1% in Asian trade, after rising earlier to their highest since early December. The dollar got off to a strong start to 2024, with solid inflation and jobs data showing traders' expectations that a Fed rate cut was imminent have largely dissipated. That perception was further exacerbated by a series of hawkish comments from Fed officials last week. The focus now shifts to fourth-quarter gross domestic product (GDP) data scheduled for release on Thursday and data on the PCE price index, the Fed's preferred inflation measure, scheduled for release on Friday. Signs of a recovery in economic growth and inflation would give the Fed more incentive to keep interest rates high for longer periods of time. The reading also came days before the Fed's first meeting in 2024, when the Fed is widely expected to keep interest rates at a 23-year high. However, the Fed is still expected to start cutting rates before the end of the year, and traders will be watching for any such signals from the meeting.
Long
by Chart_MasterPro
AUDUSD: The dollar is on track for another weekly gain amid econThe dollar has trended higher for the second consecutive week, supported by a strong domestic economy and the central bank's cautious stance on interest rate cuts. The dollar index, which measures the currency against a basket of six major rivals, rose 0.9% this week to 103.4. The dollar has appreciated about 5% against the yen this year, and the exchange rate currently stands at 148.12 yen. Risk sentiment-sensitive Australian and New Zealand dollars rose 1.7% and 2%, respectively, and are poised for their biggest weekly gains since November and June. ,beginning%. The probability that the US will cut interest rates in March has decreased, with market odds falling to 57% from 75% the previous week. The change in expectations follows strong U.S. jobs data, with jobless claims at their lowest level in about a year and a half, putting pressure on the market to cut back. Interest fee. The two-year Treasury yield, which reflects expectations for short-term interest rates, rose 22 basis points to 4.35%.
Short
by Chart_MasterPro
AUDUSD still higher from recent support level {08/jan/2024}Educational Analysis says AUDUSD may move in this range for some time according to my technical. Broker - Pepperstone This is not an entry signal. I have no concerns with your profit and loss from this analysis. Why this range? Because AudUsd has already been in an Uptrend since last Month, And basically will go higher from the demand level. Although it is in an uptrend, the market may come down to collect sell-side liquidity and fill fair value gaps. Then shoots up to the new high. Let's see what this pair brings to the table in the future for us. Please check the Comment section on how it turned out for this trade. I HAVE NO CONCERNS WITH YOUR PROFIT OR LOSS, Happy Trading, Fx Dollars.
Long
by VishalBudhrani
Divergent Inflation Paths: AUDUSD Set for Bearish MovementAnalysis for AUDUSD: Bearish Outlook 1. U.S. Inflation Trends: - Recent Data: The U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) showed an increase of 3.4% year-over-year in December, the highest in three months. This rise was more than expected, indicating a continued inflationary pressure. - Core Inflation: Core inflation, which excludes volatile items like food and energy, remains firm. Notable increases were seen in used cars, apparel, housing, and car insurance costs. - Federal Reserve's Challenge: The Fed faces a difficult path in achieving its 2% inflation target. The recent data suggests that the decline in goods and energy prices is slowing, while inflation in housing and services remains high. 2. Impact on AUDUSD: - Rising U.S. Inflation: Higher inflation typically leads to expectations of tighter monetary policy from the Fed. This could result in a stronger USD as interest rates may rise to combat inflation. - Market Response: The release of the inflation data led to a fall in the S&P 500 and fluctuations in Treasuries, reflecting market uncertainty. 3. Comparison with Australian Economy: - Australian Inflation: The Australian economy is reportedly experiencing a decrease in inflation, moving towards stabilization. This contrasts with the U.S. situation, where inflation remains a concern. - Economic Stability: Greater stability in the Australian economy, compared to the ongoing inflationary challenges in the U.S., might typically favor the AUD. However, the current global economic environment appears to favor the USD. 4. Global and Political Factors: - Global Risks: Rising shipping costs and potential escalations in the Middle East could impact global inflation trends, potentially affecting currency markets. - U.S. Political Climate: Inflation continues to be a significant issue in U.S. politics, affecting public opinion and potentially influencing economic policy. 5. Technical Analysis: - Technical Indicators: Traders should look for technical confirmation of a bearish trend, such as resistance levels, moving averages, and RSI indicators. - Price Action: Watch for bearish patterns or breaks below key support levels in AUDUSD. Conclusion: Given the higher inflation rates in the U.S. and the expectation of continued Fed intervention to control inflation, there is a potential for a stronger USD against the AUD. However, traders should continuously monitor evolving economic data and geopolitical events that could influence market sentiment and currency values. Technical analysis should be used to validate any trading decisions in the context of current market conditions.
Short
by Wiiso
3
AUDUSD: The USD soared amid higher US bond yields, pending key dThe US dollar posted strong gains on the first trading day of the year, supported by rising US yields. Market participants are currently awaiting the release of upcoming US labor market data and European inflation data to determine the direction of central bank policy. The dollar index, a measure that compares the U.S. currency with six other major currencies, rose 0.7%, its biggest single-day gain since October. This follows his 2% decline in 2023, ending his second consecutive year of increases. Last year's decline was due to market expectations that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) would cut interest rates significantly given the strong economy. The dollar's rise was supported by a rise in U.S. Treasury yields, with the benchmark 10-year Treasury note rising 7.1 basis points to 3.931%, its biggest one-day gain in more than three weeks. The dollar faced downward pressure last month after the U.S. Federal Reserve signaled a potential rate cut in 2024, but Brown Brothers Harriman & Co.'s head of global currency strategy said: "The market is starting to realize that," Win Hsin said. "The US economy remains strong," he said, suggesting a "soft landing" could result in two or three precautionary cuts by 2024. However, the market is currently pricing in six rate cuts this year. As a result, the dollar could remain "under pressure and vulnerable" until those expectations materialize, Singh said.
Long
by Chart_MasterPro