AUD/USD "The Aussie Dollar" Forex Market Bearish Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Thieves, 🤑 💰🐱👤
Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the AUD/USD "The Aussie Dollar" Forex market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry. Our aim is the high-risk Red Zone. Risky level, overbought market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bearish robbers are stronger. 🏆💸Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉
Entry 📈 : "The vault is wide open! Swipe the Bullish loot at any price - the heist is on!
however I advise placing Buy Stop Orders above the breakout MA or Place Buy limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most re cent or closest low or high level should be in retest.
Stop Loss 🛑: Thief SL placed at the recent / nearest low level Using the 4H timeframe,
SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
Target 🎯: 0.65100 (or) Escape Before the Target
Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Long side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰.
📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro, COT, Sentimental Outlook:
AUD/USD "The Aussie Dollar" Forex Market is currently experiencing a Bullish trend., driven by several key factors.
💨 Fundamental Analysis
The AUD/USD pair is struggling due to dismal Goods Trade Balance data from Australia, a modest US Dollar uptick, February RBA rate cut bets, and US-China trade war fears. Australia's trade surplus has shrunk to a three-month low, and the latest Q4 Consumer Price Index (CPI) figures showed that headline inflation rose by 2.5% YoY, down from 2.8% in the previous quarter.
💨 Macro Economics
The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) has kept interest rates at record highs, while the US Federal Reserve (Fed) has trimmed the benchmark interest rate by 100 bps through 2024 and aims to slow the pace of cuts in 2025 . The Australian economy is expected to be affected by the US-China trade war, as China is its biggest export market.
💨 COT Analysis
Large speculators and asset managers remain net-long the US dollar index, although the latter has a more convincing bullish view . The Australian Dollar COT Index represents the positioning of large non-commercial (speculator) net positions minus large commercial (hedger) net positions.
💨 Key Takeaways
The AUD/USD pair is bearish due to weak Australian data, US Dollar strength, and trade war fears.
The RBA is expected to cut interest rates in February, while the Fed is slowing the pace of rate cuts.
Large speculators and asset managers remain net-long the US dollar index.
💨 Bullish Factors
RBA Rate Cut Priced In: Markets have already priced in a 25 basis point rate cut by the RBA, which could limit the downside potential for AUD/USD.
China's Economy Showing Signs of Recovery: China's latest economic data, including the Caixin Services PMI, has shown signs of recovery, which could boost demand for Australian exports and support the AUD.
Iron Ore Prices Rising: Iron ore prices have been rising due to supply disruptions and strong demand from China, which could support the AUD.
AUD/USD Oversold: The AUD/USD pair is currently oversold, with the Relative Strength Index (RSI) below 30, which could lead to a technical bounce.
US Dollar Overbought: The US Dollar is currently overbought, with the US Dollar Index (DXY) above 98, which could lead to a correction and support the AUD.
Positive Australian Data: Australia's latest economic data, including the Q4 Consumer Price Index (CPI) and the January employment report, has been positive, which could support the AUD.
Technical Support: The AUD/USD pair has technical support at 0.6200, which could limit the downside potential.
💨 Bullish Scenarios
AUD/USD breaks above 0.6300: A break above 0.6300 could lead to a rally towards 0.6400.
RBA surprises with no rate cut: If the RBA surprises markets with no rate cut, the AUD could rally towards 0.6500.
China's economy continues to recover: If China's economy continues to show signs of recovery, the AUD could benefit from increased demand for Australian exports.
💨 Market sentiment for AUD/USD is currently bullish, with 76% of traders holding long positions ¹. This is also reflected in IG's client sentiment data, which shows that 78% of client accounts are long on this market
However, it's essential to note that market sentiment can change rapidly, and it's crucial to consider other factors, such as technical analysis and fundamental data, when making trading decisions.
From a technical perspective, AUD/USD is struggling to capitalize on its recent recovery move from a multi-year low, dropping toward 0.6250 due to dismal Goods Trade Balance data from Australia
Fundamentally, the Australian economy is expected to be affected by the US-China trade war, as China is its biggest export market. The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) has kept interest rates at record highs, while the US Federal Reserve (Fed) has trimmed the benchmark interest rate by 100 bps through 2024 and aims to slow the pace of cuts in 2025
⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
📌Please note that this is a general analysis and not personalized investment advice. It's essential to consider your own risk tolerance and market analysis before making any investment decisions.
📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly.
💖Supporting our robbery plan will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵 Tell your friends, Colleagues and family to follow, like, and share. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀
I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱👤🤗🤩
