AUDUSD to turnaround from current support?AUDUSD - 24h expiry
We are trading at oversold extremes.
Posted a Bullish Hammer Bottom on the 1 hour chart.
This is positive for short term sentiment and we look to set longs at good risk/reward levels for a further correction higher.
Although the anticipated move higher is corrective, it does offer ample risk/reward today.
Further upside is expected although we prefer to buy into dips close to the 0.6650 level.
We look to Buy at 0.6650 (stop at 0.6620)
Our profit targets will be 0.6725 and 0.6750
Resistance: 0.6725 / 0.6810 / 0.6890
Support: 0.6620 / 0.6460 / 0.6380
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Audusdlong
Who's Right? Hawk Economists vs. Dove Traders - RBA meets TodayYesterday, the AUD/USD experienced its third consecutive day of growth. However, the upward trend is expected to face obstacles during Tuesday's trading session due to the impending Reserve Bank of Australia meeting.
Despite some analysts adopting a more hawkish stance and predicting a rate hike as the most likely outcome of today's meeting, money market traders have reduced their forecast to a one-in-three chance of an increase, down from 40 percent on Friday afternoon.
Although inflation numbers in Australia have slowed down, the Consumer Price Index remains above the target range, while the key interest rate stands at 4.1 percent, below the CPI. Furthermore, recent remarks from RBA Governor Lowe have maintained a hawkish tone, leaving the possibility of further rate hikes open, even after two unexpected increases.
As US markets remain closed in observance of Independence Day, the AUD/USD has been consolidating at 0.66700 prior to the RBA decision. With conflicting views from economists and traders, the meeting's outcome has the potential to inject some volatility into the pair.
In terms of potential resistance levels, the initial zone to watch out for is around 0.66900, followed by 0.67200. However, it is important to note that considering the RSI's decline below the 60.00 level, the upward momentum has weakened. Nevertheless, the overall inclination remains biased towards the upside. Therefore, exploring higher levels may not be immediately feasible.
AUD/USD could rebound if the RBA deliver a hawkish hikeAUD/USD retracted around -4.4% from the June high, and it appears we may have seen a swing low around 66c. The pullback found support around a volume cluster from the previous rally and formed a 3-day bullish reversal pattern (morning star reversal). Soft US inflation helped weigh on the US dollar, and an RBA hike tomorrow could send the Aussie higher.
Money markets are pricing in ~23% chance of a hike, whilst economists are split 50/50 between a hike or a pause.
I suspect money markets have priced it incorrectly once again, and the RBA are more likely to hike by another 25bp tomorrow. 4.1% is still low relative to the RBA’s peers, the BOE hiked by 50bp and the ECB, SNB and BOC all hiked by 25bp since the RBA’s last meeting. And the Fed continue to suggest two more hikes are coming. Sure, Australian inflation was lower than estimate, but remains nearly twice the upper range of the RBA’s target. And as this may be Lowe’s last meeting, he may feel obliged to back another rate hike tomorrow.
AUD/USD has pulled back during Asian trade and is trying to build a base above Thursday's high. An initial move towards the 0.6720 high seems feasible, with a 25bp hike potentially seeing the Aussie extend it rally towards the 86c resistance zone.
LONG - AUDUSD (D) (28 May 2023)Position Trade/s - AUDUSD
In the Monthly Chart,
- Price is reaching again to Monthly Demand
- However, the zone is no longer fresh, hence the price may penetrate deeper to find more BUY orders
For Trade/s,
- Looking for price to reach 2 Demand zones embedded deep within the Monthly Demand
Alerts were placed if price reached near the Daily Demand zone/s
AUDUSD - Short from bearish order block ✅Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on AUDUSD.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bearish market structure from 4H timeframe perspective, so I am looking for shorts. My point of interest is if price makes a retracement to fill the imbalance higher and then rejects from bearish order block.
Fundamental analysis: Tomorrow we have news on USD, will be released quarterly GDP. Pay attention to the results in order to validate the analysis.
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20 Reasons for Buy AUDUSD🔆MULTI-TIME FRAME TOP-DOWN ANALYSIS OVERVIEW☀️
1:✨Eagle eye: A completely bearish trend is in place. The last low was created in 2001, followed by a CHOCH (Correction of Higher Chance) that occurred in 2011. The market then entered a correction phase and formed a valid lowest level in 2020 with a big hammer and heavy volume. This indicates that the market may have formed a higher low and could potentially continue its bullish journey. Currently, the market is making an inside hammer move and coming down for a liquidity grab. Price has reached an extreme level, and if we closely observe, we'll notice that each candle has lower-side wicks.
2:📆Monthly: Despite the overall bearish trend, there is a valid low formed, and at that low point, there is a significant volume which indicates a strong buying area. If we look at the closing of November 2022, there is a big doji candle followed by big bullish momentum moves. The current month's candle also shows a similar character.
3:📅Weekly: A triangle pattern is forming, and it has almost narrowed down according to the timeframe or the triangle's nature. If we check the ratio of bullish and bearish candles from the last low to the current candle, we can clearly observe powerful bulls in control. The internal structure forms a bearish CHOCH, but it immediately creates a fakeout, turning the bearish CHOCH into a bullish pattern. Take this into consideration.
4:🕛Daily: A very strong CHOCH has already occurred, and now the price is making a corrective move after the CHOCH. At an interesting point, we can observe significant volume before the point, indicating profit booking. Following this, there is a classic doji candle and the current big bullish momentum candle that signals a long position entry.
😇7 Dimension analysis
🟢 analysis time frame: Daily
5: 1 Price Structure: Bullish CHOCH
6: 2 Pattern Candle Chart: Doji and momentum candle
7: 3 Volume: Execution volume before 3 days
8: 4 Momentum UNCONVENTIONAL RSI: Shifting from a bearish range to sideways, indicating strength on the upside. RSI holding above the 40 level signifies strength in the upside move.
9: 5 Volatility measure Bollinger bands: After a volatile move, the price is currently in a calm mood. The last squeeze breakout formed a headfake formation where the price initially went down and then reversed, leading to opposite price moves.
10: 6 Strength ADX: Sideways movement
11: 7 Sentiment ROC: AUD is stronger than USD on the scoreboard.
✔️ Entry Time Frame: Daily
12: Entry TF Structure: Bullish CHOCH
13: Entry Move: Impulsive
14: Support Resistance Base: Support at Fibonacci Validation Zone (FVG) and order block (OB)
15: FIB: Trigger event activated
☑️ Final comments: Buy right now.
16: 💡Decision: Long
17: 🚀Entry: 0.6700
18: ✋Stop Loss: 0.6630
19: 🎯Take Profit: 0.6970
20: 😊Risk to Reward Ratio: 1:3
🕛 Expected Duration: 15 days
AUDUSD - Bearish continuation ✅Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on AUDUSD.
Technical analysis: As I expected in my previous analysis price rejected from daily bearish order block and changed the character on 1H timeframe. Now I will look to add shorts position, so want price to continue the retracement to fill the imbalance higher and then rejects from there.
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AUDUSD Daily Analysis AUDUSD has been ranging since early this year, while I took some trades within the range, I was anticipating a breakout from the support for a short trade. Market broke out as anticipated but reversed back inside the due to fundamental news that pushed the price even above the resistance level.
The confusing part is that price is back into the range. While I'm presently expecting a further drop in price, I know price could possibly continue the uptrend as this could just be liquidity grab
What's your thought on this? Like and comment below
AUDUSD BUY SETUPHere are my reasons for the bullish outlook on AUDUSD
Weekly:
-we broke structure to the upside, clearing through the consolidation zone between 0.66000 and 0.68000
-the weekly candles (last three candles) indicate a strong bullish momentum currently dominating the market
-current weekly highs of interest are at 0.68997 and 0.69207
H4:
-we have been on a strong bullish assault on this time frame
-current market phase has been the retracement before we can stage a continuation to the upside
-the pair has simply slipped to the downside to, most potentialy, collect more institutional orders off the 0.68000 level before we dump price to the upside
-the weekly levels at 0.68997 and 0.69207 form strong attractions of liquidity for the pair
Midrange:
-we have retraced to the area between the 61.8% and 78.6% fib levels
-we have dipped down into a recent order zone as signaled by multiple H4 wicks to the downside where we picked up orders as we soared to current market highs around 0.69000
-H4 levels at 0.67900 and 0.64950 as well as the key daily level at 0.67850 form strong levels where price is to find support
-the pair has offered a strong wick candle on M15 in favor of the upside. This is sufficient signal for an entry.
Disclaimer: this is just my opinion on the movement of the pair and should not be construed as financial advice. Kindly do your own analysis and make your own conclusions on the same.
AUDUSD - Expect bearish price action ✅Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on AUDUSD.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bearish market structure from daily perspective, so I am looking for short position. I see price to reject from bearish order block + institutional big figure 0.69000 for a new expansion lower.
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AUDUSD: Short Term rally continuation?Technically speaking, the FX:AUDUSD pair has triggered an interesting rally during the past week, and this swing could still continue with the development of a 1-2-3-4-5 impulsive structure in near term.
If we look at intraday chart, on 1H time frame, the pair should trigger some pullback (or corrective structure) which could be used to take long position.
Trade with care!
Like 🚀 if my analysis is useful.
Cheers!
AUDusd continues to make higher highsThis pair is very beautifully creating its higher highs. I was initially hesitant to go long as price was up trending however there were some bearish signals such as lack of strong bullish candles. This bullish push was made with weaker candles beneath this resistance. After a retracement, and a re-test of support, the trendline, or daily/weekly support.
AUDUSD Bullish indecisionAUDUSD has been uptrending for a few days towards a very strong resistance. Price has been rejected many times in this area. Candlestick analysis suggests that price is slowing down. The candles have a lot of wicks and small bodies. However ADX suggests price is still very bullish. I will be awaiting a daily signal for a short. Anytime price is approaching a very strong buy exhaustion area, I become alert for reversal signals. Price usually decides to retrace from strong areas of interest.