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AUDUSD Falling Wedge And Double BottomLooking at Trading a possible falling wedge and double bottom on AUD/USD today in the 4-hour chart. My bias is still in fact, bearish. Prices are still moving lower and on the Daily chart, we can see we have a nice gap where prices can still fall right down to the 0,668 price level. So, looking for longs right now is all very well and good, however, we have to be careful and make sure we have bullish confirmation of a reversal before we go jumping into the deep end and going long right away. On the 4-hour chart, we have a falling wedge with price bouncing nicely in between the top and bottom of this wedge. Usually, we will see a breakout from a falling wedge, which will usually be to the upside. We also have a possible double bottom inside of this falling wedge. I have highlighted the neckline in yellow. We would need to see the price strongly break out of the wedge and straight through the yellow neckline. We would need to see bullish volume accompany this move to help confirm that the bulls are back. We have partial divergence on the MACD’s Histogram. This means that the sellers may weaken and the buyers may be getting ready to regain market control. My concern is the large gap in the daily time frame. We still have space to fall. And, if we do fall further, we can then look for further short entries, using that previous daily support level as a target. However, no short setups currently present themselves, at least to me. I am patiently waiting to see if the price will break to the upside and reclaim that yellow line as support. We have Bullish confluence all around: Falling Wedge, Double Bottom, Partial Divergence. But, as much as we would like to try and convince ourselves that the price will indeed reverse from this point, the truth is, that on higher time frames, the price movement is still bearish. We are still making lower lows. So, let's watch what happens today. Perhaps we will get a bullish breakout. See you on the next one. The Vortex Trader
by TheVortexTrader
1
Will the AUD turn on Tuesday’s rate hike? The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) will release its interest rate decision on Tuesday September 6. Forecasts are for another half-percent increase in the cash rate. If forecasts hold up, Tuesday’s rate hike will be the fourth consecutive 50-basis-points increase from the RBA, lifting the cash rate to 2.35% from the current 1.85%. Still, even with another rate hike under RBA’s belt, not many investors are pegging the AUD to start outperforming the USD to any great degree or for any sustained period. To analyse the current trend for the AUD/USD, we can use the Trend Meter Indicator. This indicator can help confirm whether the direction of a pair might turn. The Trend Meter Indicator aggregates the data from several other indicators to measure the current strength of the movement, such as the MACD, RSI signal line cross, and MA cross. If the Trend Meter Indicator shows green dots consecutively, the trend is seemingly bullish and will likely continue so long as it stays on the green side. However, if a red dot appears after a long streak of green dots, the trend might be thought to reverse. With the use of the trend meter indicator, we can see that the indicator has already given a bearish signal at the end of August on the daily timeframe by providing a red dot indication. Since then, there has been no sign of green dots, which means that the trend on the downside is still intact, even with support being created at 0.67800. Traders who want to trade the pullback to the upside might want to wait for the green dot signal using this indicator. Otherwise, it may be wiser to looking for a bullish Australian dollar with other AUD pairs.
by BlackBull_Markets
1
AUDUSD could be going to 0.6950 in Tokyo or London if 0.6880...AUD/USD has made a peak formation on the hourly charts with a move below 0.69 the figure from where it has formed a peak bullish formation and bulls will be looking to engage from within 0.69 again for a bust higher over the course of the forthcoming sessions. The money is above the various swing pints on the hourly time frame. The Gartley pattern is a bullish feature on the chart whereby the target aligns with a 78.6% Fibonacci retracement of the current corrective range between recent highs and lows of 0.6965 and 0.6880. The prior structure aligns with this target as being the 0.6945/50 area on the chart also. The resistances until there are 0.6912, 0.6922 and 0.6931. The W-formations are bottoming patterns where the price has, so far, been supported by the necklines. This is bullish for the Tokyo open and the day ahead. On the other hand, a break below these necklines, 0.6906, 0.6896 and then the 0.6880 lows will be bearish.
Long
by Ross-J-Burland
AUDUSD Daily Price should reached that black line then pull back to test the FVG then continue going up to 0.72 or 0.74 . . . . 🧅Disclaimer :There are risks associated with investing in securities. Investing in stocks, bonds, exchange traded funds, mutual funds, and money market funds involve risk of loss. Loss of principal is possible. Some high risk investments may use leverage, which will accentuate gains & losses. Foreign investing involves special risks, including a greater volatility and political, economic and currency risks and differences in accounting methods. This is Not Financial Advice 🧅JUST AN OPINION OF THE ONION.🧅
by MLGONION