AUDUSDOn Friday, the Australian Dollar (AUD) extended its consecutive four-session losing trend, presumably attributable to risk aversion. As the US Dollar (USD) strengthened on hawkish expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will sustain higher policy rates for an extended period, the AUD/USD pair declined.
Consumer Inflation Expectations for the following 12 months fell to 4.1% in May from 4.6% in April, the lowest level since October 2021, exerting pressure on the AUD. This exacerbated apprehensions that inflation might persist above the target level for an extended duration. According to the minutes of the most recent meeting of the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA), policymakers needed help in conclusively stipulating or precluding future adjustments to the cash rate.
The USD extended its gains following releasing Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) data from the United States on Thursday that exceeded expectations. This information increased Treasury yield concerns that interest rates would remain elevated for an extended period. Furthermore, the most recent minutes of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) revealed that policymakers at the Fed were concerned about the prolonged stagnation of inflation at the beginning of 2024, which was slower than expected.
Audusdlong
AUDUSD: The AUD has also had significant correctionsAUDUSD: The AUD additionally had large corrections the previous day whilst the strain from the growing USD brought on this pair to weaken. Short-term, it's miles predicted that AUDUSD will nevertheless keep its decline today. Returning to the assist place round 0.6580. Consider promoting with AUDUSD round 0.6640 tp 0.6580
AUDUSDThe AUD/USD pair is poised for an upward move on the 4-hour timeframe as it follows an ascending channel pattern. After completing a 50% retracement, the price has broken through a resistance level, indicating strong bullish momentum. This technical setup suggests a continuation of the upward trend.
AUDUSD BUY | Idea Trading AnalysisAUDUSD is moving in an UPtrend channel.
The chart broke through the dynamic Resistance line, which now acts as support.
We expect a decline in the channel after testing the current level which suggests that the price will continue to rise
Hello Traders, here is the full analysis.
I think we can soon see more fall from this range! GOOD LUCK! Great BUY opportunity EURUSD
I still did my best and this is the most likely count for me at the moment.
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Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad
AUDUSD: AUDUSD analysis todayING predicts balance in USD forex pairs as buyers look ahead to the discharge of the April center non-public intake expenditures (PCE) rate index, predicted on May 31. The corporation believes that cross-asset volatility is in all likelihood to stay subdued withinside the coming weeks, that may spur the look for convey trades.
AUDUSD BUYWeekly:
1. Direction:
Bullish
2. Reasons:
1. Price took recent swing high
2. massive displacement to the upside
3. Price is moving from ERL to IRL
Daily:
1. Direction:
Bullish
2. Reasons:
1. Price is respecting the daily FVG
2. Good displacement to the upside
3. Price is moving towards weekly FVG
4H:
1. Direction:
Bullish
2. Reasons:
1. Good displacement to the upside
2. Price created FVG
3. Price might react from FVG
4. Wait for 15M MMBM
AUD-USD | 4H | TECHNICAL CHARTHello traders, FX:AUDUSD I have determined the formation target on the chart. I wish everyone success.
Like and comment if you find value in our analysis.
Feel free to post your ideas and questions at the comments section.
Thank you for considering my analysis and perspective.
Good luck
AUD-USDThe audusd pair breaks the resistance level at 0.66500 and closes the candle above this level. Now the market is testing again this level to give a big move to the upside level. There is also another strong resistance level at 0.68500. the market breaks this resistance and then turns into support, and if the market holds this support level of 0.66500 then we see an upside move.
AUD/USD: Westpac's Bullish Perspective The AUD/USD and NZD/USD are trending higher due to risk-on flows boosting these currency pairs.
For AUD/USD, on the downside, immediate support could lie at 0.6594, just above the 100 Daily Moving Average. The RSI is almost levelling off at around 80.
Westpac recently highlighted a bullish stance on AUD/USD:
“...there is no clear path to significantly higher US yields at the moment, especially with Powell reiterating that persistent inflation trends prolong restrictive policies rather than suggesting imminent rate hikes. Additionally, there are increasing risks of a weakening job market, as indicated by softer April payrolls and last week's rise in jobless claims.”
In essence, Powell has tentatively ruled out rate hikes, while Nonfarm Payrolls and other job data have started to soften.
Furthermore, recent US CPI data revealed that the annual inflation rate eased to 3.4% in April 2024 from 3.5% in March. Although inflation remains stubbornly high, the downward trend may not support USD bulls.
Extra gains might push the AUD/USD to test 0.6700, before approaching the key 0.6750 level.
I have no choice but to get "AUDUSD" resistanceHello, Friends!
I hope you have a good day today.
AUDUSD arrives at resistance strong zone.
RSI bearish divergence has emerged and will be making adjustments soon.
The adjustments will be made in my view like this, but I hope you'll be CAREFUL because chart can raise and lower again with a small wave.
If it dosen't adjust from the current position, It'll raise to 0.67000 and make retracement to 0.66800
Let's do it!!
AUDUSD I Potential corrective bounce or consolidation Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
** AUDUSD Analysis - Listen to video!
We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met.
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AUDUSD New Impulse ComingTraders right now I watch very closely AUDUSD for potential reversal with new impulse.
Now we are in correction and it's look like one more drop coming to 0.65365
This level is also 61.8% on Daily timeframe which is very strong support level.
We also have 1H buy zone on that level so it's very, very possible to see drop - liquidity grab and nice bullish formation for buy from Fib and zone.
Good luck to all
AUDUSD - Long from bullish order block ✅Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on AUDUSD.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bullish market structure from 4H timeframe perspective, so I look only for long position. I want price to continue the retracement to fill that imbalance lower and then to reject from bullish order block.
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AUDUSD to find buyers at previous resistance?AUDUSD - 24h expiry
The medium term bias remains bullish.
The sequence for trading is higher highs and lows.
Setbacks should be limited to yesterday's low.
Bespoke support is located at 0.6575.
Preferred trade is to buy on dips.
We look to Buy at 0.6575 (stop at 0.6549)
Our profit targets will be 0.6640 and 0.6650
Resistance: 0.6635 / 0.6665 / 0.6700
Support: 0.6575 / 0.6545 / 0.6515
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AUDUSD BUY NOWTECHNICAL
AUDUSD Show potential for buy.
Right now the price fill the imbalance and is very close to 1H zone.
It's very important to wait for candle confirmation before jump in.
1st TP at 0.66177
2nd TP at 0.66496
Good Luck
FUNDAMENTAL
RBA keeps rates steady /strong AUD/
USD rate cuts on the table /weak USD/
AUDUSD Technical Analysis and Trade Idea In our comprehensive analysis, we delve into the AUDUSD currently trading into a bearish order block on both daily and four-hour timeframes. The accompanying video elucidates the prevailing trend, delineates the nuances of price movements, and dissects the overarching market architecture. Additionally, I offer a strategic trade proposition for consideration.
Please be advised that the content disseminated herein serves solely an educational function and should not be misconstrued as professional financial counsel. The act of trading is fraught with inherent perils, which accentuates the indispensability of steadfast adherence to stringent risk mitigation measures.
Buy AUD/USD Bullish PennantThe AUD/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential buying opportunity due to a recent breakout from a well-defined bullish pennant pattern. This breakout suggests a continuation of the prior uptrend and a higher likelihood of further gains in the coming hours.
Key Points:
Buy Entry: Consider entering a long position (buying) above the broken resistance level of the pennant, ideally around 0.6630 after confirmation of the breakout. This offers an entry point close to the perceived shift in momentum.
Target Levels: Initial bullish targets lie at the following points, based on the pennant and recent price movement:
0.6694: This target is obtained by measuring the height of the flagpole (initial uptrend before the pennant) and adding that distance to the breakout price.
0.6734: This is a further extension of the upside target, based on roughly twice the height of the flagpole.
Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order below the broken resistance line of the pennant, ideally around 0.6600. This helps limit potential losses if the price unexpectedly reverses and breaks back downwards.
Thank you.
Countdown to RBA rate decision Countdown to RBA rate decision
The nine members of the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) are set announce its latest interest rate decision that could significantly impact the Australian dollar.
This comes amidst remarks from Warren Hogan, Chief Economic Advisor at Judo Bank, who suggests that the central bank might soon need to raise rates to over 5%, a notable increase from the current 4.35%. Hogan asserts, "We're nearing two years since the commencement of rate hikes, and it appears that it's not yielding the desired outcomes."
The money market indicates only a small probability of a rate hike today. However, Economic Editor John Kehoe from the Australian Financial Review raises doubts about whether the market is downplaying the likelihood of such an increase. According to Kehoe, over the last 25 years, the RBA has consistently raised interest rates promptly when confronted with a quarterly inflation rate as high as the current one, barring exceptional economic conditions.
In contrast, Gareth Aird, Head of Australian Economics at CommBank, posits that Australia's neutral cash rate likely lies between 2.5% to 3%, and any rate exceeding 3% is sufficiently constraining.
On the daily chart, the price has once more approached a significant resistance zone at 0.6650, where the pair encountered rejection in both April and March.
Should the Reserve Bank of Australia adopt a more hawkish stance today, even in the absence of a rate hike, it might catalyze a breakthrough of this resistance level for the pair. Conversely, a downward move could find support around the 100-day moving average.
AUDUSD
After a significant 80+ pips downward movement post-choch, AUDUSD seems to be adhering to Elliott Wave principles, completing its 3rd wave. As it enters the 4th wave, a 50% retracement is completed, coinciding with a touch on the ascending trendline. With buying block orders activated, AUDUSD is likely to shift towards a bullish trajectory.